South Carolina def. Virginia Tech 3–0
(25-10, 25-18, 25-18)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 10 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| S CAR | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 0.9% to Virginia Tech — set 2, VT 17-17 S CAR. Attack error by Ceci Vance. S CAR win probability 98% → 97%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Virginia Tech wins
South Carolina wins
- VT break %
- 33.7% vs this opp
- S CAR break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Elise MarchalKill+0.8%
Kill by Elise Marchal (set by Kiana Dinn)
Set 2 · VT 17-19 S CAR · S CAR 97% → 98%
- 03Isabela LopezKill+0.7%
Kill by Isabela Lopez (set by Courtney Burgess)
Set 2 · VT 13-13 S CAR · VT 2% → 3%
- 04
- 05Elise MarchalKill+0.6%
Kill by Elise Marchal (set by Kiana Dinn)
Set 2 · VT 17-18 S CAR · S CAR 97% → 97%
- 06S CAR serverAce+0.6%
South Carolina ace on Paloma Zubiri
Set 2 · VT 17-20 S CAR · S CAR 98% → 99%
- 07VT serverAce+0.6%
Virginia Tech ace on Olivia Borgman
Set 2 · VT 2-0 S CAR · VT 3% → 3%
- 08Paloma ZubiriKill+0.5%
Kill by Paloma Zubiri (set by Courtney Burgess)
Set 2 · VT 15-15 S CAR · VT 3% → 3%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 17 | .412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 30 | .033 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | .118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | .267 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 31 | 23 | 115 | .070 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 46 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 0 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 17 | .294 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 | .120 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 23 | .217 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 17 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 10 | 97 | .268 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
10-25
Set 2
18-25
Set 3
18-25
Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Virginia Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Virginia Tech
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%7/16 | 14%1/7 |
| 2 | 43%6/14 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 4 | 50%5/10 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 33%4/12 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 45%33/73 | 27%13/48 |
South Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 78%7/9 | 62%8/13 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 65%11/17 |
| 3 | 67%6/9 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 63%5/8 | 38%3/8 |
| 6 | 83%5/6 | 62%8/13 |
| All | 73%35/48 | 55%40/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
121 rallies
Rally log
| # | VT-S CAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | VT | S CAR×4 | Serve err | VT server | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | S CAR | S CAR×4 | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.5 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | S CAR | S CAR×4 | Kill | Olivia Borgman | set Kiana Dinn | +0.4 |
| 4 | 0-4 | S CAR | S CAR×4 | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.3 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.2 |
| 6 | 1-5 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Kiana Dinn | +0.2 |
| 7 | 2-5 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.2 |
| 8 | 2-6 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ally Cavanaugh | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | S CAR | VT | Serve err | S CAR server | +0.2 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | S CAR | VT | Serve err | S CAR server | +0.2 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | VT | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Ivy Cooper | +0.5 |
| 13 | 5-8 | VT | S CAR×5 | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.3 |
| 14 | 5-9 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Sara Letizia Gasparini | +0.4 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Sara Letizia Gasparini | +0.3 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Ceci Vance | +0.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Frances Torres | blk Sydney Davis, Ceci Vance | +0.1 |
| 18 | 6-12 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Ceci Vance | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | VT | S CAR×5 | Serve err | VT server | +0.1 | |
| 20 | 6-14 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Olivia Borgman | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 6-15 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Ace | S CAR server | aced Ivy Cooper | +0.0 |
| 22 | 6-16 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Olivia Borgman | set Kiana Dinn | +0.0 |
| 23 | 6-17 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Kiana Dinn | +0.0 |
| 24 | 7-17 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Olivia Borgman | blk Frances Torres, Layla Moore | +0.0 |
| 25 | 7-18 | VT | S CAR | Attack err | Destiny Walker | blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal | +0.0 |
| 26 | 7-19 | S CAR | S CAR | Ace | S CAR server | aced Sara Letizia Gasparini | +0.0 |
| 27 | 8-19 | S CAR | VT | Serve err | S CAR server | +0.0 | |
| 28 | 8-20 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Adeline Hundl | +0.0 |
| 29 | 9-20 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 30 | 9-21 | VT | S CAR×3 | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 31 | 9-22 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Kill | Ally Cavanaugh | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 32 | 9-23 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Ace | S CAR server | aced Isabella Mishler | +0.0 |
| 33 | 10-23 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 34 | 10-24 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 35 | 10-25 | S CAR | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Elise Marchal | blk Destiny Walker, Isabella Mishler | +0.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | VT | VT | Ace | VT server | aced Olivia Borgman | +0.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Sydney Davis | set Kiana Dinn | +0.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Ivy Cooper | +0.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | VT | S CAR×3 | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Kiana Dinn | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Ace | S CAR server | aced Destiny Walker | +0.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Frances Torres | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | VT | S CAR×3 | Bad set | Courtney Burgess | +0.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.4 |
