Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on SECN

LSU def. Missouri 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri 56.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LSU beat visiting Missouri 3-2 (17-25, 25-22, 25-23, 20-25, 15-12) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. LSU's Jurnee Robinson led with 23 kills.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set12345Sets
MIZZOU25222325122
LSU17252520153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lauren Brooker set 50 assists as LSU outlasted Missouri.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows LSU's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Missouri was RallyIQ's 57% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Missouri 22–22 LSU

    LSU won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–1. The match swung to LSU.

    LSU 45% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Missouri 14–15 LSU

    5 straight Missouri points turned a 14–15 deficit into a 19–15 lead.

    LSU 77% → 53%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Missouri 8–7 LSU

    Down 7–8, LSU scored 3 straight to lead 10–8. The match swung to LSU.

    LSU 37% → 73%

LSU above 50Missouri belowMax swing 14.2%

MissouriLSU

Sideout %
Missouri 58.8·LSU 56.1
Break %
Missouri 43.9·LSU 41.2
Hitting
Missouri .244·LSU .203
Longest run
Missouri 6·LSU 7

Jurnee Robinson
23 kills on .193, 26.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LSU above 50 · Missouri below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.2% LSUrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.2% to LSU — set 3, MIZZOU 23-25 LSU. Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Lauren Brooker). LSU win probability 58% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIZZOU 62.2%37.8% LSU

Missouri wins

3-0
18.4%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
20.0%

LSU wins

3-0
8.0%
3-1
13.7%
3-2
16.1%
MIZZOU break %
42.1% vs this opp
LSU break %
39.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jurnee RobinsonKill+14.2%

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Lauren Brooker)

    Set 3 · MIZZOU 23-25 LSU · LSU 58% → 72%

  2. 02
    Jurnee RobinsonKill+13.8%

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Jessica Jones)

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 8-9 LSU · LSU 46% → 59%

  3. 03
    Kimani JohnsonAttack error+13.7%

    Attack error by Kimani Johnson

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 8-10 LSU · LSU 59% → 73%

  4. 04
    Jurnee RobinsonKill+12.3%

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Kiley Brooks)

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 9-12 LSU · LSU 75% → 88%

  5. 05
    Samara ColemanAttack error+11.8%

    Attack error by Samara Coleman

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 7-6 LSU · MIZZOU 50% → 62%

  6. 06
    Jurnee RobinsonKill+11.4%

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Aly Kirkhoff)

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 5-6 LSU · LSU 46% → 57%

  7. 07
    Kimani JohnsonAttack error+11.1%

    Attack error by Kimani Johnson

    Set 3 · MIZZOU 22-23 LSU · LSU 45% → 56%

  8. 08
    Jurnee RobinsonAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Jurnee Robinson

    Set 5 · MIZZOU 4-3 LSU · MIZZOU 51% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513230.36700030111.514.5
510218.44411221031.512.5
57113.4622133006311
58315.33300100031.59.5
56533.030011400218
5000–22001400000
515933.18210020031.516.5
5001.00026101500001
5000–3001410000
4000–110600001
23213.077001200003
2000–001000000
Team totals6224156.244565965411810107
LSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5231257.193102161073.526.5
58316.3130030026513
58220.30010000031.59.5
5329.11150011200003
5000–022810002
5000–000300000
511233.2731103002113
510737.0810002000010
5000–3121410001
3000–100300000
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6328172.2035841061521811102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIZZOU · LSU 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 MIZZOULSU 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MIZZOULSU 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 MIZZOULSU 7

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 MIZZOULSU 3

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 MIZZOULSU 3

Bars above the line = LSU leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%13/24
44%8/18
2
52%11/21
37%7/19
3
48%10/21
15%2/13
4
83%10/12
57%13/23
5
80%8/10
44%7/16
6
57%8/14
56%10/18
All
59%60/102
44%47/107

LSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
45%9/20
2
69%11/16
52%13/25
3
61%11/18
54%13/24
4
41%9/22
9%1/11
5
53%8/15
27%3/11
6
47%8/17
27%3/11
All
56%60/107
41%42/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#MIZZOU-LSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LSULSUBad setSierra Dudley+2.6
21-1LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+1.7
32-1MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Kiley Brooks+2.6
42-2MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+1.8
53-2LSUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+1.8
63-3MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Kiley Brooks+1.8
73-4LSULSUBlockedPaige Felderblk Sanaa Donaie, Camryn Jeffery+2.8
84-4LSUMIZZOU×3Attack errJurnee Robinson+1.8
95-4MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Emilee Prochaska+2.8
106-4MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Bad setMartina Villani+2.7
116-5MIZZOULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Martina Villani+1.8
127-5LSUMIZZOU×6KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+1.9
138-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×6AceMissouri+2.6
149-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillLydia Stahleyset Nina Mandovic+2.4
1510-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.0
1611-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×6BlockedSamara Colemanblk Kimani Johnson, Tia Phinezy+1.6
1712-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×6KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+1.3
1812-6MIZZOULSUAttack errLydia Stahley+0.6
1913-6LSUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+0.8
2014-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedCamryn Jefferyblk Lydia Stahley, Eva Smith+0.9
2115-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnson+0.6
2215-7MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+0.2
2316-7LSUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+0.3
2417-7MIZZOUMIZZOUKillEva Smith+0.3
2517-8MIZZOULSUKillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+0.1
2618-8LSUMIZZOUKillLydia Stahleyset Sierra Dudley+0.2
2719-8MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.1
2819-9MIZZOULSU×4KillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker·
2919-10LSULSU×4BlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Jurnee Robinson, Sanaa Donaie+0.1
3019-11LSULSU×4Attack errPaige Felder+0.2
3119-12LSULSU×4AceLSUaced Ainoah Cruz+0.3
3220-12LSUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+0.3
3321-12MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.2
3421-13MIZZOULSU×4KillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+0.1
3521-14LSULSU×4BlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Jurnee Robinson, Sanaa Donaie+0.2
3621-15LSULSU×4KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.3
3721-16LSULSU×4KillSanaa Donaieset Camryn Jeffery+0.6
3822-16LSUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.7
3923-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Kimani Johnson, Tia Phinezy+0.4
4024-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errSanaa Donaie+0.1
4124-17MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker·
4225-17LSUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Nina Mandovic·
Set 2
10-1MIZZOULSU×5KillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+1.6
20-2LSULSU×5KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+2.5
30-3LSULSU×5KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+2.4
40-4LSULSU×5Attack errPaige Felder+2.3
50-5LSULSU×5Attack errEva Smith+2.1
61-5LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+1.2
71-6MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.4
82-6LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.2
92-7MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.4
102-8LSULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+1.8
113-8LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+1.0
123-9MIZZOULSUAttack errPaige Felder+1.2
134-9LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+1.0
145-9MIZZOUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Ainoah Cruz+1.8
155-10MIZZOULSUKillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+1.5
166-10LSUMIZZOUKillLydia Stahleyset Nina Mandovic+1.2
177-10MIZZOUMIZZOUKillLydia Stahleyset Zoey Matias+2.2
187-11MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+1.7
197-12LSULSUAttack errKimani Johnson+2.2
208-12LSUMIZZOUKillLydia Stahleyset Nina Mandovic+1.2
218-13MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.5
229-13LSUMIZZOUBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Eva Smith, Lydia Stahley+1.2
239-14MIZZOULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+1.5
249-15LSULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+1.8
2510-15LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.8
2610-16MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.2
2711-16LSUMIZZOU×3Attack errSanaa Donaie+0.8
2812-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Ainoah Cruz+1.7
2913-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.2
3013-17MIZZOULSU×3KillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+1.9
3113-18LSULSU×3KillSamara Coleman+2.2
3213-19LSULSU×3KillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+1.5
3314-19LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+0.6
3414-20MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+1.0
3515-20LSUMIZZOU×3Attack errSamara Coleman+0.5
3616-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouri+1.3
3717-20MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillLydia Stahleyset Kimani Johnson+2.0
3817-21MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+2.0
3917-22LSULSUAceLSU+1.9
4018-22LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+0.6
4119-22MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Grace O'Reilly+1.6
4219-23MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Kiley Brooks+1.9
4320-23LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+0.8
4420-24MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.6
4521-24LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.4
4622-24MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Tia Phinezy, Paige Felder+1.6
4722-25MIZZOULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+2.7
Set 3
11-0LSUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+2.3
22-0MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errLauren Brooker+3.4
32-1MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+2.2
42-2LSULSUBad setNina Mandovic+3.5
53-2LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.4
63-3MIZZOULSU×7KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+2.4
73-4LSULSU×7KillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+3.7
83-5LSULSU×7BlockedPaige Felderblk Sanaa Donaie, Camryn Jeffery+3.8
93-6LSULSU×7KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+3.7
103-7LSULSU×7BlockedKimani Johnsonblk Jurnee Robinson, Sanaa Donaie+3.4
113-8LSULSU×7Attack errMaizy Agnello+3.1
123-9LSULSU×7KillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+2.6
134-9LSUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Nina Mandovic+1.4
