FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwaySEC

3:0

HomeSOUTHLAND

LSU def. Southeastern La. 3–0

(26-24, 25-13, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LSU	26	25	25	3
SE LA	24	13	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SE LA above 50 · LSU below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Southeastern La. — set 1, LSU 24-24 SE LA. Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Takyla Brown). SE LA win probability 4% → 7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LSU 94.8%5.2% SE LA

LSU wins

3-0

54.8%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

10.1%

Southeastern La. wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.5%

3-2

3.1%

LSU break %: 47.0% vs this opp
SE LA break %: 34.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kyra McKelveyKill+3.1%
Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · LSU 24-24 SE LA · SE LA 4% → 7%
02
Kyra McKelveyAttack error+2.5%
Kyra McKelvey stuffed by Takyla Brown & Jessica Jones
Set 1 · LSU 26-24 SE LA · LSU 95% → 98%
03
SE LA serverService error+2.2%
Southeastern La. service error
Set 1 · LSU 25-24 SE LA · LSU 93% → 95%
04
Ainsley DriskaAttack error+2.1%
Ainsley Driska stuffed by Jessica Jones & Jurnee Robinson
Set 1 · LSU 24-22 SE LA · LSU 95% → 97%
05
Camryn JefferyAttack error+1.9%
Camryn Jeffery stuffed by Gracie Mann & Kyra McKelvey
Set 1 · LSU 18-19 SE LA · SE LA 7% → 9%
06
SE LA serverService error+1.8%
Southeastern La. service error
Set 1 · LSU 23-22 SE LA · LSU 93% → 95%
07
Jurnee RobinsonKill+1.7%
Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Takyla Brown)
Set 1 · LSU 20-19 SE LA · LSU 93% → 94%
08
Ashley RichardsonKill+1.6%
Kill by Ashley Richardson (set by Gracie Mann)
Set 1 · LSU 22-22 SE LA · SE LA 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LSUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jurnee RobinsonOH	3	18	3	37	.405	0	0	1	8	0	0	4	2	20
9Camryn JefferyOH	3	11	6	24	.208	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Sanaa DonaieMB	3	7	1	16	.375	0	1	3	3	0	1	4	3	11
7Jessica JonesMB	3	6	0	16	.375	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	9
25Takyla BrownS	3	1	0	1	1.000	25	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Ella HemmingsL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	1
2Tireh SmithOH	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	4
10Emilee ProchaskaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Kiley BrooksL/DS	3	0	1	3	-.333	3	0	0	15	0	0	0	0	0
3Aly KirkhoffL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
15Lauren BrookerS	1	2	0	2	1.000	15	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		47	15	108	.296	44	3	9	40	1	1	20	11	76

Southeastern La.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Kyra McKelveyOPP	3	12	9	29	.103	1	0	0	4	0	3	1.5	13.5
2Abby BaileyOH	3	8	4	27	.148	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
4Ainsley DriskaMB	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
12Ashley RichardsonS	3	3	0	4	.750	23	0	1	7	0	0	0	3
13Keira BeverlyMB	3	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
8Melina GonzalezOH	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	2
18Gracie MannOH	3	1	3	12	-.167	2	0	0	3	1	2	1	2
21Kaelyn SharpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
11Brea PayneS	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Audrey VielguthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	14	1	0	0	0
10Gracie BrownMB	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
15Lauren OssmannS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Mina PetrovicOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	23	102	.088	28	1	3	40	3	10	5	58

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 LSU · SE LA 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 LSUSE LA 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 6 LSUSE LA 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 LSUSE LA 4

Bars above the line = Southeastern La. leads, below = LSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	13%1/8
2	89%8/9	38%5/13
3	88%7/8	50%7/14
4	70%7/10	46%6/13
5	67%6/9	65%11/17
6	63%5/8	50%5/10
All	69%41/59	47%35/75

