Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on Midco Sports, Summit League Network, Midco Sports+

South Dakota def. North Dakota 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: South Dakota 96.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Dakota won at North Dakota 3-1 (25-14, 23-25, 25-13, 25-19) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. South Dakota's Morgan Bode led with 15 kills, and Sierra Pokharel added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set1234Sets
SO DAK252325253
NO DAK142513191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the first set broke it open for South Dakota.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.3 points. North Dakota peaked at 8% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had South Dakota at 97%.

South DakotaNorth Dakota
  • Break %+18.2 pts
    51.533.3

    Points won on own serve: 50 of 97 vs 24 of 72. North Dakota sided out 48.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.149
    .305.156

    Kills and errors: 61–14 vs 46–23.

  • Longest run+0
    77

    7 straight South Dakota points in the first set stretched an 18–14 lead to 25–14. That set ended 25–14.

North Dakota above 50South Dakota belowMax swing 2.3%

South DakotaNorth Dakota

Aces
South Dakota 11·North Dakota 6
Serve err
South Dakota 5·North Dakota 3
Blocks
South Dakota 12·North Dakota 42 BS · 20 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
South Dakota 68·North Dakota 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Dakota above 50 · South Dakota below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.3% NO DAKrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.3% to North Dakota — set 2, SO DAK 23-25 NO DAK. Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Reagan McIntosh). NO DAK win probability 6% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SO DAK 96.3%3.7% NO DAK

South Dakota wins

3-0
59.6%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
8.4%

North Dakota wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.3%
SO DAK break %
49.2% vs this opp
NO DAK break %
35.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ellee McIntosh (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 23-25 NO DAK · NO DAK 6% → 8%

  2. 02
    Andrea ZaricKill+2.0%

    Kill by Andrea Zaric (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 22-24 NO DAK · NO DAK 4% → 6%

  3. 03
    North DakotaAce+1.7%

    North Dakota ace on Cora Hokenstad

    Set 4 · SO DAK 9-11 NO DAK · NO DAK 6% → 7%

  4. 04
    Sally MarongKill+1.4%

    Kill by Sally Marong (set by Reagan McIntosh)

    Set 4 · SO DAK 9-10 NO DAK · NO DAK 4% → 6%

  5. 05
    Lilliana MontesAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Lilliana Montes

    Set 4 · SO DAK 11-11 NO DAK · SO DAK 94% → 95%

  6. 06
    Andrea ZaricKill+1.4%

    Kill by Andrea Zaric (set by Ela Vlaisavljevic)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 20-22 NO DAK · NO DAK 4% → 5%

  7. 07
    Morgan BodeKill+1.3%

    Kill by Morgan Bode (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 4 · SO DAK 13-12 NO DAK · SO DAK 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    South DakotaAce+1.3%

    South Dakota ace on Sally Marong

    Set 2 · SO DAK 22-22 NO DAK · SO DAK 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415029.5170114018521
410636.111431163132.515.5
412340.22501130010.513.5
47014.50048407004213
411222.4090001002112
46313.231100100217
4000–1211300002
4000–000410000
4000–4011910000
Team totals6114154.305581156862201298
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415639.2310004000015
413543.18620010400013
43313.000131300217
45315.13300020111.56.5
4102.5001811200002
1125-.200100000001
4115.000150050010.51.5
4000–1111000001
36321.143000400217
3000–310920001
3000–200300000
2001.000100940000
1103.333000000001
Team totals4623147.1564463611116471

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Dakota vs North Dakota

Season series · South Dakota leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SO DAK · NO DAK 7

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 7 SO DAKNO DAK 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 SO DAKNO DAK 7

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 6 SO DAKNO DAK 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 SO DAKNO DAK 3

Bars above the line = North Dakota leads, below = South Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
47%7/15
2
82%9/11
38%6/16
3
69%9/13
31%4/13
4
80%8/10
58%11/19
5
60%6/10
73%16/22
6
38%6/16
50%6/12
All
67%48/72
52%50/97

North Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
38%5/13
2
53%9/17
18%2/11
3
44%8/18
25%3/12
4
47%8/17
27%3/11
5
32%6/19
11%1/9
6
60%6/10
63%10/16
All
48%47/97
33%24/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#SO DAK-NO DAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SO DAKSO DAK×4KillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.4
22-0SO DAKSO DAK×4AceSouth Dakotaaced Bilge Balla+0.4
33-0SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errLilliana Montes+0.3
44-0SO DAKSO DAK×4AceSouth Dakotaaced Bilge Balla+0.2
54-1SO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
65-1NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Amanda Loschen+0.2
75-2SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset An de Hamer+0.2
86-2NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.2
96-3SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
106-4NO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Bilge Balla+0.3
117-4NO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.2
128-4SO DAKSO DAKBlockedOlivia Edlundblk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode+0.3
138-5SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
149-5NO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.2
159-6SO DAKNO DAK×4KillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
169-7NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.4
179-8NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAndrea Zaricset Haley Patton+0.5
189-9NO DAKNO DAK×4AceNorth Dakotaaced Lauren Medeck+0.6
1910-9NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2011-9SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.5
2111-10SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.4
2212-10NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2313-10SO DAKSO DAKAttack errAn de Hamer+0.4
2413-11SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+0.3
2514-11NO DAKSO DAKAttack errAn de Hamer+0.3
2614-12SO DAKNO DAKKillAn de Hamerset Reagan McIntosh+0.3
2715-12NO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.3
2816-12SO DAKSO DAKAttack errSally Marong+0.4
2916-13SO DAKNO DAKServe errSierra Pokharel+0.2
3017-13NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.3
3118-13SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Skylar Darr+0.2
3218-14SO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlundset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.1
3319-14NO DAKSO DAK×7KillAvery Van Hookset Avery Van Hook+0.2
3420-14SO DAKSO DAK×7KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.1
3521-14SO DAKSO DAK×7Attack errAndrea Zaric+0.1
3622-14SO DAKSO DAK×7BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Morgan Bode, Avery Van Hook·
3723-14SO DAKSO DAK×7KillMorgan Bodeset Lauren Medeck·
3824-14SO DAKSO DAK×7KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook·
3925-14SO DAKSO DAK×7KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook·
Set 2
11-0NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.2
21-1SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
32-1NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.2
43-1SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.2
53-2SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
63-3NO DAKNO DAKBlockedLauren Medeckblk Ellee McIntosh, Olivia Edlund+0.3
74-3NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.2
84-4SO DAKNO DAKAttack errLauren Medeck+0.2
95-4NO DAKSO DAK×3KillAvery Van Hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.2
106-4SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Bilge Balla+0.3
117-4SO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.2
127-5SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Olivia Edlund+0.2
138-5NO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.2
149-5SO DAKSO DAK×3Attack errOlivia Edlund+0.2
1510-5SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Bilge Balla+0.1
1610-6SO DAKNO DAK×7BlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Olivia Edlund, Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.1
1710-7NO DAKNO DAK×7AceNorth Dakotaaced Lauren Medeck+0.2
1810-8NO DAKNO DAK×7KillAndrea Zaricset Sally Marong+0.2
1910-9NO DAKNO DAK×7Attack errGabi Zachariasen+0.3
2010-10NO DAKNO DAK×7Attack errAmanda Loschen+0.4
2110-11NO DAKNO DAK×7KillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.5
2210-12NO DAKNO DAK×7AceNorth Dakotaaced Lauren Medeck+0.6
2311-12NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2411-13SO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.5
2511-14NO DAKNO DAKAceNorth Dakota+0.8
2612-14NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.4
2712-15SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.6
2813-15NO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.5
2913-16SO DAKNO DAKBlockedLauren Medeckblk Ellee McIntosh, Lilliana Montes+0.6
3014-16NO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.5
3115-16SO DAKSO DAKAttack errSally Marong+0.7
3215-17SO DAKNO DAK×3KillOlivia Edlundset Reagan McIntosh+0.7
3315-18NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLauren Medeck+1.0
3415-19NO DAKNO DAK×3KillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.9
3516-19NO DAKSO DAK×4KillAvery Van Hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.5
3617-19SO DAKSO DAK×4KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.8
3718-19SO DAKSO DAK×4BlockedEla Vlaisavljevicblk Morgan Bode+0.9
3819-19SO DAKSO DAK×4KillGabi Zachariasenset Samantha Untiedt+0.9
3919-20SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.8
4020-20NO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.7
4120-21SO DAKNO DAKServe errMorgan Bode+0.9
4220-22NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+1.4
