Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 7, 2026

Alcorn def. Southern U. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern U. 82.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 7, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Alcorn won at Southern U. 3-1 (11-25, 25-21, 26-24, 25-14) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. Alcorn's Rylan Jones led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Oct 7

Set1234Sets
ALCORN112526253
SOUTHR252124141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rylan Jones hit .444 on 27 swings as Alcorn edged Southern U.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Alcorn's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Southern U. at 82% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Alcorn 1–2 Southern U.

    The bottom for Alcorn, then 24 of the next 43 rallies and the set, 25–21.

    Alcorn 8% → 24%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Alcorn 24–20 Southern U.

    Down 20–24, Southern U. scored 4 straight to tie it at 24. The match swung to Southern U.

    Alcorn 52% → 30%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Alcorn 4–3 Southern U.

    Up 4–3, Alcorn scored 6 straight to make it 10–3.

    Alcorn 60% → 87%

Southern U. above 50Alcorn belowMax swing 14.2%

AlcornSouthern U.

Sideout %
Alcorn 52.9·Southern U. 51.2
Break %
Alcorn 48.8·Southern U. 47.1
Hitting
Alcorn .187·Southern U. .152
Longest run
Alcorn 6·Southern U. 7

Rylan Jones
4 kills inside the turning points, 14 K and .444 for the match (15 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern U. above 50 · Alcorn below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.2% ALCORNrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.2% to Alcorn — set 3, ALCORN 26-24 SOUTHR. Kill by Cristin Webb (set by Daylin Saiki). SOUTHR win probability 60% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALCORN 18.1%81.9% SOUTHR

Alcorn wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.3%

Southern U. wins

3-0
33.6%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
17.7%
ALCORN break %
41.9% vs this opp
SOUTHR break %
49.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Cristin WebbKill+14.2%

    Kill by Cristin Webb (set by Daylin Saiki)

    Set 3 · ALCORN 26-24 SOUTHR · ALCORN 40% → 54%

  2. 02

    Kill by Paulina Agudelo Marin

    Set 3 · ALCORN 24-24 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 58% → 70%

  3. 03
    Cristin WebbKill+9.8%

    Kill by Cristin Webb (set by Daylin Saiki)

    Set 3 · ALCORN 25-24 SOUTHR · ALCORN 30% → 40%

  4. 04
    Tomoni GiddingsAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Tomoni Giddings

    Set 3 · ALCORN 24-23 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 52% → 58%

  5. 05
    Alayah WilsonAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Alayah Wilson

    Set 3 · ALCORN 21-18 SOUTHR · ALCORN 38% → 44%

  6. 06
    Southern U.Service error+5.4%

    Southern U. service error

    Set 3 · ALCORN 23-20 SOUTHR · ALCORN 43% → 48%

  7. 07
    Rylan JonesKill+5.0%

    Kill by Rylan Jones (set by Daylin Saiki)

    Set 3 · ALCORN 22-19 SOUTHR · ALCORN 41% → 46%

  8. 08
    Daylin SaikiKill+5.0%

    Kill by Daylin Saiki (set by Najah Harris)

    Set 4 · ALCORN 7-3 SOUTHR · ALCORN 68% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Alcornaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414227.4440001002115
48325.2000005104210
47428.10700040010.57.5
44013.308331180010.55.5
43516-.1250131500004
2000–00010010.50.5
4000–022400002
4025-.4000011500000
35314.14300120153.58.5
3304.750000000214
2001.000001310000
2000–200000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4419134.1873549583116987
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412529.241010113031.514.5
46116.31300110031.57.5
45717-.11800030010.55.5
4429.222000100215
42218.000102900002
4003.0002502200000
411119.52600000010.511.5
43317.00000011010.53.5
41011.0001311500002
4002.0004012500000
3328.125012400004
2125-.20000010010.51.5
2000–001000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals4826145.15243310644012684

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Alcorn vs Southern U.

Season series · Alcorn leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ALCORN · SOUTHR 7

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 ALCORNSOUTHR 7

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 ALCORNSOUTHR 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 ALCORNSOUTHR 4

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 ALCORNSOUTHR 3

Bars above the line = Southern U. leads, below = Alcorn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alcorn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
36%4/11
2
64%9/14
47%8/17
3
40%8/20
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
62%13/21
5
60%6/10
63%10/16
6
50%5/10
38%3/8
All
53%45/85
49%42/86

