Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kansas def. UCF 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Kansas 86.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kansas won at UCF 3-1 (25-13, 19-25, 25-15, 25-22) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Kansas' Taylor Stanley led with 21 kills, and Reese Messer added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set1234Sets
KANSAS251925253
UCF132515221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Taylor Stanley served 5 aces, and Kansas needed every one.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Kansas's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Kansas went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Kansas 5–8 UCF

    Down 5–8, Kansas scored 6 straight to lead 11–8.

    Kansas 70% → 86%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Kansas 15–20 UCF

    Kansas scored 6 straight to turn a 15–20 deficit into a 21–20 lead.

    Kansas 72% → 92%

UCF above 50Kansas belowMax swing 4.7%

KansasUCF

Sideout %
Kansas 61.8·UCF 49.5
Break %
Kansas 50.5·UCF 38.2
Hitting
Kansas .323·UCF .145
Longest run
Kansas 6·UCF 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UCF above 50 · Kansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.7% KANSASrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Kansas — set 4, KANSAS 21-20 UCF. Kill by Aisha Aiono (set by Reese Messer). UCF win probability 13% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KANSAS 89.2%10.8% UCF

Kansas wins

3-0
43.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%

UCF wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%
KANSAS break %
44.7% vs this opp
UCF break %
35.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aisha AionoKill+4.7%

    Kill by Aisha Aiono (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 4 · KANSAS 21-20 UCF · KANSAS 87% → 92%

  2. 02
    Sasha CohenAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Sasha Cohen

    Set 4 · KANSAS 20-20 UCF · KANSAS 82% → 87%

  3. 03

    Avah Armour stuffed by Aisha Aiono & Taylor Stanley

    Set 4 · KANSAS 23-21 UCF · KANSAS 92% → 97%

  4. 04
    Reese PtacekKill+4.0%

    Kill by Reese Ptacek (set by Mikayla Porter)

    Set 4 · KANSAS 19-20 UCF · KANSAS 78% → 82%

  5. 05
    Taylor StanleyAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Taylor Stanley

    Set 4 · KANSAS 12-15 UCF · UCF 16% → 20%

  6. 06
    UCFAce+3.4%

    UCF ace on Grace Nelson

    Set 3 · KANSAS 4-7 UCF · UCF 26% → 29%

  7. 07
    UCFService error+3.4%

    UCF service error

    Set 4 · KANSAS 22-21 UCF · KANSAS 89% → 92%

  8. 08
    UCFAce+3.3%

    UCF ace

    Set 4 · KANSAS 12-14 UCF · UCF 13% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kansasaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421541.3900548004228
410330.233233111010.513.5
48113.5380003014311
47416.188011620008
45112.333002200216
4203.66740001600002
4000–9121020001
2105.20000020010.51.5
1114.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5515124.3235110125810112794
UCFhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412749.10201274010.513.5
42211.00016130010.58.5
47213.385001200007
45110.400000000427
4205.4002313600214
4125-.2001221020003
45318.111000100005
43312.000000100003
41011.0005001310001
4000–000320000
Team totals3820124.14530109461008475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KANSAS · UCF 6

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 KANSASUCF 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 KANSASUCF 4

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 6 KANSASUCF 6

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 KANSASUCF 4

Bars above the line = UCF leads, below = Kansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
50%8/16
2
45%9/20
63%17/27
3
62%8/13
50%8/16
4
57%8/14
56%10/18
5
100%6/6
14%1/7
6
60%6/10
33%3/9
All
62%47/76
51%47/93

