Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

South Dakota def. Air Force 3–1

South Dakota beat visiting Air Force 3-1 (16-25, 25-20, 25-17, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Lauren Medeck led South Dakota with 15 kills; Air Force's Alysa Walker had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set1234Sets
AIRFOR252017211
SO DAK162525253

Win probability

South Dakota above 50 · Air Force below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.1% AIRFORrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Air Force — set 3, AIRFOR 16-17 SO DAK. Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd). SO DAK win probability 87% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

AIRFOR 11.5%88.5% SO DAK

Air Force wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-2
6.4%

South Dakota wins

3-0
41.9%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.9%
AIRFOR break %
35.6% vs this opp
SO DAK break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Grace FiaseuKill+3.1%

    Kill by Grace Fiaseu (set by Mia Loyd)

    Set 3 · AIRFOR 16-17 SO DAK · AIRFOR 13% → 16%

  2. 02
    Morgan BodeAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Morgan Bode

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 6-5 SO DAK · AIRFOR 29% → 32%

  3. 03
    Chloe KmiecikKill+2.8%

    Kill by Chloe Kmiecik (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 3 · AIRFOR 16-19 SO DAK · SO DAK 86% → 89%

  4. 04

    Jenness Orcutt stuffed by Ava Ball & Morgan Bode

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 6-7 SO DAK · SO DAK 70% → 73%

  5. 05
    Air ForceAce+2.6%

    Air Force ace

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 10-11 SO DAK · AIRFOR 24% → 27%

  6. 06
    Sonia OkparaKill+2.5%

    Kill by Sonia Okpara

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 4-4 SO DAK · AIRFOR 26% → 29%

  7. 07

    Kill by Annamaria Ramos (set by Samantha Pope)

    Set 1 · AIRFOR 18-14 SO DAK · AIRFOR 20% → 23%

  8. 08
    South DakotaAce+2.5%

    South Dakota ace on Annamaria Ramos

    Set 2 · AIRFOR 7-9 SO DAK · SO DAK 72% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418746.23910014100018
415039.38500192010.515.5
47218.2781243012211
44120.150000201226
4112.0002301600001
3328.125000100003
43215.067000000003
4000–1723700002
4000–3111010001
3000–3001720000
2012-.50000000010.50.5
2000–001000000
Team totals5116150.2334851169726583
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412221.4760220006317
415546.217200140010.515.5
413123.5220003004215
4418.37542231800006
4038-.375112111010.51.5
31012.083100300001
4000–011810001
4000–6121310001
37321.190000200218
2309.333000101225
Team totals5515148.27052710735116991

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 AIRFOR · SO DAK 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 AIRFORSO DAK 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 AIRFORSO DAK 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 AIRFORSO DAK 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 2 AIRFORSO DAK 5

Bars above the line = South Dakota leads, below = Air Force leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Air Force

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
44%7/16
2
48%10/21
27%4/15
3
50%9/18
33%5/15
4
62%8/13
18%2/11
5
67%8/12
50%8/16
6
80%8/10
27%3/11
All
60%54/90
35%29/84

South Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
31%4/13
2
83%10/12
47%9/19
3
67%10/15
44%8/18
4
50%9/18
55%11/20
5
73%8/11
11%1/9
6
50%7/14
27%3/11
All
65%55/84
40%36/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#AIRFOR-SO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SO DAKAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Avery Van Hook+0.9
22-0AIRFORAIRFOR×3AceAir Force+1.5
33-0AIRFORAIRFOR×3KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.6
43-1AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+1.0
54-1SO DAKAIRFORBlockedLauren Medeckblk Lainie Stapleton+1.2
64-2AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.0
75-2SO DAKAIRFORAttack errAudrey Nelson+1.2
85-3AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.0
96-3SO DAKAIRFOR×5KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.2
107-3AIRFORAIRFOR×5KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.9
118-3AIRFORAIRFOR×5AceAir Forceaced Cora Hokenstad+1.9
129-3AIRFORAIRFOR×5KillAnnamaria Ramosset Aylani Correa+1.8
1310-3AIRFORAIRFOR×5KillAnnamaria Ramosset Grace Fiaseu+1.6
1410-4AIRFORSO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Gabi Zachariasen+0.8
1511-4SO DAKAIRFORBad setAvery Van Hook+1.1
1611-5AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.7
1712-5SO DAKAIRFORBlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+1.1
1813-5AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.3
1913-6AIRFORSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.5
2014-6SO DAKAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+0.9
2114-7AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+0.5
2214-8SO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.0
2315-8SO DAKAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+1.0
2415-9AIRFORSO DAK×3Serve errAir Force+0.6
2515-10SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Audrey Nelson, Morgan Bode+1.2
2615-11SO DAKSO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.5
2716-11SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+1.5
2816-12AIRFORSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.0
2916-13SO DAKSO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.8
3016-14SO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bode+2.1
3117-14SO DAKAIRFOR×4KillSonia Okparaset Samantha Pope+1.9
3218-14AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+2.5
3319-14AIRFORAIRFOR×4Attack errLauren Medeck+2.1
3420-14AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.5
3520-15AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.5
3621-15SO DAKAIRFOR×3KillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope+1.0
3722-15AIRFORAIRFOR×3BlockedAvery Van Hookblk Grace Fiaseu+0.8
3823-15AIRFORAIRFOR×3Attack errGabi Zachariasen+0.3
3923-16AIRFORSO DAKBlockedGrace Fiaseublk Gabi Zachariasen, Morgan Bode+0.1
4024-16SO DAKAIRFORAttack errGabi Zachariasen+0.1
4125-16AIRFORAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd·
Set 2
10-1AIRFORSO DAKKillAva Ballset Amanda Loschen+1.4
21-1SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.6
31-2AIRFORSO DAKKillAva Ballset Sierra Pokharel+1.5
42-2SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.7
52-3AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.5
62-4SO DAKSO DAKBlockedSonia Okparablk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode+2.1
73-4SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Samantha Pope+1.5
84-4AIRFORAIRFORKillSonia Okpara+2.5
94-5AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.6
105-5SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.8
116-5AIRFORAIRFORAttack errMorgan Bode+3.1
126-6AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.9
136-7SO DAKSO DAKBlockedJenness Orcuttblk Ava Ball, Morgan Bode+2.7
147-7SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+1.9
157-8AIRFORSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.8
167-9SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Annamaria Ramos+2.5
177-10SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Alysa Walker+2.1
188-10SO DAKAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+1.4
198-11AIRFORSO DAKKillAva Ballset Lauren Medeck+1.4
209-11SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.4
2110-11AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Force+2.6
2210-12AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+1.8
2311-12SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+1.9
2411-13AIRFORSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.9
2511-14SO DAKSO DAK×4BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Audrey Nelson, Morgan Bode+2.4
2611-15SO DAKSO DAK×4AceSouth Dakotaaced Annamaria Ramos+1.9
2711-16SO DAKSO DAK×4Bad setSamantha Pope+1.3
2812-16SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+0.7
2912-17AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.9
3013-17SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.7
3113-18AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.9
3214-18SO DAKAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Samantha Pope+0.6
3314-19AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.8
3415-19SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+0.6
3515-20AIRFORSO DAK×3KillAvery Van Hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.8
3615-21SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAva Ballset Avery Van Hook+0.7
3715-22SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Ella Vogel+0.3
3816-22SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.1
3916-23AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+0.1
4016-24SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+0.1
4117-24SO DAKAIRFOR×4KillSonia Okparaset Mia Loyd·
4218-24AIRFORAIRFOR×4AceAir Forceaced Sierra Pokharel·
