Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

West Florida def. USC Upstate 3–1

West Florida won at USC Upstate 3-1 (25-15, 19-25, 25-19, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. West Florida's Delaney Hanowell led with 16 kills, and Madalyn Mire added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set1234Sets
W FLA251925253
SC UPS152519161

Win probability

USC Upstate above 50 · West Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.7% SC UPSrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.7% to USC Upstate — set 3, W FLA 10-13 SC UPS. Attack error by Emily Breazeale. SC UPS win probability 24% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W FLA 90.5%9.5% SC UPS

West Florida wins

3-0
45.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%

USC Upstate wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%
W FLA break %
49.1% vs this opp
SC UPS break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emily BreazealeAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Emily Breazeale

    Set 3 · W FLA 10-13 SC UPS · SC UPS 24% → 27%

  2. 02
    Savannah PageKill+3.4%

    Kill by Savannah Page (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 3 · W FLA 10-12 SC UPS · SC UPS 20% → 24%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kumara Flanagain (set by Gabi Moulton)

    Set 3 · W FLA 12-13 SC UPS · W FLA 75% → 78%

  4. 04
    West FloridaAce+3.1%

    West Florida ace on Hannah Campbell

    Set 3 · W FLA 13-13 SC UPS · W FLA 78% → 81%

  5. 05

    Kill by Emily Breazeale (set by Emily Breazeale)

    Set 3 · W FLA 15-14 SC UPS · W FLA 81% → 84%

  6. 06

    Kill by Aniston Cochran

    Set 3 · W FLA 17-15 SC UPS · W FLA 84% → 87%

  7. 07
    Tien MurrayKill+2.9%

    Kill by Tien Murray (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 3 · W FLA 9-10 SC UPS · SC UPS 17% → 20%

  8. 08
    Savannah PageKill+2.8%

    Kill by Savannah Page (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 3 · W FLA 13-14 SC UPS · SC UPS 19% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416429.41420010376.522.5
415430.36710010202116
47326.15435001700429
48421.190000200219
44010.400001201437
2206.3331000700002
48227.22210010031.59.5
4014-.250020300002
4001.0001111920001
4000–000400000
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals6118155.27750326644221594
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416956.12511190010.517.5
411218.50010230111.512.5
47422.13600000031.58.5
4105.2003911100010.52.5
4000–1111210001
1019-.111010110001
4002.0003001300000
4001.000101510000
37318.22200010010.57.5
35320.10000010010.55.5
21211-.091000100001
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4824162.148464656318575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W FLA · SC UPS 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 W FLASC UPS 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 W FLASC UPS 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 W FLASC UPS 3

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 5 W FLASC UPS 3

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = West Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
38%5/13
2
59%10/17
33%5/15
3
57%8/14
47%8/17
4
73%8/11
56%10/18
5
78%7/9
65%13/20
6
55%6/11
40%4/10
All
64%49/76
48%45/93

