FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kansas def. TCU 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Kansas 57.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kansas won at TCU 3-0 (32-30, 25-11, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Grace Nelson led Kansas with 13 kills; TCU's Evan Hendrix had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
KANSAS3225263
TCU3011240

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Taylor Stanley, and Kansas needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Kansas's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Kansas went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Kansas 21–22 TCU

    Down 21–22, Kansas scored 3 straight to lead 24–22.

    Kansas 50% → 70%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Kansas 29–29 TCU

    Kansas closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 32–30 and lead 1–0.

    Kansas 54% → 74%

TCU above 50Kansas belowMax swing 10.3%

KansasTCU

Sideout %
Kansas 67.2·TCU 53.1
Break %
Kansas 46.9·TCU 32.8
Hitting
Kansas .272·TCU .180
Longest run
Kansas 6·TCU 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · Kansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.3% TCUrally 148 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.3% to TCU — set 1, KANSAS 28-29 TCU. Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Jaylen Clark). TCU win probability 42% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KANSAS 63.3%36.7% TCU

Kansas wins

3-0
19.0%
3-1
24.2%
3-2
20.0%

TCU wins

3-0
7.7%
3-1
13.3%
3-2
15.8%
KANSAS break %
40.0% vs this opp
TCU break %
37.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Becca KelleyKill+10.3%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Jaylen Clark)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 28-29 TCU · TCU 42% → 52%

  2. 02
    Jalyn GibsonAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 1 · KANSAS 30-29 TCU · KANSAS 54% → 64%

  3. 03
    Jalyn GibsonKill+10.0%

    Kill by Jalyn Gibson (set by Rosemary Archer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 24-24 TCU · TCU 32% → 42%

  4. 04
    Reese PtacekKill+9.7%

    Kill by Reese Ptacek (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 32-30 TCU · KANSAS 64% → 74%

  5. 05
    KansasAce+8.2%

    Kansas ace on Alice Volpe

    Set 1 · KANSAS 23-22 TCU · KANSAS 55% → 63%

  6. 06
    KansasAce+7.5%

    Kansas ace on Alice Volpe

    Set 1 · KANSAS 24-22 TCU · KANSAS 63% → 70%

  7. 07
    Aisha AionoKill+6.6%

    Kill by Aisha Aiono (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 29-29 TCU · KANSAS 48% → 54%

  8. 08
    Reese PtacekKill+6.4%

    Kill by Reese Ptacek (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 1 · KANSAS 25-24 TCU · KANSAS 58% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kansasaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313541.19522111002116
38620.10014410004214
312127.40700020031.513.5
36115.333001000428
3305.600111810004
3318.25038011400003
36018.33300010010.56.5
3001.0005021200000
1001.000000100000
1000–000100000
Team totals5114136.27247710601014783
TCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316539.28200211202117
37525.080200101010.57.5
33012.25000240132.55.5
3227.000000000213
2215.200000200002
2000–500200000
39429.1720023002110
3114.000100300001
3001.0002211700001
3000–2001320000
3000–100300000
2000–100210000
1000–400200000
Team totals4018122.1803817627110665

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas vs TCU

Season series · Kansas leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 KANSAS · TCU 5

Set 1

32-30

Longest run 3 KANSASTCU 3

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 6 KANSASTCU 2

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 KANSASTCU 5

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Kansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
53%8/15
2
67%8/12
50%8/16
3
67%8/12
38%5/13
4
89%8/9
20%2/10
5
75%6/8
68%13/19
6
50%6/12
25%2/8
All
67%45/67
47%38/81

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%8/21
33%4/12
2
53%8/15
38%5/13
3
80%8/10
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
11%1/9
5
43%6/14
22%2/9
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
53%43/81
33%22/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

