Missouri vs South Carolina Volleyball: Missouri Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026SECN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri 75.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri won at South Carolina 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Missouri's Paige Felder led with 14 kills, and Ainoah Cruz added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MIZZOU	25	25	25	3
S CAR	20	17	13	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.414 and 14 kills for Paige Felder as Missouri rolled past South Carolina.

Win probability never moved more than 2.7 points on one rally; South Carolina topped out at 27% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Missouri at 75%.

MissouriSouth Carolina

Break %+24.5 pts
50.025.5
37 of 74 on serve vs 13 of 51, so South Carolina's sideout was 50.0%.
Hitting+.181
.287.106
Kills and errors: 45–16 vs 30–20.
Longest run+2
64
6 straight Missouri points in the third set turned a 3–5 deficit into a 9–5 lead. Final score of the set: 25–13.

South Carolina above 50Missouri belowMax swing 2.7%

MissouriSouth Carolina

Aces: Missouri 1·South Carolina 1
Serve err: Missouri 1·South Carolina 8
Blocks: Missouri 11·South Carolina 70 BS · 22 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Missouri 43·South Carolina 31

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Carolina above 50 · Missouri below

Biggest swing: 2.7% to South Carolina — set 1, MIZZOU 16-15 S CAR. Bad set by Kimani Johnson. S CAR win probability 20% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIZZOU 83.4%16.6% S CAR

Missouri wins

3-0

35.2%

3-1

31.0%

3-2

17.2%

South Carolina wins

3-0

2.5%

3-1

5.4%

3-2

8.7%

MIZZOU break %: 45.0% vs this opp
S CAR break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kimani JohnsonBad set+2.7%
Bad set by Kimani Johnson
Set 1 · MIZZOU 16-15 S CAR · S CAR 20% → 22%
02
Paige FelderKill+2.6%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Eva Smith)
Set 1 · MIZZOU 19-16 S CAR · MIZZOU 80% → 82%
03
Sierra DudleyAce+2.3%
Ace by Sierra Dudley
Set 1 · MIZZOU 11-9 S CAR · MIZZOU 77% → 79%
04
Ava LeahyKill+2.3%
Kill by Ava Leahy
Set 1 · MIZZOU 3-4 S CAR · S CAR 25% → 27%
05
Ava LeahyAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Ava Leahy
Set 1 · MIZZOU 18-16 S CAR · MIZZOU 78% → 80%
06
Lauren Larkin&Grace O'ReillyBlock+2.2%
Ceci Vance stuffed by Lauren Larkin & Grace O'Reilly
Set 1 · MIZZOU 6-5 S CAR · MIZZOU 75% → 77%
07
Kimani JohnsonKill+2.1%
Kill by Kimani Johnson (set by Nina Mandovic)
Set 1 · MIZZOU 17-15 S CAR · MIZZOU 78% → 80%
08
Ava LeahyAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Ava Leahy
Set 1 · MIZZOU 12-9 S CAR · MIZZOU 79% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Missouriaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	3	14	2	29	.414	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	14.5
11Eva SmithMB	3	10	1	18	.500	1	0	0	0	0	9	4.5	14.5
7Kimani JohnsonOH	3	8	5	20	.150	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	10
12Lauren LarkinMB	3	6	4	15	.133	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	7
0Nina MandovicS	3	0	0	0	–	20	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
40Grace O'ReillyOH	3	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	7
2Sierra DudleyS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
4Ainoah CruzDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	14	0	0	0	0
21Lydia StahleyOH	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Maizy AgnelloOH	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
Team totals		45	16	101	.287	40	1	1	43	1	22	11	75

South Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Olivia BorgmanOH	3	12	4	28	.286	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
7Ava LeahyMB	3	5	6	16	-.063	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
13Elise MarchalOPP	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
11Ella GrivnaMB	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2
19Elizabeth McElveenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
20Kiana DinnS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Ally CavanaughOH	3	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
18Lilly GillespieL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
6Sydney FloydS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Madisyn CrnjacOH	2	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Ceci VanceOH	2	2	5	13	-.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Maggie PennL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	20	94	.106	29	1	8	31	1	2	10	7	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIZZOU · S CAR 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 MIZZOUS CAR 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 4 MIZZOUS CAR 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 MIZZOUS CAR 4

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	36%4/11
2	100%8/8	60%12/20
3	55%6/11	68%13/19
4	100%6/6	33%3/9
5	100%5/5	44%4/9
6	71%5/7	17%1/6
All	75%38/51	50%37/74

South Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	45%5/11
2	44%7/16	27%3/11
3	35%6/17	13%1/8
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	63%5/8	0%0/6
6	83%5/6	0%0/5
All	50%37/74	25%13/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	MIZZOU-S CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+1.5
2	1-1	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+1.4
3	2-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Ava Leahy	blk Eva Smith, Kimani Johnson	+2.0
4	2-2	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+1.4
5	3-2	S CAR	MIZZOU	Blocked	Olivia Borgman	blk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith	+1.4
6	3-3	MIZZOU	S CAR	Serve err	Sierra Dudley		+1.5
7	3-4	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy		+2.3
8	4-4	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+1.5
9	4-5	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Sydney Floyd	+1.7
10	5-5	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Ceci Vance	blk Lauren Larkin, Grace O'Reilly	+2.2
12	6-6	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Sydney Floyd	+1.6
13	7-6	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
14	7-7	MIZZOU	S CAR	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Ella Grivna, Elise Marchal	+1.6
15	8-7	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+1.6
16	8-8	MIZZOU	S CAR	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+1.7
17	9-8	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.7
18	9-9	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+1.8
19	10-9	S CAR	MIZZOU×4	Bad set	Sydney Floyd		+1.7
20	11-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Ace	Sierra Dudley		+2.3
21	12-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+2.0
22	13-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Blocked	Olivia Borgman	blk Grace O'Reilly, Eva Smith	+1.7
23	13-10	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Sydney Floyd	+1.1
24	13-11	S CAR	S CAR	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Ceci Vance, Ava Leahy	+1.9
25	14-11	S CAR	MIZZOU	Blocked	Ceci Vance	blk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly	+1.5
26	14-12	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Sydney Floyd	+1.4
27	15-12	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
28	15-13	MIZZOU	S CAR	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Ella Grivna	+1.4
29	16-13	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+1.6
30	16-14	MIZZOU	S CAR	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+1.5
31	16-15	S CAR	S CAR	Bad set	Kimani Johnson		+2.7
32	17-15	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.1
33	17-16	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+2.0
34	18-16	S CAR	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+2.2
35	19-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Eva Smith	+2.6
36	20-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.0
37	20-17	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+1.0
38	21-17	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
39	22-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
40	22-18	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
41	22-19	S CAR	S CAR	Blocked	Paige Felder	blk Ava Leahy, Kiana Dinn	+1.1
42	23-19	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.3
43	24-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Ceci Vance	blk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly	+0.8
44	24-20	MIZZOU	S CAR	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+0.1
45	25-20	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	S CAR	MIZZOU×4	Serve err	South Carolina		+1.1
2	2-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+1.4
3	3-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Eva Smith		+1.3
4	4-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Eva Smith		+1.1
5	4-1	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.8
6	5-1	S CAR	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.8
7	6-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
8	7-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.8
9	8-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×4	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+0.6
10	8-2	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
11	9-2	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.4
12	9-3	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Sydney Floyd	+0.4
13	10-3	S CAR	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.4
14	11-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Ceci Vance	blk Lauren Larkin, Grace O'Reilly	+0.4
15	11-4	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Sydney Floyd	+0.2
16	12-4	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+0.3
17	12-5	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Sydney Floyd	+0.2
18	13-5	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+0.3
19	13-6	MIZZOU	S CAR×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+0.2
20	13-7	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
21	13-8	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+0.6
22	14-8	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.6
23	15-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Olivia Borgman	blk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith	+0.6
24	15-9	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
25	16-9	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.4
26	16-10	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.3
27	16-11	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Eva Smith		+0.6
28	17-11	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+0.5
29	18-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.5
30	18-12	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Sydney Floyd	+0.2
31	19-12	S CAR	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+0.3
32	19-13	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Madisyn Crnjac	set Sydney Floyd	+0.2
33	20-13	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
34	20-14	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Sydney Floyd	+0.1
35	21-14	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
36	21-15	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Madisyn Crnjac	set Kiana Dinn	+0.1
37	21-16	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+0.3
38	22-16	S CAR	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	+0.4
39	23-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.2
40	24-16	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
41	24-17	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	·
42	25-17	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	·
Set 3
1	0-1	MIZZOU	S CAR×4	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.6
2	0-2	S CAR	S CAR×4	Blocked	Kimani Johnson	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.9
3	0-3	S CAR	S CAR×4	Attack err	Paige Felder		+1.0
4	0-4	S CAR	S CAR×4	Blocked	Lauren Larkin	blk Ava Leahy	+1.0
5	1-4	S CAR	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.6
6	2-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+0.9
7	3-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.9
8	3-5	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.7
9	4-5	S CAR	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Olivia Borgman	blk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith	+0.6
10	5-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Kill	Eva Smith	set Sierra Dudley	+0.9
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Ally Cavanaugh	blk Eva Smith, Grace O'Reilly	+0.9
12	7-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh		+0.8
13	8-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh		+0.8
14	9-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×6	Blocked	Ava Leahy	blk Eva Smith, Paige Felder	+0.7
15	9-6	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
16	9-7	S CAR	S CAR	Bad set	Sierra Dudley		+0.7
17	10-7	S CAR	MIZZOU	Serve err	South Carolina		+0.6
18	11-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Ainoah Cruz	+0.7
19	11-8	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
20	12-8	S CAR	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	South Carolina		+0.5
21	13-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Maizy Agnello	set Sierra Dudley	+0.6
22	14-8	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Ella Grivna		+0.4
23	14-9	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Madisyn Crnjac	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
24	15-9	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
25	16-9	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
26	16-10	MIZZOU	S CAR	Blocked	Kimani Johnson	blk Madisyn Crnjac, Ella Grivna	+0.1
27	16-11	S CAR	S CAR	Ace	Elizabeth McElveen	aced Maizy Agnello	+0.3
28	17-11	S CAR	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.3
29	18-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Elise Marchal		+0.2
30	19-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
31	20-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.1
32	21-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	·
33	21-12	MIZZOU	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Lilly Gillespie	·
34	22-12	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Nina Mandovic	·
35	23-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder		·
36	23-13	MIZZOU	S CAR	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		·
37	24-13	S CAR	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	·
38	25-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	·

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Missouri def. South Carolina 3–0

.414 and 14 kills for Paige Felder as Missouri rolled past South Carolina.