FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySEC

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Kansas def. Ole Miss 3–0

(25-19, 25-22, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
MISS	19	22	13	0
KANSAS	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KANSAS above 50 · MISS below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Ole Miss — set 1, MISS 11-10 KANSAS. Kill by Shayla Meyer (set by Vivianna Samaniego). KANSAS win probability 98% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MISS 1.5%98.5% KANSAS

Ole Miss wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.0%

Kansas wins

3-0

70.1%

3-1

23.5%

3-2

4.9%

MISS break %: 30.7% vs this opp
KANSAS break %: 46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Shayla MeyerKill+0.5%
Kill by Shayla Meyer (set by Vivianna Samaniego)
Set 1 · MISS 11-10 KANSAS · MISS 2% → 2%
02
Taylor StanleyAttack error+0.5%
Taylor Stanley stuffed by Jaidyn Hartsfield & Keirstyn Carlton
Set 2 · MISS 20-20 KANSAS · MISS 1% → 1%
03
Jaidyn HartsfieldAttack error+0.4%
Jaidyn Hartsfield stuffed by Reese Messer & Aisha Aiono
Set 1 · MISS 12-13 KANSAS · KANSAS 98% → 98%
04
Grace NelsonAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Grace Nelson
Set 2 · MISS 20-22 KANSAS · KANSAS 99% → 99%
05
KANSAS serverAce+0.4%
Kansas ace on Shayla Meyer
Set 1 · MISS 14-16 KANSAS · KANSAS 98% → 99%
06
KANSAS serverService error+0.4%
Kansas service error
Set 1 · MISS 12-11 KANSAS · MISS 2% → 2%
07
Logan BellAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Logan Bell
Set 2 · MISS 9-6 KANSAS · MISS 1% → 2%
08
Melia JohnsonKill+0.3%
Kill by Melia Johnson
Set 1 · MISS 8-8 KANSAS · MISS 1% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ole Missaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Melia JohnsonOH	3	8	5	19	.158	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	8
14Shayla MeyerOH	3	4	3	12	.083	2	2	0	6	2	1	0.5	6.5
1Jaidyn HartsfieldOH	3	4	7	21	-.143	0	0	1	4	0	4	2	6
12Keirstyn CarltonMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
4Carly PaughMB	3	3	0	3	1.000	1	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	3.5
20Vivianna SamaniegoS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Tenesyn FryeS	3	2	0	5	.400	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
2Ryea JacksonMB	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Bella BonannoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
21Cameron BradleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	3	0	0	0
9Coco NatarajanS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Jorda CrookOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Nina MoorerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Rileigh ButlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Sophie TaylorOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
15Tessa JonesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	15	71	.141	24	2	4	22	9	10	5	54

Kansashome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Taylor StanleyOH	3	18	4	27	.519	0	3	5	3	0	2	1	22
1Grace NelsonOH	3	15	1	23	.609	0	2	2	7	1	0	0	17
25Logan BellOH	3	7	5	14	.143	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	8
24Aisha AionoMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
10Reese PtacekMB	3	2	1	10	.100	1	0	3	1	0	2	1	3
3Reese MesserS	3	0	0	4	.000	42	0	2	5	0	3	1.5	1.5
6Olivia HasbrookDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	1	7	0	0	0	3
21Avery PoultonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Cristin ClineS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Cydnee BryantMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Heidi DeversL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Jaeli RutledgeMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Kenzie DeanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Ryan SadlerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Tessa DoddOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	12	87	.402	46	9	14	25	2	10	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MISS · KANSAS 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 MISSKANSAS 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MISSKANSAS 4

Set 3*

13-25

Longest run 2 MISSKANSAS 5

Bars above the line = Kansas leads, below = Ole Miss leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ole Miss

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	29%2/7
2	63%5/8	0%0/5
3	71%5/7	38%3/8
4	45%5/11	38%3/8
5	57%4/7	50%5/10
6	67%4/6	0%0/4
All	57%28/49	31%13/42

