FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

South Dakota def. Omaha 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: South Dakota 73.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Dakota won at Omaha 3-0 (25-22, 25-18, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Lauren Medeck led South Dakota with 10 kills; Omaha's Lara Maric had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
SO DAK2525253
OMAHA2218130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Dakota held Omaha to .092 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.9 points. Omaha peaked at 37% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. South Dakota went in as RallyIQ's 73% pick.

South DakotaOmaha
  • Break %+20.4 pts
    50.029.6

    37 of 74 on serve vs 16 of 54, so Omaha's sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.183
    .275.092

    42 kills, 12 errors vs 30 kills, 19 errors.

Omaha above 50South Dakota belowMax swing 5.9%

South DakotaOmaha

Aces
South Dakota 3·Omaha 4
Serve err
South Dakota 6·Omaha 11
Blocks
South Dakota 8·Omaha 52 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
South Dakota 61·Omaha 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Omaha above 50 · South Dakota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.9% SO DAKrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.9% to South Dakota — set 1, SO DAK 24-22 OMAHA. Kill by Audrey Nelson (set by Avery Van Hook). OMAHA win probability 23% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SO DAK 84.9%15.1% OMAHA

South Dakota wins

3-0
36.9%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.6%

Omaha wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
8.0%
SO DAK break %
43.4% vs this opp
OMAHA break %
35.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Audrey NelsonKill+5.9%

    Kill by Audrey Nelson (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 24-22 OMAHA · SO DAK 77% → 83%

  2. 02

    Lauren Medeck stuffed by Lara Maric & Dara Obeid

    Set 1 · SO DAK 22-22 OMAHA · OMAHA 22% → 28%

  3. 03
    Lauren MedeckKill+4.6%

    Kill by Lauren Medeck (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 22-20 OMAHA · SO DAK 76% → 80%

  4. 04

    Madison Corf stuffed by Amanda Loschen & Audrey Nelson

    Set 1 · SO DAK 23-22 OMAHA · SO DAK 72% → 77%

  5. 05
    OmahaAce+3.9%

    Omaha ace on Sierra Pokharel

    Set 1 · SO DAK 18-18 OMAHA · OMAHA 23% → 27%

  6. 06
    Audrey NelsonKill+3.3%

    Kill by Audrey Nelson (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 21-20 OMAHA · SO DAK 72% → 76%

  7. 07
    Lara MaricKill+3.0%

    Kill by Lara Maric (set by Maddie Stuesser)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 20-20 OMAHA · OMAHA 25% → 28%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gabi Zachariasen (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 20-19 OMAHA · SO DAK 73% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38220.30002140132.512.5
310631.129000162111.511.5
38119.36810000031.59.5
38115.46710260031.59.5
36213.308000400217
32011.1823300500002
3000–011500001
3000–100800000
3000–4021220000
1000–000100000
Team totals4212109.2754036614212875
Omahahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311631.1610031002112
36523.043012100429
37233.152013200008
3329.11110020010.53.5
3105.2002011600213
3139-.22201090010.52.5
3000–300500000
3000–0021510000
3000–100820000
21110.000000000001
1000–200000000
Team totals3019120.09227411493010553

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Dakota vs Omaha

Season series · South Dakota leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SO DAK · OMAHA 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 SO DAKOMAHA 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 SO DAKOMAHA 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 4 SO DAKOMAHA 2

Bars above the line = Omaha leads, below = South Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
36%4/11
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
86%6/7
63%10/16
4
50%6/12
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
50%6/12
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
70%38/54
50%37/74

Omaha

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
0%0/6
2
50%7/14
30%3/10
3
38%6/16
22%2/9
4
67%6/9
40%4/10
5
50%6/12
33%3/9
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
50%37/74
30%16/54

