Nicholls def. Southern U. 3–2
(21-25, 25-19, 25-19, 21-25, 15-10)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3* | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUTHR | 25 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 10 | 2 |
| NICHST | 21 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 3 |
- * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 11.9% to Southern U. — set 5, SOUTHR 8-7 NICHST. Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie stuffed by Sereniti Johnson & Norielle Battle. NICHST win probability 61% → 49%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Southern U. wins
Nicholls wins
- SOUTHR break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
- NICHST break %
- 47.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieAttack error+11.9%
Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie stuffed by Sereniti Johnson & Norielle Battle
Set 5 · SOUTHR 8-7 NICHST · SOUTHR 39% → 51%
- 02Reagan RobinsonAttack error+11.7%
Reagan Robinson stuffed by Harper Holden & Amelie Shalfoon
Set 5 · SOUTHR 9-11 NICHST · NICHST 70% → 82%
- 03Norielle BattleAttack error+11.6%
Norielle Battle stuffed by Harper Holden & Madison Smith
Set 5 · SOUTHR 8-9 NICHST · NICHST 58% → 70%
- 04Madison SmithAttack error+10.3%
Attack error by Madison Smith
Set 5 · SOUTHR 7-7 NICHST · SOUTHR 29% → 39%
- 05Madison SmithKill+10.0%
Kill by Madison Smith (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 5 · SOUTHR 9-10 NICHST · NICHST 60% → 70%
- 06
- 07Norielle BattleAttack error+9.2%
Attack error by Norielle Battle
Set 5 · SOUTHR 9-12 NICHST · NICHST 82% → 91%
- 08SOUTHR serverService error+9.0%
Southern U. service error
Set 5 · SOUTHR 8-8 NICHST · NICHST 49% → 58%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17 | 13 | 50 | .080 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 44 | .182 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 19 | .368 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | -.133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 54 | 34 | 172 | .116 | 50 | 4 | 8 | 81 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 98 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 41 | .171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 0 | 26 | .385 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .077 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 43 | .093 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 9 | 39 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 29 | 183 | .158 | 54 | 4 | 8 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 107 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
19-25
Set 3*
19-25
Set 4
25-21
Set 5
10-15
Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Southern U. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Southern U.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42%8/19 | 56%9/16 |
| 2 | 44%7/16 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 59%10/17 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 50%7/14 | 46%6/13 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 22%2/9 |
| All | 51%42/82 | 47%37/79 |
Nicholls
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 63%12/19 |
| 2 | 50%7/14 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 61%11/18 |
| 4 | 41%7/17 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 100%7/7 | 36%4/11 |
| 6 | 47%7/15 | 50%7/14 |
| All | 53%42/79 | 49%40/82 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
205 rallies
Rally log
| # | SOUTHR-NICHST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Sereniti Johnson | +1.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +1.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Norielle Battle | set Penina Vito | +1.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +2.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Ace | SOUTHR server | aced Kera Arrington | +2.2 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +1.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Mckenzie Mitchell | blk Penina Vito, Paulina Agudelo Marin | +2.3 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +1.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +1.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Mckenzie Mitchell | set Natalia Navarro | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Mckenzie Mitchell | +2.0 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Mckenzie Mitchell | +2.5 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Ace | SOUTHR server | aced Mckenzie Mitchell | +2.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | SOUTHR | NICHST×4 | Kill | Isabella Padilla | set Isabella Padilla | +1.7 |
| 20 | 11-9 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Ace | NICHST server | aced Sereniti Johnson | +2.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +2.4 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Harper Holden | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Madison Smith | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.0 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Penina Vito | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Kera Arrington | blk Mariah Mott, Norielle Battle | +3.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Kera Arrington | +3.0 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | SOUTHR | NICHST×4 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Natalia Navarro | +1.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Ace | NICHST server | aced Sereniti Johnson | +2.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Bad set | Penina Vito | +3.1 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.8 |
| 34 | 18-16 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Kera Arrington | +3.7 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +2.6 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +3.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +3.8 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +2.3 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Madison Smith | +3.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +3.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +3.0 |
| 42 | 22-20 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Penina Vito | +4.2 |
| 43 | 22-21 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +3.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Serve err | NICHST server | +4.8 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Bad set | Jenna Cicherski | +4.7 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Ace | SOUTHR server | aced Madison Smith | +2.2 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Alyssa Williams | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +2.3 |
| 3 | 0-3 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Ace | NICHST server | aced Najah Harris | +2.1 |
| 4 | 0-4 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 0-5 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +1.6 |
| 6 | 1-5 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Serve err | NICHST server | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +1.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Kera Arrington | blk Alyssa Williams, Braelynn Reese | +2.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Isabella Padilla | set Madison Smith | +1.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Serve err | NICHST server | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +1.8 |
| 12 | 5-7 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +1.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Paulina Agudelo Marin | set Penina Vito | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Madison Smith | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | SOUTHR | NICHST×3 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +2.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Paulina Agudelo Marin | blk Harper Holden, Madison Smith | +2.5 |
| 18 | 7-11 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +1.6 |
| 20 | 8-12 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Serve err | NICHST server | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Alyssa Williams | set Penina Vito | +2.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Madison Smith | blk Braelynn Reese | +3.1 |
| 24 | 12-12 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Madison Smith | blk Alyssa Williams, Braelynn Reese | +3.6 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +2.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Penina Vito | +2.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Natalia Navarro | +2.8 |
| 29 | 13-16 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | blk Amelie Shalfoon, Maya Schirmer | +3.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Kera Arrington | +2.3 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | SOUTHR | NICHST×4 | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Jenna Cicherski | +2.5 |
| 32 | 14-18 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +2.6 |
| 33 | 14-19 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +1.9 |
| 34 | 14-20 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Natalia Navarro | +1.2 |
| 35 | 15-20 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Serve err | NICHST server | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +0.9 |
| 37 | 16-21 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +0.5 |
| 38 | 17-21 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Sereniti Johnson | +1.1 |