Southeastern La.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	14%1/7
2	57%8/14	47%7/15
3	44%7/16	11%1/9
4	40%6/15	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	56%5/9	45%5/11
All	53%40/75	31%18/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	LSU-SE LA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.5
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Ella Hemmings	+0.9
3	1-2	SE LA	LSU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Camryn Jeffery, Jessica Jones	+0.5
4	1-3	LSU	SE LA	Bad set	Jurnee Robinson		+0.7
5	1-4	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Sanaa Donaie		+1.0
6	2-4	SE LA	LSU×4	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.6
7	3-4	LSU	LSU×4	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.9
8	4-4	LSU	LSU×4	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.8
9	5-4	LSU	LSU×4	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.7
10	5-5	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.5
11	6-5	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
12	6-6	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Mann	+0.6
13	7-6	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Kiley Brooks	+0.5
14	7-7	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.6
15	8-7	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
16	8-8	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.6
17	9-8	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.5
18	9-9	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.6
19	10-9	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.6
20	10-10	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.7
21	11-10	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.6
22	11-11	LSU	SE LA	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery		+0.7
23	12-11	SE LA	LSU	Attack err	Gracie Mann	blk Sanaa Donaie, Tireh Smith	+0.6
24	12-12	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.7
25	13-12	SE LA	LSU×3	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Takyla Brown	+0.7
26	14-12	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Brea Payne	blk Jessica Jones	+0.9
27	15-12	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.7
28	15-13	LSU	SE LA×3	Serve err	LSU server		+0.5
29	15-14	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Tireh Smith		+0.9
30	15-15	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Ainsley Driska		+1.2
31	16-15	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.8
32	17-15	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Ainsley Driska		+1.0
33	17-16	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.7
34	18-16	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.7
35	18-17	LSU	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.7
36	18-18	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Kaelyn Sharp	+1.5
37	18-19	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery	blk Gracie Mann, Kyra McKelvey	+1.9
38	19-19	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+1.2
39	20-19	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+1.7
40	20-20	LSU	SE LA	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery	blk Keira Beverly, Kyra McKelvey	+1.3
41	21-20	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+1.3
42	21-21	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.4
43	22-21	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+1.5
44	22-22	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Mann	+1.6
45	23-22	SE LA	LSU	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.8
46	24-22	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Ainsley Driska	blk Jessica Jones, Jurnee Robinson	+2.1
47	24-23	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.8
48	24-24	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Takyla Brown	+3.1
49	25-24	SE LA	LSU	Serve err	SE LA server		+2.2
50	26-24	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Takyla Brown, Jessica Jones	+2.5
Set 2
1	1-0	SE LA	LSU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.3
2	1-1	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
3	2-1	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Takyla Brown	+0.3
4	3-1	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Ainsley Driska	blk Sanaa Donaie	+0.4
5	3-2	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.3
6	4-2	SE LA	LSU×5	Kill	Takyla Brown	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
7	5-2	LSU	LSU×5	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.3
8	6-2	LSU	LSU×5	Attack err	Keira Beverly	blk Sanaa Donaie, Tireh Smith	+0.2
9	7-2	LSU	LSU×5	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Sanaa Donaie, Jurnee Robinson	+0.2
10	8-2	LSU	LSU×5	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.1
11	8-3	LSU	SE LA×3	Kill	Melina Gonzalez		+0.1
12	8-4	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Kyra McKelvey	+0.2
13	8-5	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Tireh Smith	blk Abby Bailey, Keira Beverly	+0.2
14	9-5	SE LA	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
15	10-5	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.2
16	11-5	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
17	11-6	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
18	12-6	SE LA	LSU	Attack err	Gracie Mann	blk Jessica Jones, Tireh Smith	+0.1
19	13-6	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
20	13-7	LSU	SE LA×3	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
21	13-8	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.1
22	13-9	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
23	14-9	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
24	14-10	LSU	SE LA	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.1
25	15-10	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Kiley Brooks	+0.1
26	16-10	LSU	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
27	16-11	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
28	17-11	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
29	18-11	LSU	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Takyla Brown	+0.1
30	18-12	LSU	SE LA	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery	blk Kyra McKelvey, Gracie Brown	+0.0
31	19-12	SE LA	LSU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Sanaa Donaie, Tireh Smith	+0.0
32	19-13	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
33	20-13	SE LA	LSU×6	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
34	21-13	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
35	22-13	LSU	LSU×6	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.0
36	23-13	LSU	LSU×6	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Jessica Jones, Jurnee Robinson	+0.0
37	24-13	LSU	LSU×6	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Takyla Brown	+0.0
38	25-13	LSU	LSU×6	Ace	LSU server	aced Melina Gonzalez	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	LSU	LSU	Kill	Lauren Brooker	set Kiley Brooks	+0.2
2	1-1	LSU	SE LA×4	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
3	1-2	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Kiley Brooks		+0.2
4	1-3	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Ella Hemmings		+0.3
5	1-4	SE LA	SE LA×4	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
6	2-4	SE LA	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
7	3-4	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
8	4-4	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.2
9	4-5	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
10	5-5	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Tireh Smith	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
11	5-6	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
12	6-6	SE LA	LSU×3	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+0.2
13	7-6	LSU	LSU×3	Attack err	Gracie Brown		+0.2
14	8-6	LSU	LSU×3	Ace	LSU server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+0.2
15	8-7	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
16	9-7	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.1
17	9-8	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Abby Bailey	+0.1
18	10-8	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.1
19	10-9	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
20	11-9	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Lauren Brooker	+0.1
21	11-10	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
22	11-11	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery		+0.3
23	12-11	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Sanaa Donaie	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
24	12-12	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
25	13-12	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
26	14-12	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
27	14-13	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.2
28	14-14	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Tireh Smith	blk Keira Beverly, Gracie Mann	+0.3
29	15-14	SE LA	LSU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.2
30	15-15	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
31	15-16	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Jurnee Robinson		+0.4
32	16-16	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
33	17-16	LSU	LSU	Ace	LSU server	aced Gracie Mann	+0.4
34	17-17	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
35	18-17	SE LA	LSU×3	Kill	Jessica Jones	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
36	19-17	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Lauren Brooker	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
37	20-17	LSU	LSU×3	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Ella Hemmings	+0.3
38	20-18	LSU	SE LA	Serve err	LSU server		+0.1
39	20-19	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Camryn Jeffery		+0.3
40	21-19	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
41	21-20	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
42	22-20	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Camryn Jeffery	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
43	23-20	LSU	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.3
44	23-21	LSU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
45	24-21	SE LA	LSU	Kill	Jurnee Robinson	set Lauren Brooker	+0.2
46	25-21	LSU	LSU	Attack err	Keira Beverly		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, LSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.