FinalSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on SECN+

Texas def. South Carolina 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas 93.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas won at South Carolina 3-0 (25-12, 25-19, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Texas' Torrey Stafford led with 12 kills, and Ramsey Gary added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set123Sets
TEXAS2525253
S CAR1219210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Torrey Stafford hit .600 with 12 kills as Texas rolled past South Carolina.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.2 points. South Carolina peaked at 7% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Texas 94% before first serve.

TexasSouth Carolina
  • Break %+20.6 pts
    52.131.5

    Points won on own serve: 38 of 73 vs 17 of 54. South Carolina sided out 47.9% of the time.

  • Hitting+.146
    .299.153

    46 K / 17 E against 27 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Texas scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 0–1 deficit into a 6–1 lead. The set finished 25–12.

South Carolina above 50Texas belowMax swing 1.2%

TexasSouth Carolina

Aces
Texas 6·South Carolina 1
Serve err
Texas 7·South Carolina 8
Blocks
Texas 5·South Carolina 90 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Texas 39·South Carolina 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Carolina above 50 · Texas below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% S CARrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to South Carolina — set 2, TEXAS 19-19 S CAR. Ace by Lilly Gillespie. S CAR win probability 3% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TEXAS 95.8%4.2% S CAR

Texas wins

3-0
57.7%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
9.0%

South Carolina wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
2.6%
TEXAS break %
46.6% vs this opp
S CAR break %
33.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Lilly Gillespie

    Set 2 · TEXAS 19-19 S CAR · S CAR 3% → 4%

  2. 02
    Lilly GillespieAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Lilly Gillespie

    Set 2 · TEXAS 21-19 S CAR · TEXAS 97% → 98%

  3. 03
    Cari SpearsAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Cari Spears

    Set 1 · TEXAS 0-1 S CAR · S CAR 6% → 7%

  4. 04

    Kill by Olivia Borgman (set by Kiana Dinn)

    Set 2 · TEXAS 19-18 S CAR · S CAR 2% → 3%

  5. 05
    Lilly GillespieService error+0.8%

    Service error by Lilly Gillespie

    Set 2 · TEXAS 20-19 S CAR · TEXAS 96% → 97%

  6. 06

    Kill by Torrey Stafford (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 1 · TEXAS 2-1 S CAR · TEXAS 93% → 94%

  7. 07

    Kill by Olivia Borgman (set by Sydney Floyd)

    Set 1 · TEXAS 7-6 S CAR · S CAR 5% → 6%

  8. 08

    Kill by Henley Anderson (set by Rella Binney)

    Set 2 · TEXAS 22-19 S CAR · TEXAS 98% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Texasaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311625.2000114002113
312020.6000146000013
38214.42900020031.59.5
37320.200000300218
3539.222001000216
3000–2620900002
3339.00010010010.53.5
3000–1220300002
3000–5011100000
1000–000000000
Team totals461797.2994467391010575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310429.20700020111.511.5
33210.10000110233.56.5
34214.143000200215
3002.000000000211
3011-1.0001203800000
3000–100230000
36015.40000000010.56.5
34413.000000200215
3011-1.000211930001
3000–1002300000
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–001000000
Team totals271485.1532518296312952

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TEXAS · S CAR 4

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 6 TEXASS CAR 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 TEXASS CAR 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 TEXASS CAR 4

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
40%4/10
2
78%7/9
68%15/22
3
54%7/13
36%4/11
4
63%5/8
55%6/11
5
83%5/6
50%5/10
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
69%37/54
52%38/73

South Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
13%1/8
2
44%7/16
33%4/12
3
38%5/13
50%7/14
4
50%5/10
17%1/6
5
63%5/8
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
17%1/6
All
48%35/73
31%17/54

