Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

South Dakota def. Kansas City 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: South Dakota 97.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Dakota beat visiting Kansas City 3-1 (18-25, 25-13, 25-12, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. South Dakota's Lauren Medeck led with 20 kills, and Sierra Pokharel added 26 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
KC251312211
SO DAK182525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, South Dakota won 46 of 92 points.

Win probability never moved more than 1.1 points on one rally; Kansas City topped out at 12% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave South Dakota 97% before first serve.

Kansas CitySouth Dakota
  • Break %+15.3 pts
    34.750.0

    46 of 92 on serve vs 25 of 72, so Kansas City's sideout was 50.0%.

  • Hitting+.110
    .146.256

    59 K / 17 E against 39 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    South Dakota scored 6 straight in the third set to stretch a 3–2 lead to 9–2. The set finished 25–12.

South Dakota above 50Kansas City belowMax swing 1.1%

Kansas CitySouth Dakota

Aces
Kansas City 3·South Dakota 7
Serve err
Kansas City 7·South Dakota 9
Blocks
Kansas City 2·South Dakota 70 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Kansas City 78·South Dakota 87

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Dakota above 50 · Kansas City below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.1% KCrally 164 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Kansas City — set 4, KC 2-0 SO DAK. Kill by Ryanne Wattree. SO DAK win probability 96% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KC 4.1%95.9% SO DAK

Kansas City wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%

South Dakota wins

3-0
58.3%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
8.8%
KC break %
36.4% vs this opp
SO DAK break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ryanne Wattree

    Set 4 · KC 2-0 SO DAK · KC 4% → 5%

  2. 02
    Morgan BodeAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Morgan Bode

    Set 4 · KC 13-14 SO DAK · KC 2% → 3%

  3. 03
    Lauren MedeckKill+1.0%

    Kill by Lauren Medeck (set by Avery Van hook)

    Set 2 · KC 0-2 SO DAK · SO DAK 89% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kill by Amanda Loschen (set by Avery Van hook)

    Set 3 · KC 0-1 SO DAK · SO DAK 93% → 94%

  5. 05
    Emry BrownKill+0.9%

    Kill by Emry Brown (set by Coco Buschhorn)

    Set 1 · KC 9-3 SO DAK · KC 7% → 8%

  6. 06
    Audrey NelsonAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Audrey Nelson

    Set 1 · KC 10-3 SO DAK · KC 8% → 9%

  7. 07
    Lauren MedeckAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Lauren Medeck

    Set 1 · KC 8-3 SO DAK · KC 6% → 7%

  8. 08
    Mia WeaverKill+0.9%

    Kill by Mia Weaver (set by Chloe Kaminski)

    Set 4 · KC 1-0 SO DAK · KC 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416842.19010040010.516.5
47336.111100530007
43219.0530211420005
44112.25010260010.54.5
43215.06700010010.53.5
41011.00020011000001
45025.20010010010.55.5
4011-1.000111600001
4000–000000000
4000–4012010000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–7011100000
Team totals3917151.146363778704271
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420448.33300218002121
412226.3850003014315
410527.1851003004212
46016.375000200217
41213-.077010010002
4208.25046011700002
48426.154000300008
4000–7352600003
4000–0211200002
4000–010310001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5917164.2565479873112793

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas City vs South Dakota

Season series · South Dakota leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KC · SO DAK 6

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 KCSO DAK 3

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 KCSO DAK 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 KCSO DAK 6

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 KCSO DAK 2

Bars above the line = South Dakota leads, below = Kansas City leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas City

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%2/4
0%0/1
2
50%2/4
33%1/3
3
29%2/7
0%0/2
4
25%2/8
0%0/2
5
100%1/1
0%0/2
6
100%1/1
50%1/2
All
40%10/25
17%2/12

South Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%2/3
50%2/4
2
100%2/2
50%2/4
3
100%2/2
71%5/7
4
100%2/2
75%6/8
5
50%1/2
0%0/1
6
100%1/1
0%0/1
All
83%10/12
60%15/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