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
47%7/15
2
60%9/15
29%4/14
3
45%9/20
31%4/13
4
35%7/20
43%6/14
5
54%7/13
22%2/9
6
50%6/12
36%4/11
All
52%48/93
36%27/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#W FLA-SC UPSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SC UPSW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+0.7
21-1W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
31-2SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Madalyn Mire+1.2
42-2SC UPSW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+0.8
52-3W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
62-4SC UPSSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kensley Haneline+1.3
73-4SC UPSW FLAServe errUSC Upstate+0.9
84-4W FLAW FLABlockedSummer Kohlerblk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell+1.2
94-5W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt+1.0
105-5SC UPSW FLA×4KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+0.9
116-5W FLAW FLA×4KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.1
127-5W FLAW FLA×4AceWest Floridaaced Bri Brathol+1.0
138-5W FLAW FLA×4Attack errTien Murray+0.8
148-6W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
159-6SC UPSW FLAAttack errSummer Kohler+0.7
169-7W FLASC UPS×3Attack errCamryn Brooks+0.7
179-8SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errKumara Flanagain+1.1
189-9SC UPSSC UPS×3Bad setKumara Flanagain+1.3
1910-9SC UPSW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.0
2011-9W FLAW FLA×3Attack errSophia Spivey+1.1
2112-9W FLAW FLA×3BlockedBri Bratholblk Gabi Moulton, Aniston Cochran+1.0
2212-10W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
2312-11SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
2413-11SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Madalyn Mire+1.0
2513-12W FLASC UPSKillKamyla Vega David+1.0
2614-12SC UPSW FLABlockedKensley Hanelineblk Aniston Cochran+1.0
2715-12W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+1.1
2815-13W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
2916-13SC UPSW FLA×5KillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+0.9
3017-13W FLAW FLA×5KillDelaney Hanowellset Tien Murray+0.9
3118-13W FLAW FLA×5KillDelaney Hanowellset Kumara Flanagain+0.6
3219-13W FLAW FLA×5Attack errSummer Kohler+0.4
3320-13W FLAW FLA×5KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.2
3420-14W FLASC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
3520-15SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt+0.2
3621-15SC UPSW FLA×5KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.3
3722-15W FLAW FLA×5BlockedTien Murrayblk Delaney Hanowell+0.2
3823-15W FLAW FLA×5BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+0.1
3924-15W FLAW FLA×5KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton·
4025-15W FLAW FLA×5Attack errSummer Kohler·
Set 2
10-1W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.6
21-1SC UPSW FLA×4Attack errSummer Kohler+0.5
32-1W FLAW FLA×4BlockedSophia Spiveyblk Delaney Hanowell, Talya Sampson+0.7
43-1W FLAW FLA×4KillGabi Moultonset Sophia Spivey+0.6
54-1W FLAW FLA×4Attack errSummer Kohler+0.5
64-2W FLASC UPS×4Serve errWest Florida+0.4
74-3SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errTalya Sampson+0.6
84-4SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Emma DeSensi+0.7
94-5SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.9
105-5SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.6
115-6W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
125-7SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Gabi Moulton+1.0
136-7SC UPSW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.7
147-7W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Emma DeSensi+0.9
157-8W FLASC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
167-9SC UPSSC UPS×3KillMorgan Powellset Summer Kohler+1.1
177-10SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errKumara Flanagain+1.2
188-10SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.8
199-10W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
209-11W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+0.9
2110-11SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+0.8
2210-12W FLASC UPSBad setEmily Breazeale+1.0
2310-13SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Hannah Campbell+1.3
2411-13SC UPSW FLAServe errUSC Upstate+0.9
2511-14W FLASC UPSAttack errGabi Moulton+1.1
2612-14SC UPSW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Karyna Werley+0.9
2712-15W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
2813-15SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.9
2913-16W FLASC UPS×3Attack errDelaney Hanowell+1.2
3013-17SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Kensley Haneline+1.5
3113-18SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedTalya Sampsonblk Morgan Powell, Kensley Haneline+1.4
3214-18SC UPSW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+0.7
3314-19W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
3415-19SC UPSW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Emily Breazeale+0.7
3515-20W FLASC UPSBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Tien Murray, Kamyla Vega David+1.1
3616-20SC UPSW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Gabi Moulton+0.6
3716-21W FLASC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
3816-22SC UPSSC UPSAttack errGabi Moulton+0.9
3917-22SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.3
4017-23W FLASC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+0.6
4118-23SC UPSW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+0.2
4218-24W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
4319-24SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.1
4419-25W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.2
Set 3
