CollegeVolleyball
FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

South Carolina def. Virginia Tech 30

(25-10, 25-18, 25-18)
Set123Sets
VT1018180
S CAR2525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S CAR above 50 · VT below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100S CARVTBiggest swing +0.9% VT · S2 17-17rally 121 · set 3

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Virginia Tech — set 2, VT 17-17 S CAR. Attack error by Ceci Vance. S CAR win probability 98%97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

VT 5.1%94.9% S CAR

Virginia Tech wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.1%

South Carolina wins

3-0
55.2%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
10.0%
VT break %
33.7% vs this opp
S CAR break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Ceci VanceAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Ceci Vance

    Set 2 · VT 17-17 S CAR · VT 2%3%

  2. 02
    Elise MarchalKill+0.8%

    Kill by Elise Marchal (set by Kiana Dinn)

    Set 2 · VT 17-19 S CAR · S CAR 97%98%

  3. 03
    Isabela LopezKill+0.7%

    Kill by Isabela Lopez (set by Courtney Burgess)

    Set 2 · VT 13-13 S CAR · VT 2%3%

  4. 04
    Courtney BurgessBad set+0.7%

    Bad set by Courtney Burgess

    Set 2 · VT 15-17 S CAR · S CAR 97%98%

  5. 05
    Elise MarchalKill+0.6%

    Kill by Elise Marchal (set by Kiana Dinn)

    Set 2 · VT 17-18 S CAR · S CAR 97%97%

  6. 06
    S CAR serverAce+0.6%

    South Carolina ace on Paloma Zubiri

    Set 2 · VT 17-20 S CAR · S CAR 98%99%

  7. 07
    VT serverAce+0.6%

    Virginia Tech ace on Olivia Borgman

    Set 2 · VT 2-0 S CAR · VT 3%3%

  8. 08
    Paloma ZubiriKill+0.5%

    Kill by Paloma Zubiri (set by Courtney Burgess)

    Set 2 · VT 15-15 S CAR · VT 3%3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310317.41200021010.510.5
35430.0330111010217
3128-.12500000052.53.5
3011-1.0001301800000
22418-.111000200002
1026-.333001210000
36417.118000200428
30003011310000
26215.267103120006
2000800000000
1113.000000000001
1000000200000
Team totals3123115.0702517427012646
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39018.5000012002110
37217.29410030052.59.5
35225.12002261010.57.5
3205.40010000052.54.5
3001.0000201000002
30001200700000
310523.21710010010.510.5
3318.250000200003
30001211800002
30001710700001
1000000100000
1000000000000
Team totals361097.2683374571014775

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 VT · S CAR 5

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 2 VTS CAR 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 VTS CAR 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 VTS CAR 5

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Virginia Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Virginia Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
14%1/7
2
43%6/14
36%4/11
3
60%6/10
25%2/8
4
50%5/10
33%3/9
5
45%5/11
29%2/7
6
33%4/12
17%1/6
All
45%33/73
27%13/48

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
62%8/13
2
75%6/8
65%11/17
3
67%6/9
50%6/12
4
75%6/8
40%4/10
5
63%5/8
38%3/8
6
83%5/6
62%8/13
All
73%35/48
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