164 rallies

#KC-SO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van hook+0.4
21-1SO DAKKC×6KillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.3
32-1KCKC×6AceKansas Cityaced Gabi Zachariasen+0.5
43-1KC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
54-1KCKC×6KillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.7
65-1KCKC×6BlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree+0.8
76-1KCKC×6KillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+0.8
86-2KCSO DAKServe errKansas City+0.5
96-3SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Chloe Kaminski+0.7
107-3SO DAKKC×4KillMila Zoric+0.6
118-3KCKC×4Attack errLauren Medeck+0.9
129-3KCKC×4KillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+0.9
1310-3KCKC×4Attack errAudrey Nelson+0.9
1410-4KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.5
1511-4SO DAKKC×3KillStella Smithset Coco Buschhorn+0.7
1612-4KCKC×3KillStella Smithset Savy Repinski+0.8
1713-4KCKC×3Attack errAudrey Nelson+0.7
1813-5KCSO DAKServe errKansas City+0.3
1914-5SO DAKKCKillEmry Brownset Savy Repinski+0.6
2014-6KCSO DAKAttack errMia Weaverset Chloe Kaminski+0.3
2115-6SO DAKKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+0.5
2216-6KCKCKillMila Zoricset Savy Repinski+0.5
2316-7KCSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasen+0.2
2417-7SO DAKKCKillMia Weaverset Megan Lawson+0.4
2517-8KCSO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van hook+0.2
2617-9SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedRyanne Wattreeblk Amanda Loschen, Audrey Nelson+0.3
2717-10SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelson+0.4
2818-10SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.5
2918-11KCSO DAKKillAmanda Loschen+0.3
3019-11SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.5
3120-11KCKCAttack errLauren Medeck+0.4
3220-12KCSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.1
3320-13SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Emry Brown+0.3
3420-14SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Emry Brown+0.4
3521-14SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota+0.5
3621-15KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.2
3721-16SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.5
3822-16SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota+0.7
3923-16KCKCAceKansas City+0.5
4023-17KCSO DAKServe errKansas City+0.1
4124-17SO DAKKCAttack errGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van hook+0.2
4224-18KCSO DAKAttack errMila Zoricset Savy Repinski·
4325-18SO DAKKCKillMila Zoricset Savy Repinski+0.1
Set 2
10-1KCSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.8
20-2SO DAKSO DAK×3KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+1.0
30-3SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.8
41-3SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.6
51-4KCSO DAK×5Bad setCoco Buschhorn+0.6
61-5SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedRyanne Wattreeblk Morgan Bode, Lauren Medeck+0.7
71-6SO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeck+0.5
81-7SO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.4
91-8SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedEmry Brownblk Morgan Bode, Audrey Nelson+0.3
102-8SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.2
112-9KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.2
123-9SO DAKKCKillEmry Brownset Chloe Kaminski+0.2
133-10KCSO DAK×5KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.2
143-11SO DAKSO DAK×5KillAvery Van hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.2
153-12SO DAKSO DAK×5KillAva Ballset Sierra Pokharel+0.1
163-13SO DAKSO DAK×5KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.1
17–184-14KC · SO DAK
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
194-15KCSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook·
205-15SO DAKKCAttack errAva Ballset Avery Van hook·
215-16KCSO DAKServe errKansas City·
226-16SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota·
237-16KCKCKillMila Zoricset Coco Buschhorn·
247-17KCSO DAKServe errKansas City·
257-18SO DAKSO DAKAttack errRyanne Wattree·
268-18SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn·
278-19KCSO DAK×3Bad setMila Zoric·
288-20SO DAKSO DAK×3KillLauren Medeck·
298-21SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook·
309-21SO DAKKC×3KillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn·
3110-21KCKC×3Attack errAudrey Nelson·
3211-21KCKC×3Attack errLauren Medeck·
3311-22KCSO DAKServe errKansas City·
3411-23SO DAKSO DAKAttack errStella Smith·
3512-23SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn·
3612-24KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook·
3713-24SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota·
3813-25KCSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook·
Set 3
10-1SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van hook+1.0
21-1SO DAKKCKillCoco Buschhornset Ryanne Wattree+0.8
31-2KCSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.7
41-3SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.9
