FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Princeton def. Dartmouth 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Princeton 69.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Princeton won at Dartmouth 3-0 (25-17, 25-23, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Princeton's Erin McNair and Ava Harrington led with 9 kills each, and Sydney Bold added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
PRINCE2525253
DART1723180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

An 8–0 run in the first set broke it open for Princeton.

Win probability never moved more than 6.7 points on one rally; Dartmouth topped out at 29% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Princeton 69% before first serve.

PrincetonDartmouth
  • Break %+15.2 pts
    45.230.0

    33 of 73 on serve vs 18 of 60, so Dartmouth's sideout was 54.8%.

  • Hitting+.155
    .318.163

    41 kills, 13 errors vs 35 kills, 20 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    84

    Princeton scored 8 straight in the first set to open the set 8–0. That set ended 25–17.

Dartmouth above 50Princeton belowMax swing 6.7%

PrincetonDartmouth

Aces
Princeton 8·Dartmouth 2
Serve err
Princeton 8·Dartmouth 5
Blocks
Princeton 6·Dartmouth 91 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Princeton 33·Dartmouth 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Dartmouth above 50 · Princeton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.7% PRINCErally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.7% to Princeton — set 2, PRINCE 25-23 DART. Kill by Ashtyn Sims (set by Sydney Draper). DART win probability 13% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PRINCE 69.1%30.9% DART

Princeton wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%

Dartmouth wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%
PRINCE break %
42.7% vs this opp
DART break %
38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ashtyn SimsKill+6.7%

    Kill by Ashtyn Sims (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 25-23 DART · PRINCE 87% → 94%

  2. 02
    Riley ImamuraAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Riley Imamura

    Set 2 · PRINCE 23-22 DART · PRINCE 80% → 86%

  3. 03
    DartmouthService error+5.2%

    Dartmouth service error

    Set 2 · PRINCE 24-23 DART · PRINCE 82% → 87%

  4. 04

    Erin McNair stuffed by Maddie LaFata & Elle McCreery

    Set 2 · PRINCE 19-20 DART · DART 18% → 22%

  5. 05
    Maddie LaFataKill+4.0%

    Kill by Maddie LaFata (set by Julia York)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 23-23 DART · DART 14% → 18%

  6. 06

    Shelby Burriss stuffed by Zori Brown & Elle McCreery

    Set 2 · PRINCE 21-22 DART · DART 20% → 24%

  7. 07
    Ashtyn SimsKill+3.5%

    Kill by Ashtyn Sims (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 22-22 DART · PRINCE 76% → 80%

  8. 08

    Ace by Sloan Balsley

    Set 2 · PRINCE 18-18 DART · DART 15% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39322.2732327002113
39222.31801570031.511.5
38414.28611000031.510.5
3407.57100000010.54.5
3406.667280040010.54.5
3001.000030200003
37416.188000101018
3000–3011210000
Team totals411388.3183488332110675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37721.00011113212210
38223.26100062010.58.5
37516.125000300218
3407.57100200052.56.5
31011.0001700400001
2024-.500000000211
38418.22200100031.59.5
3000–210210001
3000–000010000
3000–1401200000
2002.00000000010.50.5
Team totals352092.1633425308116958

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Princeton vs Dartmouth

Season series · Princeton leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 PRINCE · DART 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 8 PRINCEDART 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 PRINCEDART 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 PRINCEDART 2

Bars above the line = Dartmouth leads, below = Princeton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Princeton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
57%8/14
2
57%8/14
50%8/16
3
88%7/8
22%2/9
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
70%42/60
45%33/73