148 rallies

#KANSAS-TCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TCUKANSAS×3Serve errTCU+1.7
22-0KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errEvan Hendrix+2.6
33-0KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errReese Robins+2.4
43-1KANSASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner+1.4
54-1TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.5
65-1KANSASKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+2.2
75-2KANSASTCU×3KillReese Robinsset Addy Horner+1.3
85-3TCUTCU×3KillKinsley Young+2.3
95-4TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.6
106-4TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.8
117-4KANSASKANSASBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Kenzie Dean, Reese Ptacek+2.6
127-5KANSASTCUServe errKansas+1.5
138-5TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.7
148-6KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
159-6TCUKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Olivia Hasbrook+1.7
169-7KANSASTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+1.6
179-8TCUTCU×3BlockedReese Messerblk Evan Hendrix, De'Andrea McMillian+2.9
189-9TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+3.2
1910-9TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+2.1
2010-10KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.1
2111-10TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+2.2
2211-11KANSASTCUKillReese Robinsset Addy Horner+2.2
2312-11TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+2.2
2412-12KANSASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+2.2
2513-12TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+2.3
2613-13KANSASTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+2.3
2714-13TCUKANSASAttack errBecca Kelley+2.4
2814-14KANSASTCUAttack errGrace Nelson+2.4
2914-15TCUTCUAttack errTaylor Stanley+4.1
3015-15TCUKANSASServe errTCU+2.5
3116-15KANSASKANSASAttack errEvan Hendrix+4.2
3216-16KANSASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.7
3317-16TCUKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+2.8
3417-17KANSASTCUServe errKansas+2.8
3518-17TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+3.0
3618-18KANSASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Addy Horner+3.0
3718-19TCUTCUBlockedTaylor Stanleyblk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young+5.2
3819-19TCUKANSASBlockedReese Ptacekblk Taylor Stanley+3.2
3920-19KANSASKANSASBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley+5.6
4020-20KANSASTCUServe errKansas+3.5
4120-21TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+6.3
4221-21TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+3.8
4321-22KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+4.6
4422-22TCUKANSAS×3KillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+4.3
4523-22KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Alice Volpe+8.2
4624-22KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Alice Volpe+7.5
4724-23KANSASTCUServe errKansas+2.4
4824-24TCUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+10.0
4925-24TCUKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+6.4
5025-25KANSASTCUBlockedGrace Nelsonblk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson+6.4
5126-25TCUKANSASServe errTCU+6.4
5226-26KANSASTCUAttack errGrace Nelson+6.4
5327-26TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+6.4
5427-27KANSASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+6.4
5528-27TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+6.4
5628-28KANSASTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+6.4
5728-29TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Jaylen Clark+10.3
5829-29TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+6.6
5930-29KANSASKANSASAttack errJalyn Gibson+10.1
6030-30KANSASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+6.4
6131-30TCUKANSASBlockedEvan Hendrixblk Reese Ptacek, Taylor Stanley+6.4
6232-30KANSASKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+9.7
Set 2
11-0KANSASKANSAS×6KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+2.4
22-0KANSASKANSAS×6KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+2.4
33-0KANSASKANSAS×6Attack errJalyn Gibson+2.2
44-0KANSASKANSAS×6BlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Grace Nelson, Aisha Aiono+2.0
55-0KANSASKANSAS×6KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.8
66-0KANSASKANSAS×6KillAisha Aiono+1.5
76-1KANSASTCUServe errKansas+0.8
87-1TCUKANSAS×3KillReese Messerset Grace Nelson+0.9
98-1KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Evan Hendrix+1.2
109-1KANSASKANSAS×3AceKansasaced Jaylen Clark+0.9
119-2KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
1210-2TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.6
1310-3KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.4
1411-3TCUKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.5
1511-4KANSASTCUServe errKansas+0.4
1612-4TCUKANSAS×4KillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.5
1713-4KANSASKANSAS×4AceKansasaced Evan Hendrix+0.5
1814-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.3
1915-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillReese Messer+0.2
2015-5KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Addy Horner+0.1
2116-5TCUKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.1
2216-6KANSASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.1
2317-6TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.1
2418-6KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.1
2518-7KANSASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer·
2618-8TCUTCUBlockedGrace Nelsonblk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson+0.1
2719-8TCUKANSASKillLogan Bellset Reese Messer+0.1
2819-9KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Molly McCarthy·
2920-9TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer·
3020-10KANSASTCUServe errOlivia Hasbrook·
3121-10TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook·
3221-11KANSASTCUServe errTaylor Stanley·
3322-11TCUKANSAS×4Serve errKinsley Young·
3423-11KANSASKANSAS×4Attack errBecca Kelley·
3524-11KANSASKANSAS×4Attack errDe'Andrea McMillian·
3625-11KANSASKANSAS×4KillLogan Bellset Grace Nelson·
Set 3
11-0TCUKANSASServe errRosemary Archer+1.0
22-0KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.5
32-1KANSASTCUAttack errTaylor Stanley+0.9
43-1TCUKANSAS×3KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.0
54-1KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errJalyn Gibson+1.5
65-1KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errEvan Hendrix+1.3
75-2KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.7
86-2TCUKANSASServe errJalyn Gibson+0.8
96-3KANSASTCUBlockedGrace Nelsonblk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix+0.8
106-4TCUTCUKillLauren Murphyset Reese Wilburn+1.4
117-4TCUKANSAS×5Attack errDe'Andrea McMillian+1.0
128-4KANSASKANSAS×5AceTaylor Stanley+1.4
139-4KANSASKANSAS×5AceTaylor Stanleyaced Becca Kelley+1.2
1410-4KANSASKANSAS×5KillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+1.0
1511-4KANSASKANSAS×5KillReese Messerset Taylor Stanley+0.7
1611-5KANSASTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillian+0.3
1712-5TCUKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.5
1812-6KANSASTCU×5Serve errLogan Bell+0.3
1912-7TCUTCU×5Attack errReese Ptacek+0.7
2012-8TCUTCU×5Attack errTaylor Stanley+1.0
2112-9TCUTCU×5KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+1.2
2212-10TCUTCU×5KillJalyn Gibsonset Lauren Murphy+1.5
2313-10TCUKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.1
2414-10KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Logan Bell+1.5
2514-11KANSASTCU×4KillDe'Andrea McMillianset Reese Wilburn+0.8
2614-12TCUTCU×4AceRosemary Archeraced Logan Bell+1.6
2714-13TCUTCU×4Attack errTaylor Stanley+2.0
2814-14TCUTCU×4Attack errTaylor Stanley+2.3
2915-14TCUKANSAS×3KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+1.5
3016-14KANSASKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+2.3
3117-14KANSASKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+2.0
3217-15KANSASTCU×4BlockedAisha Aionoblk Kinsley Young+1.1
3317-16TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.2
3417-17TCUTCU×4KillKinsley Young+2.6
3517-18TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.9
3618-18TCUKANSASBlockedEvan Hendrixblk Aisha Aiono, Taylor Stanley+1.8
3719-18KANSASKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Olivia Hasbrook+3.0
3819-19KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.9
3920-19TCUKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+2.1
4020-20KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.1
4121-20TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+2.3
4221-21KANSASTCUServe errTaylor Stanley+2.3
4322-21TCUKANSASServe errEvan Hendrix+2.6
4423-21KANSASKANSASBlockedLauren Murphyblk Reese Ptacek, Grace Nelson+3.8
4523-22KANSASTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Becca Kelley+1.6
4624-22TCUKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+2.8
4724-23KANSASTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Reese Wilburn+1.4
4824-24TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+5.9
4925-24TCUKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+3.8
5026-24KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+5.8

Score shown after each rally, Kansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).