FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kansas def. Cincinnati 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Kansas 94.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kansas beat visiting Cincinnati 3-0 (25-23, 25-18, 28-26) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Kansas' Taylor Stanley led with 19 kills, and Grace Nelson added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
CINCY2318260
KANSAS2525283

Match story · written from the play-by-play

19 kills in 3 sets for Taylor Stanley. Kansas swept Cincinnati.

Win probability never moved more than 1.8 points on one rally; Cincinnati topped out at 6% in Set 1. Kansas went in as RallyIQ's 94% pick.

CincinnatiKansas
  • Break %+8.3 pts
    39.147.4

    Points won on own serve: 36 of 76 vs 27 of 69. Cincinnati sided out 52.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.087
    .244.331

    54 K / 12 E against 43 K / 13 E.

Kansas above 50Cincinnati belowMax swing 1.8%

CincinnatiKansas

Aces
Cincinnati 4·Kansas 4
Serve err
Cincinnati 7·Kansas 8
Blocks
Cincinnati 6·Kansas 83 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Cincinnati 50·Kansas 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kansas above 50 · Cincinnati below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% KANSASrally 145 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Kansas — set 1, CINCY 23-25 KANSAS. Cincinnati service error. KANSAS win probability 95% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CINCY 6.5%93.5% KANSAS

Cincinnati wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
3.8%

Kansas wins

3-0
51.4%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
11.4%
CINCY break %
34.0% vs this opp
KANSAS break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    CincinnatiService error+1.8%

    Cincinnati service error

    Set 1 · CINCY 23-25 KANSAS · KANSAS 95% → 97%

  2. 02

    Grace Nelson stuffed by Andi Spies & Ligia Williams

    Set 3 · CINCY 25-24 KANSAS · CINCY 2% → 3%

  3. 03
    Grace NelsonKill+1.2%

    Kill by Grace Nelson (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 3 · CINCY 26-27 KANSAS · KANSAS 98% → 99%

  4. 04
    Nina ScruccaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Kate Lijic)

    Set 1 · CINCY 23-24 KANSAS · CINCY 4% → 5%

  5. 05

    Kill by Andrea Simovski (set by Andi Spies)

    Set 3 · CINCY 24-24 KANSAS · CINCY 1% → 2%

  6. 06
    Nina ScruccaService error+1.0%

    Service error by Nina Scrucca

    Set 3 · CINCY 25-25 KANSAS · KANSAS 97% → 98%

  7. 07
    Ligia WilliamsBlock+1.0%

    Aisha Aiono stuffed by Ligia Williams

    Set 3 · CINCY 26-25 KANSAS · CINCY 2% → 3%

  8. 08

    Kill by Taylor Stanley (set by Reese Messer)

    Set 3 · CINCY 26-26 KANSAS · KANSAS 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318548.27102130010.520.5
39016.5630000022312
36424.083111511018
3103.333250040010.51.5
3000–0001200000
1001.00000210010.50.5
36419.105011300007
3000–000620000
3000–6001100000
2103.333001100001
1103.333100040010.51.5
1106.167000000001
1000–001000000
Team totals4313123.244424750436667
Kansashome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
319444.3410048004221
312330.300002151010.512.5
39219.36800000052.511.5
38114.500101200219
3004.000030700003
3115.00043001000001
35111.364000001227
3000–5111200001
Team totals5412127.3314948544114878

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CINCY · KANSAS 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 CINCYKANSAS 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 CINCYKANSAS 4

Set 3

26-28

Longest run 4 CINCYKANSAS 4

Bars above the line = Kansas leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cincinnati

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
50%8/16
2
54%7/13
13%1/8
3
54%7/13
46%6/13
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
50%6/12
22%2/9
6
55%6/11
50%6/12
All
53%40/76
39%27/69

Kansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
40%4/10
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
64%7/11
53%8/15
4
64%7/11
46%6/13
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
55%6/11
45%5/11
All
61%42/69
47%36/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

