FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeSOUTHLAND

LMU (CA) def. Southeastern La. 3–0

(25-19, 25-21, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LMU	25	25	25	3
SE LA	19	21	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SE LA above 50 · LMU below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Southeastern La. — set 1, LMU 7-10 SE LA. Attack error by Nicole Schuetz. SE LA win probability 24% → 26%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LMU 81.8%18.2% SE LA

LMU (CA) wins

3-0

33.3%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

17.8%

Southeastern La. wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

6.0%

3-2

9.4%

LMU break %: 45.1% vs this opp
SE LA break %: 38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Nicole SchuetzAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Nicole Schuetz
Set 1 · LMU 7-10 SE LA · SE LA 24% → 26%
02
Kyra McKelveyKill+2.4%
Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Audrey Vielguth)
Set 1 · LMU 7-9 SE LA · SE LA 21% → 24%
03
Kyra McKelveyKill+2.4%
Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Gabriella Cascione)
Set 1 · LMU 11-11 SE LA · LMU 78% → 80%
04
Maria TabacuksKill+2.3%
Kill by Maria Tabacuks (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 9-10 SE LA · LMU 76% → 78%
05
Lauren OssmannBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Lauren Ossmann
Set 1 · LMU 12-11 SE LA · LMU 80% → 82%
06
Brea PayneKill+2.1%
Kill by Brea Payne (set by Keira Beverly)
Set 1 · LMU 3-5 SE LA · SE LA 20% → 23%
07
Maria TabacuksKill+2.1%
Kill by Maria Tabacuks (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 13-11 SE LA · LMU 82% → 84%
08
LMU serverAce+2.1%
LMU (CA) ace on Audrey Vielguth
Set 1 · LMU 7-7 SE LA · LMU 78% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LMU (CA)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Maria TabacuksOH	3	21	0	38	.553	1	0	4	6	1	1	2	2	23
20Anya SantracOH	3	5	3	15	.133	3	5	1	11	0	0	0	0	10
23Nicole SchuetzOH	3	7	5	20	.100	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	0	8
6Delfina SchuhS	3	4	0	7	.571	35	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Camille PomeroyMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	3.5
11Zaria ThorntonMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Gabriella CascioneL/DS	3	1	1	2	.000	2	1	2	14	1	0	0	0	2
22Kayla LopezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
28Aleksandra StojanovicMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
25Leah BurrellOPP	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
24Kyla FirestoneS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	95	.347	42	7	12	45	3	2	6	5	75

Southeastern La.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Kyra McKelveyOPP	3	8	3	24	.208	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	8
8Melina GonzalezOH	3	6	4	15	.133	0	2	0	8	1	0	0	8
13Keira BeverlyMB	3	5	0	11	.455	1	0	0	2	0	4	2	7
4Ainsley DriskaMB	3	5	1	17	.235	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
2Abby BaileyOH	3	4	1	11	.273	1	0	1	0	1	1	0.5	4.5
1Brea PayneS	1	1	1	3	.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Lauren OssmannS	3	3	0	5	.600	19	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Gracie MannOH	3	1	3	10	-.200	1	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	1.5
23Audrey VielguthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	3	1	0	0	0
21Kaelyn SharpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0
9Lindsey WickershamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
14Claire KingMB	2	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	2.5
33Carissa YoungOPP	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
5Mina PetrovicOH	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	17	105	.171	32	3	6	36	7	8	4	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 LMU · SE LA 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 LMUSE LA 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 LMUSE LA 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 LMUSE LA 3

Bars above the line = Southeastern La. leads, below = LMU (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LMU (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	45%5/11
2	70%7/10	56%9/16
3	50%7/14	30%3/10
4	100%7/7	36%4/11
5	78%7/9	42%5/12
6	67%6/9	54%7/13
All	67%42/63	45%33/73