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#SO DAK-OMAHASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SO DAKOMAHA×4KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
20-2OMAHAOMAHA×4Bad setAvery Van Hook+2.4
30-3OMAHAOMAHA×4KillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+2.4
40-4OMAHAOMAHA×4AceOmahaaced Lauren Medeck+2.4
51-4OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+1.3
61-5SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.6
72-5OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+1.4
83-5SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+2.3
93-6SO DAKOMAHABlockedMorgan Bodeblk Dara Obeid+1.7
104-6OMAHASO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.5
114-7SO DAKOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.8
124-8OMAHAOMAHAAttack errLauren Medeck+2.6
135-8OMAHASO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.4
145-9SO DAKOMAHAAttack errGabi Zachariasen+1.8
156-9OMAHASO DAK×3Serve errOmaha+1.4
167-9SO DAKSO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+2.5
178-9SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedAlizabeth Jacobsenblk Amanda Loschen, Gabi Zachariasen+2.7
188-10SO DAKOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+2.0
199-10OMAHASO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.7
2010-10SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Amanda Loschen+2.8
2110-11SO DAKOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+2.0
2211-11OMAHASO DAKAttack errLara Maric+1.9
2312-11SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Sarah Galligan+2.9
2412-12SO DAKOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsen+1.9
2513-12OMAHASO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Cora Hokenstad+1.9
2614-12SO DAKSO DAK×3Attack errMadison Corf+2.8
2715-12SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedDara Obeidblk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode+2.4
2815-13SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.4
2916-13OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+1.6
3017-13SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Sarah Galligan+2.0
3117-14SO DAKOMAHA×3KillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
3217-15OMAHAOMAHA×3KillFaith Venableset Emma Nash+2.2
3317-16OMAHAOMAHA×3AceOmahaaced Sierra Pokharel+2.9
3418-16OMAHASO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+2.2
3518-17SO DAKOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+2.0
3618-18OMAHAOMAHAAceOmahaaced Sierra Pokharel+3.9
3719-18OMAHASO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+2.7
3819-19SO DAKOMAHAKillMaddie Stuesserset Emma Nash+2.8
3920-19OMAHASO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+2.9
4020-20SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+3.0
4121-20OMAHASO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+3.3
4222-20SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+4.6
4322-21SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+2.3
4422-22OMAHAOMAHABlockedLauren Medeckblk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid+5.6
4523-22OMAHASO DAK×3BlockedMadison Corfblk Amanda Loschen, Audrey Nelson+4.4
4624-22SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+5.9
4725-22SO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+2.8
Set 2
11-0OMAHASO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.1
22-0SO DAKSO DAK×3Attack errAlizabeth Jacobsen+1.6
33-0SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedLara Maricblk Lauren Medeck+1.4
43-1SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
54-1OMAHASO DAKAttack errLara Maric+0.9
64-2SO DAKOMAHAServe errSouth Dakota+0.9
75-2OMAHASO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.9
86-2SO DAKSO DAKAttack errDara Obeid+1.3
96-3SO DAKOMAHA×3Serve errSouth Dakota+0.8
106-4OMAHAOMAHA×3BlockedLauren Medeckblk Dara Obeid, Maddie Stuesser+1.4
116-5OMAHAOMAHA×3Attack errLauren Medeck+1.7
127-5OMAHASO DAKAttack errFaith Venable+1.1
137-6SO DAKOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.1
148-6OMAHASO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.2
159-6SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAvery Van Hookset Morgan Bode+1.6
1610-6SO DAKSO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+1.4
1710-7SO DAKOMAHA×3Serve errSouth Dakota+0.8
1810-8OMAHAOMAHA×3KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
1910-9OMAHAOMAHA×3AceOmahaaced Lauren Medeck+1.9
2011-9OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+1.3
2112-9SO DAKSO DAKAttack errLara Maric+1.8
2212-10SO DAKOMAHAAttack errAudrey Nelson+1.1
2313-10OMAHASO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.2
2413-11SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.1
2514-11OMAHASO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.2
2615-11SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.5
2716-11SO DAKSO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.1
2816-12SO DAKOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Sarah Galligan+0.6
2917-12OMAHASO DAKAttack errMadison Corf+0.7
3018-12SO DAKSO DAKAttack errDara Obeid+0.8
3118-13SO DAKOMAHABlockedLauren Medeckblk Maddie Stuesser, Dara Obeid+0.3
3218-14OMAHAOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Emma Nash+0.8
3319-14OMAHASO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.7
3420-14SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedDara Obeidblk Morgan Bode, Gabi Zachariasen+0.7
3521-14SO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.3
3621-15SO DAKOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
3722-15OMAHASO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.2
3822-16SO DAKOMAHAKillFaith Venableset Alizabeth Jacobsen+0.1
3922-17OMAHAOMAHAAttack errAmanda Loschen+0.2
4023-17OMAHASO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.2
4123-18SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
4224-18OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+0.2
4325-18SO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelson·
Set 3
11-0SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.9
21-1SO DAKOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.6
32-1OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+0.6
43-1SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.9
53-2SO DAKOMAHAAttack errAudrey Nelson+0.5
63-3OMAHAOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
74-3OMAHASO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.6
84-4SO DAKOMAHABlockedLauren Medeckblk Alizabeth Jacobsen, Lara Maric+0.6
95-4OMAHASO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.6
105-5SO DAKOMAHAKillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+0.7
116-5OMAHASO DAK×4Serve errOmaha+0.6
127-5SO DAKSO DAK×4KillGabi Zachariasenset Sierra Pokharel+0.9
138-5SO DAKSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.8
149-5SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errHayden Hart+0.7
159-6SO DAKOMAHAAttack errGabi Zachariasen+0.4
1610-6OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha+0.5
1710-7SO DAKOMAHAServe errSouth Dakota+0.4
1811-7OMAHASO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.5
1912-7SO DAKSO DAKBlockedDara Obeidblk Gabi Zachariasen+0.6
2012-8SO DAKOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.3
2113-8OMAHASO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2214-8SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2315-8SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Kate Schroetlin+0.3
2415-9SO DAKOMAHAServe errSouth Dakota+0.1
2516-9OMAHASO DAK×4KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.2
2617-9SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errLara Maric+0.2
2718-9SO DAKSO DAK×4BlockedFaith Venableblk Morgan Bode, Audrey Nelson+0.1
2819-9SO DAKSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel·
2919-10SO DAKOMAHAServe errSouth Dakota·
3019-11OMAHAOMAHAKillLara Maricset Julia Owens·
3120-11OMAHASO DAKServe errOmaha·
3220-12SO DAKOMAHAKillLara Maricset Julia Owens·
3321-12OMAHASO DAKAttack errLara Maric·
3422-12SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook·
3522-13SO DAKOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Julia Owens·
3623-13OMAHASO DAK×3Serve errOmaha·
3724-13SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook·
3825-13SO DAKSO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook·

Score shown after each rally, South Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).