Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

ETSU def. South Carolina 3–2

ETSU beat visiting South Carolina 3-2 (25-27, 25-20, 26-24, 23-25, 17-15) on Tue, Sep 15, 2026. ETSU's Sophia Davis led with 16 kills, and Makayla Bays added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 15

Set12345Sets
S CAR27202425152
ETSU25252623173

Win probability

ETSU above 50 · South Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+30.2% ETSUrally 227 · set 5

Biggest swing: 30.2% to ETSU — set 5, S CAR 15-17 ETSU. Kill by Bailey Gohlke (set by Makayla Bays). ETSU win probability 70% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S CAR 68.1%31.9% ETSU

South Carolina wins

3-0
21.9%
3-1
26.1%
3-2
20.0%

ETSU wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.3%
3-2
14.4%
S CAR break %
43.3% vs this opp
ETSU break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bailey GohlkeKill+30.2%

    Kill by Bailey Gohlke (set by Makayla Bays)

    Set 5 · S CAR 15-17 ETSU · ETSU 70% → 100%

  2. 02
    Ava LeahyAttack error+27.7%

    Attack error by Ava Leahy

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-15 ETSU · ETSU 42% → 70%

  3. 03

    Olivia Borgman stuffed by Gianna Blair & Sophia Davis

    Set 5 · S CAR 14-14 ETSU · ETSU 17% → 42%

  4. 04
    Ava LeahyKill+19.9%

    Kill by Ava Leahy (set by Kiana Dinn)

    Set 5 · S CAR 15-15 ETSU · S CAR 30% → 50%

  5. 05
    Sophia DavisKill+19.9%

    Kill by Sophia Davis (set by Alex Kreutzmann)

    Set 5 · S CAR 15-16 ETSU · ETSU 50% → 70%

  6. 06
    Jillian BohannonAttack error+14.6%

    Attack error by Jillian Bohannon

    Set 3 · S CAR 24-26 ETSU · ETSU 51% → 65%

  7. 07
    Makayla BaysAttack error+14.2%

    Attack error by Makayla Bays

    Set 5 · S CAR 12-10 ETSU · S CAR 68% → 82%

  8. 08
    Olivia BorgmanKill+13.8%

    Kill by Olivia Borgman (set by Jillian Bohannon)

    Set 3 · S CAR 24-24 ETSU · S CAR 45% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151049.10222013200017
512529.2410103022316
510422.27300011014313
56117.29400000376.512.5
5001.00043011300211
2000–100220000
5151041.12200211202116
5000–1121900001
5000–001110000
33111.18200000010.53.5
3011-1.0001210500001
1000–000000000
Team totals6132171.170595678961815111
ETSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516232.43800030031.517.5
5111139.00024415110116
512736.139001101010.512.5
58428.14303180031.512.5
57519.105000100218
51011.0002502600001
511325.32000000153.514.5
5011-1.00031111000001
5000–5121220001
5000–000000000
3207.286000100002
1000–000000000
Team totals6833188.186639116652149116

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S CAR · ETSU 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 5 S CARETSU 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 S CARETSU 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 S CARETSU 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 S CARETSU 3

Set 5

15-17

Longest run 3 S CARETSU 4

Bars above the line = ETSU leads, below = South Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%14/23
15%2/13
2
65%13/20
53%16/30
3
44%12/27
25%4/16
4
71%10/14
35%6/17
5
60%9/15
50%10/20
6
53%9/17
40%6/15
All
58%67/116
40%44/111

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%14/22
40%8/20
2
58%14/24
30%6/20
3
73%11/15
55%16/29
4
48%10/21
41%7/17
5
53%9/17
31%4/13
6
75%9/12
47%8/17
All
60%67/111
42%49/116

