FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kansas def. Kansas St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Kansas 84.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kansas won at Kansas St. 3-0 (25-20, 25-15, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Kansas' Taylor Stanley led with 16 kills, and Grace Nelson added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set123Sets
KANSAS2525253
KAN ST2015230

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Taylor Stanley needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Kansas swept Kansas St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. Kansas St. peaked at 20% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Kansas 85% before first serve.

KansasKansas St.
  • Break %+16.1 pts
    41.125.0

    On serve: 30/73 against 15/60 (Kansas St. sideout 58.9%).

  • Hitting+.191
    .340.149

    50 K / 15 E against 25 K / 12 E.

  • Longest run+3
    63

    Kansas scored 6 straight in the first set to turn an 8–10 deficit into a 14–10 lead. That set ended 25–20.

Kansas St. above 50Kansas belowMax swing 2.4%

KansasKansas St.

Aces
Kansas 7·Kansas St. 3
Serve err
Kansas 15·Kansas St. 6
Blocks
Kansas 2·Kansas St. 30 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Kansas 40·Kansas St. 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kansas St. above 50 · Kansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% KANSASrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Kansas — set 3, KANSAS 24-23 KAN ST. Attack error by Addison Massey. KAN ST win probability 4% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KANSAS 89.3%10.7% KAN ST

Kansas wins

3-0
43.2%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%

Kansas St. wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%
KANSAS break %
42.8% vs this opp
KAN ST break %
33.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addison MasseyAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Addison Massey

    Set 3 · KANSAS 24-23 KAN ST · KANSAS 96% → 98%

  2. 02
    Skylar BradyKill+2.4%

    Kill by Skylar Brady (set by Emerson Van Lannen)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 8-10 KAN ST · KAN ST 18% → 20%

  3. 03
    Grace NelsonKill+2.2%

    Kill by Grace Nelson (set by Olivia Hasbrook)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 10-10 KAN ST · KANSAS 81% → 83%

  4. 04
    Logan BellAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Logan Bell

    Set 1 · KANSAS 4-6 KAN ST · KAN ST 17% → 19%

  5. 05
    Grace NelsonKill+2.0%

    Kill by Grace Nelson (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 11-10 KAN ST · KANSAS 83% → 85%

  6. 06
    Addison MasseyAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Addison Massey

    Set 3 · KANSAS 25-23 KAN ST · KANSAS 98% → 100%

  7. 07

    Kill by Taylor Stanley (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 6-6 KAN ST · KANSAS 82% → 84%

  8. 08

    Kill by Addison Massey (set by Cadence Lundgren)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 4-5 KAN ST · KAN ST 16% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kansasaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316729.31002570010.518.5
310327.259013101010.511.5
38113.538000100219
36213.308123410008
37112.500110200008
3215.2004001700002
3000–313900001
2102.500000000001
2002.000000000000
2000–200000000
Team totals5015103.3404771540304275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38726.03811022010.59.5
3319.22212100212.57.5
36022.273101410006
3406.667100000004
3204.500901700002
2046-.667100000000
32011.182000300002
3003.000502200000
3000–001000000
3000–2001000000
1000–000010000
1000–300200000
Team totals251287.149243630722358

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas vs Kansas St.

Season series · Kansas leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KANSAS · KAN ST 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 6 KANSASKAN ST 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 4 KANSASKAN ST 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 KANSASKAN ST 2

Bars above the line = Kansas St. leads, below = Kansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
67%8/12
2
63%5/8
44%4/9
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
50%4/8
5
80%4/5
43%3/7
6
75%3/4
57%4/7
All
69%25/36
51%25/49

Kansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
20%1/5
2
50%4/8
38%3/8
3
80%4/5
43%3/7
4
57%4/7
0%0/4
5
57%4/7
43%3/7
6
23%3/13
20%1/5
All
49%24/49
31%11/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#KANSAS-KAN STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1KAN STKAN STBlockedTaylor Stanleyblk Addison Massey, Reese Resmer+1.7
21-1KAN STKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.0
32-1KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansas+1.5
43-1KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errReagan Fox+1.4
53-2KANSASKAN STAttack errGrace Nelson+0.9
63-3KAN STKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+1.6
74-3KAN STKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.0
84-4KANSASKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+1.1
94-5KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Cadence Lundgren+1.9
104-6KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errLogan Bell+2.1
115-6KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+1.2
126-6KANSASKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.9
136-7KANSASKAN STServe errTaylor Stanley+1.3
147-7KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+1.2
157-8KANSASKAN STServe errLogan Bell+1.4
168-8KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+1.3
178-9KANSASKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+1.4
188-10KAN STKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.4
199-10KAN STKANSAS×6KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.4
2010-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+2.2
2111-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+2.0
2212-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.8
2313-10KANSASKANSAS×6Attack errReese Resmer+1.5
2414-10KANSASKANSAS×6KillAisha Aiono+1.2
2514-11KANSASKAN STAttack errTaylor Stanley+0.7
2615-11KAN STKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.8
2715-12KANSASKAN STServe errGrace Nelson+0.7
2816-12KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.8
2917-12KANSASKANSASAttack errReagan Fox+0.9
3017-13KANSASKAN STServe errOlivia Hasbrook+0.4
3118-13KAN STKANSASAttack errAddison Massey+0.6
3218-14KANSASKAN STKillSydney Maueset Camdyn Stucky+0.4
3319-14KAN STKANSASKillReese Messerset Reese Ptacek+0.5
3419-15KANSASKAN STServe errLogan Bell+0.4
3519-16KAN STKAN STAttack errTaylor Stanley+1.0
3620-16KAN STKANSASKillTessa Doddset Cristin Cline+0.8
3720-17KANSASKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+0.6
3821-17KAN STKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Cristin Cline+0.8
3922-17KANSASKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+0.7
4022-18KANSASKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.2
4123-18KAN STKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.4
4223-19KANSASKAN STServe errGrace Nelson+0.1
4323-20KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Reagan Fox+0.5
4424-20KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+0.6
4525-20KANSASKANSASAceKansasaced Addison Massey+0.2
Set 2
11-0KANSASKANSASAttack errAddison Massey+1.1
22-0KANSASKANSASBlockedReagan Foxblk Grace Nelson, Aisha Aiono+0.9
32-1KANSASKAN STServe errReese Messer+0.6
42-2KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Reese Resmer+1.1
53-2KAN STKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.7
63-3KANSASKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+0.8
74-3KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.7
84-4KANSASKAN STServe errOlivia Hasbrook+0.8
95-4KAN STKANSAS×4KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.7
106-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+1.1
117-4KANSASKANSAS×4AceTaylor Stanleyaced Addison Massey+0.9
128-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.8
138-5KANSASKAN STServe errTaylor Stanley+0.5
148-6KAN STKAN STBlockedTaylor Stanleyblk Reese Resmer+0.9
159-6KAN STKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.6
169-7KANSASKAN STServe errLogan Bell+0.6
1710-7KAN STKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.6
1811-7KANSASKANSAS×4Attack errReagan Fox+0.8
1912-7KANSASKANSAS×4KillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.6
2013-7KANSASKANSAS×4KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.4
2113-8KANSASKAN STAttack errGrace Nelson+0.2
2214-8KAN STKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.3
2314-9KANSASKAN STKillReese Resmerset Emerson Van Lannen+0.2
2415-9KAN STKANSAS×3Attack errAddison Massey+0.3
2516-9KANSASKANSAS×3BlockedAddison Masseyblk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono+0.3
2617-9KANSASKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.2
2717-10KANSASKAN STAttack errGrace Nelson+0.1
2817-11KAN STKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Camdyn Stucky+0.2
2918-11KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
3018-12KANSASKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Camdyn Stucky+0.1
3119-12KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.1
3219-13KANSASKAN STServe errTaylor Stanley+0.1
3319-14KAN STKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Camdyn Stucky+0.2
3420-14KAN STKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.2
3521-14KANSASKANSAS×4AceKansasaced Skylar Brady+0.2
3622-14KANSASKANSAS×4AceKansasaced Caleigh Ponn+0.1
3723-14KANSASKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer·
3823-15KANSASKAN STAttack errReese Messer·
3924-15KAN STKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer·
4025-15KANSASKANSASKillAisha Aiono·
Set 3
11-0KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.3
21-1KANSASKAN STServe errGrace Nelson+0.4
31-2KAN STKAN STAceReese Resmeraced Logan Bell+0.6
42-2KAN STKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.4
52-3KANSASKAN STAttack errTaylor Stanley+0.4
63-3KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.4
73-4KANSASKAN STServe errTaylor Stanley+0.4
84-4KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
94-5KANSASKAN STAttack errLogan Bell+0.5
105-5KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.4
116-5KANSASKANSASAceKansas+0.6
126-6KANSASKAN STKillEmerson Van Lannenset Skylar Brady+0.4
137-6KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
147-7KANSASKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.4
158-7KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+0.4
168-8KANSASKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.5
179-8KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
189-9KANSASKAN STServe errOlivia Hasbrook+0.5
199-10KAN STKAN STAttack errReese Ptacek+0.8
2010-10KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+0.5
2110-11KANSASKAN STServe errTaylor Stanley+0.6
2210-12KAN STKAN STAceAddison Masseyaced Grace Nelson+0.9
2311-12KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.5
2411-13KANSASKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+0.7
2512-13KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.6
2612-14KANSASKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+0.7
2713-14KAN STKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.6
2813-15KANSASKAN STBlockedAisha Aionoblk Reese Resmer+0.7
2914-15KAN STKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.6
3014-16KANSASKAN STKillEmerson Van Lannenset Addison Massey+0.8
3114-17KAN STKAN STAceReese Resmer+1.1
3215-17KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+0.6
3315-18KANSASKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+0.8
3416-18KAN STKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.6
3517-18KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAddison Massey+1.1
3618-18KANSAS
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
3718-19KANSASKAN STKillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+0.9
3819-19KAN STKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.8
3919-20KANSASKAN STAttack errTaylor Stanley+1.0
4020-20KAN STKANSASKillReese Messerset Logan Bell+0.9
4120-21KANSASKAN STKillReese Resmerset Lauren Latham+1.1
4221-21KAN STKANSASServe errKansas St.+1.0
4321-22KANSASKAN STAttack errTaylor Stanley+1.2
4422-22KAN STKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.1
4522-23KANSASKAN STKillReese Resmerset Emerson Van Lannen+1.5
4623-23KAN STKANSAS×3KillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+1.3
4724-23KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAddison Massey+2.4
4825-23KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAddison Massey+2.0

Score shown after each rally, Kansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).