USC Upstate vs Gardner-Webb: Gardner-Webb Wins 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Gardner-Webb 57.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Gardner-Webb beat visiting USC Upstate 3-0 (25-20, 25-18, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Milla Lugo and Peyton Slone led Gardner-Webb with 8 kills each; USC Upstate's Kensley Haneline had a match-high 9.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SC UPS	20	18	16	0
G WEBB	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Gardner-Webb swept USC Upstate.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.1 points. USC Upstate peaked at 45% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Gardner-Webb 57% before first serve.

USC UpstateGardner-Webb

Break %+16.9 pts
39.356.2
On serve: 41/73 against 22/56 (USC Upstate sideout 43.8%).
Hitting+.158
.083.241
39 K / 12 E against 27 K / 17 E.
Longest run+2
46
Down 6–9 in the third set, Gardner-Webb scored 6 straight to lead 12–9. That set ended 25–16.

Gardner-Webb above 50USC Upstate belowMax swing 3.1%

USC UpstateGardner-Webb

Aces: USC Upstate 5·Gardner-Webb 6
Serve err: USC Upstate 10·Gardner-Webb 8
Blocks: USC Upstate 4·Gardner-Webb 110 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs: USC Upstate 52·Gardner-Webb 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Gardner-Webb above 50 · USC Upstate below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Gardner-Webb — set 1, SC UPS 13-16 G WEBB. Ace by Caroline Franklin on Summer Kohler. G WEBB win probability 63% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC UPS 39.7%60.3% G WEBB

USC Upstate wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

Gardner-Webb wins

3-0

17.3%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

SC UPS break %: 42.8% vs this opp
G WEBB break %: 44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Caroline FranklinAce+3.1%
Ace by Caroline Franklin on Summer Kohler
Set 1 · SC UPS 13-16 G WEBB · G WEBB 63% → 66%
02
Alyssa HookKill+2.9%
Kill by Alyssa Hook (set by Emma DeSensi)
Set 1 · SC UPS 11-12 G WEBB · SC UPS 37% → 40%
03
Summer KohlerKill+2.8%
Kill by Summer Kohler (set by Emma DeSensi)
Set 1 · SC UPS 15-17 G WEBB · SC UPS 33% → 36%
04
Peyton SloneKill+2.8%
Kill by Peyton Slone (set by Ella Moss)
Set 1 · SC UPS 15-19 G WEBB · G WEBB 67% → 70%
05
Milla Lugo&Parker LaFontaineBlock+2.7%
Summer Kohler stuffed by Milla Lugo & Parker LaFontaine
Set 1 · SC UPS 7-9 G WEBB · G WEBB 59% → 62%
06
USC UpstateService error+2.7%
USC Upstate service error
Set 1 · SC UPS 13-15 G WEBB · G WEBB 60% → 63%
07
Samia Sayd&Milla LugoBlock+2.6%
Alyssa Hook stuffed by Samia Sayd & Milla Lugo
Set 1 · SC UPS 13-17 G WEBB · G WEBB 66% → 69%
08
Parker LaFontaineKill+2.6%
Kill by Parker LaFontaine (set by Olivia Lefebvre)
Set 1 · SC UPS 8-11 G WEBB · G WEBB 62% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

USC Upstateaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kensley HanelineMB	3	9	5	22	.182	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	10
0Summer KohlerOH	3	6	2	36	.111	0	2	2	10	2	1	0.5	8.5
6Savannah PageOH	3	4	2	19	.105	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	4.5
23Sarah O'ConnorS	3	1	0	2	.500	8	0	0	7	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Tien MurrayMB	3	0	0	4	.000	2	0	1	1	0	2	1	1
8Sophia OverholtL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
10Sophia SpiveyOH	3	3	2	14	.071	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	3
2Hannah CampbellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
13Emma DeSensiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	4	1	0	0	0
5Alyssa HookOH	2	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
20Kamyla Vega DavidS	2	0	0	3	.000	11	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
19Tehillah GarrisonOH	2	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Brielle EllisL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
9Cora HamiltonMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	17	120	.083	26	5	10	52	6	8	4	54

Gardner-Webbhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Caroline FranklinOH	3	5	2	11	.273	1	4	1	2	0	1	4	3	12
8Milla LugoMB	3	8	1	15	.467	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	11
11Peyton SloneOH	3	8	1	24	.292	0	0	2	13	1	0	2	1	9
9Sarina GalyeanOH	3	7	3	20	.200	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Parker LaFontaineMB	3	3	2	13	.077	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
10Olivia LefebvreS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
1Samia SaydOH	3	6	2	15	.267	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	3	9
14Kiera VazquezOH	3	2	0	3	.667	0	1	2	11	0	0	0	0	3
12Ella MossL/DS	3	0	1	4	-.250	6	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	1
23Aleina ManaoisS	3	0	0	7	.000	16	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
22Kadie CardozoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	12	112	.241	36	6	8	64	5	1	20	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