| 11 | 4-7 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Ace | S CAR server | aced Team | +0.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | S CAR | VT | Serve err | S CAR server | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | VT | S CAR | Serve err | VT server | +0.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Ally Cavanaugh | blk Destiny Walker, Layla Moore | +0.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | VT | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Courtney Burgess | +0.4 |
| 16 | 7-9 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | S CAR | S CAR | Attack err | Isabela Lopez | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Ivy Cooper | +0.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | VT | S CAR | Attack err | Isabella Mishler | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | VT | VT | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.5 |
| 22 | 10-12 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Sydney Davis | set Kiana Dinn | +0.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Kiana Dinn | +0.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Olivia Borgman | blk Layla Moore, Frances Torres | +0.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | VT | VT | Kill | Isabela Lopez | set Courtney Burgess | +0.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Courtney Burgess | +0.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Courtney Burgess | +0.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | S CAR | S CAR | Bad set | Courtney Burgess | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Courtney Burgess | +0.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | VT | VT | Attack err | Ceci Vance | +0.9 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | VT | S CAR×3 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Kiana Dinn | +0.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Kiana Dinn | +0.8 |
| 37 | 17-20 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Ace | S CAR server | aced Paloma Zubiri | +0.6 |
| 38 | 18-20 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.3 |
| 39 | 18-21 | VT | S CAR×5 | Serve err | VT server | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Frances Torres | +0.4 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Paloma Zubiri | +0.2 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Isabella Mishler | blk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal | +0.0 |
| 43 | 18-25 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Paloma Zubiri | blk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | VT | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal | +0.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Isabella Mishler | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Ivy Cooper | +0.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | VT | VT | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Kiana Dinn | +0.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | VT | S CAR×5 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Kiana Dinn | +0.1 |
| 7 | 2-5 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Olivia Borgman | set Lilly Gillespie | +0.1 |
| 8 | 2-6 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.1 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.1 |
| 10 | 2-8 | S CAR | S CAR×5 | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.1 |
| 11 | 3-8 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 12 | 3-9 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 13 | 4-9 | S CAR | VT×3 | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Ivy Cooper | +0.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | VT | VT×3 | Attack err | Ceci Vance | +0.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Layla Moore | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.1 |
| 17 | 6-11 | S CAR | S CAR | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +0.1 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | S CAR | VT | Attack err | Ceci Vance | blk Frances Torres, Layla Moore | +0.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | VT | VT | Attack err | Ceci Vance | blk Frances Torres, Layla Moore | +0.1 |
| 20 | 8-12 | VT | S CAR×3 | Serve err | VT server | +0.1 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal | +0.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Layla Moore | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Courtney Burgess | +0.0 |
| 24 | 9-15 | VT | S CAR×3 | Kill | Elise Marchal | set Kiana Dinn | +0.0 |
| 25 | 9-16 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Attack err | Frances Torres | blk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis | +0.0 |
| 26 | 9-17 | S CAR | S CAR×3 | Kill | Olivia Borgman | set Elise Marchal | +0.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Courtney Burgess | +0.0 |
| 28 | 10-18 | VT | S CAR | Serve err | VT server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | S CAR | S CAR | Ace | S CAR server | aced Paloma Zubiri | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 31 | 12-19 | VT | VT | Attack err | Elise Marchal | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | VT | S CAR | Attack err | Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | S CAR | VT×3 | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 34 | 14-20 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Paloma Zubiri | +0.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Isabella Mishler | +0.0 |
| 36 | 15-21 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ava Leahy | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Paloma Zubiri | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ally Cavanaugh | set Jillian Bohannon | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | S CAR | S CAR | Attack err | Layla Moore | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Courtney Burgess | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | VT | S CAR | Serve err | VT server | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | S CAR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Courtney Burgess | +0.0 |
| 43 | 18-25 | VT | S CAR | Kill | Ceci Vance | set Sydney Davis | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Virginia Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.