FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Kansas def. Tulsa 3–0

(25-16, 25-22, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TULSA	16	22	18	0
KANSAS	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KANSAS above 50 · TULSA below

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Tulsa — set 2, TULSA 20-19 KANSAS. Grace Nelson stuffed by Jill Hanson & Emma Blaine. KANSAS win probability 94% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TULSA 8.7%91.3% KANSAS

Tulsa wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

Kansas wins

3-0

46.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.1%

TULSA break %: 33.9% vs this opp
KANSAS break %: 44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Grace NelsonAttack error+2.0%
Grace Nelson stuffed by Jill Hanson & Emma Blaine
Set 2 · TULSA 20-19 KANSAS · TULSA 6% → 8%
02
KANSAS serverAce+2.0%
Kansas ace on Isabella Ocampo
Set 2 · TULSA 22-24 KANSAS · KANSAS 96% → 98%
03
Logan BellKill+1.9%
Kill by Logan Bell (set by Brittany Bacorn)
Set 2 · TULSA 20-21 KANSAS · KANSAS 94% → 96%
04
Reese PtacekKill+1.6%
Kill by Reese Ptacek (set by Reese Messer)
Set 2 · TULSA 22-23 KANSAS · KANSAS 94% → 96%
05
Isabella OcampoKill+1.4%
Kill by Isabella Ocampo
Set 2 · TULSA 18-18 KANSAS · TULSA 4% → 5%
06
KANSAS serverService error+1.4%
Kansas service error
Set 2 · TULSA 22-22 KANSAS · TULSA 4% → 6%
07
Taylor StanleyKill+1.3%
Kill by Taylor Stanley (set by Reese Messer)
Set 2 · TULSA 21-22 KANSAS · KANSAS 94% → 96%
08
Jill HansonKill+1.2%
Kill by Jill Hanson (set by Brittany Bacorn)
Set 2 · TULSA 21-21 KANSAS · TULSA 4% → 6%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tulsaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jill HansonMB	3	9	1	18	.444	0	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	11
9Isabella OcampoOH	3	6	3	23	.130	0	0	2	9	1	1	1	1.5	7.5
18Emma BlaineOPP	3	7	3	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
13Maegan MillsOH	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	3
16Brittany BacornS	3	1	0	5	.200	25	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
10Campbell HagueMB	2	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21Olivia VanceOH	3	3	1	24	.083	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
2Lauren PattersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	9	1	0	0	0	0
1Lexi DahlS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
6Milee JacksonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
17Kat CooperMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	1
11Ava SteffeOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		31	12	102	.186	29	1	10	38	5	2	4	4	56

Kansashome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Taylor StanleyOH	3	20	3	32	.531	1	2	4	9	0	0	3	1.5	23.5
10Reese PtacekMB	3	7	3	16	.250	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	3	10
1Grace NelsonOH	3	8	1	30	.233	2	1	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
25Logan BellOH	3	6	2	11	.364	0	1	2	10	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
24Aisha AionoMB	3	3	1	9	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
3Reese MesserS	3	1	0	6	.167	34	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
6Olivia HasbrookDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		45	10	104	.337	41	5	12	45	1	2	10	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 TULSA · KANSAS 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 TULSAKANSAS 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 TULSAKANSAS 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 TULSAKANSAS 4

Bars above the line = Kansas leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tulsa

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	27%3/11
2	57%8/14	27%3/11
3	80%8/10	11%1/9
4	38%6/16	33%4/12
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	75%6/8	14%1/7
All	58%42/73	24%14/58