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

227 rallies

#S CAR-ETSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Madisyn Crnjac+1.6
21-1S CARETSU×3KillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+1.6
31-2ETSUETSU×3Attack errElise Marchal+2.4
41-3ETSUETSU×3AceETSUaced Olivia Borgman+2.5
52-3ETSUS CARServe errETSU+1.7
62-4S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.8
72-5ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Madisyn Crnjac+2.6
83-5ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+1.7
93-6S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
104-6ETSUS CAR×5KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+1.7
115-6S CARS CAR×5KillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+2.5
126-6S CARS CAR×5AceSouth Carolinaaced Makayla Bays+2.6
137-6S CARS CAR×5BlockedGianna Blairblk Ella Grivna, Ceci Vance+2.6
148-6S CARS CAR×5BlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Ella Grivna, Kiana Dinn+2.4
158-7S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+1.7
169-7ETSUS CAR×5KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+1.8
1710-7S CARS CAR×5BlockedSophia Davisblk Elise Marchal, Ella Grivna+2.3
1811-7S CARS CAR×5BlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Ceci Vance, Ella Grivna+2.0
1912-7S CARS CAR×5BlockedSophia Davisblk Ella Grivna+1.6
2013-7S CARS CAR×5Bad setEmma MacFerran+1.3
2113-8S CARETSUKillChloe Smithset Bailey Gohlke+0.7
2214-8ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+0.9
2314-9S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Kiana Dinn+0.7
2414-10ETSUETSUKillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+1.3
2515-10ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.2
2615-11S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+0.9
2716-11ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+1.2
2816-12S CARETSU×4KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+0.9
2916-13ETSUETSU×4Attack errAva Leahy+1.8
3016-14ETSUETSU×4AceETSUaced Madisyn Crnjac+2.4
3116-15ETSUETSU×4BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Gianna Blair, Elizabeth Aylward+3.0
3217-15ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.4
3317-16S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.3
3418-16ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.6
3518-17S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
3619-17ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.7
3719-18S CARETSU×5Bad setLilly Gillespie+2.5
3819-19ETSUETSU×5Attack errCeci Vance+4.4
3919-20ETSUETSU×5KillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+5.1
4019-21ETSUETSU×5Attack errElise Marchal+5.3
4119-22ETSUETSU×5Attack errCeci Vance+4.6
4220-22ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.1
4321-22S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+4.5
4421-23S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+4.7
4522-23ETSUS CAR×3KillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+3.2
4623-23S CARS CAR×3Attack errElizabeth Aylward+7.3
4724-23S CARS CAR×3Attack errMakayla Bays+9.1
4824-24S CARETSUServe errSouth Carolina+6.4
4925-24ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+6.4
5025-25S CARETSUBlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair+6.4
5126-25ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+6.4
5227-25S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+8.3
Set 2
10-1S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
21-1ETSUS CAR×5KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+1.4
32-1S CARS CAR×5BlockedGianna Blairblk Ava Leahy+1.9
43-1S CARS CAR×5Attack errKaris Chatfield+1.8
54-1S CARS CAR×5BlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+1.7
65-1S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+1.5
75-2S CARETSUServe errSouth Carolina+1.0
85-3ETSUETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.6
96-3ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+1.2
106-4S CARETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+1.2
116-5ETSUETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+1.9
126-6ETSUETSU×3Attack errOlivia Borgman+2.1
137-6ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+1.5
147-7S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+1.6
158-7ETSUS CAR×4BlockedMakayla Baysblk Kiana Dinn, Ava Leahy+1.6
169-7S CARS CAR×4KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+2.1
1710-7S CARS CAR×4Attack errMakayla Bays+1.9
1811-7S CARS CAR×4KillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+1.7
1911-8S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+1.0
2011-9ETSUETSUAttack errCeci Vance+1.8
2112-9ETSUS CARKillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+1.4