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
59%10/17
2
64%9/14
36%5/14
3
67%8/12
50%8/16
4
38%8/21
43%6/14
5
36%5/14
53%9/17
6
71%5/7
29%2/7
All
51%44/86
47%40/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#ALCORN-SOUTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.5
20-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Bad setDaylin Saiki+1.3
30-3SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedAlexis Burtonblk Braelynn Reese, Sereniti Johnson+1.2
40-4SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedAlexis Burtonblk Mariah Mott, Braelynn Reese+1.0
51-4SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.8
62-4ALCORNALCORNAttack errReagan Robinson+1.2
72-5ALCORNSOUTHRAttack errTomoni Giddings+1.0
83-5SOUTHRALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+1.0
93-6ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Reagan Robinson+1.0
103-7SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+1.1
114-7SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.9
125-7ALCORNALCORNKillCourtney Carterset Juliana Henao+1.3
135-8ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+1.1
145-9SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Alexis Burton+1.2
156-9SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Juliana Henao+0.9
167-9ALCORNALCORNAceAlcornaced Zaria Nelson+1.4
177-10ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+1.1
187-11SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williams+1.2
198-11SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+0.9
208-12ALCORNSOUTHRBad setKayla Jones+1.0
218-13SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.0
229-13SOUTHRALCORNAttack errMariah Mott+0.7
239-14ALCORNSOUTHR×3Serve errAlcorn+0.8
249-15SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAlexis Burton+0.8
259-16SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.5
2610-16SOUTHRALCORNBlockedMariah Mottblk Kayla Jones, Alexis Burton+0.3
2710-17ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+0.4
2810-18SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.3
2911-18SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.2
3011-19ALCORNSOUTHR×7KillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+0.2
3111-20SOUTHRSOUTHR×7KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+0.1
3211-21SOUTHRSOUTHR×7Attack errRylan Jones+0.1
3311-22SOUTHRSOUTHR×7BlockedJaylynn McNeillblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Sereniti Johnson·
3411-23SOUTHRSOUTHR×7KillAlyssa Williamsset Najah Harris·
3511-24SOUTHRSOUTHR×7Attack errCourtney Carter·
3611-25SOUTHRSOUTHR×7BlockedCourtney Carterblk Sereniti Johnson, Paulina Agudelo Marin·
Set 2
11-0ALCORNALCORNAttack errBraelynn Reese+1.2
21-1ALCORNSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.9
31-2SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+1.1
42-2SOUTHRALCORN×3KillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+0.9
53-2ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.3
64-2ALCORNALCORN×3KillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+1.4
74-3ALCORNSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.0
85-3SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+1.2
95-4ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.0
105-5SOUTHRSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+1.3
116-5SOUTHRALCORN×4KillDaylin Saiki+1.1
127-5ALCORNALCORN×4Bad setSereniti Johnson+1.5
138-5ALCORNALCORN×4KillBailey Upshawset Daylin Saiki+1.6
149-5ALCORNALCORN×4KillBailey Upshaw+1.6
159-6ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+1.1
169-7SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedCourtney Carterblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Zaria Nelson+1.5
1710-7SOUTHRALCORN×4KillBailey Upshawset Daylin Saiki+1.4
1811-7ALCORNALCORN×4KillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+1.7
1912-7ALCORNALCORN×4Bad setMaleah Faust+1.6
2013-7ALCORNALCORN×4Attack errZaria Nelson+1.5
2113-8ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+0.9
2214-8SOUTHRALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+1.2
2315-8ALCORNALCORNBlockedZaria Nelsonblk Cristin Webb, Jaylynn McNeill+1.2
2415-9ALCORNSOUTHR×3KillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+0.7
2515-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errCourtney Carter+1.1
2615-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Bad setDaylin Saiki+1.3
2716-11SOUTHRALCORN×3Bad setMariah Mott+1.4
2817-11ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errMariah Mott+1.5
2918-11ALCORNALCORN×3AceAlcornaced Sereniti Johnson+1.1
3018-12ALCORNSOUTHRKillZaria Nelsonset Penina Vito+0.5
3119-12SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+0.9
3219-13ALCORNSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.5
3320-13SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+0.8
3420-14ALCORNSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.4
3520-15SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errRylan Jones+0.8
3620-16SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Brayla Doss+1.1
3721-16SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+1.4
3822-16ALCORNALCORNAttack errSereniti Johnson+1.1
3922-17ALCORNSOUTHR×5KillMaleah Faustset Tomoni Giddings+0.4
4022-18SOUTHRSOUTHR×5KillZaria Nelsonset Najah Harris+0.8
4122-19SOUTHRSOUTHR×5AceSouthern U.+1.3
4222-20SOUTHRSOUTHR×5KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+1.9
4322-21SOUTHRSOUTHR×5Bad setJuliana Henao+2.7
4423-21SOUTHRALCORN×3Serve errSouthern U.+3.2
4524-21ALCORNALCORN×3BlockedAlyssa Williamsblk Alexis Burton, Cristin Webb+3.3
4625-21ALCORNALCORN×3KillAlexis Burtonset Maleah Faust+1.5
Set 3
11-0SOUTHRALCORNAttack errMariah Mott+2.1
21-1ALCORNSOUTHRAttack errJaylynn McNeill+2.0
