FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

USC Upstate def. Alabama St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-14, 25-18)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
ALA ST	22	14	18	0
SC UPS	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SC UPS above 50 · ALA ST below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to USC Upstate — set 1, ALA ST 22-24 SC UPS. Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Kamyla Vega David). SC UPS win probability 94% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ALA ST 5.6%94.4% SC UPS

Alabama St. wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.6%

3-2

3.3%

USC Upstate wins

3-0

53.9%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

10.4%

ALA ST break %: 39.6% vs this opp
SC UPS break %: 51.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kensley HanelineKill+1.7%
Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Kamyla Vega David)
Set 1 · ALA ST 22-24 SC UPS · SC UPS 94% → 96%
02
Kaylen HinesKill+1.4%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Mirra Riddle)
Set 1 · ALA ST 22-23 SC UPS · ALA ST 4% → 6%
03
Bri BratholKill+1.3%
Kill by Bri Brathol (set by Bri Brathol)
Set 1 · ALA ST 20-22 SC UPS · SC UPS 94% → 95%
04
Lyric EdwardsAttack error+1.2%
Lyric Edwards stuffed by Tien Murray & Bri Brathol
Set 1 · ALA ST 19-21 SC UPS · SC UPS 94% → 95%
05
SC UPS serverService error+1.1%
USC Upstate service error
Set 1 · ALA ST 20-21 SC UPS · ALA ST 5% → 6%
06
Kensley HanelineKill+1.1%
Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Summer Kohler)
Set 1 · ALA ST 20-23 SC UPS · SC UPS 95% → 97%
07
ALA ST serverAce+1.1%
Alabama St. ace on Team
Set 1 · ALA ST 17-18 SC UPS · ALA ST 5% → 6%
08
Denver WatkinsKill+1.1%
Kill by Denver Watkins (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 1 · ALA ST 19-20 SC UPS · ALA ST 5% → 6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Alabama St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Kaylen HinesMB	3	9	5	33	.121	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
21Amaya RobinsonOH	3	6	3	20	.150	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Lyric EdwardsMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Kamrynn ClayS	3	0	0	2	.000	23	1	0	8	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Julia SlaughterS	3	1	0	3	.333	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	1
3Emani GreenDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
2Denver WatkinsOH	3	9	1	23	.348	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9
8Taylor WilliamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	3	0	0	0	3
9Mirra RiddleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	2	9	2	0	0	2
12Alexis WilliamsMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
16Makeda EdwardsOH	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Mikalah DavisOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Ava O'HareL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
1Chidera OkochaMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Jaci MooreS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	12	101	.208	31	6	3	39	4	4	2	54

USC Upstatehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Summer KohlerOH	3	18	3	35	.429	0	0	1	2	1	0	1	0.5	18.5
18Kensley HanelineMB	3	11	0	21	.524	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	1	12
3Bri BratholOH	3	8	3	20	.250	1	2	0	5	0	0	2	1	11
7Tien MurrayMB	3	4	1	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
20Kamyla Vega DavidS	3	2	0	5	.400	41	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	2
11Brielle EllisL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	0
10Sophia SpiveyOH	3	7	0	11	.636	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
8Sophia OverholtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	20	1	0	0	0	2
13Emma DeSensiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Cora HamiltonMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Hannah CampbellL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
14Lauren DeOrioMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
23Sarah O'ConnorS	1	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Emerson SpieszL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	7	104	.442	48	4	8	48	6	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 ALA ST · SC UPS 6

Set 1*

22-25

Longest run 5 ALA STSC UPS 6

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 ALA STSC UPS 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 ALA STSC UPS 6

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alabama St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%4/8	63%5/8
2	27%4/15	33%2/6
3	50%4/8	20%1/5
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	29%2/7	33%2/6
6	50%2/4	0%0/2
All	41%20/49	36%12/33