2212-10S CARETSUKillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+1.3
2313-10ETSUS CARAttack errGianna Blair+1.5
2413-11S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
2514-11ETSUS CARBlockedMakayla Baysblk Ella Grivna+1.5
2614-12S CARETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
2714-13ETSUETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
2814-14ETSUETSU×3AceETSU+2.8
2915-14ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+2.0
3015-15S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
3116-15ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+2.1
3216-16S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.2
3317-16ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+2.3
3417-17S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.3
3518-17ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+2.4
3618-18S CARETSU×3Serve errSouth Carolina+2.5
3718-19ETSUETSU×3Attack errCeci Vance+4.0
3818-20ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+4.1
3919-20ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+2.4
4019-21S CARETSU×4KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+3.2
4119-22ETSUETSU×4KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+3.9
4219-23ETSUETSU×4Attack errOlivia Borgman+2.6
4319-24ETSUETSU×4KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.3
4420-24ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.2
4520-25S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+0.5
Set 3
10-1ETSUETSUBlockedCeci Vanceblk Emma MacFerran, Elizabeth Aylward+3.3
21-1ETSUS CAR×3Serve errETSU+2.3
32-1S CARS CAR×3Attack errMakayla Bays+3.2
43-1S CARS CAR×3BlockedEmma MacFerranblk Ava Leahy+3.0
53-2S CARETSUKillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+2.1
64-2ETSUS CARAttack errMakayla Bays+2.2
75-2S CARS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+2.8
85-3S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+1.9
96-3ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.0
106-4S CARETSUAttack errAva Leahy+2.0
116-5ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Elizabeth McElveen+3.1
127-5ETSUS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Olivia Borgman+2.3
137-6S CARETSUAttack errOlivia Borgman+2.3
147-7ETSUETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+3.6
158-7ETSUS CARBlockedEmma MacFerranblk Ella Grivna+2.6
169-7S CARS CARAttack errKaris Chatfield+3.5
179-8S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
189-9ETSUETSUBlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Emma MacFerran, Sophia Davis+3.8
1910-9ETSUS CARKillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+2.8
2010-10S CARETSUBlockedElise Marchalblk Makayla Bays+2.9
2111-10ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+2.9
2211-11S CARETSUKillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+3.0
2312-11ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+3.0
2412-12S CARETSU×3Attack errCeci Vance+3.1
2512-13ETSUETSU×3AceETSUaced Ceci Vance+4.7
2612-14ETSUETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+4.8
2713-14ETSUS CARServe errETSU+3.1
2814-14S CARS CARAttack errElizabeth Aylward+4.8
2914-15S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+3.7
3015-15ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+3.5
3115-16S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+3.9
3215-17ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+5.6
3316-17ETSUS CARKillElla Grivnaset Jillian Bohannon+3.5
3416-18S CARETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+4.2
3517-18ETSUS CARAttack errEmma MacFerran+3.7
3617-19S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+4.5
3718-19ETSUS CARServe errETSU+3.8
3819-19S CARS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+6.4
3919-20S CARETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+5.1
4020-20ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+4.9
4120-21S CARETSU×3KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+5.7
4220-22ETSUETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylward+8.1
4320-23ETSUETSU×3Attack errCeci Vance+6.7
4421-23ETSUS CARServe errETSU+2.6
4521-24S CARETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+4.9
4622-24ETSUS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+1.8
4723-24S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+6.0
4824-24S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+13.8
4924-25S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+9.7
5024-26ETSUETSUAttack errJillian Bohannon+14.6
Set 4
10-1S CARETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+2.8
21-1ETSUS CAR×3KillElla Grivnaset Kiana Dinn+2.7