| 39 | 17-22 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +1.3 |
| 40 | 18-22 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Penina Vito | +0.7 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +1.2 |
| 42 | 18-24 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +0.6 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Najah Harris | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Penina Vito | +2.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +2.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Penina Vito | +2.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +3.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Norielle Battle | +2.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SOUTHR | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Paulina Agudelo Marin | +2.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Penina Vito | set Reagan Robinson | +2.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Bad set | Paulina Agudelo Marin | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Alayah Wilson | set Najah Harris | +3.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Ace | SOUTHR server | aced Madison Smith | +3.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SOUTHR | NICHST×6 | Attack err | Alayah Wilson | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | NICHST | NICHST×6 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +3.2 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | NICHST | NICHST×6 | Bad set | Sereniti Johnson | +3.0 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | NICHST | NICHST×6 | Attack err | Alayah Wilson | +2.7 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | NICHST | NICHST×6 | Attack err | Alayah Wilson | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | NICHST | NICHST×6 | Attack err | Paulina Agudelo Marin | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Penina Vito | +1.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +1.5 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.3 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Kera Arrington | +2.1 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +2.0 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +1.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Norielle Battle | set Penina Vito | +2.8 |
| 29 | 13-16 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | +2.5 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Serve err | NICHST server | +1.7 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | SOUTHR | NICHST×5 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.1 |
| 33 | 14-19 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +1.9 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Braelynn Reese | +1.3 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | blk Isabella Padilla, Maya Schirmer | +0.7 |
| 36 | 14-22 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Nyla Hoult | set Penina Vito | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +0.2 |
| 39 | 16-23 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Serve err | NICHST server | +0.1 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Penina Vito | set Isabella Padilla | +0.2 |
| 41 | 18-23 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Madison Smith | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +0.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Penina Vito | +0.1 |
| 44 | 19-25 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +0.2 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +1.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Isabella Padilla | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +1.8 |
| 4 | 3-1 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Sereniti Johnson | +2.0 |
| 5 | 4-1 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SOUTHR | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Ava-Claire Calais | +1.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +2.1 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +1.9 |
| 11 | 6-5 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +2.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Madison Smith | +2.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Braelynn Reese | set Penina Vito | +2.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Najah Harris | +3.1 |
| 18 | 11-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Bad set | Isabella Padilla | +3.0 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | SOUTHR | NICHST×3 | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Ace | NICHST server | aced Najah Harris | +2.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | +2.9 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +2.7 |
| 24 | 13-11 | SOUTHR | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Sereniti Johnson | blk Amelie Shalfoon, Harper Holden | +2.3 |
| 25 | 13-12 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +3.1 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | NICHST | NICHST×3 | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Jenna Cicherski | +3.2 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Reagan Robinson | +2.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +3.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Kera Arrington | blk Norielle Battle, Mariah Mott | +3.8 |
| 30 | 17-13 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Kera Arrington | blk Norielle Battle, Mariah Mott | +3.5 |
| 31 | 17-14 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +2.9 |
| 33 | 18-15 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Kera Arrington | set Isabella Padilla | +2.1 |
| 34 | 18-16 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Norielle Battle | blk Madison Smith, Maya Schirmer | +3.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | NICHST | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +3.5 |
| 36 | 20-16 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Reagan Robinson | +3.8 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Attack err | Maya Schirmer | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×4 | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Penina Vito | +1.9 |
| 39 | 22-17 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Isabella Padilla | +0.7 |
| 40 | 23-17 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Reagan Robinson | set Mariah Mott | +1.3 |
| 41 | 23-18 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Isabella Padilla | +0.4 |
| 42 | 23-19 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Braelynn Reese | +1.0 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +0.4 |
| 45 | 24-21 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Braelynn Reese | blk Harper Holden, Kera Arrington | +1.1 |
| 46 | 25-21 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +1.3 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Najah Harris | +8.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +6.3 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NICHST | NICHST | Kill | Amelie Shalfoon | set Harper Holden | +7.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Serve err | NICHST server | +6.5 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | SOUTHR | NICHST×4 | Kill | Maya Schirmer | set Jenna Cicherski | +6.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Natalia Navarro | +7.6 |
| 7 | 2-5 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +6.7 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | NICHST | NICHST×4 | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Natalia Navarro | +5.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +3.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Sereniti Johnson | set Penina Vito | +6.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +8.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | set Isabella Padilla | +6.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | NICHST | SOUTHR×3 | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +6.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Madison Smith | +10.3 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | SOUTHR | SOUTHR×3 | Attack err | Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie | blk Sereniti Johnson, Norielle Battle | +11.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Serve err | SOUTHR server | +9.0 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | NICHST | NICHST | Attack err | Norielle Battle | blk Harper Holden, Madison Smith | +11.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Bad set | Harper Holden | +9.6 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | SOUTHR | NICHST×5 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Isabella Padilla | +10.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Reagan Robinson | blk Harper Holden, Amelie Shalfoon | +11.7 |
| 21 | 9-12 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Norielle Battle | +9.2 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Attack err | Mariah Mott | +5.9 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | NICHST | NICHST×5 | Kill | Madison Smith | set Natalia Navarro | +2.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | NICHST | SOUTHR | Kill | Mariah Mott | set Penina Vito | +0.6 |
| 25 | 10-15 | SOUTHR | NICHST | Kill | Harper Holden | set Jenna Cicherski | +1.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Southern U. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.