52-3SO DAKKCBad setAvery Van hook+0.7
62-4KCSO DAK×6Serve errKansas City+0.6
72-5SO DAKSO DAK×6BlockedRyanne Wattreeblk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode+0.7
82-6SO DAKSO DAK×6BlockedStella Smithblk Morgan Bode+0.6
92-7SO DAKSO DAK×6Attack errRyanne Wattree+0.4
102-8SO DAKSO DAK×6KillLauren Medeck+0.3
112-9SO DAKSO DAK×6KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.2
123-9SO DAKKCKillMia Weaver+0.2
133-10KCSO DAKBlockedEmry Brownblk Audrey Nelson, Morgan Bode+0.2
143-11SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Mia Weaver+0.2
154-11SO DAKKCAttack errMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.1
164-12KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.1
175-12SO DAKKCBlockedAva Ballblk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith+0.1
186-12KCKCKillMia Weaver+0.2
196-13KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.2
207-13SO DAKKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Savy Repinski+0.1
217-14KCSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook+0.2
227-15SO DAKSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook+0.1
238-15SO DAKKCAttack errAva Ballset Sierra Pokharel+0.1
249-15KCKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+0.2
259-16KCSO DAKAttack errRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.2
269-17SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakota+0.1
2710-17SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.1
2810-18KCSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.1
2911-18SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota+0.1
3011-19KCSO DAK×6KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.1
3111-20SO DAKSO DAK×6AceSouth Dakotaaced Mia Weaver·
3211-21SO DAKSO DAK×6KillAvery Van hookset Sierra Pokharel·
3311-22SO DAKSO DAK×6KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook·
3411-23SO DAKSO DAK×6KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook·
3511-24SO DAKSO DAK×6KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook·
3612-24SO DAKKCKillNatalie Ptacek·
3712-25KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook·
Set 4
11-0KCKCKillMia Weaverset Chloe Kaminski+0.9
22-0KCKCKillRyanne Wattree+1.1
32-1KCSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van hook+0.7
42-2SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeck+0.9
53-2SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.7
63-3KCSO DAKAttack errRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.6
73-4SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Emry Brown+0.8
84-4SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota+0.7
94-5KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Sierra Pokharel+0.6
104-6SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.7
115-6SO DAKKCKillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+0.6
125-7KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.5
135-8SO DAKSO DAKAttack errEmry Brown+0.6
146-8SO DAKKCKillStella Smith+0.5
156-9KCSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook+0.4
166-10SO DAKSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook+0.5
177-10SO DAKKCKillMia Weaverset Natalie Ptacek+0.4
187-11KCSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van hook+0.4
198-11SO DAKKCAttack errAva Ballset Sierra Pokharel+0.4
208-12KCSO DAKBlockedMia Weaverblk Audrey Nelson, Amanda Loschen+0.4
219-12SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Mila Zoric+0.4
2210-12KCKCAttack errAudrey Nelson+0.7
2310-13KCSO DAKAttack errRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.5
2410-14SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+0.6
2511-14SO DAKKC×3Serve errSouth Dakota+0.4
2612-14KCKC×3KillEmry Brownset Coco Buschhorn+0.8
2713-14KCKC×3Attack errMorgan Bode+1.1
2813-15KCSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.8
2913-16SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.9
3014-16SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn+0.6
3114-17KCSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van hook+0.7
3215-17SO DAKKCAttack errLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.7
3315-18KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeck+0.7
3415-19SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschen+0.7
3516-19SO DAKKCKillNatalie Ptacekset Chloe Kaminski+0.4
3616-20KCSO DAKKillAva Ballset Avery Van hook+0.5
3716-21SO DAKSO DAKAttack errMegan Lawson+0.4
3817-21SO DAKKCAttack errAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.2
3917-22KCSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van hook+0.3
4017-23SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Audrey Nelson+0.2
4118-23SO DAKKCKillRyanne Wattreeset Coco Buschhorn·
4219-23KCKCAceKansas Cityaced Cora Hokenstad+0.1
4319-24KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van hook+0.2
4420-24SO DAKKCServe errSouth Dakota+0.1
4521-24KC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4621-25KCSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Kansas City first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).