FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on SECN+

LSU def. South Carolina 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: LSU 78.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LSU beat visiting South Carolina 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. LSU's Jurnee Robinson led with 14 kills, and Kiley Brooks added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
S CAR2018220
LSU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Jurnee Robinson. LSU swept South Carolina.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.0 points, and South Carolina's high was 23% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had LSU at 78%.

South CarolinaLSU
  • Break %+12.7 pts
    33.946.6

    34 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 62, so South Carolina's sideout was 53.4%.

  • Hitting+.087
    .170.257

    47 K / 18 E against 28 K / 12 E.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    7 straight LSU points in the third set turned a 15–17 deficit into a 22–17 lead. That set ended 25–22.

LSU above 50South Carolina belowMax swing 3.0%

South CarolinaLSU

Aces
South Carolina 4·LSU 5
Serve err
South Carolina 7·LSU 10
Blocks
South Carolina 8·LSU 51 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
South Carolina 40·LSU 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LSU above 50 · South Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% S CARrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to South Carolina — set 1, S CAR 15-15 LSU. Ace by Ava Leahy on Kiley Brooks. LSU win probability 80% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S CAR 19.8%80.2% LSU

South Carolina wins

3-0
3.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
10.0%

LSU wins

3-0
31.7%
3-1
30.3%
3-2
18.2%
S CAR break %
37.5% vs this opp
LSU break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava LeahyAce+3.0%

    Ace by Ava Leahy on Kiley Brooks

    Set 1 · S CAR 15-15 LSU · S CAR 20% → 23%

  2. 02
    Olivia BorgmanAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Olivia Borgman

    Set 1 · S CAR 15-17 LSU · LSU 79% → 82%

  3. 03
    Lainee PylesKill+2.9%

    Kill by Lainee Pyles (set by Kiana Dinn)

    Set 1 · S CAR 20-23 LSU · LSU 83% → 86%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Kiley Brooks)

    Set 1 · S CAR 20-22 LSU · LSU 81% → 83%

  5. 05
    Ella GrivnaKill+2.4%

    Kill by Ella Grivna (set by Sydney Floyd)

    Set 1 · S CAR 14-15 LSU · S CAR 18% → 20%

  6. 06

    Kill by Camryn Jeffery (set by Lilly Gillespie)

    Set 1 · S CAR 19-21 LSU · LSU 80% → 83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Martina Villani)

    Set 1 · S CAR 18-20 LSU · LSU 80% → 82%

  8. 08
    Camryn JefferyAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Camryn Jeffery

    Set 1 · S CAR 5-5 LSU · S CAR 20% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35113.308011300639
36313.231001200428
35324.083011820006
3428.25000010010.54.5
3000–811300001
1017-.143000500000
35016.313000100216
3000–010800001
3000–101200000
23212.08300012111.54.5
2001.000701300000
2000–600000000
2000–401200000
1000–000100000
Team totals281294.1702647405114860
LSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314532.28110210012216
37113.46200230031.58.5
3517.57100000010.55.5
31011.000311410002
3000–020210002
3004.000310190010.50.5
311431.2260135000012
39725.08000040010.59.5
3000–3111320001
Team totals4718113.2573851050418575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S CAR · LSU 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 S CARLSU 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 S CARLSU 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 S CARLSU 7

Bars above the line = LSU leads, below = South Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%5/12
17%1/6
2
56%5/9
29%2/7
3
100%5/5
29%2/7
4
71%5/7
17%1/6
5
44%4/9
17%1/6
6
57%4/7
43%3/7
All
57%28/49
26%10/39

LSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
64%7/11
2
83%5/6
55%6/11
3
83%5/6
0%0/5
4
71%5/7
17%1/6
5
83%5/6
38%3/8
6
57%4/7
50%4/8
All
74%29/39
43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#S CAR-LSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S CARLSU×3BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Jessica Jones, Martina Villani+1.2
20-2LSULSU×3KillAngelina Leeset Martina Villani+1.7
30-3LSULSU×3Bad setKiana Dinn+1.5
41-3LSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.0
51-4S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+1.0
62-4LSUS CARKillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+1.0
73-4S CARS CARBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+1.8
83-5S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+1.2
94-5LSUS CARServe errLSU+1.2
105-5S CARS CARAttack errCamryn Jeffery+2.1
115-6S CARLSUServe errSouth Carolina+1.4
125-7LSULSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+2.0
136-7LSUS CARAttack errCamryn Jeffery+1.3
146-8S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+1.3
157-8LSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Sydney Floyd+1.3
167-9S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Emilee Prochaska+1.3
177-10LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+1.8
188-10LSUS CARServe errLSU+1.1
198-11S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Emilee Prochaska+1.2
209-11LSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Maggie Penn+1.2
219-12S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+1.2
2210-12LSUS CARServe errLSU+1.2
2310-13S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+1.3
2411-13LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.2
2511-14S CARLSUServe errSouth Carolina+1.3
2612-14LSUS CARAttack errLainee Pyles+1.2
2712-15S CARLSUServe errSouth Carolina+1.4
2813-15LSUS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+1.2
2914-15S CARS CAR×3KillElla Grivnaset Sydney Floyd+2.4
3015-15S CARS CAR×3AceAva Leahyaced Kiley Brooks+3.0
3115-16S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani+2.0
3215-17LSULSUAttack errOlivia Borgman+2.9
3316-17LSUS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+1.8
3416-18S CARLSUKillJessica Jonesset Martina Villani+2.0
3517-18LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.8
3617-19S CARLSUAttack errMadisyn Crnjac+2.1
3718-19LSUS CARAttack errAngelina Lee+1.9
3818-20S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+2.2
3919-20LSUS CARServe errLSU+2.0
4019-21S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lilly Gillespie+2.4
4120-21LSUS CARServe errLSU+2.1
4220-22S CARLSU×4KillJurnee Robinsonset Kiley Brooks+2.7
4320-23LSULSU×4KillLainee Pylesset Kiana Dinn+2.9
4420-24LSULSU×4KillLainee Pylesset Emilee Prochaska+1.4
4520-25LSULSU×4AceLSU+0.3
Set 2
10-1LSULSU×3AceLSUaced Ceci Vance+1.4
20-2LSULSU×3BlockedElise Marchalblk Jessica Jones, Jurnee Robinson+1.3
30-3LSULSU×3AceLSUaced Olivia Borgman+1.2
41-3LSUS CARAttack errJurnee Robinson+0.7
52-3S CARS CARAttack errJessica Jones+1.3
62-4S CARLSUServe errOlivia Borgman+0.9
73-4LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.9
83-5S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+0.9
94-5LSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.9
104-6S CARLSUKillAngelina Leeset Martina Villani+0.9
115-6LSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Sydney Floyd+1.0
126-6S CARS CARBlockedLainee Pylesblk Ava Leahy, Ally Cavanaugh+1.7
136-7S CARLSU×3KillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+1.1
146-8LSULSU×3KillJessica Jonesset Jurnee Robinson+1.5
156-9LSULSU×3KillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani+1.4
167-9LSUS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+0.8
177-10S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+0.9
187-11LSULSUKillEmilee Prochaskaset Sydney Floyd+1.2
198-11LSUS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+0.7
209-11S CARS CARAceSouth Carolinaaced Emilee Prochaska+1.3
219-12S CARLSU×3Serve errSouth Carolina+0.9