121 rallies

Rally log

#VT-S CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1VTS CAR×4Serve errVT server+0.4
20-2S CARS CAR×4Attack errAdeline Hundl+0.5
30-3S CARS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.4
40-4S CARS CAR×4Attack errAdeline Hundl+0.3
51-4S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.2
61-5VTS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.2
72-5S CARVTKillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+0.2
82-6VTS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Jillian Bohannon+0.2
93-6S CARVTServe errS CAR server+0.2
103-7VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.2
114-7S CARVTServe errS CAR server+0.2
125-7VTVTKillFrances Torresset Ivy Cooper+0.5
135-8VTS CAR×5KillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.3
145-9S CARS CAR×5Attack errSara Letizia Gasparini+0.4
155-10S CARS CAR×5Attack errSara Letizia Gasparini+0.3
165-11S CARS CAR×5KillElise Marchalset Ceci Vance+0.2
175-12S CARS CAR×5Attack errFrances Torresblk Sydney Davis, Ceci Vance+0.1
186-12S CARVTAttack errCeci Vance+0.1
196-13VTS CAR×5Serve errVT server+0.1
206-14S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgman+0.1
216-15S CARS CAR×5AceS CAR serveraced Ivy Cooper+0.0
226-16S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.0
236-17S CARS CAR×5KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.0
247-17S CARVTAttack errOlivia Borgmanblk Frances Torres, Layla Moore+0.0
257-18VTS CARAttack errDestiny Walkerblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.0
267-19S CARS CARAceS CAR serveraced Sara Letizia Gasparini+0.0
278-19S CARVTServe errS CAR server+0.0
288-20VTS CARKillElise Marchalset Adeline Hundl+0.0
299-20S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
309-21VTS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
319-22S CARS CAR×3KillAlly Cavanaughset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
329-23S CARS CAR×3AceS CAR serveraced Isabella Mishler+0.0
3310-23S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
3410-24VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
3510-25S CARS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
Set 2
11-0S CARVTAttack errElise Marchalblk Destiny Walker, Isabella Mishler+0.3
22-0VTVTAceVT serveraced Olivia Borgman+0.6
32-1VTS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+0.3
43-1S CARVTKillDestiny Walkerset Ivy Cooper+0.4
53-2VTS CAR×3KillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.3
63-3S CARS CAR×3AceS CAR serveraced Destiny Walker+0.5
73-4S CARS CAR×3Attack errFrances Torres+0.4
84-4S CARVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+0.3
94-5VTS CAR×3Bad setCourtney Burgess+0.3
104-6S CARS CAR×3KillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.4
114-7S CARS CAR×3AceS CAR serveraced Team+0.3
125-7S CARVTServe errS CAR server+0.2
135-8VTS CARServe errVT server+0.2
146-8S CARVTAttack errAlly Cavanaughblk Destiny Walker, Layla Moore+0.2
157-8VTVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Courtney Burgess+0.4
167-9VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.3
177-10S CARS CARAttack errIsabela Lopez+0.4
188-10S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Ivy Cooper+0.2
198-11VTS CARAttack errIsabella Mishler+0.2
209-11S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.2
2110-11VTVTKillPaloma Zubiriset Camilla Brandalise+0.5
2210-12VTS CARKillSydney Davisset Kiana Dinn+0.3
2311-12S CARVTKillFrances Torresset Camilla Brandalise+0.3
2411-13VTS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn+0.3
2512-13S CARVTAttack errOlivia Borgmanblk Layla Moore, Frances Torres+0.4
2613-13VTVTKillIsabela Lopezset Courtney Burgess+0.7
2713-14VTS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.4
2814-14S CARVTKillPaloma Zubiriset Courtney Burgess+0.5
2914-15VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.5
3015-15S CARVTKillPaloma Zubiriset Courtney Burgess+0.5
3115-16VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.5
3215-17S CARS CARBad setCourtney Burgess+0.7
3316-17S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Courtney Burgess+0.4
3417-17VTVTAttack errCeci Vance+0.9
3517-18VTS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.6
3617-19S CARS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.8
3717-20S CARS CAR×3AceS CAR serveraced Paloma Zubiri+0.6
3818-20S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.3
3918-21VTS CAR×5Serve errVT server+0.4
4018-22S CARS CAR×5Attack errFrances Torres+0.4
4118-23S CARS CAR×5Attack errPaloma Zubiri+0.2
4218-24S CARS CAR×5Attack errIsabella Mishlerblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+0.0
4318-25S CARS CAR×5Attack errPaloma Zubiriblk Elise Marchal, Ava Leahy+0.0
Set 3
10-1VTS CAR×3Attack errDestiny Walkerblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.1
20-2S CARS CAR×3Attack errIsabella Mishler+0.2
30-3S CARS CAR×3Attack errAdeline Hundl+0.1
41-3S CARVTKillDestiny Walkerset Ivy Cooper+0.1
52-3VTVTKillPaloma Zubiriset Kiana Dinn+0.2
62-4VTS CAR×5KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.1
72-5S CARS CAR×5KillOlivia Borgmanset Lilly Gillespie+0.1
82-6S CARS CAR×5Attack errAdeline Hundl+0.1
92-7S CARS CAR×5KillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.1
102-8S CARS CAR×5KillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.1
113-8S CARVTKillAdeline Hundlset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
123-9VTS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
134-9S CARVT×3KillAdeline Hundlset Ivy Cooper+0.0
145-9VTVT×3Attack errCeci Vance+0.1
156-9VTVT×3KillLayla Moore+0.1
166-10VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Jillian Bohannon+0.1
176-11S CARS CARAttack errDestiny Walker+0.1
187-11S CARVTAttack errCeci Vanceblk Frances Torres, Layla Moore+0.1
198-11VTVTAttack errCeci Vanceblk Frances Torres, Layla Moore+0.1
208-12VTS CAR×3Serve errVT server+0.1
218-13S CARS CAR×3Attack errDestiny Walkerblk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal+0.1
228-14S CARS CAR×3Attack errLayla Moore+0.1
239-14S CARVTKillFrances Torresset Courtney Burgess+0.0
249-15VTS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.0
259-16S CARS CAR×3Attack errFrances Torresblk Olivia Borgman, Sydney Davis+0.0
269-17S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Elise Marchal+0.0
2710-17S CARVTKillIsabella Mishlerset Courtney Burgess+0.0
2810-18VTS CARServe errVT server+0.0
2910-19S CARS CARAceS CAR serveraced Paloma Zubiri+0.0
3011-19S CARVTKillDestiny Walkerset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
3112-19VTVTAttack errElise Marchal+0.0
3212-20VTS CARAttack errCamilla Brandalise+0.0
3313-20S CARVT×3KillIsabella Mishlerset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
3414-20VTVT×3KillDestiny Walkerset Paloma Zubiri+0.0
3515-20VTVT×3KillPaloma Zubiriset Isabella Mishler+0.0
3615-21VTS CARKillAva Leahyset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
3716-21S CARVTKillPaloma Zubiriset Camilla Brandalise+0.0
3816-22VTS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Jillian Bohannon+0.0
3916-23S CARS CARAttack errLayla Moore+0.0
4017-23S CARVTKillFrances Torresset Courtney Burgess+0.0
4117-24VTS CARServe errVT server+0.0
4218-24S CARVTKillFrances Torresset Courtney Burgess+0.0
4318-25VTS CARKillCeci Vanceset Sydney Davis+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Virginia Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.