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#TEXAS-S CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S CARS CARAttack errCari Spears+0.9
21-1S CARTEXAS×6Attack errElise Marchal+0.5
32-1TEXASTEXAS×6KillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.8
43-1TEXASTEXAS×6Attack errOlivia Borgman+0.7
54-1TEXASTEXAS×6KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.6
65-1TEXASTEXAS×6AceTorrey Staffordaced Elizabeth McElveen+0.4
76-1TEXASTEXAS×6KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
86-2TEXASS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
97-2S CARTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.2
107-3TEXASS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Elizabeth McElveen+0.2
117-4S CARS CAR×4Attack errTaylor Harvey+0.4
127-5S CARS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgman+0.6
137-6S CARS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Sydney Floyd+0.8
148-6S CARTEXAS×6Serve errSydney Floyd+0.5
159-6TEXASTEXAS×6AceGenevieve Harrisaced Lilly Gillespie+0.7
1610-6TEXASTEXAS×6KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.5
1711-6TEXASTEXAS×6KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.4
1812-6TEXASTEXAS×6AceGenevieve Harrisaced Elizabeth McElveen+0.3
1913-6TEXASTEXAS×6BlockedAva Leahyblk Taylor Harvey, Addy Gaido+0.2
2013-7TEXASS CARBlockedAddy Gaidoblk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman+0.1
2114-7S CARTEXAS×3KillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+0.1
2215-7TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errAva Leahy+0.1
2316-7TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errAlly Cavanaugh+0.1
2416-8TEXASS CARBlockedTaylor Harveyblk Ava Leahy·
2517-8S CARTEXAS×3Serve errMaggie Penn·
2618-8TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Addy Gaido·
2719-8TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Stafford·
2819-9TEXASS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd·
2920-9S CARTEXASServe errKiana Dinn·
3020-10TEXASS CARAttack errCari Spears·
3121-10S CARTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney·
3222-10TEXASTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney·
3322-11TEXASS CARServe errTorrey Stafford·
3423-11S CARTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney·
3523-12TEXASS CARKillAva Leahyset Kiana Dinn·
3624-12S CARTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney·
3725-12TEXASTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris·
Set 2
10-1TEXASS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.4
20-2S CARS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.7
31-2S CARTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.4
42-2TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.6
53-2TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.5
63-3TEXASS CARServe errTorrey Stafford+0.4
73-4S CARS CARAttack errHenley Anderson+0.6
84-4S CARTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.4
94-5TEXASS CARBlockedCari Spearsblk Olivia Borgman+0.5
105-5S CARTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Rella Binney+0.4
115-6TEXASS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+0.5
126-6S CARTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+0.4
136-7TEXASS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+0.5
147-7S CARTEXASServe errKiana Dinn+0.4
157-8TEXASS CARServe errTaylor Harvey+0.5
168-8S CARTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.5
179-8TEXASTEXAS×3AceRella Binneyaced Lilly Gillespie+0.7
1810-8TEXASTEXAS×3AceRella Binneyaced Elizabeth McElveen+0.6
1910-9TEXASS CARAttack errNya Bunton+0.4
2011-9S CARTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.4
2111-10TEXASS CARServe errTorrey Stafford+0.4
2212-10S CARTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.4
2313-10TEXASTEXAS×3KillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.5
2414-10TEXASTEXAS×3Attack errOlivia Borgman+0.4
2514-11TEXASS CARServe errRamsey Gary+0.2
2615-11S CARTEXASBlockedAlly Cavanaughblk Taylor Harvey, Henley Anderson+0.2