145 rallies

#CINCY-KANSASSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.4
21-1KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.5
31-2CINCYKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.5
41-3KANSASKANSAS×4BlockedSydney Nolanblk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono+0.6
51-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+0.5
61-5KANSASKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.4
72-5KANSASCINCYServe errKansas+0.3
82-6CINCYKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.3
93-6KANSASCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
104-6CINCYCINCYAceSydney Nolan+0.5
114-7CINCYKANSASServe errSydney Nolan+0.4
125-7KANSASCINCYServe errKansas+0.4
135-8CINCYKANSAS×3Serve errCincinnati+0.4
145-9KANSASKANSAS×3AceLogan Bellaced Kayla Hostetler+0.5
155-10KANSASKANSAS×3AceLogan Bellaced Kayla Hostetler+0.4
166-10KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.2
176-11CINCYKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.2
187-11KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.2
197-12CINCYKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.2
208-12KANSASCINCYBlockedGrace Nelsonblk Kate Lijic, Ligia Williams+0.2
218-13CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.2
229-13KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.2
239-14CINCYKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.2
2410-14KANSASCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.2
2510-15CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
2611-15KANSASCINCYServe errKansas+0.2
2711-16CINCYKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.2
2812-16KANSASCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.2
2913-16CINCYCINCYAttack errTaylor Stanley+0.5
3013-17CINCYKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
3113-18KANSASKANSAS×3KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.4
3213-19KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAndrea Simovski+0.2
3314-19KANSASCINCYServe errKansas+0.1
3415-19CINCYCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+0.3
3515-20CINCYKANSASServe errCincinnati+0.2
3615-21KANSASKANSASBlockedSydney Nolanblk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono+0.2
3716-21KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.1
3816-22CINCYKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.1
3917-22KANSASCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic·
4018-22CINCYCINCY×4BlockedTaylor Stanleyblk Sydney Nolan, Julia Horan+0.2
4119-22CINCYCINCY×4KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.3
4220-22CINCYCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.7
4320-23CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.7
4421-23KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Viktoria Ninova+0.4
4521-24CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.7
4622-24KANSASCINCYServe errKansas+0.3
4723-24CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.2
4823-25CINCYKANSASServe errCincinnati+1.8
Set 2
11-0KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Viktoria Ninova+0.4
21-1CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.3
32-1KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Viktoria Ninova+0.4
43-1CINCYCINCYAttack errKenzie Dean+0.7
53-2CINCYKANSASBlockedNina Scruccablk Kenzie Dean, Aisha Aiono+0.4
64-2KANSASCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+0.5
74-3CINCYKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.4
84-4KANSASKANSASBlockedNina Scruccablk Kenzie Dean+0.6
95-4KANSASCINCYServe errTaylor Stanley+0.4
105-5CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
116-5KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.5
126-6CINCYKANSAS×3KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.4
136-7KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAndrea Simovski+0.6
146-8KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errAndrea Simovski+0.5
157-8KANSASCINCYKillKate Lijicset Viktoria Ninova+0.3
167-9CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.3
177-10KANSASKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.4
188-10KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+0.3
199-10CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.5
209-11CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.3
219-12KANSASKANSASAttack errSydney Nolan+0.5
2210-12KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
2311-12CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.6
2411-13CINCYKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.4
2511-14KANSASKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Olivia Hasbrook+0.5