32-1SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+2.2
43-1ALCORNALCORNBlockedMariah Mottblk Rylan Jones, Bailey Upshaw+2.9
53-2ALCORNSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+2.1
64-2SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+2.4
74-3ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+2.2
85-3SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+2.5
95-4ALCORNSOUTHRKillNorielle Battleset Maleah Faust+2.2
106-4SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+2.6
116-5ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+2.3
127-5SOUTHRALCORNAttack errZaria Nelson+2.6
137-6ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+2.4
148-6SOUTHRALCORN×5KillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+2.7
159-6ALCORNALCORN×5KillAlexis Burton+3.5
1610-6ALCORNALCORN×5AceAlcornaced Sereniti Johnson+3.5
1711-6ALCORNALCORN×5KillAlexis Burtonset Penina Vito+3.4
1812-6ALCORNALCORN×5Attack errSereniti Johnson+3.1
1912-7ALCORNSOUTHR×3KillZaria Nelsonset Penina Vito+1.9
2012-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillBraelynn Reese+2.8
2112-9SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errJaylynn McNeill+3.1
2213-9SOUTHRALCORNKillDaylin Saikiset Penina Vito+3.1
2313-10ALCORNSOUTHRAttack errJaylynn McNeill+2.5
2414-10SOUTHRALCORNBlockedReagan Robinsonblk Bailey Upshaw, Rylan Jones+3.2
2515-10ALCORNALCORNAttack errNorielle Battle+3.6
2615-11ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.2
2716-11SOUTHRALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+3.0
2816-12ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+2.2
2917-12SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+3.0
3017-13ALCORNSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+2.1
3117-14SOUTHRSOUTHRBad setDaylin Saiki+3.3
3218-14SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+3.6
3318-15ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+2.6
3418-16SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+4.0
3519-16SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+4.2
3619-17ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+3.2
3719-18SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+4.8
3820-18SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+4.9
3921-18ALCORNALCORNAttack errAlayah Wilson+5.8
4021-19ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+3.3
4122-19SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+5.0
4222-20ALCORNSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+3.2
4323-20SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+5.4
4424-20ALCORNALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+4.3
4524-21ALCORNSOUTHR×4Serve errAlcorn+1.1
4624-22SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+2.9
4724-23SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errTomoni Giddings+6.0
4824-24SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillPaulina Agudelo Marin+12.5
4925-24SOUTHRALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+9.8
5026-24ALCORNALCORNKillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+14.2
Set 4
11-0ALCORNALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+3.9
21-1ALCORNSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+2.9
32-1SOUTHRALCORNKillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+3.3
43-1ALCORNALCORNBlockedBraelynn Reeseblk Cristin Webb+4.4
53-2ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Penina Vito+3.2
64-2SOUTHRALCORNKillJaylynn McNeillset Daylin Saiki+3.7
74-3ALCORNSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Penina Vito+3.3
85-3SOUTHRALCORN×6KillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+3.8
96-3ALCORNALCORN×6BlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Daylin Saiki, Cristin Webb+4.9
107-3ALCORNALCORN×6KillDaylin Saikiset Najah Harris+5.0
118-3ALCORNALCORN×6KillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+4.9
129-3ALCORNALCORN×6BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Cristin Webb, Alexis Burton+4.6
1310-3ALCORNALCORN×6KillDaylin Saiki+4.2
1410-4ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+2.5
1511-4SOUTHRALCORN×3KillCristin Webbset Daylin Saiki+3.4
1612-4ALCORNALCORN×3KillCourtney Carterset Daylin Saiki+3.5
1713-4ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errMariah Mott+2.9
1813-5ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+1.5
1914-5SOUTHRALCORNKillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki+2.2
2015-5ALCORNALCORNAttack errMariah Mott+2.0
2115-6ALCORNSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+1.0
2215-7SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errCourtney Carter+1.6
2316-7SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+2.0
2416-8ALCORNSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+1.2
2517-8SOUTHRALCORNServe errSouthern U.+1.8
2617-9ALCORNSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.0
2717-10SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedCristin Webbblk Alyssa Williams, Norielle Battle+1.8
2818-10SOUTHRALCORN×3Serve errSouthern U.+2.2
2919-10ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.8
3020-10ALCORNALCORN×3AceAlcornaced Sereniti Johnson+1.0
3120-11ALCORNSOUTHR×3Serve errAlcorn+0.4
3220-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errCristin Webb+0.7
3320-13SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errCristin Webb+1.1
3421-13SOUTHRALCORN×3KillRylan Jonesset Daylin Saiki+1.6
3522-13ALCORNALCORN×3BlockedNorielle Battleblk Alexis Burton, Cristin Webb+1.0
3623-13ALCORNALCORN×3Attack errNyla Hoult+0.4
3723-14ALCORNSOUTHRServe errAlcorn+0.1
3824-14SOUTHRALCORNAttack errSereniti Johnson+0.2
3925-14ALCORNALCORNKillAlexis Burtonset Daylin Saiki·

Score shown after each rally, Alcorn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).