Dartmouth

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
13%1/8
2
88%7/8
47%7/15
3
54%7/13
30%3/10
4
64%7/11
30%3/10
5
60%6/10
22%2/9
6
42%5/12
25%2/8
All
55%40/73
30%18/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#PRINCE-DARTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DARTPRINCE×8KillSydney Draperset Erin McNair+1.5
22-0PRINCEPRINCE×8Attack errJaida Cekic+2.1
33-0PRINCEPRINCE×8Attack errJaida Cekic+1.9
44-0PRINCEPRINCE×8BlockedZori Brownblk Sydney Draper, Ava Harrington+1.7
55-0PRINCEPRINCE×8KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+1.5
66-0PRINCEPRINCE×8BlockedZori Brownblk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+1.2
77-0PRINCEPRINCE×8Attack errJaida Cekic+1.0
88-0PRINCEPRINCE×8Attack errClementine Tebbe+0.7
98-1PRINCEDART×4KillZori Brownset Sophia Gagnepain+0.4
108-2DARTDART×4KillRiley Imamuraset Sophia Gagnepain+0.8
118-3DARTDART×4BlockedAva Harringtonblk Clementine Tebbe, Riley Imamura+1.0
128-4DARTDART×4KillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+1.3
139-4DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.1
149-5PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+0.9
1510-5DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Shelby Burriss+1.1
1610-6PRINCEDART×3KillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+0.9
1710-7DARTDART×3Attack errShelby Burriss+1.7
1810-8DARTDART×3KillElle McCreeryset Sloan Balsley+2.1
1911-8DARTPRINCEKillSydney Draper+1.6
2011-9PRINCEDARTKillRiley Imamuraset Julia York+1.5
2111-10DARTDARTBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Elle McCreery, Maddie LaFata+2.5
2212-10DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.9
2312-11PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+1.9
2413-11DARTPRINCE×5Serve errDartmouth+2.0
2514-11PRINCEPRINCE×5BlockedMaddie LaFatablk Erin McNair, Ashley Duckworth+2.5
2615-11PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrinceton+2.1
2716-11PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrincetonaced Riley Imamura+1.6
2817-11PRINCEPRINCE×5Attack errMaddie LaFata+1.2
2917-12PRINCEDARTKillZori Brownset Julia York+0.6
3018-12DARTPRINCEAttack errClementine Tebbe+0.8
3118-13PRINCEDARTKillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+0.5
3219-13DARTPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.7
3319-14PRINCEDARTKillRiley Imamuraset Sophia Gagnepain+0.5
3420-14DARTPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.7
3520-15PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+0.4
3621-15DARTPRINCE×3Serve errDartmouth+0.6
3722-15PRINCEPRINCE×3AcePrincetonaced Zori Brown+0.4
3823-15PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAshley Duckworthset Erin McNair+0.2
3923-16PRINCEDARTAttack errAshtyn Sims·
4023-17DARTDARTAceRiley Imamuraaced Sydney Bold+0.1
4124-17DARTPRINCEKillAshley Duckworth+0.1
4225-17PRINCEPRINCEAttack errMaddie LaFata·
Set 2
10-1PRINCEDARTKillSophia Gagnepainset Riley Imamura+1.4
20-2DARTDARTBlockedAva Harringtonblk Elle McCreery, Riley Imamura+2.0
31-2DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.3
41-3PRINCEDARTKillElle McCreeryset Sophia Gagnepain+1.5
52-3DARTPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+1.4
63-3PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Sloan Balsley+2.0
73-4PRINCEDARTServe errAva Harrington+1.5
84-4DARTPRINCEServe errDartmouth+1.4
94-5PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+1.5
105-5DARTPRINCEServe errDartmouth+1.4
115-6PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+1.6
126-6DARTPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.5
136-7PRINCEDARTKillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+1.6
147-7DARTPRINCEBlockedRiley Imamurablk Ashtyn Sims+1.5
157-8PRINCEDARTKillRiley Imamuraset Sophia Gagnepain+1.6
168-8DARTPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.6
178-9PRINCEDARTKillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+1.7
188-10DARTDARTKillRiley Imamura+2.5
199-10DARTPRINCEBlockedRiley Imamurablk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+1.6
209-11PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+1.8
2110-11DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.7
2210-12PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+1.9
2311-12DARTPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.7
