FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

USC Upstate def. N.C. Central 3–0

USC Upstate won at N.C. Central 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 28-26) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. USC Upstate's Summer Kohler led with 11 kills, and Sophia Overholt added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
SC UPS2525283
NC CEN2222260

Win probability

N.C. Central above 50 · USC Upstate below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.8% SC UPSrally 148 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.8% to USC Upstate — set 1, SC UPS 21-19 NC CEN. Kill by Tehillah Garrison (set by Sarah O'Connor). NC CEN win probability 24% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC UPS 74.1%25.9% NC CEN

USC Upstate wins

3-0
26.3%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
19.4%

N.C. Central wins

3-0
4.6%
3-1
8.9%
3-2
12.4%
SC UPS break %
47.0% vs this opp
NC CEN break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Tehillah Garrison (set by Sarah O'Connor)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 21-19 NC CEN · SC UPS 76% → 80%

  2. 02
    N.C. CentralService error+3.8%

    N.C. Central service error

    Set 1 · SC UPS 23-21 NC CEN · SC UPS 77% → 81%

  3. 03

    Kill by Tehillah Garrison (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 19-18 NC CEN · SC UPS 72% → 76%

  4. 04
    Summer KohlerKill+3.7%

    Kill by Summer Kohler (set by Tien Murray)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 18-18 NC CEN · SC UPS 68% → 72%

  5. 05

    Kill by Tabitha Newlin (set by Breylan Fairley)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 22-21 NC CEN · NC CEN 19% → 23%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kensley Haneline

    Set 1 · SC UPS 17-18 NC CEN · SC UPS 65% → 68%

  7. 07
    Shalyn BellKill+3.3%

    Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Tabitha Newlin)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 14-17 NC CEN · NC CEN 33% → 37%

  8. 08
    Savannah PageBlock+3.3%

    Shalyn Bell stuffed by Savannah Page

    Set 2 · SC UPS 20-19 NC CEN · SC UPS 84% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36211.3641624020214
311335.2290008200011
37325.16000060010.57.5
37213.38500010010.57.5
3002.0000111110001
3102.5001300900001
37318.222000001018
33719-.211000010003
3013-.3331701900000
3012-.5004011830000
1000–000000000
Team totals4222130.154357566932478
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310538.132035110010.513.5
38223.26100030212.510.5
34018.222122111010.56.5
3207.286013300214
3000–2021800002
2229.000001301013
3417.42900030111.55.5
3001.000911300001
3003.000300420000
3000–100610000
23111.182002611014
11011.000000100212
1000–001110000
Team totals3411118.1953491663758970

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SC UPS · NC CEN 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 SC UPSNC CEN 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 SC UPSNC CEN 6

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 SC UPSNC CEN 4

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = USC Upstate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
50%7/14
2
88%7/8
36%4/11
3
64%7/11
50%7/14
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
67%6/9
71%15/21
6
33%6/18
25%2/8
All
58%41/71
48%37/77

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
50%6/12
2
44%7/16
33%4/12
3
78%7/9
22%2/9
4
44%7/16
36%4/11
5
43%6/14
53%8/15
6
63%5/8
50%6/12
All
52%40/77
42%30/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