UCF

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
33%4/12
2
33%8/24
31%4/13
3
67%8/12
60%12/20
4
44%8/18
43%6/14
5
67%6/9
0%0/8
6
46%6/13
33%3/9
All
49%46/93
38%29/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#KANSAS-UCFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1KANSASUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+1.0
21-1UCFKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.9
32-1KANSASKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.4
43-1KANSASKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+1.2
53-2KANSASUCF×3KillNatasha Caseyset Mikayla Porter+0.8
63-3UCFUCF×3BlockedLogan Bellblk Ella Chapman, Mikayla Porter+1.5
73-4UCFUCF×3KillAvah Armour+1.7
84-4UCFKANSAS×3KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.0
95-4KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Avah Armour+1.5
106-4KANSASKANSAS×3KillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+1.3
116-5KANSASUCFKillMikayla Porter+0.9
127-5UCFKANSASServe errUCF+0.9
137-6KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.9
148-6UCFKANSASKillReese Messer+0.9
158-7KANSASUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+1.0
169-7UCFKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+1.0
179-8KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.0
189-9UCFUCFAttack errLogan Bell+1.8
1910-9UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Grace Nelson+1.1
2010-10KANSASUCFKillNatasha Caseyset Mikayla Porter+1.3
2111-10UCFKANSAS×6Serve errUCF+1.2
2212-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillLogan Bellset Grace Nelson+1.7
2313-10KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Avah Armour+1.4
2414-10KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Fallon Stewart+1.1
2515-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.8
2616-10KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Fallon Stewart+0.5
2716-11KANSASUCFKillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter+0.3
2817-11UCFKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.3
2918-11KANSASKANSASBlockedAvah Armourblk Reese Ptacek, Taylor Stanley+0.3
3018-12KANSASUCFServe errKansas+0.1
3119-12UCFKANSAS×6KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
3220-12KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Reese Moore+0.1
3321-12KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Reese Moore+0.1
3422-12KANSASKANSAS×6KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer·
3523-12KANSASKANSAS×6KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer·
3624-12KANSASKANSAS×6Attack errKiki Horne·
3724-13KANSASUCFAttack errGrace Nelson·
3825-13UCFKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer·
Set 2
11-0UCFKANSASServe errUCF+0.6
21-1KANSASUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+0.7
32-1UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.6
42-2KANSASUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter+0.7
52-3UCFUCF×3Attack errLogan Bell+1.2
62-4UCFUCF×3BlockedAisha Aionoblk Avah Armour, Ella Chapman+1.3
73-4UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.8
83-5KANSASUCF×3KillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter+0.9
93-6UCFUCF×3Attack errLogan Bell+1.4
103-7UCFUCF×3KillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter+1.5
114-7UCFKANSASAttack errKiki Horne+0.8
124-8KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.0
135-8UCFKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.8
145-9KANSASUCF×4KillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+1.1
155-10UCFUCF×4KillSasha Cohen+1.5
165-11UCFUCF×4KillNygeria Hartset Alexa Haley+1.4
175-12UCFUCF×4AceUCF+1.2
186-12UCFKANSASServe errUCF+0.5
196-13KANSASUCF×3Serve errKansas+0.8
206-14UCFUCF×3Attack errTessa Dodd+0.9
216-15UCFUCF×3AceUCFaced Logan Bell+0.7
227-15UCFKANSAS×3Attack errAvah Armour+0.3
238-15KANSASKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.5
249-15KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errNatasha Casey+0.7
259-16KANSASUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+0.7
2610-16UCFKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.4
2711-16KANSASKANSAS×3BlockedAvah Armourblk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley+0.9
2812-16KANSASKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.2
2912-17KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.1
3013-17UCFKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.7
3113-18KANSASUCF×4KillFallon Stewartset Mikayla Porter+1.1
3213-19UCFUCF×4AceUCFaced Logan Bell+1.2
3313-20UCFUCF×4BlockedReese Ptacekblk Ella Chapman, Mikayla Porter+0.8
3413-21UCFUCF×4KillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+0.4
3514-21UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.1
3614-22KANSASUCFServe errKansas+0.2
3715-22UCFKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.1
3816-22KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Alexa Haley+0.2
3917-22KANSASKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.4
4017-23KANSASUCFKillAlexa Haleyset Reese Messer+0.5
4118-23UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.1
4218-24KANSASUCFKillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+0.3