USC Upstate vs Gardner-Webb

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 16, 2026USC Upstate at Gardner-Webb · Gardner-Webb won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Gardner-Webb at USC Upstate · USC Upstate won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SC UPS · G WEBB 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 SC UPSG WEBB 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 SC UPSG WEBB 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 SC UPSG WEBB 6

Bars above the line = Gardner-Webb leads, below = USC Upstate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

USC Upstate

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	33%2/6
2	71%5/7	50%5/10
3	67%4/6	17%1/6
4	33%4/12	20%1/5
5	40%4/10	33%2/6
6	75%3/4	33%2/6
All	51%25/49	33%13/39

Gardner-Webb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	33%2/6
2	63%5/8	44%4/9
3	71%5/7	44%4/9
4	80%4/5	60%6/10
5	57%4/7	64%7/11
6	75%3/4	25%1/4
All	67%26/39	49%24/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	SC UPS-G WEBB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Sarina Galyean		+2.4
2	1-1	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.9
3	2-1	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.9
4	2-2	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.9
5	2-3	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Bad set	Sarah O'Connor		+2.5
6	2-4	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Blocked	Summer Kohler	blk Caroline Franklin	+2.4
7	3-4	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Emma DeSensi	+1.9
8	4-4	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Sarina Galyean		+2.5
9	4-5	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.0
10	5-5	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Sarah O'Connor	+2.0
11	5-6	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Kiera Vazquez		+2.1
12	6-6	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Alyssa Hook	set Emma DeSensi	+2.1
13	6-7	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Aleina Manaois	+2.1
14	7-7	G WEBB	SC UPS	Blocked	Parker LaFontaine	blk Kensley Haneline, Sarah O'Connor	+2.2
15	7-8	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.2
16	7-9	G WEBB	G WEBB	Blocked	Summer Kohler	blk Milla Lugo, Parker LaFontaine	+2.7
17	8-9	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+2.1
18	8-10	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.2
19	8-11	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.6
20	8-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.4
21	9-12	G WEBB	SC UPS×3	Blocked	Parker LaFontaine	blk Summer Kohler, Tien Murray	+1.6
22	10-12	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Ace	USC Upstate		+2.5
23	11-12	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Alyssa Hook	set Emma DeSensi	+2.9
24	11-13	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.4
25	12-13	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Alyssa Hook	set Tien Murray	+2.3
26	12-14	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Caroline Franklin	set Aleina Manaois	+2.5
27	13-14	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+2.4
28	13-15	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.7
29	13-16	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Ace	Caroline Franklin	aced Summer Kohler	+3.1
30	13-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Blocked	Alyssa Hook	blk Samia Sayd, Milla Lugo	+2.6
31	14-17	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.7
32	15-17	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Emma DeSensi	+2.8
33	15-18	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Aleina Manaois	+2.6
34	15-19	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Ella Moss	+2.8
35	16-19	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.6
36	16-20	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.2
37	17-20	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+1.6
38	17-21	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Olivia Lefebvre	+2.2
39	17-22	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+1.8
40	17-23	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Ace	Ella Moss	aced Emma DeSensi	+0.9
41	18-23	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+0.3
42	19-23	SC UPS	SC UPS	Ace	USC Upstate	aced Ella Moss	+0.7
43	19-24	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.0
44	20-24	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.3
45	20-25	SC UPS	G WEBB	Attack err	Kensley Haneline		+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	G WEBB	SC UPS	Attack err	Sarina Galyean		+1.8
2	1-1	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+1.7
3	2-1	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.8
4	2-2	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Kill	Caroline Franklin	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.8
5	2-3	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Blocked	Kensley Haneline	blk Caroline Franklin, Sarina Galyean	+2.3
6	2-4	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Ella Moss	+2.2
7	3-4	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.7
8	4-4	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Caroline Franklin		+2.3
9	4-5	SC UPS	G WEBB×5	Kill	Caroline Franklin	set Aleina Manaois	+1.9
10	4-6	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Ace	Kiera Vazquez		+2.3
11	4-7	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Ella Moss	+2.2
12	4-8	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Attack err	Kensley Haneline		+2.0
13	4-9	G WEBB	G WEBB×5	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Aleina Manaois	+1.8
14	5-9	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+1.2