Kansas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	43%3/7
2	71%5/7	44%4/9
3	56%5/9	44%4/9
4	50%5/10	44%4/9
5	100%5/5	50%5/10
6	100%4/4	20%1/5
All	69%29/42	43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	MISS-KANSAS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
2	0-2	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+0.2
3	1-2	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
4	1-3	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.1
5	1-4	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield	blk Reese Messer, Reese Ptacek	+0.1
6	2-4	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
7	2-5	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.1
8	3-5	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
9	3-6	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.1
10	4-6	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
11	4-7	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
12	5-7	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
13	5-8	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.1
14	6-8	KANSAS	MISS×3	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
15	7-8	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Taylor Stanley		+0.2
16	8-8	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson		+0.3
17	8-9	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.2
18	9-9	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Carly Paugh	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.2
19	9-10	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.2
20	10-10	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.3
21	11-10	MISS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.5
22	11-11	MISS	KANSAS	Serve err	MISS server		+0.3
23	12-11	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.4
24	12-12	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.3
25	12-13	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield	blk Reese Messer, Aisha Aiono	+0.4
26	13-13	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.3
27	13-14	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.3
28	14-14	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton		+0.3
29	14-15	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.3
30	14-16	KANSAS	KANSAS	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Shayla Meyer	+0.4
31	15-16	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.3
32	15-17	MISS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.3
33	15-18	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Cameron Bradley	+0.3
34	15-19	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.2
35	16-19	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
36	16-20	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Reese Ptacek	set Reese Messer	+0.1
37	16-21	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield	blk Reese Messer, Reese Ptacek	+0.1
38	17-21	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Carly Paugh	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.0
39	17-22	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.1
40	18-22	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.0
41	18-23	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Grace Nelson	+0.0
42	18-24	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Logan Bell	+0.0
43	19-24	KANSAS	MISS	Attack err	Aisha Aiono	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.0
44	19-25	MISS	KANSAS	Attack err	Melia Johnson	set Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
2	1-1	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
3	2-1	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Carly Paugh	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
4	3-1	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Logan Bell	blk Carly Paugh, Shayla Meyer	+0.2
5	3-2	MISS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.1
6	3-3	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Olivia Hasbrook	+0.2
7	3-4	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Carly Paugh	+0.2
8	4-4	KANSAS	MISS×3	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
9	5-4	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.2
10	6-4	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.3
11	6-5	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
12	6-6	KANSAS	KANSAS	Ace	KANSAS server	aced TEAM	+0.2
13	7-6	KANSAS	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.2
14	8-6	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Taylor Stanley	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.3
15	9-6	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.4
16	9-7	MISS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.2
17	9-8	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Melia Johnson	+0.3
18	9-9	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.3
19	10-9	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
20	10-10	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.2
21	11-10	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.2
22	11-11	MISS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.2
23	11-12	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+0.2
24	11-13	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Logan Bell		+0.2
25	12-13	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.1
26	12-14	MISS	KANSAS	Serve err	MISS server		+0.1
27	12-15	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.2
28	13-15	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
29	14-15	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Logan Bell		+0.2
30	14-16	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.1
31	15-16	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.2
32	16-16	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Melia Johnson	+0.3
33	16-17	MISS	KANSAS×4	Kill	Taylor Stanley		+0.2
34	16-18	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Kill	Taylor Stanley		+0.3
35	16-19	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+0.2
36	16-20	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Melia Johnson	+0.1
37	17-20	KANSAS	MISS×4	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
38	18-20	MISS	MISS×4	Ace	MISS server	aced Grace Nelson	+0.2
39	19-20	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Tenesyn Frye	set Shayla Meyer	+0.3
40	20-20	MISS	MISS×4	Attack err	Taylor Stanley	blk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Keirstyn Carlton	+0.5
41	20-21	MISS	KANSAS	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.3
42	20-22	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Grace Nelson		+0.4
43	21-22	KANSAS	MISS	Attack err	Reese Ptacek	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield	+0.2
44	21-23	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson		+0.3
45	21-24	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+0.2
46	22-24	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.1
47	22-25	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Olivia Hasbrook	+0.0
2	0-2	KANSAS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
3	1-2	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
4	1-3	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.0
5	1-4	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.0
6	2-4	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.0
7	2-5	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
8	3-5	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
9	4-5	MISS	MISS	Ace	MISS server	aced Logan Bell	+0.1
10	4-6	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
11	5-6	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.0
12	5-7	MISS	KANSAS	Serve err	MISS server		+0.0
13	5-8	KANSAS	KANSAS	Attack err	Melia Johnson	blk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley	+0.0
14	6-8	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.0
15	6-9	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Logan Bell	set Reese Messer	+0.0
16	7-9	KANSAS	MISS	Attack err	Logan Bell	set Grace Nelson	+0.0
17	7-10	MISS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
18	7-11	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
19	7-12	KANSAS	KANSAS×3	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Cameron Bradley	+0.0
20	8-12	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
21	8-13	MISS	KANSAS	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
22	9-13	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Carly Paugh	+0.0
23	9-14	MISS	KANSAS	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
24	10-14	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
25	10-15	MISS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Grace Nelson	set Reese Messer	+0.0
26	10-16	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.0
27	10-17	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
28	10-18	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Grace Nelson		+0.0
29	10-19	KANSAS	KANSAS×5	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
30	11-19	KANSAS	MISS	Kill	Tenesyn Frye		+0.0
31	12-19	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Grace Nelson		+0.0
32	12-20	MISS	KANSAS×4	Kill	Taylor Stanley	set Reese Messer	+0.0
33	12-21	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Cameron Bradley	+0.0
34	12-22	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Kill	Aisha Aiono	set Reese Messer	+0.0
35	12-23	KANSAS	KANSAS×4	Attack err	Melia Johnson	blk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono	+0.0
36	13-23	KANSAS	MISS	Serve err	KANSAS server		+0.0
37	13-24	MISS	KANSAS	Serve err	MISS server		+0.0
38	13-25	KANSAS	KANSAS	Ace	KANSAS server	aced Shayla Meyer	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Ole Miss first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.