FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

USC Upstate def. Alabama St. 3–0

USC Upstate beat visiting Alabama St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-14, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. USC Upstate's Summer Kohler led with 18 kills, and Sophia Overholt added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
ALA ST2214180
SC UPS2525253

Win probability

USC Upstate above 50 · Alabama St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% SC UPSrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to USC Upstate — set 1, ALA ST 22-24 SC UPS. Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Kamyla Vega David). SC UPS win probability 93% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA ST 7.0%93.0% SC UPS

Alabama St. wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
4.1%

USC Upstate wins

3-0
50.3%
3-1
30.9%
3-2
11.8%
ALA ST break %
39.1% vs this opp
SC UPS break %
50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 22-24 SC UPS · SC UPS 93% → 95%

  2. 02
    Kaylen HinesKill+1.7%

    Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Mirra Riddle)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 22-23 SC UPS · ALA ST 5% → 7%

  3. 03
    Bri BratholKill+1.5%

    Kill by Bri Brathol (set by Bri Brathol)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 20-22 SC UPS · SC UPS 93% → 94%

  4. 04

    Lyric Edwards stuffed by Tien Murray & Bri Brathol

    Set 1 · ALA ST 19-21 SC UPS · SC UPS 93% → 94%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kensley Haneline (set by Summer Kohler)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 20-23 SC UPS · SC UPS 94% → 96%

  6. 06
    Alabama St.Ace+1.3%

    Alabama St. ace

    Set 1 · ALA ST 17-18 SC UPS · ALA ST 6% → 7%

  7. 07
    USC UpstateService error+1.3%

    USC Upstate service error

    Set 1 · ALA ST 20-21 SC UPS · ALA ST 6% → 7%

  8. 08
    Summer KohlerKill+1.2%

    Kill by Summer Kohler (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 18-20 SC UPS · SC UPS 93% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39533.12110020010.59.5
36320.15000000010.56.5
36111.45500000010.56.5
3002.000231080010.51.5
3103.333100500001
3001.000100710000
39123.348000100009
3000–031300003
3000–422920002
2103.333000200001
1124-.250000000001
1001.000000000000
1000–000200000
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals3312101.208316339404254
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318335.42900121010.518.5
311021.5240021010112
38320.2501205002111
3415.60000000031.55.5
3205.4004102600002
1000–001510000
37011.636000000007
3000–2212010002
3000–201300000
2204.500000100002
2000–000400000
1102.500000000001
1001.000200000000
1000–000100000
Team totals537104.442484848616475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ALA ST · SC UPS 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 ALA STSC UPS 6

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 ALA STSC UPS 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 ALA STSC UPS 6

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%4/8
63%5/8
2
27%4/15
33%2/6
3
50%4/8
20%1/5
4
57%4/7
33%2/6
5
29%2/7
33%2/6
6
50%2/4
0%0/2
All
41%20/49
36%12/33