229-13LSULSU×3Bad setKiana Dinn+1.2
239-14LSULSU×3KillJessica Jonesset Martina Villani+0.9
2410-14LSUS CARServe errLSU+0.5
2511-14S CARS CARKillElla Grivna+1.0
2611-15S CARLSU×5KillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+0.8
2711-16LSULSU×5KillJurnee Robinsonset Olivia Borgman+0.9
2811-17LSULSU×5Attack errElla Grivna+0.6
2911-18LSULSU×5Bad setJillian Bohannon+0.4
3011-19LSULSU×5BlockedElise Marchalblk Jurnee Robinson, Angelina Lee+0.2
3112-19LSUS CARServe errLSU+0.1
3213-19S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.2
3313-20S CARLSUBlockedElise Marchalblk Jurnee Robinson+0.2
3414-20LSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.1
3514-21S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+0.2
3614-22LSULSUAttack errAva Leahy+0.1
3715-22LSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler·
3815-23S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani·
3916-23LSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kaia Pixler·
4017-23S CARS CARAttack errCamryn Jeffery·
4117-24S CARLSUServe errSouth Carolina+0.1
4218-24LSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kaia Pixler·
4318-25S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani·
Set 3
11-0S CARS CARBlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Ella Grivna, Elise Marchal+0.8
21-1S CARLSUKillJessica Jonesset Martina Villani+0.5
32-1LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Jillian Bohannon+0.6
43-1S CARS CARAceSouth Carolinaaced Kiley Brooks+0.9
53-2S CARLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+0.6
63-3LSULSUKillAngelina Lee+0.9
74-3LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Jillian Bohannon+0.6
84-4S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+0.6
95-4LSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Jillian Bohannon+0.6
105-5S CARLSUKillAngelina Leeset Martina Villani+0.6
116-5LSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kaia Pixler+0.6
126-6S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani+0.6
137-6LSUS CARServe errLSU+0.7
147-7S CARLSU×6KillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani+0.6
157-8LSULSU×6KillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+0.9
167-9LSULSU×6KillJurnee Robinsonset Kiley Brooks+0.9
177-10LSULSU×6Attack errElla Grivna+0.8
187-11LSULSU×6KillJurnee Robinsonset Martina Villani+0.6
197-12LSULSU×6KillJessica Jones+0.5
208-12LSUS CARServe errLSU+0.3
219-12S CARS CARKillElla Grivna+0.5
22–2310-13S CAR · LSU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2410-14S CARLSUKillAngelina Leeset Martina Villani+0.4
2511-14LSUS CAR×5KillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.4
2612-14S CARS CAR×5AceLilly Gillespieaced Ella Hemmings+0.8
2713-14S CARS CAR×5BlockedCamryn Jefferyblk Ceci Vance+1.0
2814-14S CARS CAR×5Attack errCamryn Jeffery+1.2
2915-14S CARS CAR×5BlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+1.4
3015-15S CARLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Martina Villani+0.8
3116-15LSUS CARBlockedLainee Pylesblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+1.0
3217-15S CARS CARBlockedCamryn Jefferyblk Ceci Vance, Ava Leahy+1.5
3317-16S CARLSU×7Serve errKaia Pixler+0.9
3417-17LSULSU×7AceKiley Brooksaced Ceci Vance+1.5
3517-18LSULSU×7KillJessica Jonesset Martina Villani+1.5
3617-19LSULSU×7Bad setKaia Pixler+1.3
3717-20LSULSU×7BlockedCeci Vanceblk Camryn Jeffery, Jessica Jones+1.1
3817-21LSULSU×7KillLainee Pylesset Kiley Brooks+0.7
3917-22LSULSU×7Attack errCeci Vance+0.4
4018-22LSUS CAR×3Attack errJurnee Robinson+0.1
4119-22S CARS CAR×3Attack errCamryn Jeffery+0.4
4220-22S CARS CAR×3BlockedLainee Pylesblk Ava Leahy, Ally Cavanaugh+0.7
4320-23S CARLSUAttack errOlivia Borgman+0.8
4421-23LSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.4
4522-23S CARS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Kiana Dinn+1.3
4622-24S CARLSUKillLainee Pylesset Martina Villani+1.4
4722-25LSULSUAceLainee Pylesaced Olivia Borgman+1.0

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).