USC Upstate

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%4/7	40%2/5
2	57%4/7	67%8/12
3	80%4/5	60%6/10
4	80%4/5	43%3/7
5	60%3/5	70%7/10
6	50%2/4	60%3/5
All	64%21/33	59%29/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	ALA ST-SC UPS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ALA ST	SC UPS×6	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.5
2	0-2	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.5
3	0-3	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Kensley Haneline	+0.4
4	0-4	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
5	0-5	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
6	0-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Ace	SC UPS server	aced Emani Green	+0.2
7	1-6	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Julia Slaughter	+0.2
8	2-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.3
9	3-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.4
10	3-7	ALA ST	SC UPS×3	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
11	3-8	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Tien Murray	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
12	3-9	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Tien Murray	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
13	4-9	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.2
14	4-10	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
15	5-10	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.2
16	5-11	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Tien Murray	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
17	5-12	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+0.2
18	6-12	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.1
19	6-13	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
20	7-13	SC UPS	ALA ST	Attack err	Bri Brathol		+0.1
21	7-14	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
22	8-14	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.1
23	9-14	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Team	+0.2
24	10-14	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Bri Brathol		+0.3
25	10-15	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
26	11-15	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.3
27	12-15	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Mirra Riddle	+0.5
28	12-16	ALA ST	SC UPS×3	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
29	12-17	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.4
30	12-18	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
31	13-18	SC UPS	ALA ST×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
32	14-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×5	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Brielle Ellis	+0.3
33	15-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×5	Attack err	Summer Kohler		+0.5
34	16-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×5	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.8
35	17-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×5	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Team	+1.1
36	17-19	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.0
37	18-19	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.0
38	18-20	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.1
39	19-20	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.1
40	19-21	ALA ST	SC UPS	Attack err	Lyric Edwards	blk Tien Murray, Bri Brathol	+1.2
41	20-21	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+1.1
42	20-22	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Bri Brathol	+1.3
43	20-23	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Summer Kohler	+1.1
44	21-23	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.6
45	22-23	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Mirra Riddle	+1.4
46	22-24	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.7
47	22-25	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Kaylen Hines		+1.0
Set 2
1	0-1	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
2	0-2	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Kamyla Vega David	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.3
3	1-2	SC UPS	ALA ST	Attack err	Summer Kohler		+0.3
4	1-3	ALA ST	SC UPS×4	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.3
5	1-4	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Summer Kohler, Tien Murray	+0.3
6	1-5	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+0.2
7	1-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
8	2-6	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.2
9	2-7	ALA ST	SC UPS	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.2
10	2-8	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Tien Murray, Bri Brathol	+0.2
11	3-8	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
12	3-9	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Tien Murray	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
13	4-9	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Jaci Moore	+0.1
14	4-10	ALA ST	SC UPS×4	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
15	4-11	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
16	4-12	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.1
17	4-13	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
18	5-13	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
19	5-14	ALA ST	SC UPS×3	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
20	5-15	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Bad set	Jaci Moore		+0.0
21	5-16	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
22	6-16	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Emani Green	+0.0
23	7-16	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kaylen Hines	+0.0
24	8-16	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Mirra Riddle	+0.0
25	8-17	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
26	9-17	SC UPS	ALA ST	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.0
27	9-18	ALA ST	SC UPS×4	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
28	9-19	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sophia Overholt	+0.0
29	9-20	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+0.0
30	9-21	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Cora Hamilton	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
31	10-21	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Alexis Williams	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
32	11-21	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Summer Kohler	+0.0
33	11-22	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
34	12-22	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
35	13-22	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
36	13-23	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Cora Hamilton	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
37	14-23	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
38	14-24	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
39	14-25	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.2
2	1-1	ALA ST	SC UPS×3	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
3	1-2	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+0.2
4	1-3	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Attack err	Kaylen Hines		+0.2
5	2-3	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
6	3-3	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Tien Murray		+0.2
7	4-3	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Bri Brathol	blk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines	+0.2
8	4-4	ALA ST	SC UPS×6	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.2
9	4-5	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
10	4-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
11	4-7	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
12	4-8	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Ace	SC UPS server	aced Team	+0.1
13	4-9	SC UPS	SC UPS×6	Ace	SC UPS server	aced Mirra Riddle	+0.1
14	5-9	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.1
15	5-10	ALA ST	SC UPS×4	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
16	5-11	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Kamyla Vega David	set Emma DeSensi	+0.1
17	5-12	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.1
18	5-13	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
19	6-13	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Ava O'Hare	+0.0
20	6-14	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Bri Brathol	set Emma DeSensi	+0.0
21	6-15	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
22	7-15	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
23	7-16	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.0
24	7-17	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Lauren DeOrio		+0.0
25	8-17	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
26	8-18	ALA ST	SC UPS	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.0
27	9-18	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Serve err	SC UPS server		+0.0
28	10-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
29	11-18	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
30	11-19	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.0
31	12-19	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
32	12-20	ALA ST	SC UPS	Attack err	Kaylen Hines		+0.0
33	13-20	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
34	13-21	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.0
35	14-21	SC UPS	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
36	15-21	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Sophia Overholt	+0.0
37	15-22	ALA ST	SC UPS×3	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sophia Overholt	+0.0
38	15-23	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Bad set	Kamrynn Clay		+0.0
39	15-24	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Ace	SC UPS server	aced Mirra Riddle	+0.0
40	16-24	SC UPS	ALA ST×3	Kill	Julia Slaughter	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
41	17-24	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Summer Kohler	blk Lyric Edwards, Amaya Robinson	+0.0
42	18-24	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.0
43	18-25	ALA ST	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Bri Brathol	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.