FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026

USC Upstate def. Charleston So. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: USC Upstate 53.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

USC Upstate beat visiting Charleston So. 3-0 (25-17, 25-20, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. USC Upstate's Summer Kohler led with 11 kills.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
CHARSO1720170
SC UPS2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: USC Upstate swept Charleston So.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Charleston So. peaked at 44% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. USC Upstate went in as RallyIQ's 54% pick.

Charleston So.USC Upstate
  • Break %+19.5 pts
    29.148.6

    Points won on own serve: 36 of 74 vs 16 of 55. Charleston So. sided out 51.4% of the time.

  • Hitting+.181
    .086.267

    41 kills, 14 errors vs 26 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    USC Upstate scored 7 straight in the first set to open the set 7–0. The set finished 25–17.

USC Upstate above 50Charleston So. belowMax swing 3.2%

Charleston So.USC Upstate

Aces
Charleston So. 2·USC Upstate 7
Serve err
Charleston So. 8·USC Upstate 11
Blocks
Charleston So. 5·USC Upstate 91 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Charleston So. 42·USC Upstate 52

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

USC Upstate above 50 · Charleston So. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% SC UPSrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to USC Upstate — set 2, CHARSO 14-17 SC UPS. USC Upstate ace on Emersyn Reiter. SC UPS win probability 78% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHARSO 45.2%54.8% SC UPS

Charleston So. wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%

USC Upstate wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%
CHARSO break %
42.9% vs this opp
SC UPS break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    USC UpstateAce+3.2%

    USC Upstate ace on Emersyn Reiter

    Set 2 · CHARSO 14-17 SC UPS · SC UPS 78% → 81%

  2. 02

    Kill by Emersyn Reiter (set by Adeline Wieler)

    Set 2 · CHARSO 14-15 SC UPS · CHARSO 22% → 25%

  3. 03
    Summer KohlerKill+2.9%

    Kill by Summer Kohler (set by Sarah O'Connor)

    Set 2 · CHARSO 17-20 SC UPS · SC UPS 80% → 83%

  4. 04
    Alyssa HookKill+2.9%

    Kill by Alyssa Hook

    Set 2 · CHARSO 10-12 SC UPS · SC UPS 74% → 77%

  5. 05
    Kylee RobertsBlock+2.9%

    Tien Murray stuffed by Kylee Roberts

    Set 2 · CHARSO 10-10 SC UPS · CHARSO 25% → 28%

  6. 06

    Brynn Minter stuffed by Kensley Haneline & Sophia Spivey

    Set 2 · CHARSO 11-14 SC UPS · SC UPS 77% → 80%

  7. 07
    Sophia SpiveyKill+2.8%

    Kill by Sophia Spivey (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 2 · CHARSO 17-21 SC UPS · SC UPS 83% → 86%

  8. 08
    Savannah PageKill+2.8%

    Kill by Savannah Page (set by Sarah O'Connor)

    Set 2 · CHARSO 16-19 SC UPS · SC UPS 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38120.350000200008
34323.043011450216
3001.000901700000
2206.33300020010.52.5
20411-.364012500001
2124-.250000100001
37416.18800010010.57.5
3002.000600900000
3001.000802900000
20110-.100002101222
2000–000100000
1329.11100000010.53.5
1102.50000000010.51.5
1000–100000000
Team totals2617105.086242842718554
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311531.19410215002112
36114.357000300428
35312.167011000428
3439.11101200052.57.5
36113.38520021010.56.5
3002.0002123900002
38116.438000000219
3001.0001321800002
3000–211700001
3001.000000800000
3000–001000000
1102.500000000001
Team totals4114101.26739711522018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Charleston So. vs USC Upstate

Season series · USC Upstate leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHARSO · SC UPS 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 CHARSOSC UPS 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 CHARSOSC UPS 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 CHARSOSC UPS 7

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = Charleston So. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charleston So.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
33%3/9
2
58%7/12
27%3/11
3
78%7/9
13%1/8
4
40%6/15
0%0/7
5
42%5/12
57%8/14
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
51%38/74
29%16/55