4321-22NO DAKSO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Lauren Medeck+0.8
4422-22SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Sally Marong+1.3
4522-23SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+1.3
4622-24NO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+2.0
4723-24NO DAKSO DAKServe errNorth Dakota+0.8
4823-25SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+2.3
Set 3
11-0SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Sally Marong+1.1
21-1SO DAKNO DAKBlockedAmanda Loschenblk Lilliana Montes+0.9
32-1NO DAKSO DAK×6KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.8
43-1SO DAKSO DAK×6KillAudrey Nelsonset Lauren Medeck+0.9
54-1SO DAKSO DAK×6AceSouth Dakota+0.8
65-1SO DAKSO DAK×6Attack errSally Marong+0.6
76-1SO DAKSO DAK×6BlockedSally Marongblk Audrey Nelson, Amanda Loschen+0.5
87-1SO DAKSO DAK×6Attack errLilliana Montes+0.3
97-2SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Katie Paez+0.2
108-2NO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.3
119-2SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.3
129-3SO DAKNO DAKAttack errAudrey Nelson+0.2
1310-3NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.2
1410-4SO DAKNO DAKKillEla Vlaisavljevicset Skylar Darr+0.2
1511-4NO DAKSO DAK×5KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.2
1612-4SO DAKSO DAK×5AceSouth Dakotaaced Sally Marong+0.2
1713-4SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedOlivia Edlundblk Morgan Bode, Gabi Zachariasen+0.1
1814-4SO DAKSO DAK×5BlockedAndrea Zaricblk Avery Van Hook, Morgan Bode+0.1
1915-4SO DAKSO DAK×5AceSouth Dakotaaced Skylar Darr·
2015-5SO DAKNO DAKServe errLauren Medeck·
2116-5NO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook·
2217-5SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAvery Van Hookset Lauren Medeck·
2318-5SO DAKSO DAK×3Attack errAndrea Zaric·
2418-6SO DAKNO DAK×4KillAndrea Zaricset Sally Marong·
2518-7NO DAKNO DAK×4KillAndrea Zaricset Katie Paez·
2618-8NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errAmanda Loschen·
2718-9NO DAKNO DAK×4Attack errGabi Zachariasen·
2819-9NO DAKSO DAKBlockedAndrea Zaricblk Amanda Loschen, Avery Van Hook·
2919-10SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh·
3020-10NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook·
3121-10SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook·
3221-11SO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh·
3322-11NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook·
3422-12SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh·
3523-12NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook·
3624-12SO DAKSO DAKBlockedSally Marongblk Morgan Bode, Avery Van Hook·
3724-13SO DAKNO DAKServe errSamantha Untiedt·
3825-13NO DAKSO DAKBlockedEllee McIntoshblk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode·
Set 4
11-0NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.5
21-1SO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+0.6
32-1NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Sierra Pokharel+0.5
42-2SO DAKNO DAK×3KillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+0.6
52-3NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Sierra Pokharel+1.0
62-4NO DAKNO DAK×3Attack errLauren Medeck+1.2
73-4NO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.8
84-4SO DAKSO DAKBlockedEllee McIntoshblk Lauren Medeck+1.0
94-5SO DAKNO DAKAttack errLauren Medeck+0.9
105-5NO DAKSO DAKKillAvery Van Hookset Sierra Pokharel+0.7
116-5SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.9
126-6SO DAKNO DAKKillSally Marongset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.8
137-6NO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.7
147-7SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.8
158-7NO DAKSO DAKAttack errAndrea Zaric+0.7
168-8SO DAKNO DAKAttack errAudrey Nelson+0.8
179-8NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.8
189-9SO DAKNO DAK×3KillReagan McIntoshset Skylar Darr+0.9
199-10NO DAKNO DAK×3KillSally Marongset Reagan McIntosh+1.4
209-11NO DAKNO DAK×3AceNorth Dakotaaced Cora Hokenstad+1.7
2110-11NO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.1
2211-11SO DAKSO DAKAttack errLilliana Montes+1.4
2311-12SO DAKNO DAKKillLilliana Montesset Reagan McIntosh+1.2
2412-12NO DAKSO DAK×6KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.1
2513-12SO DAKSO DAK×6KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.3
2614-12SO DAKSO DAK×6BlockedEllee McIntoshblk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode+1.1
2715-12SO DAKSO DAK×6KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+0.9
2816-12SO DAKSO DAK×6KillAvery Van Hook+0.7
2917-12SO DAKSO DAK×6AceSouth Dakotaaced Sally Marong+0.4
3017-13SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Skylar Darr+0.3
3118-13NO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.3
3218-14SO DAKNO DAKKillLauren Peruginiset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.3
3318-15NO DAKNO DAKKillOlivia Edlund+0.6
3419-15NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.5
3520-15SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.4
3620-16SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Reagan McIntosh+0.2
3721-16NO DAKSO DAKServe errNorth Dakota+0.3
3821-17SO DAKNO DAKKillAndrea Zaricset Ela Vlaisavljevic+0.2
3922-17NO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.3
4022-18SO DAKNO DAKServe errGabi Zachariasen+0.2
4123-18NO DAKSO DAKServe errNorth Dakota+0.2
4223-19SO DAKNO DAKKillEllee McIntoshset Reagan McIntosh+0.1
4324-19NO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.2
4425-19SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.1

Score shown after each rally, South Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).