2412-12PRINCEPRINCEAttack errRiley Imamura+2.6
2512-13PRINCEDARTKillZori Brownset Julia York+2.0
2612-14DARTDARTBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Clementine Tebbe, Jaida Cekic+2.9
2713-14DARTPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+1.8
2814-14PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.8
2914-15PRINCEDARTKillZori Brownset Sophia Gagnepain+2.2
3015-15DARTPRINCE×4KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.0
3116-15PRINCEPRINCE×4AcePrincetonaced Irmak Makasci+3.0
3217-15PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedJaida Cekicblk Shelby Burriss, Erin McNair+2.8
3318-15PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errRiley Imamura+2.4
3418-16PRINCEDART×3KillJaida Cekicset Sloan Balsley+1.4
3518-17DARTDART×3Attack errErin McNair+2.7
3618-18DARTDART×3AceSloan Balsley+3.4
3719-18DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.5
3819-19PRINCEDARTKillElle McCreeryset Sophia Gagnepain+2.6
3919-20DARTDARTBlockedErin McNairblk Maddie LaFata, Elle McCreery+4.2
4020-20DARTPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.8
4120-21PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+3.3
4221-21DARTPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+3.1
4321-22PRINCEDARTBlockedShelby Burrissblk Zori Brown, Elle McCreery+3.8
4422-22DARTPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+3.5
4523-22PRINCEPRINCEAttack errRiley Imamura+5.9
4623-23PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+4.0
4724-23DARTPRINCEServe errDartmouth+5.2
4825-23PRINCEPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+6.7
Set 3
11-0DARTPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+0.7
22-0PRINCEPRINCEAttack errRiley Imamura+1.0
32-1PRINCEDARTKillJaida Cekicset Sophia Gagnepain+0.7
42-2DARTDARTBlockedShelby Burrissblk Jaida Cekic, Raeli Smith+1.1
53-2DARTPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.8
63-3PRINCEDARTKillRiley Imamuraset Sophia Gagnepain+0.8
73-4DARTDARTBlockedShelby Burrissblk Riley Imamura+1.2
84-4DARTPRINCE×5KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.8
95-4PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrinceton+1.1
106-4PRINCEPRINCE×5KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.1
117-4PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrincetonaced Zori Brown+1.0
128-4PRINCEPRINCE×5KillShelby Burriss+0.9
138-5PRINCEDARTKillElle McCreeryset Sophia Gagnepain+0.6
149-5DARTPRINCEKillSydney Draperset Sydney Draper+0.6
159-6PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+0.6
1610-6DARTPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.6
1711-6PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.7
1811-7PRINCEDARTBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Elle McCreery, Maddie LaFata+0.4
1912-7DARTPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.5
2013-7PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+0.6
2113-8PRINCEDARTAttack errErin McNair+0.3
2214-8DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.4
2314-9PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+0.3
2415-9DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.4
2515-10PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+0.3
2616-10DARTPRINCEAttack errJaida Cekic+0.4
2717-10PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Riley Imamura+0.4
2817-11PRINCEDARTServe errPrinceton+0.2
2917-12DARTDARTKillRiley Imamuraset Julia York+0.4
3018-12DARTPRINCE×3KillAshtyn Simsset Erin McNair+0.4
3119-12PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errMaddie LaFata+0.3
3220-12PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errRiley Imamura+0.2
3320-13PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+0.1
3421-13DARTPRINCEKillSydney Draper+0.1
3521-14PRINCEDARTKillZori Brownset Julia York·
3621-15DARTDARTKillZori Brownset Julia York+0.1
3722-15DARTPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.1
3822-16PRINCEDARTKillMaddie LaFataset Julia York+0.1
3922-17DARTDARTKillZori Brownset Sophia Gagnepain+0.2
4023-17DARTPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.2
4123-18PRINCEDARTKillZori Brownset Sophia Gagnepain+0.1
4224-18DARTPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.1
4325-18PRINCEPRINCEServe errPrinceton·

Score shown after each rally, Princeton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).