4319-24UCFKANSASKillTessa Doddset Olivia Hasbrook+0.1
4419-25KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Natasha Casey+0.2
Set 3
11-0KANSASKANSASBlockedAvah Armourblk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley+2.3
22-0KANSASKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+2.0
32-1KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+1.4
43-1UCFKANSASAttack errFallon Stewart+1.3
54-1KANSASKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.8
64-2KANSASUCF×6KillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter+1.2
74-3UCFUCF×6AceUCF+2.1
84-4UCFUCF×6AceUCFaced Olivia Hasbrook+2.5
94-5UCFUCF×6AceUCF+2.9
104-6UCFUCF×6Attack errTaylor Stanley+3.2
114-7UCFUCF×6AceUCFaced Grace Nelson+3.4
125-7UCFKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+2.0
135-8KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Fallon Stewart+2.4
146-8UCFKANSAS×6Attack errNygeria Hart+2.0
157-8KANSASKANSAS×6KillAvery Poultonset Reese Messer+3.2
168-8KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansas+3.1
179-8KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Avah Armour+2.9
1810-8KANSASKANSAS×6KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+2.6
1911-8KANSASKANSAS×6AceKansasaced Avah Armour+2.2
2011-9KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.4
2112-9UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.5
2212-10KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+1.4
2313-10UCFKANSASServe errUCF+1.5
2414-10KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.9
2514-11KANSASUCFKillNygeria Hartset Mikayla Porter+1.1
2615-11UCFKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.2
2715-12KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+1.1
2816-12UCFKANSAS×5KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.2
2917-12KANSASKANSAS×5KillAisha Aiono+1.4
3018-12KANSASKANSAS×5KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+0.9
3119-12KANSASKANSAS×5KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.5
3220-12KANSASKANSAS×5KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.2
3320-13KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+0.1
3421-13UCFKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.1
3522-13KANSASKANSASBlockedNygeria Hartblk Reese Ptacek, Avery Poulton+0.1
3622-14KANSASUCFKillElla Chapmanset Mikayla Porter·
3723-14UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer·
3823-15KANSASUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter·
3924-15UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer·
4025-15KANSASKANSASAttack errAvah Armour·
Set 4
10-1UCFUCFAceUCF+2.0
21-1UCFKANSASKillReese Messerset Alexa Haley+1.2
32-1KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+1.8
42-2KANSASUCF×3KillSasha Cohenset Mikayla Porter+1.3
52-3UCFUCF×3Attack errGrace Nelson+2.1
62-4UCFUCF×3Attack errTaylor Stanley+2.3
73-4UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.4
84-4KANSASKANSASAttack errNatasha Casey+2.1
94-5KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.5
105-5UCFKANSASServe errUCF+1.4
115-6KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.6
126-6UCFKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.4
136-7KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.6
147-7UCFKANSASAttack errAvah Armour+1.5
157-8KANSASUCFServe errKansas+1.7
168-8UCFKANSASAttack errSasha Cohen+1.5
179-8KANSASKANSASAttack errNygeria Hart+2.2
189-9KANSASUCFKillMikayla Porter+1.6
1910-9UCFKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.5
2011-9KANSASKANSASAttack errFallon Stewart+2.1
2111-10KANSASUCF×3Attack errTaylor Stanley+1.4
2211-11UCFUCF×3KillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+2.5
2311-12UCFUCF×3BlockedGrace Nelsonblk Ella Chapman, Natasha Casey+2.9
2412-12UCFKANSASBlockedElla Chapmanblk Aisha Aiono+1.8
2512-13KANSASUCF×4Serve errKansas+2.1
2612-14UCFUCF×4AceUCF+3.3
2712-15UCFUCF×4Attack errTaylor Stanley+3.5
2812-16UCFUCF×4AceUCFaced Olivia Hasbrook+3.3
2913-16UCFKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.6
3013-17KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+2.3
3113-18UCFUCFAttack errTaylor Stanley+2.9
3214-18UCFKANSASServe errUCF+1.2
3314-19KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Mikayla Porter+2.0
3415-19UCFKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+1.2
3515-20KANSASUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+1.9
3616-20UCFKANSAS×6Serve errUCF+1.1
3717-20KANSASKANSAS×6BlockedKiki Horneblk Aisha Aiono, Grace Nelson+2.4
3818-20KANSASKANSAS×6KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+3.2
3919-20KANSASKANSAS×6KillReese Ptacekset Mikayla Porter+4.0
4020-20KANSASKANSAS×6Attack errSasha Cohen+4.6
4121-20KANSASKANSAS×6KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+4.7
4221-21KANSASUCFKillKiki Horneset Mikayla Porter+3.1
4322-21UCFKANSASServe errUCF+3.4
4423-21KANSASKANSASBlockedAvah Armourblk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley+4.5
4523-22KANSASUCFKillAvah Armourset Alexa Haley+2.1
4624-22UCFKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+3.3
4725-22KANSASKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Kansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).