144-10MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+1.8
155-10LSUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley+1.4
165-11MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+1.8
176-11LSUMIZZOU×3Serve errLSU+1.4
187-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3AceMissouriaced Jurnee Robinson+2.6
198-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Tia Phinezy+3.1
208-12MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+2.5
219-12LSUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+2.1
2210-12MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillLydia Stahleyset Ainoah Cruz+3.8
2311-12MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillLydia Stahley+4.3
2411-13MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+3.2
2512-13LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.9
2612-14MIZZOULSUBlockedKimani Johnsonblk Jurnee Robinson, Jessica Jones+3.3
2712-15LSULSUBlockedKimani Johnsonblk Sanaa Donaie, Jurnee Robinson+4.7
2813-15LSUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Nina Mandovic+2.6
2913-16MIZZOULSUAttack errMaizy Agnello+3.2
3014-16LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.7
3115-16MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errJurnee Robinson+4.9
3215-17MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+3.8
3316-17LSUMIZZOUAttack errSamara Coleman+3.4
3417-17MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedSanaa Donaieblk Tia Phinezy, Grace O'Reilly+5.9
3517-18MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+4.3
3618-18LSUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Sierra Dudley+4.2
3719-18MIZZOUMIZZOUBad setJurnee Robinson+6.7
3819-19MIZZOULSU×3Serve errMissouri+4.4
3919-20LSULSU×3KillLauren Brooker+7.5
4019-21LSULSU×3KillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+7.4
4120-21LSUMIZZOU×3KillGrace O'Reillyset Lydia Stahley+4.0
4221-21MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errSamara Coleman+8.0
4322-21MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedSamara Colemanblk Eva Smith, Lydia Stahley+9.2
4422-22MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+5.9
4522-23LSULSUAttack errKimani Johnson+11.1
4623-23LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+7.0
4723-24MIZZOULSUAttack errMaizy Agnello+9.2
4823-25LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+14.2
Set 4
10-1MIZZOULSU×3KillLauren Brookerset Maizy Agnello+2.5
20-2LSULSU×3Attack errKimani Johnson+3.8
30-3LSULSU×3KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+3.7
41-3LSUMIZZOU×3KillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.3
52-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errJurnee Robinson+3.7
63-3MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+3.8
73-4MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+2.7
83-5LSULSUBlockedEva Smithblk Sanaa Donaie+4.0
94-5LSUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+2.5
104-6MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+2.8
115-6LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+2.6
126-6MIZZOUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezy+4.1
136-7MIZZOULSUBlockedTia Phinezyblk Sanaa Donaie+2.9
147-7LSUMIZZOUAttack errJessica Jones+2.8
157-8MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+3.0
167-9LSULSUAceLSUaced Lydia Stahley+4.4
178-9LSUMIZZOUAttack errJessica Jones+2.8
188-10MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+3.1
198-11LSULSUKillLauren Brooker+4.4
209-11LSUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+2.6
2110-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3Attack errJurnee Robinson+4.4
2211-11MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillLydia Stahleyset Nina Mandovic+4.8
2311-12MIZZOULSUAttack errLydia Stahley+3.4
2412-12LSUMIZZOUAttack errNina Mandovic+3.3
2513-12MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errJurnee Robinson+5.1
2613-13MIZZOULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+3.4
2713-14LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+5.5
2814-14LSUMIZZOUServe errLSU+3.6
2914-15MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+3.8
3015-15LSUMIZZOU×5Serve errLSU+3.7
3116-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×5Attack errSamara Coleman+5.9
3217-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+5.7
3318-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×5KillTia Phinezyset Sierra Dudley+5.0
3419-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×5BlockedCamryn Jefferyblk Paige Felder, Tia Phinezy+4.0
3519-16MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+1.9
3620-16LSUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Sierra Dudley+2.7
3720-17MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+1.8
3821-17LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.7
3922-17MIZZOUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.4
4022-18MIZZOULSUKillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+0.8
4122-19LSULSUAceLSU+2.1
4223-19LSUMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+2.5
4323-20MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.1
4424-20LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+2.1
4525-20MIZZOUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+2.4
Set 5
10-1LSULSUAttack errKimani Johnson+9.2
21-1LSUMIZZOUKillKimani Johnsonset Nina Mandovic+6.0
31-2MIZZOULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+6.4
42-2LSUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+6.2
52-3MIZZOULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+6.6
63-3LSUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Tia Phinezy+6.5
74-3MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errJurnee Robinson+10.1
84-4MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Jurnee Robinson+6.7
95-4LSUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Sierra Dudley+7.0
105-5MIZZOULSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+7.0
115-6LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Aly Kirkhoff+11.4
126-6LSUMIZZOUKillTia Phinezyset Sierra Dudley+7.4
137-6MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errSamara Coleman+11.8
147-7MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+7.8
158-7LSUMIZZOUKillLydia Stahleyset Sierra Dudley+8.3
168-8MIZZOULSU×3KillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+8.3
178-9LSULSU×3KillJurnee Robinsonset Jessica Jones+13.8
188-10LSULSU×3Attack errKimani Johnson+13.7
199-10LSUMIZZOUAttack errJurnee Robinson+7.7
209-11MIZZOULSUBlockedKimani Johnsonblk Jurnee Robinson, Jessica Jones+10.0
219-12LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Kiley Brooks+12.3
2210-12LSUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+5.2
2310-13MIZZOULSUServe errMissouri+8.6
2411-13LSUMIZZOUBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Kimani Johnson, Tia Phinezy+4.5
2511-14MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+8.6
2612-14LSUMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Sierra Dudley+3.1
2712-15MIZZOULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+7.8

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).