10-1SC UPSSC UPSBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Tien Murray, Summer Kohler+2.1
21-1SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.5
31-2W FLASC UPSAttack errEmily Breazeale+1.7
41-3SC UPSSC UPSAttack errDelaney Hanowell+2.4
52-3SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.7
62-4W FLASC UPSBad setCamryn Brooks+2.0
73-4SC UPSW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.8
83-5W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sophia Overholt+2.1
94-5SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.8
104-6W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+2.2
115-6SC UPSW FLAServe errUSC Upstate+1.9
126-6W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Aniston Cochran+2.3
136-7W FLASC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.1
147-7SC UPSW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.8
158-7W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+2.2
169-7W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Delaney Hanowell+2.0
179-8W FLASC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.6
189-9SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errDelaney Hanowell+2.5
199-10SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.9
2010-10SC UPSW FLAAttack errTien Murray+2.1
2110-11W FLASC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
2210-12SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.4
2310-13SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errEmily Breazeale+3.7
2411-13SC UPSW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+2.4
2512-13W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+3.2
2613-13W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Hannah Campbell+3.1
2713-14W FLASC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.8
2814-14SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+2.5
2915-14W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Emily Breazeale+3.1
3015-15W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.6
3116-15SC UPSW FLA×3Serve errUSC Upstate+2.5
3217-15W FLAW FLA×3KillAniston Cochran+2.9
3318-15W FLAW FLA×3BlockedMorgan Powellblk Aniston Cochran, Gabi Moulton+2.4
3418-16W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
3519-16SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.9
3620-16W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.8
3720-17W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
3821-17SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.4
3921-18W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+1.0
4022-18SC UPSW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.4
4123-18W FLAW FLA×3BlockedSavannah Pageblk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell+0.9
4224-18W FLAW FLA×3BlockedSavannah Pageblk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell+0.3
4324-19W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
4425-19SC UPSW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.1
Set 4
10-1W FLASC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
21-1SC UPSW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+1.1
31-2W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.3
42-2SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.1
53-2W FLAW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.4
63-3W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
73-4SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Madalyn Mire+1.7
84-4SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.2
94-5W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
105-5SC UPSW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+1.3
116-5W FLAW FLA×3KillGabi Moultonset Sophia Overholt+1.5
127-5W FLAW FLA×3KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.3
137-6W FLASC UPSAttack errGabi Moulton+1.1
148-6SC UPSW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Sophia Overholt+1.1
158-7W FLASC UPSServe errWest Florida+1.2
168-8SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Emily Breazeale+1.7
179-8SC UPSW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+1.3
1810-8W FLAW FLABlockedSavannah Pageblk Talya Sampson, Aniston Cochran+1.5
1910-9W FLASC UPSBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+1.2
2011-9SC UPSW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.2
2111-10W FLASC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.3
2212-10SC UPSW FLA×5Serve errUSC Upstate+1.3
2313-10W FLAW FLA×5KillEmily Breazealeset Delaney Hanowell+1.4
2414-10W FLAW FLA×5KillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.1
2515-10W FLAW FLA×5BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+0.8
2616-10W FLAW FLA×5BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Delaney Hanowell+0.6
2716-11W FLASC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.4
2816-12SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
2917-12SC UPSW FLA×4KillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+0.7
3018-12W FLAW FLA×4KillDelaney Hanowell+0.6
3119-12W FLAW FLA×4Attack errMorgan Powell+0.3
3220-12W FLAW FLA×4BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Delaney Hanowell+0.2
3320-13W FLASC UPSKillMorgan Powellset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
3421-13SC UPSW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Gabi Moulton+0.1
3522-13W FLAW FLABlockedMorgan Powellblk Delaney Hanowell, Gabi Moulton+0.1
3622-14W FLASC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David·
3722-15SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errEmily Breazeale·
3822-16SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Emily Breazeale+0.1
3923-16SC UPSW FLA×3Serve errUSC Upstate+0.1
4024-16W FLAW FLA×3BlockedTien Murrayblk Aniston Cochran, Gabi Moulton·
4125-16W FLAW FLA×3KillLibby Tulipset Gabi Moulton·

Score shown after each rally, West Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).