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
53%8/15
2
88%7/8
30%3/10
3
88%7/8
36%4/11
4
50%7/14
53%8/15
5
83%5/6
58%7/12
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
71%39/55
49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#CHARSO-SC UPSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SC UPSSC UPS×7KillSummer Kohlerset Alyssa Hook+2.4
20-2SC UPSSC UPS×7Attack errEmersyn Reiter+2.3
30-3SC UPSSC UPS×7AceUSC Upstateaced Emersyn Reiter+2.2
40-4SC UPSSC UPS×7AceUSC Upstateaced Emersyn Reiter+2.1
50-5SC UPSSC UPS×7KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.9
60-6SC UPSSC UPS×7KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
70-7SC UPSSC UPS×7KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
81-7SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.0
91-8CHARSOSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
102-8SC UPSCHARSOAttack errTien Murray+0.9
112-9CHARSOSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
123-9SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+0.9
133-10CHARSOSC UPSBad setCara McLean+1.1
144-10SC UPSCHARSOKillEmma Bednarekset Cara McLean+0.9
155-10CHARSOCHARSOBlockedKensley Hanelineblk Emma Bednarek, Emersyn Reiter+1.4
165-11CHARSOSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+1.4
176-11SC UPSCHARSOKillLaila Hiltonset Cara McLean+1.1
186-12CHARSOSC UPSAttack errDillia Lowry+1.4
197-12SC UPSCHARSOKillDillia Lowryset Cara McLean+1.1
208-12CHARSOCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.7
218-13CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+1.7
229-13SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.4
239-14CHARSOSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
2410-14SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.4
2510-15CHARSOSC UPSBlockedBrynn Minterblk Tien Murray, Sophia Spivey+1.7
2610-16SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Emersyn Reiter+1.7
2711-16SC UPSCHARSOAttack errSummer Kohler+1.0
2811-17CHARSOSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
2912-17SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.0
3013-17CHARSOCHARSOAceCharleston So.aced Alyssa Hook+1.7
3113-18CHARSOSC UPS×3Serve errCharleston So.+1.8
3213-19SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Hannah Campbell+1.6
3313-20SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errEmersyn Reiter+1.0
3414-20SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+0.5
3514-21CHARSOSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+0.7
3614-22SC UPSSC UPSBlockedDillia Lowryblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+0.4
3715-22SC UPSCHARSOAttack errTien Murray+0.1
3816-22CHARSOCHARSOAttack errSavannah Page+0.3
3916-23CHARSOSC UPSServe errCharleston So.+0.5
4017-23SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Adeline Wieler+0.2
4117-24CHARSOSC UPSBlockedBrynn Minterblk Tien Murray, Sophia Spivey+0.3
4217-25SC UPSSC UPSBlockedBrynn Minterblk Tien Murray, Sophia Spivey+0.1
Set 2
11-0CHARSOCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Adeline Wieler+2.3
21-1CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.8
32-1SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.9
42-2CHARSOSC UPSAttack errKylee Roberts+1.9
52-3SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
63-3SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.9
74-3CHARSOCHARSOBad setAlyssa Hook+2.5
84-4CHARSOSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David+2.0
95-4SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+2.0
105-5CHARSOSC UPS×3Serve errCharleston So.+2.0
115-6SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Summer Kohler+2.5
125-7SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errLaila Hilton+2.5
136-7SC UPSCHARSOAttack errAlyssa Hook+2.0
146-8CHARSOSC UPSServe errCharleston So.+2.1
157-8SC UPSCHARSOKillLaila Hiltonset Cara McLean+2.0
167-9CHARSOSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+2.1
178-9SC UPSCHARSOBlockedSummer Kohlerblk Kylee Roberts, Laila Hilton+2.1
188-10CHARSOSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+2.2
199-10SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+2.1
2010-10CHARSOCHARSOBlockedTien Murrayblk Kylee Roberts+2.9
2110-11CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
2210-12SC UPSSC UPSKillAlyssa Hook+2.9