148 rallies

#SC UPS-NC CENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SC UPSNC CEN×5KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.6
20-2NC CENNC CEN×5KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+2.1
30-3NC CENNC CEN×5KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.2
40-4NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Centralaced Sophia Overholt+2.2
50-5NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Centralaced Hannah Campbell+2.1
61-5NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.5
72-5SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sophia Overholt+2.0
82-6SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+1.9
93-6NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.6
103-7SC UPSNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.9
114-7NC CENSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.6
124-8SC UPSNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni+1.9
134-9NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Centralaced Summer Kohler+2.3
144-10NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Central+2.1
155-10NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.3
166-10SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Hailey Gibbons+1.9
176-11SC UPSNC CENKillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni+1.9
187-11NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.5
197-12SC UPSNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Hailey Gibbons+1.9
208-12NC CENSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.5
219-12SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+2.2
229-13SC UPSNC CENServe errUSC Upstate+2.2
2310-13NC CENSC UPS×3KillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.8
2411-13SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedMorgan Wingoblk Tien Murray+2.5
2512-13SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+2.7
2612-14SC UPSNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley+2.5
2713-14NC CENSC UPSKillSarah O'Connorset Shalyn Bell+2.2
2813-15SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.6
2914-15NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+2.3
3014-16SC UPSNC CEN×3BlockedSavannah Pageblk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell+2.7
3114-17NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Tabitha Newlin+3.3
3214-18NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errTien Murray+3.0
3315-18NC CENSC UPS×5KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.8
3416-18SC UPSSC UPS×5KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.9
3517-18SC UPSSC UPS×5KillKensley Haneline+3.4
3618-18SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSummer Kohlerset Tien Murray+3.7
3719-18SC UPSSC UPS×5KillTehillah Garrisonset Kamyla Vega David+3.8
3819-19SC UPSNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+3.1
3920-19NC CENSC UPS×3KillTehillah Garrisonset Sophia Overholt+3.3
4021-19SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTehillah Garrisonset Sarah O'Connor+3.8
4122-19SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errMya Smith+3.1
4222-20SC UPSNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Lusiana Damuni+1.7
4322-21NC CENNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+3.5
4423-21NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+3.8
4524-21SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sophia Overholt+3.3
4624-22SC UPSNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+1.1
4725-22NC CENSC UPSAttack errShalyn Bell+2.4
Set 2
11-0NC CENSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.2
21-1SC UPSNC CENServe errUSC Upstate+1.2
32-1NC CENSC UPS×5KillTien Murrayset Sarah O'Connor+1.2
43-1SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
54-1SC UPSSC UPS×5KillSummer Kohler+1.3
65-1SC UPSSC UPS×5KillTien Murray+1.2
76-1SC UPSSC UPS×5Attack errShalyn Bell+1.0
86-2SC UPSNC CENAttack errSophia Overholt+0.7
97-2NC CENSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
107-3SC UPSNC CENBlockedTehillah Garrisonblk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass+0.7
118-3NC CENSC UPS×3Attack errShalyn Bell+0.8
129-3SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Hailey Gibbons+0.8
1310-3SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Isabella Rodriguez+0.7
1410-4SC UPSNC CEN×4KillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni+0.4
1510-5NC CENNC CEN×4Serve errN.C. Central+0.7
1610-6NC CENNC CEN×4KillTabitha Newlinset Isabella Rodriguez+0.9
1710-7NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Summer Kohler+1.2
1811-7NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.0
1911-8SC UPSNC CEN×6KillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni+1.0
2011-9NC CENNC CEN×6Attack errTehillah Garrison+1.5
2111-10NC CENNC CEN×6KillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni+1.8
2211-11NC CENNC CEN×6BlockedTehillah Garrisonblk Mya Smith, Peyton Jenkins+2.0
2311-12NC CENNC CEN×6BlockedSophia Spiveyblk Peyton Jenkins, Tabitha Newlin+2.2
2411-13NC CENNC CEN×6AceN.C. Central+2.4
2512-13NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.7
2613-13SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+2.3
2713-14SC UPSNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni+2.0
2814-14NC CENSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+1.9
2914-15SC UPSNC CENBlockedSophia Spiveyblk Aniah Bass+2.1
3015-15NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+2.0
3116-15SC UPSSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.5
3216-16SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.1
3316-17NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+2.9
3417-17NC CENSC UPSBad setShalyn Bell+2.2
3517-18SC UPSNC CENAttack errKamyla Vega David+2.5
3617-19NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Sophia Overholt+3.2
3718-19NC CENSC UPS×6KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.2
3819-19SC UPSSC UPS×6KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
3920-19SC UPSSC UPS×6BlockedShalyn Bellblk Savannah Page+3.3
4021-19SC UPSSC UPS×6KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.1
4122-19SC UPSSC UPS×6KillKensley Haneline+2.4
4223-19SC UPSSC UPS×6AceUSC Upstateaced Tabitha Newlin+1.6
4323-20SC UPSNC CENServe errUSC Upstate+0.6
4424-20NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.1
4524-21SC UPSNC CENKillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni+0.4
4624-22NC CENNC CENAttack errKensley Haneline+1.1
4725-22NC CENSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.9
Set 3
11-0SC UPSSC UPSAttack errAniah Bass+0.8
21-1SC UPSNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.7
32-1NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+0.6
42-2SC UPSNC CENAttack errSummer Kohler+0.7
53-2NC CENSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Sarah O'Connor+0.7
63-3SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
74-3NC CENSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
85-3SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+0.8
96-3SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
106-4SC UPSNC CENAttack errTehillah Garrison+0.6
116-5NC CENNC CENBlockedTehillah Garrisonblk Mya Smith+0.8
127-5NC CENSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
138-5SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Talia Emmen+0.8
149-5SC UPSSC UPS×3Bad setHailey Gibbons+0.7
159-6SC UPSNC CENServe errUSC Upstate+0.5
1610-6NC CENSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.5
1710-7SC UPSNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.5
1810-8NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Centralaced Tehillah Garrison+0.8
1910-9NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedTehillah Garrisonblk Aniah Bass+0.9
2011-9NC CENSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Sarah O'Connor+0.8
2111-10SC UPSNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.8
2212-10NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+0.8
2313-10SC UPSSC UPSBlockedShalyn Bellblk Tien Murray+0.9
2413-11SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2513-12NC CENNC CENAttack errSophia Spivey+1.0
2614-12NC CENSC UPS×3Serve errN.C. Central+0.8
2715-12SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errTalia Emmen+1.0
2816-12SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errMorgan Wingo+0.8
2916-13SC UPSNC CEN×4Serve errUSC Upstate+0.5
3016-14NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errSummer Kohler+0.9
3116-15NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errSummer Kohler+1.1
3216-16NC CENNC CEN×4BlockedTien Murrayblk Morgan Wingo+1.4
3317-16NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.1
3417-17SC UPSNC CENAttack errSavannah Page+1.2
3518-17NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+1.2
3618-18SC UPSNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.2
3719-18NC CENSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.3
3819-19SC UPSNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+1.3
3919-20NC CENNC CEN×4BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Talia Emmen+1.9
4019-21NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Sophia Overholt+2.0
4119-22NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errTehillah Garrison+1.8
4220-22NC CENSC UPS×4KillSophia Spiveyset Sophia Overholt+1.0
4321-22SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSophia Spiveyset Breylan Fairley+1.8
4422-22SC UPSSC UPS×4BlockedAniah Bassblk Sophia Spivey, Kensley Haneline+2.3
4523-22SC UPSSC UPS×4AceUSC Upstate+2.7
4623-23SC UPSNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+2.1
4724-23NC CENSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+2.7
4824-24SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons+2.7
4925-24NC CENSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Sarah O'Connor+2.7
5025-25SC UPSNC CENKillAniah Bassset Hailey Gibbons+2.7
5126-25NC CENSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.7
5226-26SC UPSNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley+2.7
5327-26NC CENSC UPSServe errN.C. Central+2.7
5428-26SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Alex Fuller+3.1

Score shown after each rally, USC Upstate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).