15	6-9	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Ella Moss		+1.9
16	6-10	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Caroline Franklin	+1.7
17	6-11	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Aleina Manaois	+1.8
18	6-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Ace	Caroline Franklin		+1.5
19	7-12	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+1.0
20	8-12	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Peyton Slone		+1.6
21	8-13	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Aleina Manaois	+1.5
22	9-13	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+1.2
23	10-13	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Tien Murray	+1.9
24	10-14	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.8
25	10-15	G WEBB	G WEBB	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Ella Moss	+1.9
26	11-15	G WEBB	SC UPS×3	Kill	Savannah Page	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.2
27	12-15	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Ace	USC Upstate		+2.0
28	13-15	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Blocked	Milla Lugo	blk Savannah Page, Kensley Haneline	+2.5
29	13-16	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.3
30	14-16	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Hannah Campbell	+2.0
31	14-17	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.4
32	15-17	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+2.0
33	15-18	SC UPS	G WEBB×3	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.5
34	15-19	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Kill	Kiera Vazquez	set Aleina Manaois	+2.6
35	15-20	G WEBB	G WEBB×3	Attack err	Alyssa Hook		+1.9
36	16-20	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.0
37	16-21	SC UPS	G WEBB×4	Blocked	Alyssa Hook	blk Caroline Franklin, Samia Sayd	+1.4
38	16-22	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Blocked	Alyssa Hook	blk Samia Sayd, Milla Lugo	+1.1
39	16-23	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Aleina Manaois	+0.5
40	16-24	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Ace	Caroline Franklin		+0.2
41	17-24	G WEBB	SC UPS	Blocked	Samia Sayd	blk Tehillah Garrison, Tien Murray	·
42	18-24	SC UPS	SC UPS	Bad set	Aleina Manaois		+0.1
43	18-25	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Aleina Manaois	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	SC UPS	SC UPS	Ace	USC Upstate		+1.4
2	2-0	SC UPS	SC UPS	Ace	USC Upstate	aced Peyton Slone	+1.4
3	2-1	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+1.1
4	3-1	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.2
5	4-1	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.4
6	4-2	SC UPS	G WEBB×4	Attack err	Kensley Haneline		+1.1
7	4-3	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Blocked	Tehillah Garrison	blk Caroline Franklin	+1.4
8–12	6-6		SC UPS 2 · G WEBB 3	NCAA feed gap5 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.8
13	7-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Tehillah Garrison	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.6
14	8-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Bad set	Samia Sayd		+1.7
15	9-6	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Attack err	Caroline Franklin		+1.6
16	9-7	SC UPS	G WEBB×6	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Kiera Vazquez	+1.2
17	9-8	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Ace	Caroline Franklin	aced Summer Kohler	+1.6
18	9-9	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Aleina Manaois	+1.7
19	9-10	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Samia Sayd	set Aleina Manaois	+1.7
20	9-11	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Blocked	Tehillah Garrison	blk Milla Lugo, Samia Sayd	+1.7
21	9-12	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Aleina Manaois	+1.6
22	10-12	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Sarah O'Connor	set Aleina Manaois	+1.2
23	11-12	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Samia Sayd		+1.7
24	11-13	SC UPS	G WEBB×6	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Aleina Manaois	+1.4
25	11-14	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Blocked	Savannah Page	blk Peyton Slone, Milla Lugo	+1.7
26	11-15	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Blocked	Savannah Page	blk Peyton Slone, Milla Lugo	+1.5
27	11-16	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Milla Lugo	set Olivia Lefebvre	+1.2
28	11-17	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Peyton Slone	set Ella Moss	+0.9
29	11-18	G WEBB	G WEBB×6	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.6
30	12-18	G WEBB	SC UPS	Serve err	Gardner-Webb		+0.3
31	13-18	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.6
32	13-19	SC UPS	G WEBB	Kill	Parker LaFontaine	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.7
33	14-19	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
34	14-20	SC UPS	G WEBB	Serve err	USC Upstate		+0.6
35	14-21	G WEBB	G WEBB	Attack err	Sophia Spivey		+0.5
36	15-21	G WEBB	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.2
37	16-21	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
38	16-22	SC UPS	G WEBB×4	Kill	Sarina Galyean	set Olivia Lefebvre	+0.5
39	16-23	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Bad set	Kamyla Vega David		+0.3
40	16-24	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Blocked	Kensley Haneline	blk Samia Sayd, Caroline Franklin	+0.1
41	16-25	G WEBB	G WEBB×4	Kill	Caroline Franklin	set Aleina Manaois	·

Score shown after each rally, USC Upstate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Gardner-Webb def. USC Upstate 3–0

No set was closer than 5 points: Gardner-Webb swept USC Upstate.