Kansas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	36%4/11
2	80%8/10	47%7/15
3	100%8/8	27%3/11
4	54%7/13	50%7/14
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	86%6/7	45%5/11
All	76%44/58	42%31/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	TULSA-KANSAS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.6
2	1-1	KANSAS	TULSA	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.7
3	1-2	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Emma Blaine	blk Aisha Aiono, Logan Bell	+0.6
4	2-2	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Maegan Mills	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.7
5	2-3	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.6
6	2-4	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Campbell Hague	blk Reese Ptacek	+0.9
7	3-4	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.6
8	3-5	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.6
9	4-5	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.6
10	4-6	TULSA	KANSAS×5	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.6
11	4-7	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Attack err	Isabella Ocampo		+0.8
12	4-8	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.7
13	4-9	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.5
14	4-10	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Aisha Aiono	+0.4
15	5-10	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.2
16	5-11	TULSA	KANSAS×3	Attack err	Olivia Vance		+0.2
17	5-12	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.2
18	5-13	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.2
19	6-13	KANSAS	TULSA×3	Attack err	Taylor Stanley		+0.1
20	7-13	TULSA	TULSA×3	Kill	Isabella Ocampo	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.2
21	8-13	TULSA	TULSA×3	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.3
22	8-14	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Grace Nelson	+0.2
23	9-14	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.2
24	9-15	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Maegan Mills	blk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley	+0.2
25	9-16	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+0.2
26	10-16	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
27	10-17	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
28	11-17	KANSAS	TULSA×3	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
29	12-17	TULSA	TULSA×3	Attack err	Reese Ptacek		+0.2
30	13-17	TULSA	TULSA×3	Kill	Ava Steffe	set Lauren Patterson	+0.4
31	13-18	TULSA	KANSAS×5	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.3
32	13-19	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Bad set	Lexi Dahl		+0.3
33	13-20	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Lauren Patterson	+0.2
34	13-21	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Grace Nelson		+0.1
35	13-22	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Bad set	Campbell Hague		+0.0
36	14-22	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
37	14-23	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Campbell Hague	blk Reese Ptacek	+0.0
38	15-23	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Isabella Ocampo	set Lexi Dahl	+0.0
39	15-24	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
40	16-24	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Lexi Dahl	+0.0
41	16-25	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.7
2	1-1	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.4
3	2-1	TULSA	TULSA	Attack err	Aisha Aiono		+0.8
4	2-2	TULSA	KANSAS×3	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.5
5	2-3	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.7
6	2-4	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Team	+0.6
7	3-4	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.4
8	4-4	TULSA	TULSA	Ace	TULSA server	aced Team	+0.7
9	4-5	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.5
10	5-5	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.5
11	5-6	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.5
12	5-7	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek		+0.7
13	6-7	KANSAS	TULSA	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.4
14	6-8	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Olivia Hasbrook	+0.4
15	7-8	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Isabella Ocampo	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.5
16	8-8	TULSA	TULSA	Kill	Maegan Mills	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.9
17	8-9	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.5
18	9-9	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.6
19	9-10	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Jill Hanson		+0.6
20	9-11	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.8
21	10-11	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.5
22	10-12	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.5
23	11-12	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.5
24	11-13	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.5
25	12-13	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.5
26	12-14	TULSA	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.5
27	12-15	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.7
28	12-16	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.5
29	13-16	KANSAS	TULSA×3	Kill	Olivia Vance	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.3
30	14-16	TULSA	TULSA×3	Kill	Isabella Ocampo	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.7
31	15-16	TULSA	TULSA×3	Attack err	Reese Ptacek	blk Isabella Ocampo	+0.9
32	15-17	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+0.6
33	16-17	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Campbell Hague	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.7
34	16-18	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.7
35	17-18	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Maegan Mills	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.7
36	18-18	TULSA	TULSA	Kill	Isabella Ocampo		+1.4
37	18-19	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Emma Blaine		+0.9
38	19-19	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+1.0
39	20-19	TULSA	TULSA	Attack err	Grace Nelson	blk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine	+2.0
40	20-20	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+1.2
41	20-21	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Brittany Bacorn	+1.9
42	21-21	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+1.2
43	21-22	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+1.3
44	22-22	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+1.4
45	22-23	TULSA	KANSAS×3	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+1.6
46	22-24	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Isabella Ocampo	+2.0
47	22-25	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	TULSA	KANSAS×4	Kill	Logan Bell	set Olivia Hasbrook	+0.2
2	0-2	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Attack err	Emma Blaine		+0.3
3	0-3	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Attack err	Isabella Ocampo	blk Taylor Stanley, Reese Ptacek	+0.2
4	0-4	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Attack err	Emma Blaine	blk Taylor Stanley, Reese Ptacek	+0.2
5	1-4	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
6	2-4	TULSA	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.2
7	2-5	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+0.2
8	3-5	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.2
9	3-6	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Messer	set Taylor Stanley	+0.2
10	4-6	KANSAS	TULSA	Bad set	Reese Messer		+0.2
11	4-7	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.2
12	4-8	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Kat Cooper	blk Grace Nelson, Aisha Aiono	+0.2
13	5-8	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Olivia Vance	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
14	5-9	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.1
15	5-10	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Grace Nelson	+0.2
16	6-10	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Brittany Bacorn	set Lauren Patterson	+0.1
17	6-11	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.1
18	7-11	KANSAS	TULSA	Bad set	Reese Messer		+0.1
19	7-12	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
20	8-12	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
21	8-13	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.1
22	8-14	KANSAS	KANSAS	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Olivia Vance	+0.1
23	9-14	KANSAS	TULSA	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
24	9-15	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.1
25	10-15	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
26	11-15	TULSA	TULSA	Attack err	Taylor Stanley		+0.1
27	11-16	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Olivia Hasbrook	+0.1
28	12-16	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Olivia Vance	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
29	12-17	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
30	13-17	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Isabella Ocampo	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.1
31	13-18	TULSA	KANSAS	Serve err	TULSA server		+0.1
32	14-18	KANSAS	TULSA	Attack err	Taylor Stanley	blk Isabella Ocampo, Jill Hanson	+0.1
33	14-19	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
34	14-20	KANSAS	KANSAS	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Team	+0.1
35	15-20	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.0
36	15-21	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+0.1
37	15-22	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
38	16-22	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Jill Hanson	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.0
39	16-23	TULSA	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
40	16-24	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek		+0.0
41	17-24	KANSAS	TULSA	Kill	Emma Blaine	set Brittany Bacorn	+0.0
42	18-24	TULSA	TULSA	Attack err	Reese Ptacek	blk Kat Cooper	+0.0
43	18-25	TULSA	KANSAS	Attack err	Isabella Ocampo		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.