2311-12SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+2.3
2411-13CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
2511-14SC UPSSC UPSBlockedBrynn Minterblk Kensley Haneline, Sophia Spivey+2.8
2612-14SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+2.1
2712-15CHARSOSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
2813-15SC UPSCHARSOKillLaila Hiltonset Cara McLean+2.1
2914-15CHARSOCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Adeline Wieler+3.1
3014-16CHARSOSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+2.8
3114-17SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Emersyn Reiter+3.2
3214-18SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedLaila Hiltonblk Summer Kohler, Kensley Haneline+2.7
3315-18SC UPSCHARSOKillEmma Bednarekset Cara McLean+1.7
3416-18CHARSOCHARSOKillLaila Hiltonset Cara McLean+2.8
3516-19CHARSOSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+2.8
3617-19SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+2.3
3717-20CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor+2.9
3817-21SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+2.8
3918-21SC UPSCHARSOKillEmersyn Reiterset Tristin Sutton+1.5
4018-22CHARSOSC UPSServe errCharleston So.+2.3
4118-23SC UPSSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
4219-23SC UPSCHARSOAttack errSophia Spivey+0.6
4319-24CHARSOSC UPSServe errCharleston So.+1.1
4420-24SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+0.3
4520-25CHARSOSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+0.7
Set 3
10-1SC UPSSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Alyssa Hook+1.4
21-1SC UPSCHARSO×3Attack errSummer Kohler+1.2
32-1CHARSOCHARSO×3AceCharleston So.+1.5
43-1CHARSOCHARSO×3BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Jenna Kitchens, Grace Smith+1.5
53-2CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
64-2SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Tristin Sutton+1.2
74-3CHARSOSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
85-3SC UPSCHARSOKillFaith Burchset Adeline Wieler+1.3
95-4CHARSOSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David+1.2
105-5SC UPSSC UPSAttack errJenna Kitchens+1.6
116-5SC UPSCHARSO×4KillLaila Hiltonset Cara McLean+1.3
127-5CHARSOCHARSO×4Attack errKensley Haneline+1.6
138-5CHARSOCHARSO×4BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Kylee Roberts, Emersyn Reiter+1.6
149-5CHARSOCHARSO×4KillEmersyn Reiterset Adeline Wieler+1.5
159-6CHARSOSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Sarah O'Connor+1.1
169-7SC UPSSC UPSBlockedEmersyn Reiterblk Savannah Page, Kensley Haneline+1.5
1710-7SC UPSCHARSOAttack errSummer Kohler+1.4
1810-8CHARSOSC UPS×4Serve errCharleston So.+1.2
1910-9SC UPSSC UPS×4AceUSC Upstateaced Emersyn Reiter+1.7
2010-10SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errLaila Hilton+1.8
2110-11SC UPSSC UPS×4BlockedLaila Hiltonblk Tien Murray, Summer Kohler+1.9
2211-11SC UPSCHARSOServe errUSC Upstate+1.5
2311-12CHARSOSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+1.6
2412-12SC UPSCHARSOKillGrace Smithset Tristin Sutton+1.6
2512-13CHARSOSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.6
2612-14SC UPSSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David+2.0
2713-14SC UPSCHARSOKillJenna Kitchensset Tristin Sutton+1.5
2813-15CHARSOSC UPSAttack errFaith Burch+1.7
2914-15SC UPSCHARSOKillJenna Kitchensset Ola Matusiak+1.6
3014-16CHARSOSC UPS×7Serve errCharleston So.+1.8
3114-17SC UPSSC UPS×7Bad setCara McLean+2.0
3214-18SC UPSSC UPS×7BlockedJenna Kitchensblk Kensley Haneline, Alyssa Hook+1.7
3314-19SC UPSSC UPS×7KillSavannah Pageset Sarah O'Connor+1.3
3414-20SC UPSSC UPS×7AceUSC Upstate+0.9
3514-21SC UPSSC UPS×7AceUSC Upstate+0.5
3614-22SC UPSSC UPS×7KillAlyssa Hookset Sarah O'Connor+0.3
3715-22SC UPSCHARSO×3KillJenna Kitchensset Cara McLean+0.1
3816-22CHARSOCHARSO×3KillLaila Hiltonset Adeline Wieler+0.2
3917-22CHARSOCHARSO×3KillLaila Hiltonset Adeline Wieler+0.4
4017-23CHARSOSC UPS×3KillLauren DeOrioset Sarah O'Connor+0.5
4117-24SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Hannah Campbell+0.2
4217-25SC UPSSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Sarah O'Connor·

Score shown after each rally, Charleston So. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).