FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayCAA

0:3

HomeSEC

South Carolina def. Northeastern 3–0

(25-22, 25-14, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NOEAST	22	14	17	0
S CAR	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S CAR above 50 · NOEAST below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Northeastern — set 1, NOEAST 7-5 S CAR. Attack error by Ceci Vance. S CAR win probability 90% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NOEAST 8.2%91.8% S CAR

Northeastern wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.4%

3-2

4.7%

South Carolina wins

3-0

47.8%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

12.7%

NOEAST break %: 36.0% vs this opp
S CAR break %: 46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ceci VanceAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Ceci Vance
Set 1 · NOEAST 7-5 S CAR · NOEAST 10% → 11%
02
Elise MarchalKill+1.2%
Kill by Elise Marchal (set by Kiana Dinn)
Set 1 · NOEAST 7-7 S CAR · S CAR 90% → 91%
03
NOEAST serverAce+1.2%
Northeastern ace on Lilly Gillespie
Set 1 · NOEAST 2-0 S CAR · NOEAST 9% → 10%
04
Sydney DavisKill+1.1%
Kill by Sydney Davis
Set 1 · NOEAST 7-8 S CAR · S CAR 91% → 92%
05
Abbie CallawayAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Abbie Callaway
Set 1 · NOEAST 3-3 S CAR · S CAR 90% → 91%
06
Cayenne CemanKill+1.1%
Kill by Cayenne Ceman (set by Brynn Smith)
Set 1 · NOEAST 1-0 S CAR · NOEAST 8% → 9%
07
Sydney DavisKill+1.0%
Kill by Sydney Davis
Set 1 · NOEAST 8-10 S CAR · S CAR 92% → 93%
08
Ally CavanaughAttack error+1.0%
Ally Cavanaugh stuffed by Cayenne Ceman & Kaylin Daniels
Set 1 · NOEAST 19-21 S CAR · NOEAST 5% → 6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northeasternaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Beatrice GennariMB	3	7	0	17	.412	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	7
18Cayenne CemanOH	3	5	6	18	-.056	0	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Kaylin DanielsMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
12Valentina MeirellesOH	3	2	6	17	-.235	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
3Sofia KingS	3	0	0	0	–	11	1	2	8	0	0	0	1
15Brynn SmithOH	2	1	4	17	-.176	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	1
5Emma RowellOPP	3	11	3	18	.444	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11
2Abbie CallawayOH	3	1	3	10	-.200	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	1
13Arina SosinovicaS	3	0	0	2	.000	12	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Aven CrosbyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	9	1	0	0	0
17Iris CankoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	22	108	.093	29	1	7	41	1	2	1	53

South Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Olivia BorgmanOH	3	12	3	31	.290	0	0	3	8	0	5	2.5	14.5
13Elise MarchalOPP	3	11	0	20	.550	0	0	0	1	0	6	3	14
7Ava LeahyMB	3	8	0	17	.471	0	0	2	0	0	9	4.5	12.5
5Sydney DavisMB	3	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
10Madisyn CrnjacOH	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	1
20Kiana DinnS	3	0	0	0	–	21	0	2	4	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Ally CavanaughOH	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Ceci VanceOH	3	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
18Lilly GillespieL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	1	2	16	1	0	0	2
19Elizabeth McElveenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32Jillian BohannonS	2	0	0	0	–	10	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
14Kaia PixlerS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	9	101	.347	39	1	11	43	1	28	14	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NOEAST · S CAR 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 NOEASTS CAR 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 NOEASTS CAR 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 NOEASTS CAR 4

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Northeastern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northeastern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	22%2/9
2	40%6/15	22%2/9
3	75%6/8	40%4/10
4	86%6/7	25%2/8
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	36%5/14	33%3/9
All	49%36/73	31%17/55

South Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	57%8/14
2	70%7/10	63%12/19
3	75%6/8	54%7/13
4	75%6/8	0%0/6
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	63%5/8	62%8/13
All	69%38/55	51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	NOEAST-S CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Brynn Smith	+1.1
2	2-0	NOEAST	NOEAST	Ace	NOEAST server	aced Lilly Gillespie	+1.2
3	2-1	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.8
4	3-1	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Sofia King	+0.9
5	3-2	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.8
6	3-3	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Abbie Callaway		+1.1
7	4-3	S CAR	NOEAST	Attack err	Olivia Borgman		+0.9
8	4-4	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.8
9	5-4	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Sofia King	+0.9
10	5-5	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.8
11	6-5	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.9
12	7-5	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+1.4
13	7-6	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.9
14	7-7	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+1.2
15	7-8	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Sydney Davis		+1.1
16	8-8	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.9
17	8-9	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.8
18	8-10	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Sydney Davis		+1.0
19	8-11	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman	blk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis	+0.9
20	9-11	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.6
21	9-12	NOEAST	S CAR×4	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.6
22	9-13	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.7
23	9-14	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+0.5
24	9-15	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy	+0.4
25	10-15	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Sofia King	+0.2
26	11-15	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari		+0.4
27	11-16	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
28	11-17	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.3
29	11-18	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.2
30	12-18	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.1
31	12-19	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.1
32	13-19	S CAR	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh		+0.1
33	14-19	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.2
34	15-19	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.4
35	15-20	NOEAST	S CAR	Attack err	Brynn Smith		+0.3
36	15-21	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.3
37	16-21	S CAR	NOEAST×4	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.1
38	17-21	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Aven Crosby	+0.3
39	18-21	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
40	19-21	NOEAST	NOEAST×4	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh	blk Cayenne Ceman, Kaylin Daniels	+1.0
41	19-22	NOEAST	S CAR	Serve err	NOEAST server		+1.0
42	19-23	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Emma Rowell	blk Sydney Davis, Ceci Vance	+0.8
43	20-23	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
44	21-23	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.8
45	21-24	NOEAST	S CAR	Serve err	NOEAST server		+1.0
46	22-24	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.4
47	22-25	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.9
Set 2
1	0-1	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Brynn Smith	blk Sydney Davis, Olivia Borgman	+0.6
2	0-2	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
3	1-2	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Beatrice Gennari	+0.4
4	2-2	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Sofia King	+0.6
5	2-3	NOEAST	S CAR	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.4
6	2-4	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
7	3-4	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Sofia King	+0.4
8	4-4	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Olivia Borgman		+0.7
9	4-5	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.5
10	5-5	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Sofia King	+0.5
11	5-6	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.5
12	6-6	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
13	6-7	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.5
14	6-8	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Brynn Smith		+0.6
15	7-8	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Brynn Smith	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.5
16	7-9	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
17	7-10	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
18	8-10	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.4
19	8-11	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.4
20	8-12	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Abbie Callaway		+0.5
21	9-12	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Sofia King	+0.3
22	9-13	NOEAST	S CAR×4	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
23	9-14	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Ava Leahy		+0.3
24	9-15	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
25	9-16	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman	blk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy	+0.1
26	10-16	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Sofia King	+0.1
27	11-16	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Valentina Meirelles	set Beatrice Gennari	+0.2
28	11-17	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
29	11-18	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.1
30	11-19	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles		+0.1
31	12-19	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Sofia King	+0.0
32	12-20	NOEAST	S CAR	Attack err	Emma Rowell	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.0
33	13-20	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.0
34	13-21	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.0
35	14-21	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Abbie Callaway	+0.0
36	14-22	NOEAST	S CAR×4	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.0
37	14-23	S CAR	S CAR×4	Bad set	Arina Sosinovica		+0.0
38	14-24	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Brynn Smith	blk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis	+0.0
39	14-25	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kaia Pixler	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	NOEAST	S CAR×4	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
2	0-2	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Lilly Gillespie	set Sofia King	+0.2
3	0-3	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.2
4	0-4	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal	+0.2
5	1-4	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.1
6	1-5	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.1
7	2-5	S CAR	NOEAST×3	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Sofia King	+0.1
8	3-5	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh		+0.2
9	4-5	NOEAST	NOEAST×3	Kill	Kaylin Daniels	set Madisyn Crnjac	+0.3
10	4-6	NOEAST	S CAR	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.2
11	5-6	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.2
12	5-7	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
13	6-7	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.2
14	6-8	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kaia Pixler	+0.2
15	7-8	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Abbie Callaway	set Aven Crosby	+0.2
16	8-8	NOEAST	NOEAST	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.4
17	8-9	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
18	8-10	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
19	9-10	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.2
20	9-11	NOEAST	S CAR	Serve err	NOEAST server		+0.2
21	10-11	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.2
22	10-12	NOEAST	S CAR	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman	blk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal	+0.2
23	11-12	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Cayenne Ceman	set Beatrice Gennari	+0.3
24	11-13	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kaia Pixler	+0.3
25	12-13	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
26	12-14	NOEAST	S CAR	Kill	Madisyn Crnjac	set Kaia Pixler	+0.3
27	13-14	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
28	13-15	NOEAST	S CAR	Attack err	Abbie Callaway	blk Sydney Davis, Ally Cavanaugh	+0.3
29	13-16	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman		+0.3
30	14-16	S CAR	NOEAST	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.2
31	15-16	NOEAST	NOEAST	Kill	Emma Rowell	set Arina Sosinovica	+0.4
32	15-17	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
33	15-18	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Emma Rowell		+0.4
34	15-19	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
35	16-19	S CAR	NOEAST	Attack err	Olivia Borgman		+0.1
36	16-20	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
37	16-21	S CAR	S CAR×3	Ace	S CAR server	aced Aven Crosby	+0.2
38	16-22	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.1
39	17-22	S CAR	NOEAST	Kill	Beatrice Gennari	set Sofia King	+0.0
40	17-23	NOEAST	S CAR×3	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
41	17-24	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Cayenne Ceman	blk Kiana Dinn, Ava Leahy	+0.0
42	17-25	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Valentina Meirelles	blk Olivia Borgman, Ava Leahy	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Northeastern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.