32-1S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+3.8
43-1S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+3.6
53-2S CARETSUBlockedElise Marchalblk Gianna Blair, Karis Chatfield+2.5
64-2ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+2.6
75-2S CARS CARAttack errAlex Kreutzmann+3.4
85-3S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.3
95-4ETSUETSUAttack errOlivia Borgman+3.7
106-4ETSUS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+2.7
117-4S CARS CAR×4AceSouth Carolinaaced Karis Chatfield+3.6
128-4S CARS CAR×4AceSouth Carolinaaced Melanie Morris+3.1
139-4S CARS CAR×4KillAlly Cavanaugh+2.6
149-5S CARETSUAttack errCeci Vance+1.6
1510-5ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+1.9
1610-6S CARETSU×3Serve errSouth Carolina+1.6
1710-7ETSUETSU×3AceETSUaced Olivia Borgman+2.9
1810-8ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+3.5
1911-8ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+2.8
2011-9S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+2.6
2112-9ETSUS CARBlockedMakayla Baysblk Ella Grivna, Elise Marchal+2.8
2212-10S CARETSUServe errSouth Carolina+2.6
2312-11ETSUETSUAceETSU+4.4
2413-11ETSUS CARBlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Elise Marchal, Ella Grivna+3.4
2514-11S CARS CARAceSouth Carolina+4.3
2614-12S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+2.8
2715-12ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+3.1
2816-12S CARS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Olivia Borgman+3.7
2916-13S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.1
3016-14ETSUETSUAttack errAva Leahy+4.0
3117-14ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+3.4
3218-14S CARS CARAttack errEmma MacFerran+3.8
3318-15S CARETSUKillEmma MacFerranset Bailey Gohlke+2.1
3418-16ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+4.1
3519-16ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+3.6
3619-17S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+3.0
3720-17ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+3.8
3821-17S CARS CARAttack errElizabeth Aylward+3.9
3921-18S CARETSUKillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
4021-19ETSUETSUAttack errCeci Vance+4.1
4122-19ETSUS CARKillCeci Vanceset Kiana Dinn+4.1
4222-20S CARETSUKillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+2.8
4323-20ETSUS CARAttack errKaris Chatfield+4.3
4424-20S CARS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+3.2
4524-21S CARETSU×3KillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+0.7
4624-22ETSUETSU×3AceETSUaced Ceci Vance+2.3
4724-23ETSUETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Makayla Bays+5.9
4825-23ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+11.0
Set 5
10-1ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+8.9
21-1ETSUS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+6.1
32-1S CARS CAR×3Attack errElizabeth Aylward+8.7
43-1S CARS CAR×3Attack errMakayla Bays+8.3
53-2S CARETSUAttack errOlivia Borgman+5.7
64-2ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+6.0
74-3S CARETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+5.8
85-3ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Jillian Bohannon+6.3
95-4S CARETSUBlockedAlly Cavanaughblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+6.1
105-5ETSUETSUKillEmma MacFerran+10.0
116-5ETSUS CARServe errETSU+7.3
127-5S CARS CARAttack errEmma MacFerran+9.9
137-6S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+6.5
148-6ETSUS CARBlockedMakayla Baysblk Ally Cavanaugh, Ella Grivna+7.3
158-7S CARETSUAttack errCeci Vance+6.8
169-7ETSUS CARBlockedMakayla Baysblk Elise Marchal+7.8
1710-7S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+9.3
1810-8S CARETSU×3Serve errSouth Carolina+5.2
1910-9ETSUETSU×3Attack errOlivia Borgman+10.3
2010-10ETSUETSU×3BlockedElla Grivnablk Gianna Blair+13.7
2111-10ETSUS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+10.8
2212-10S CARS CARAttack errMakayla Bays+14.2
2312-11S CARETSUAttack errAva Leahy+8.1
2413-11ETSUS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+11.2
2514-11S CARS CARAceSouth Carolinaaced Melanie Morris+10.6
2614-12S CARETSU×4KillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+2.9
2714-13ETSUETSU×4KillGianna Blairset Alex Kreutzmann+10.1
2814-14ETSUETSU×4BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+25.4
2914-15ETSUETSU×4Attack errAva Leahy+27.7
3015-15ETSUS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+19.9
3115-16S CARETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+19.9
3215-17ETSUETSUKillBailey Gohlkeset Makayla Bays+30.2

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).