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%4/7
40%2/5
2
57%4/7
67%8/12
3
80%4/5
60%6/10
4
80%4/5
43%3/7
5
60%3/5
70%7/10
6
50%2/4
60%3/5
All
64%21/33
59%29/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#ALA ST-SC UPSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ALA STSC UPS×6KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.6
20-2SC UPSSC UPS×6KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.6
30-3SC UPSSC UPS×6BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Kensley Haneline+0.5
40-4SC UPSSC UPS×6KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.5
50-5SC UPSSC UPS×6KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
60-6SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstateaced Emani Green+0.3
71-6SC UPSALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Julia Slaughter+0.2
82-6ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
93-6ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
103-7ALA STSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
113-8SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
123-9SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
134-9SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate+0.2
144-10ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
155-10SC UPSALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
165-11ALA STSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
175-12SC UPSSC UPSAttack errDenver Watkins+0.2
186-12SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate+0.2
196-13ALA STSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
207-13SC UPSALA STAttack errBri Brathol+0.2
217-14ALA STSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
228-14SC UPSALA ST×3Serve errUSC Upstate+0.1
239-14ALA STALA ST×3AceAlabama St.+0.3
2410-14ALA STALA ST×3Attack errBri Brathol+0.4
2510-15ALA STSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
2611-15SC UPSALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
2712-15ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Mirra Riddle+0.6
2812-16ALA STSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.5
2912-17SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.5
3012-18SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
3113-18ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3214-18ALA STALA ST×5AceAlabama St.aced Brielle Ellis+0.4
3315-18ALA STALA ST×5Attack errSummer Kohler+0.6
3416-18ALA STALA ST×5KillKaylen Hinesset Kamyla Vega David+0.9
3517-18ALA STALA ST×5AceAlabama St.+1.3
3617-19ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
3718-19SC UPSALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.1
3818-20ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
3919-20SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+1.2
4019-21ALA STSC UPSBlockedLyric Edwardsblk Tien Murray, Bri Brathol+1.3
4120-21SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate+1.3
4220-22ALA STSC UPSKillBri Bratholset Bri Brathol+1.5
4320-23SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Summer Kohler+1.3
4421-23SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate+0.7
4522-23ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Mirra Riddle+1.7
4622-24ALA STSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.0
4722-25SC UPSSC UPSAttack errKaylen Hines+1.2
Set 2
10-1SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.5
20-2SC UPSSC UPSKillKamyla Vega Davidset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
31-2SC UPSALA STAttack errSummer Kohler+0.4
41-3ALA STSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
51-4SC UPSSC UPS×4BlockedKaylen Hinesblk Summer Kohler, Tien Murray+0.4
61-5SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errMakeda Edwards+0.3
71-6SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
82-6SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate+0.2
92-7ALA STSC UPSServe errAlabama St.+0.2
102-8SC UPSSC UPSBlockedKaylen Hinesblk Tien Murray, Bri Brathol+0.2
113-8SC UPSALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
123-9ALA STSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
134-9SC UPSALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Jaci Moore+0.1
144-10ALA STSC UPS×4KillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
154-11SC UPSSC UPS×4KillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
164-12SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.1
174-13SC UPSSC UPS×4KillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
185-13SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Mirra Riddle·
195-14ALA STSC UPS×3KillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
205-15SC UPSSC UPS×3Bad setJaci Moore·
215-16SC UPSSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David·
226-16SC UPSALA ST×3KillDenver Watkinsset Emani Green·
237-16ALA STALA ST×3KillDenver Watkinsset Kaylen Hines·
248-16ALA STALA ST×3KillDenver Watkinsset Mirra Riddle·
258-17ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David·
269-17SC UPSALA STServe errUSC Upstate·
279-18ALA STSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David·
289-19SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt·
299-20SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errMakeda Edwards·
309-21SC UPSSC UPS×4KillCora Hamiltonset Kamyla Vega David·
3110-21SC UPSALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay·
3211-21ALA STALA STAceAlabama St.aced Summer Kohler·
3311-22ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David·
3412-22SC UPSALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3513-22ALA STALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3613-23ALA STSC UPSKillCora Hamiltonset Kamrynn Clay·
3714-23SC UPSALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3814-24ALA STSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David·
3914-25SC UPSSC UPSKillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David·
Set 3
11-0ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
21-1ALA STSC UPS×3KillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
31-2SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.2
41-3SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errKaylen Hines+0.2
52-3SC UPSALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
63-3ALA STALA ST×3Attack errTien Murray+0.3
74-3ALA STALA ST×3BlockedBri Bratholblk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines+0.3
84-4ALA STSC UPS×6Serve errAlabama St.+0.2
94-5SC UPSSC UPS×6KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
104-6SC UPSSC UPS×6KillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
114-7SC UPSSC UPS×6KillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
124-8SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstate+0.2
134-9SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstateaced Mirra Riddle+0.1
145-9SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
155-10ALA STSC UPS×4KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
165-11SC UPSSC UPS×4KillKamyla Vega Davidset Emma DeSensi+0.1
175-12SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
185-13SC UPSSC UPS×4KillBri Bratholset Kamyla Vega David·
196-13SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Ava O'Hare·
206-14ALA STSC UPSKillBri Bratholset Emma DeSensi·
216-15SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David·
227-15SC UPSALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
237-16ALA STSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David·
247-17SC UPSSC UPSKillLauren DeOrio·
258-17SC UPSALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
268-18ALA STSC UPSServe errAlabama St.·
279-18SC UPSALA ST×3Serve errUSC Upstate·
2810-18ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay·
2911-18ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay·
3011-19ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor·
3112-19SC UPSALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay·
3212-20ALA STSC UPSAttack errKaylen Hines·
3313-20SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay·
3413-21ALA STSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor·
3514-21SC UPSALA STKillDenver Watkinsset Kamrynn Clay·
3615-21ALA STALA STAceAlabama St.aced Sophia Overholt·
3715-22ALA STSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt·
3815-23SC UPSSC UPS×3Bad setKamrynn Clay·
3915-24SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Mirra Riddle·
4016-24SC UPSALA ST×3KillJulia Slaughterset Kamrynn Clay·
4117-24ALA STALA ST×3BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Lyric Edwards, Amaya Robinson·
4218-24ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay·
4318-25ALA STSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Bri Brathol·

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).