Southeastern La.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	46%6/13
2	70%7/10	13%1/8
3	70%7/10	53%8/15
4	70%7/10	13%1/8
5	39%7/18	13%1/8
6	50%5/10	36%4/11
All	55%40/73	33%21/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	LMU-SE LA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+1.8
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Maria Tabacuks	+1.9
3	1-2	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
4	2-2	LMU	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+1.8
5	2-3	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+1.4
6	3-3	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
7	3-4	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.4
8	3-5	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Brea Payne	set Keira Beverly	+2.1
9	4-5	SE LA	LMU	Attack err	Brea Payne		+1.4
10	4-6	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Brea Payne	+1.6
11	5-6	SE LA	LMU	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.4
12	5-7	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.6
13	6-7	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.4
14	7-7	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+2.1
15	7-8	LMU	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+1.6
16	7-9	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Audrey Vielguth	+2.4
17	7-10	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+2.5
18	8-10	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Gabriella Cascione	set Delfina Schuh	+1.5
19	9-10	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+2.3
20	9-11	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.9
21	10-11	SE LA	LMU×7	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.6
22	11-11	LMU	LMU×7	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Gabriella Cascione	+2.4
23	12-11	LMU	LMU×7	Bad set	Lauren Ossmann		+2.3
24	13-11	LMU	LMU×7	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+2.1
25	14-11	LMU	LMU×7	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.8
26	15-11	LMU	LMU×7	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Maria Tabacuks, Camille Pomeroy	+1.4
27	16-11	LMU	LMU×7	Attack err	Ainsley Driska	blk Camille Pomeroy	+1.1
28	16-12	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.6
29	17-12	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.7
30	17-13	LMU	SE LA×3	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
31	17-14	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Anya Santrac		+1.2
32	17-15	SE LA	SE LA×3	Ace	SE LA server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+1.7
33	18-15	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.4
34	19-15	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Claire King		+1.6
35	19-16	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+0.8
36	20-16	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.1
37	20-17	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.8
38	20-18	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Lauren Ossmann	set Gracie Mann	+1.8
39	21-18	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
40	21-19	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Lauren Ossmann	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.3
41	22-19	SE LA	LMU×4	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Anya Santrac	+1.7
42	23-19	LMU	LMU×4	Ace	LMU server	aced Team	+1.5
43	24-19	LMU	LMU×4	Attack err	Carissa Young	blk Maria Tabacuks, Camille Pomeroy	+0.6
44	25-19	LMU	LMU×4	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
2	1-1	SE LA	LMU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.9
3	1-2	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
4	2-2	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.9
5	2-3	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
6	2-4	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.5
7	3-4	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.0
8	3-5	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.1
9	4-5	SE LA	LMU×3	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.0
10	5-5	LMU	LMU×3	Ace	LMU server	aced Team	+1.4
11	6-5	LMU	LMU×3	Ace	LMU server	aced Abby Bailey	+1.3
12	6-6	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
13	7-6	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.0
14	7-7	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
15	8-7	SE LA	LMU	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+1.0
16	8-8	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.1
17	9-8	SE LA	LMU	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+1.0
18	10-8	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+1.4
19	10-9	LMU	SE LA×3	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.0
20	10-10	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Lindsey Wickersham	+1.6
21	10-11	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Maria Tabacuks	+1.8
22	11-11	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
23	12-11	LMU	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac		+1.7
24	12-12	LMU	SE LA	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Keira Beverly, Abby Bailey	+1.2
25	13-12	SE LA	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
26	14-12	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+1.6
27	15-12	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+1.4
28	15-13	LMU	SE LA	Attack err	Anya Santrac		+0.9
29	16-13	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Maria Tabacuks	+1.0
30	16-14	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Abby Bailey	+0.9
31	16-15	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Gabriella Cascione		+1.7
32	17-15	SE LA	LMU	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+1.3
33	17-16	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.3
34	18-16	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.4
35	18-17	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.3
36	19-17	SE LA	LMU	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.5
37	19-18	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+1.4
38	20-18	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.6
39	20-19	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Lauren Ossmann	+1.4
40	21-19	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
41	21-20	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Mina Petrovic	+1.5
42	22-20	SE LA	LMU×3	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+1.9
43	23-20	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Anya Santrac	+1.9
44	24-20	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.9
45	24-21	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.2
46	25-21	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.7
2	1-1	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Anya Santrac	+0.5
3	2-1	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
4	2-2	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Claire King	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.5
5	2-3	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.7
6	3-3	SE LA	LMU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.5
7	3-4	LMU	SE LA×3	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.5
8	3-5	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Camille Pomeroy	blk Keira Beverly, Claire King	+0.8
9	3-6	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.9
10	4-6	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
11	4-7	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
12	5-7	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
13	6-7	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Claire King	+0.8
14	6-8	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
15	7-8	SE LA	LMU×7	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
16	8-8	LMU	LMU×7	Ace	LMU server	aced Melina Gonzalez	+0.8
17	9-8	LMU	LMU×7	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.8
18	10-8	LMU	LMU×7	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+0.7
19	11-8	LMU	LMU×7	Ace	LMU server	aced Team	+0.6
20	12-8	LMU	LMU×7	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+0.5
21	13-8	LMU	LMU×7	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.4
22	13-9	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Lauren Ossmann		+0.2
23	14-9	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.3
24	15-9	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Delfina Schuh, Camille Pomeroy	+0.3
25	15-10	LMU	SE LA×3	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.2
26	15-11	SE LA	SE LA×3	Ace	SE LA server	aced Team	+0.3
27	15-12	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.5
28	16-12	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.4
29	16-13	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Claire King	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.3
30	17-13	SE LA	LMU×3	Attack err	Claire King	blk Maria Tabacuks	+0.4
31	18-13	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Claire King		+0.4
32	19-13	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
33	19-14	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+0.1
34	19-15	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Gracie Mann, Keira Beverly	+0.3
35	20-15	SE LA	LMU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.3
36	21-15	LMU	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.2
37	21-16	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.1
38	22-16	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
39	22-17	LMU	SE LA	Attack err	Anya Santrac	blk Keira Beverly, Lauren Ossmann	+0.1
40	23-17	SE LA	LMU	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+0.1
41	23-18	LMU	SE LA	Serve err	LMU server		+0.0
42	23-19	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Melina Gonzalez	set Ainsley Driska	+0.1
43	24-19	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Kyla Firestone	+0.2
44	24-20	LMU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
45	24-21	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Leah Burrell		+0.1
46	25-21	SE LA	LMU	Kill	Leah Burrell	set Lindsey Wickersham	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, LMU (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.