FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeBIG-SKY

LMU (CA) def. Northern Ariz. 3–0

(24-22, 25-22, 25-18)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
LMU	24	25	25	3
NAU	22	22	18	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NAU above 50 · LMU below

Biggest swing: 5.5% to LMU (CA) — set 1, LMU 22-20 NAU. Attack error by Lauren Edlund. NAU win probability 37% → 32%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LMU 59.1%40.9% NAU

LMU (CA) wins

3-0

16.7%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

19.8%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

9.1%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

16.9%

LMU break %: 42.7% vs this opp
NAU break %: 40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren EdlundAttack error+5.5%
Attack error by Lauren Edlund
Set 1 · LMU 22-20 NAU · LMU 63% → 68%
02
Nicole SchuetzKill+5.2%
Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 20-19 NAU · LMU 57% → 62%
03
Maria TabacuksKill+4.7%
Kill by Maria Tabacuks (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 2 · LMU 24-22 NAU · LMU 83% → 87%
04
Nicole SchuetzKill+4.5%
Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Maria Tabacuks)
Set 1 · LMU 18-18 NAU · LMU 53% → 57%
05
Anya SantracKill+4.4%
Kill by Anya Santrac (set by Maria Tabacuks)
Set 1 · LMU 23-21 NAU · LMU 65% → 70%
06
Hanah StoddardAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Hanah Stoddard
Set 1 · LMU 24-21 NAU · LMU 70% → 74%
07
Hanah StoddardAttack error+4.1%
Hanah Stoddard stuffed by Maria Tabacuks & Camille Pomeroy
Set 1 · LMU 21-20 NAU · LMU 59% → 63%
08
NAU serverAce+4.1%
Northern Ariz. ace on Gabriella Cascione
Set 1 · LMU 15-17 NAU · NAU 45% → 50%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LMU (CA)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Nicole SchuetzOH	3	21	3	32	.563	0	1	3	8	0	2	1	23
5Maria TabacuksOH	3	12	3	36	.250	3	1	5	8	0	1	0.5	13.5
11Zaria ThorntonMB	3	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
10Camille PomeroyMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	6
6Delfina SchuhS	3	1	0	3	.333	38	1	1	7	0	2	1	3
20Anya SantracOH	3	2	4	16	-.125	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	2
22Kayla LopezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
13Gabriella CascioneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	2	0	0	0
Team totals		46	13	107	.308	43	4	9	45	3	10	5	75

Northern Ariz.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Hanah StoddardOH	3	9	7	39	.051	1	0	1	7	2	2	1	10
3Gigi GreenleeMB	3	9	0	12	.750	0	0	2	2	0	2	1	10
22Quincey CoyleOH	3	7	4	32	.094	1	2	2	5	0	0	0	9
12Laney WilsonOH	3	7	0	11	.636	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	8
31Kate CampMB	3	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
7Ella HosfeldS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
10Lilly HolmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	14	0	0	0	1
6Lauren EdlundOH	3	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Taryn DavisS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
18Kate FedericoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	14	106	.217	34	3	11	40	4	10	5	62

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LMU · NAU 4

Set 1*

24-22

Longest run 3 LMUNAU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 LMUNAU 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 LMUNAU 2

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = LMU (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LMU (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	50%5/10
2	100%6/6	50%6/12
3	86%6/7	0%0/6
4	71%5/7	29%2/7
5	71%5/7	38%3/8
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	78%32/41	37%18/49

Northern Ariz.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	44%4/9
2	67%6/9	0%0/6
3	71%5/7	0%0/6
4	83%5/6	29%2/7
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	40%4/10	17%1/6
All	63%31/49	22%9/41