2715-12TEXASS CAR×3KillMadisyn Crnjacset Lilly Gillespie+0.2
2815-13S CARS CAR×3BlockedHenley Andersonblk Madisyn Crnjac, Ella Grivna+0.5
2915-14S CARS CAR×3BlockedAddy Gaidoblk Ella Grivna, Ally Cavanaugh+0.7
3016-14S CARTEXASServe errAva Leahy+0.5
3116-15TEXASS CARServe errHenley Anderson+0.5
3217-15S CARTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.5
3318-15TEXASTEXASBad setKiana Dinn+0.6
3418-16TEXASS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.4
3519-16S CARTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+0.4
3619-17TEXASS CAR×3KillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.4
3719-18S CARS CAR×3KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.8
3819-19S CARS CAR×3AceLilly Gillespie+1.2
3920-19S CARTEXAS×6Serve errLilly Gillespie+0.8
4021-19TEXASTEXAS×6Attack errLilly Gillespie+1.1
4122-19TEXASTEXAS×6KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.8
4223-19TEXASTEXAS×6BlockedElise Marchalblk Henley Anderson, Nya Bunton+0.4
4324-19TEXASTEXAS×6BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Nya Bunton, Cari Spears+0.1
4425-19TEXASTEXAS×6KillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney·
Set 3
11-0S CARTEXASKillTorrey Staffordset Rella Binney+0.1
21-1TEXASS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
31-2S CARS CARBlockedNya Buntonblk Ava Leahy+0.3
42-2S CARTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.2
52-3TEXASS CARBlockedHenley Andersonblk Ava Leahy, Elise Marchal+0.2
63-3S CARTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.2
73-4TEXASS CARKillAva Leahyset Sydney Floyd+0.2
84-4S CARTEXASKillAddy Gaidoset Genevieve Harris+0.2
94-5TEXASS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Sydney Floyd+0.2
104-6S CARS CARKillMadisyn Crnjac+0.4
115-6S CARTEXASAttack errAlly Cavanaugh+0.2
125-7TEXASS CARKillAlly Cavanaughset Sydney Floyd+0.3
136-7S CARTEXAS×3Attack errKiana Dinn+0.2
147-7TEXASTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.3
158-7TEXASTEXAS×3KillTorrey Staffordset Ramsey Gary+0.3
168-8TEXASS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Kiana Dinn+0.2
179-8S CARTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.2
189-9TEXASS CARKillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
1910-9S CARTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Rella Binney+0.2
2011-9TEXASTEXASKillCari Spearsset Rella Binney+0.3
2111-10TEXASS CAR×4KillOlivia Borgmanset Kiana Dinn+0.2
2211-11S CARS CAR×4Attack errHenley Anderson+0.4
2311-12S CARS CAR×4Attack errTaylor Harvey+0.4
2411-13S CARS CAR×4Attack errHenley Anderson+0.5
2512-13S CARTEXASServe errSydney Floyd+0.3
2612-14TEXASS CARKillAva Leahyset Sydney Floyd+0.4
2712-15S CARS CARBlockedAddy Gaidoblk Ava Leahy, Ally Cavanaugh+0.6
2813-15S CARTEXAS×4KillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+0.3
2914-15TEXASTEXAS×4Attack errAlly Cavanaugh+0.5
3015-15TEXASTEXAS×4AceHenley Andersonaced Lilly Gillespie+0.5
3116-15TEXASTEXAS×4KillTorrey Staffordset Genevieve Harris+0.5
3216-16TEXASS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Sydney Floyd+0.3
3317-16S CARTEXASKillTaylor Harveyset Genevieve Harris+0.3
3418-16TEXASTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Genevieve Harris+0.4
3518-17TEXASS CARKillMadisyn Crnjacset Sydney Floyd+0.3
3618-18S CARS CARKillElise Marchalset Kiana Dinn+0.5
3719-18S CARTEXASServe errKiana Dinn+0.4
3819-19TEXASS CARKillElise Marchalset Lilly Gillespie+0.4
3920-19S CARTEXAS×3KillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.4
4021-19TEXASTEXAS×3KillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.5
4122-19TEXASTEXAS×3BlockedOlivia Borgmanblk Cari Spears, Nya Bunton+0.4
4222-20TEXASS CARServe errTorrey Stafford+0.2
4323-20S CARTEXASKillNya Buntonset Rella Binney+0.2
4424-20TEXASTEXASKillTaylor Harvey+0.2
4524-21TEXASS CARBlockedHenley Andersonblk Norunn Westersjo, Elise Marchal·
4625-21S CARTEXASKillHenley Andersonset Ramsey Gary+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).