2611-15KANSASKANSAS×4KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.4
2711-16KANSASKANSAS×4KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.3
2812-16KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.1
2912-17CINCYKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
3012-18KANSASKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
3112-19KANSASKANSAS×3KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.1
3213-19KANSASCINCYKillIzzy Busignaniset Kate Lijic·
3313-20CINCYKANSAS×4Serve errTatjana Simeunovic·
3413-21KANSASKANSAS×4KillReese Ptacek·
3513-22KANSASKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Kate Lijic·
3613-23KANSASKANSAS×4BlockedNina Scruccablk Grace Nelson, Reese Ptacek·
3714-23KANSASCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic·
3815-23CINCYCINCY×3BlockedReese Messerblk Andrea Simovski·
3916-23CINCYCINCY×3AceNina Scrucca·
4016-24CINCYKANSASKillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer·
4117-24KANSASCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic·
4218-24CINCYCINCYAceAndrea Simovski·
4318-25CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer·
Set 3
11-0CINCYCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
22-0CINCYCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
33-0CINCYCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+0.3
44-0CINCYCINCY×4BlockedAisha Aionoblk Ligia Williams+0.4
54-1CINCYKANSAS×4KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.2
64-2KANSASKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.3
74-3KANSASKANSAS×4BlockedAndrea Simovskiblk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono+0.3
84-4KANSASKANSAS×4KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.3
95-4KANSASCINCYKillAndi Spiesset Andrea Simovski+0.2
105-5CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
115-6KANSASKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Andi Spies+0.3
126-6KANSASCINCYServe errGrace Nelson+0.2
136-7CINCYKANSASKillReese Messerset Olivia Hasbrook+0.2
146-8KANSASKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.2
157-8KANSASCINCYServe errOlivia Hasbrook+0.2
167-9CINCYKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
177-10KANSASKANSAS×3KillReese Ptacekset Reese Messer+0.2
187-11KANSASKANSAS×3BlockedNina Scruccablk Kenzie Dean, Reese Ptacek+0.2
198-11KANSASCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Andi Spies+0.1
209-11CINCYCINCYAttack errReese Ptacek+0.2
219-12CINCYKANSASServe errLilian Entenmann+0.1
2210-12KANSASCINCYAttack errTaylor Stanley+0.1
2311-12CINCYCINCYAttack errGrace Nelson+0.3
2411-13CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
2511-14KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Andrea Simovski+0.2
2612-14KANSASCINCY×3KillAndrea Simovskiset Viktoria Ninova+0.1
2713-14CINCYCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+0.3
2814-14CINCYCINCY×3KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.4
2914-15CINCYKANSASKillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.3
3014-16KANSASKANSASBlockedSydney Nolanblk Taylor Stanley, Aisha Aiono+0.3
3115-16KANSASCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+0.2
3215-17CINCYKANSASKillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+0.2
3315-18KANSASKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Olivia Hasbrook+0.3
3416-18KANSASCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.2
3517-18CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.4
3617-19CINCYKANSAS×3KillAisha Aionoset Reese Messer+0.3
3717-20KANSASKANSAS×3KillKenzie Deanset Reese Ptacek+0.3
3817-21KANSASKANSAS×3AceOlivia Hasbrookaced Andrea Simovski+0.2
3918-21KANSASCINCY×4KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.1
4019-21CINCYCINCY×4KillNina Scruccaset Viktoria Ninova+0.2
4120-21CINCYCINCY×4AceSydney Nolanaced Grace Nelson+0.4
4221-21CINCYCINCY×4Attack errTaylor Stanley+0.7
4321-22CINCYKANSASKillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+0.5
4422-22KANSASCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+0.5
4522-23CINCYKANSASKillKenzie Deanset Reese Messer+0.6
4622-24KANSASKANSASAceLogan Bell+0.7
4723-24KANSASCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+0.2
4824-24CINCYCINCY×3KillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+1.1
4925-24CINCYCINCY×3BlockedGrace Nelsonblk Andi Spies, Ligia Williams+1.4
5025-25CINCYKANSASServe errNina Scrucca+1.0
5126-25KANSASCINCYBlockedAisha Aionoblk Ligia Williams+1.0
5226-26CINCYKANSAS×3KillTaylor Stanleyset Reese Messer+1.0
5326-27KANSASKANSAS×3KillGrace Nelsonset Reese Messer+1.2
5426-28KANSASKANSAS×3Attack errSydney Nolan+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).