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	LMU-NAU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
2	1-1	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.8
3	2-1	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Maria Tabacuks	+1.8
4	2-2	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+1.8
5	3-2	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.8
6	3-3	LMU	NAU×4	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.8
7	3-4	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks		+2.7
8	3-5	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+2.7
9	3-6	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Anya Santrac	blk Laney Wilson, Kate Camp	+2.7
10	4-6	NAU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.8
11	4-7	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.0
12	5-7	NAU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.8
13	6-7	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks		+2.7
14	6-8	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.1
15	7-8	NAU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+2.0
16	8-8	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.9
17	8-9	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+2.2
18	8-10	NAU	NAU	Ace	NAU server	aced Anya Santrac	+3.1
19	9-10	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+2.1
20	10-10	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+3.1
21	10-11	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+2.4
22	11-11	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+2.3
23	11-12	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+2.5
24	12-12	NAU	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.4
25	13-12	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Zaria Thornton, Nicole Schuetz	+3.4
26	14-12	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+3.3
27	14-13	LMU	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.3
28	15-13	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.5
29	15-14	LMU	NAU×4	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Hanah Stoddard	+2.3
30	15-15	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Zaria Thornton		+3.7
31	15-16	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+4.1
32	15-17	NAU	NAU×4	Ace	NAU server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+4.1
33	16-17	NAU	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+2.6
34	16-18	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+3.1
35	17-18	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+2.8
36	18-18	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Maria Tabacuks	+4.5
37	18-19	LMU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+3.6
38	19-19	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+3.4
39	20-19	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+5.2
40	20-20	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+3.7
41	21-20	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Maria Tabacuks, Camille Pomeroy	+4.1
42	22-20	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Lauren Edlund		+5.5
43	22-21	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+3.1
44	23-21	NAU	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Maria Tabacuks	+4.4
45	24-21	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+4.2
46	24-22	LMU	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.6
Set 2
1	0-1	LMU	NAU	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks		+1.7
2	1-1	NAU	LMU×4	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+1.6
3	2-1	LMU	LMU×4	Ace	LMU server	aced Hanah Stoddard	+2.3
4	3-1	LMU	LMU×4	Attack err	Kate Camp		+2.2
5	4-1	LMU	LMU×4	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.1
6	4-2	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+1.4
7	5-2	NAU	LMU	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+1.5
8	5-3	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.4
9	5-4	NAU	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp		+2.2
10	6-4	NAU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
11	6-5	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+1.7
12	7-5	NAU	LMU×3	Serve err	NAU server		+1.7
13	8-5	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.3
14	9-5	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+2.0
15	9-6	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.3
16	9-7	NAU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+2.1
17	10-7	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
18	11-7	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Taryn Davis	+2.1
19	11-8	LMU	NAU×3	Attack err	Quincey Coyle		+1.3
20	11-9	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+2.2
21	11-10	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Hanah Stoddard, Gigi Greenlee	+2.6
22	12-10	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+2.0
23	13-10	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Team	+2.6
24	13-11	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+1.7
25	14-11	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.9
26	14-12	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Quincey Coyle	+1.7
27	15-12	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+2.0
28	15-13	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.7
29	16-13	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Zaria Thornton, Nicole Schuetz	+2.0
30	16-14	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.8
31	16-15	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Anya Santrac		+3.1
32	17-15	NAU	LMU	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Delfina Schuh	+2.5
33	17-16	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.3
34	18-16	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Quincey Coyle		+2.6
35	18-17	LMU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+2.4
36	19-17	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+2.8
37	19-18	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+2.5
38	20-18	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+3.0
39	20-19	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+2.6
40	21-19	NAU	LMU	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+3.2
41	21-20	LMU	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.7
42	22-20	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+3.6
43	22-21	LMU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Lilly Holmes	+2.8
44	23-21	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+4.0
45	23-22	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.9
46	24-22	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+4.7
47	25-22	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+3.5
Set 3
1	0-1	NAU	NAU	Ace	NAU server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+1.4
2	1-1	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+1.0
3	1-2	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+1.1
4	2-2	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.0
5	2-3	LMU	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.1
6	3-3	NAU	LMU	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+1.1
7	4-3	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Kayla Lopez	+1.5
8	4-4	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.1
9	4-5	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Anya Santrac	blk Laney Wilson, Kate Camp	+1.6
10	5-5	NAU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.1
11	6-5	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Team	+1.6
12	6-6	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+1.1
13	6-7	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Zaria Thornton		+1.7
14	7-7	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+1.2
15	7-8	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.2
16	8-8	NAU	LMU×5	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
17	9-8	LMU	LMU×5	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Delfina Schuh, Camille Pomeroy	+1.7
18	10-8	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.7
19	11-8	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.5
20	12-8	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+1.4
21	12-9	LMU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+0.8
22	12-10	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Hanah Stoddard, Gigi Greenlee	+1.4
23	13-10	NAU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
24	14-10	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Lauren Edlund		+1.4
25	15-10	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+1.1
26	15-11	LMU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+0.6
27	16-11	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+0.8
28	16-12	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Lilly Holmes	+0.6
29	17-12	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+0.8
30	18-12	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Hanah Stoddard	+0.8
31	18-13	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Lilly Holmes	+0.4
32	19-13	NAU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.6
33	19-14	LMU	NAU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.3
34	20-14	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Delfina Schuh, Zaria Thornton	+0.5
35	20-15	LMU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.3
36	21-15	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+0.5
37	21-16	LMU	NAU	Attack err	Camille Pomeroy		+0.2
38	22-16	NAU	LMU	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.4
39	23-16	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.2
40	23-17	LMU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
41	24-17	NAU	LMU	Serve err	NAU server		+0.1
42	24-18	LMU	NAU	Attack err	Anya Santrac	blk Lauren Edlund, Kate Camp	+0.0
43	25-18	NAU	LMU	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LMU (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.