4319-24AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.1
4420-24AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.2
4520-25AIRFORSO DAKAttack errAlysa Walker+0.2
Set 3
11-0SO DAKAIRFORAttack errAva Ball+1.7
21-1AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.5
31-2SO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+2.1
42-2SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.5
52-3AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.4
63-3SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.6
73-4AIRFORSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.5
83-5SO DAKSO DAK×4KillMorgan Bode+2.0
93-6SO DAKSO DAK×4AceSouth Dakotaaced Aylani Correa+1.7
103-7SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errSonia Okpara+1.4
114-7SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.9
124-8AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+0.9
134-9SO DAKSO DAKAttack errGrace Fiaseu+1.1
145-9SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.7
155-10AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.7
166-10SO DAKAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+0.7
177-10AIRFORAIRFORBad setSierra Pokharel+1.4
187-11AIRFORSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van Hook+1.0
198-11SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.0
208-12AIRFORSO DAKBad setMia Loyd+1.0
219-12SO DAKAIRFORKillLainie Stapletonset Mia Loyd+1.0
229-13AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+1.1
239-14SO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.2
2410-14SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.7
2510-15AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.8
2611-15SO DAKAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Aylani Correa+0.7
2711-16AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.8
2812-16SO DAKAIRFORAttack errLauren Medeck+0.6
2912-17AIRFORSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van Hook+0.8
3013-17SO DAKAIRFOR×4KillAnnamaria Ramosset Ella Vogel+0.6
3114-17AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Ella Vogel+1.4
3215-17AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillAlysa Walkerset Ella Vogel+2.2
3316-17AIRFORAIRFOR×4KillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+3.1
3416-18AIRFORSO DAK×3Serve errAir Force+2.3
3516-19SO DAKSO DAK×3KillChloe Kmiecikset Avery Van Hook+2.8
3616-20SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakota+1.9
3717-20SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.9
3817-21AIRFORSO DAK×5Serve errAir Force+1.2
3917-22SO DAKSO DAK×5AceSouth Dakotaaced Ella Vogel+1.0
4017-23SO DAKSO DAK×5Attack errMia Loyd+0.4
4117-24SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedZoe Kirbyblk Chloe Kmiecik+0.1
4217-25SO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook·
Set 4
10-1AIRFORSO DAKAttack errAlysa Walker+1.0
21-1SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+1.1
31-2AIRFORSO DAK×5KillAudrey Nelsonset Sierra Pokharel+1.0
41-3SO DAKSO DAK×5KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.4
51-4SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedAlysa Walkerblk Chloe Kmiecik, Audrey Nelson+1.2
61-5SO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+1.0
71-6SO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.8
82-6SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.5
93-6AIRFORAIRFORAceAir Forceaced Gabi Zachariasen+1.0
103-7AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.7
114-7SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Aylani Correa+0.7
124-8AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.7
135-8SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+0.7
145-9AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.7
155-10SO DAKSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van Hook+0.9
166-10SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.5
176-11AIRFORSO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Avery Van Hook+0.6
187-11SO DAKAIRFORKillMia Loydset Alysa Walker+0.5
198-11AIRFORAIRFORAttack errAva Ball+1.0
208-12AIRFORSO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Lauren Medeck+0.8
219-12SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.7
2210-12AIRFORAIRFORBlockedAva Ballblk Grace Fiaseu, Lainie Stapleton+1.4
2310-13AIRFORSO DAKKillChloe Kmiecikset Avery Van Hook+1.0
2411-13SO DAKAIRFORAttack errLauren Medeck+1.0
2511-14AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+1.1
2611-15SO DAKSO DAKBlockedAlysa Walkerblk Audrey Nelson, Morgan Bode+1.3
2712-15SO DAKAIRFORAttack errLauren Medeck+0.8
2812-16AIRFORSO DAKAttack errJenness Orcutt+0.9
2913-16SO DAKAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Samantha Pope+0.8
3013-17AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.9
3113-18SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.9
3214-18SO DAKAIRFORKillJenness Orcuttset Samantha Pope+0.4
3315-18AIRFORAIRFORBlockedMorgan Bodeblk Annamaria Ramos, Zoe Kirby+1.1
3415-19AIRFORSO DAKServe errAir Force+0.9
3516-19SO DAKAIRFORServe errSouth Dakota+0.7
3616-20AIRFORSO DAKKillChloe Kmiecikset Avery Van Hook+0.9
3716-21SO DAKSO DAKBlockedLainie Stapletonblk Chloe Kmiecik, Ava Ball+0.8
3817-21SO DAKAIRFORKillAlysa Walkerset Mia Loyd+0.3
3917-22AIRFORSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.5
4018-22SO DAKAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.3
4119-22AIRFORAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.8
4219-23AIRFORSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+0.8
4319-24SO DAKSO DAKAttack errAlysa Walker+0.5
4420-24SO DAKAIRFORKillGrace Fiaseuset Mia Loyd+0.1
4521-24AIRFORAIRFORKillAnnamaria Ramosset Mia Loyd+0.3
4621-25AIRFORSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Air Force first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).