FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

LMU (CA) def. Brown 3–0

(25-20, 25-13, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LMU	25	25	25	3
BROWN	20	13	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BROWN above 50 · LMU below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to LMU (CA) — set 1, LMU 2-1 BROWN. Kill by Zaria Thornton (set by Delfina Schuh). BROWN win probability 23% → 21%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LMU 77.3%22.7% BROWN

LMU (CA) wins

3-0

29.0%

3-1

29.4%

3-2

18.9%

Brown wins

3-0

3.9%

3-1

7.7%

3-2

11.2%

LMU break %: 42.3% vs this opp
BROWN break %: 36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Zaria ThorntonKill+1.9%
Kill by Zaria Thornton (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 2-1 BROWN · LMU 77% → 79%
02
Aleksandra StojanovicKill+1.9%
Kill by Aleksandra Stojanovic (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 6-4 BROWN · LMU 79% → 81%
03
Aleksandra StojanovicAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Aleksandra Stojanovic
Set 1 · LMU 7-6 BROWN · BROWN 18% → 20%
04
Nicole SchuetzKill+1.9%
Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 10-7 BROWN · LMU 81% → 83%
05
Maria TabacuksKill+1.7%
Kill by Maria Tabacuks (set by Gabriella Cascione)
Set 1 · LMU 7-4 BROWN · LMU 81% → 83%
06
LMU serverAce+1.7%
LMU (CA) ace on Elle Holley
Set 1 · LMU 16-12 BROWN · LMU 83% → 85%
07
LMU serverAce+1.4%
LMU (CA) ace on Fisayo Afonja
Set 2 · LMU 3-1 BROWN · LMU 89% → 90%
08
Sarah ShawKill+1.4%
Kill by Sarah Shaw (set by Ally Panzloff)
Set 1 · LMU 0-1 BROWN · BROWN 23% → 24%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LMU (CA)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Nicole SchuetzOH	3	15	6	30	.300	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	15
28Aleksandra StojanovicMB	3	9	2	15	.467	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	11
11Zaria ThorntonMB	3	9	1	13	.615	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9
20Anya SantracOH	3	7	1	23	.261	1	1	1	5	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Maria TabacuksOH	3	5	1	16	.250	0	2	3	6	1	0	0	7
6Delfina SchuhS	3	2	1	10	.100	38	1	0	11	0	2	1	4
22Kayla LopezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
13Gabriella CascioneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	16	0	0	0	0
24Kyla FirestoneS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
25Leah BurrellOPP	2	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Camille PomeroyMB	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Ayanna HenryOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
4Gianna PerezL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Mariana SimaoMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	14	115	.313	43	5	7	53	1	8	4	75

Brownhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Fisayo AfonjaMB	3	8	2	25	.240	0	0	2	4	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
4Sophia WolfsonMB	3	8	0	19	.421	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
20Elle HolleyOH	3	6	6	25	.000	0	0	2	9	4	0	2	1	7
15Sarah ShawMB	3	4	1	15	.200	0	0	2	2	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
9Ally PanzloffOH	3	2	1	12	.083	3	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Julia KakkisS	3	0	1	4	-.250	18	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Sophie HaskellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
5Eve McLauryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	0
11Lawson MonroeOH	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
7Yuna YangS	1	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Maddy SmithOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Megan PhanS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	11	105	.171	27	1	9	38	5	1	8	5	51

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LMU · BROWN 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 LMUBROWN 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 5 LMUBROWN 2

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 3 LMUBROWN 2

Bars above the line = Brown leads, below = LMU (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LMU (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	42%5/12
2	89%8/9	33%4/12
3	89%8/9	33%4/12
4	64%7/11	53%8/15
5	75%6/8	54%7/13
6	100%5/5	50%5/10
All	81%42/52	45%33/74

Brown

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	0%0/6
2	57%8/14	20%2/10
3	62%8/13	20%2/10
4	41%7/17	11%1/9
5	45%5/11	36%4/11
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	55%41/74	19%10/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	LMU-BROWN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Ally Panzloff	+1.4
2	1-1	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
3	2-1	LMU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.9
4	2-2	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+1.3
5	3-2	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
6	3-3	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.3
7	4-3	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
8	4-4	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Delfina Schuh		+1.4
9	5-4	BROWN	LMU×3	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
10	6-4	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+1.9
11	7-4	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Gabriella Cascione	+1.7
12	7-5	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+1.1
13	7-6	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Aleksandra Stojanovic		+1.9
14	8-6	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
15	8-7	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Ally Panzloff	+1.3
16	9-7	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.3
17	10-7	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.9
18	10-8	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Sarah Shaw, Elle Holley	+1.1
19	11-8	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
20	11-9	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
21	12-9	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.3
22	12-10	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+1.2
23	13-10	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
24	13-11	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+1.2
25	14-11	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.3
26	14-12	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+1.2
27	15-12	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.4
28	16-12	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Elle Holley	+1.7
29	16-13	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+0.9
30	17-13	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.1
31	17-14	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Sarah Shaw	+0.9
32	18-14	BROWN	LMU×3	Serve err	BROWN server		+1.1
33	19-14	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Elle Holley		+1.2
34	20-14	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.7
35	20-15	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.3
36	20-16	BROWN	BROWN	Ace	BROWN server	aced Maria Tabacuks	+0.7
37	21-16	BROWN	LMU	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja		+0.7
38	22-16	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Julia Kakkis		+0.5
39	22-17	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
40	23-17	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
41	24-17	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Elle Holley	blk Anya Santrac, Aleksandra Stojanovic	+0.1
42	24-18	LMU	BROWN×3	Attack err	Anya Santrac		+0.0
43	24-19	BROWN	BROWN×3	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.0
44	24-20	BROWN	BROWN×3	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
45	25-20	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Anya Santrac	+0.9
2	1-1	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Megan Phan	+1.0
3	2-1	BROWN	LMU×3	Attack err	Sarah Shaw		+1.0
4	3-1	LMU	LMU×3	Ace	LMU server	aced Fisayo Afonja	+1.4
5	4-1	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+1.3
6	4-2	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Megan Phan	+0.8
7	5-2	BROWN	LMU×4	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.8
8	6-2	LMU	LMU×4	Attack err	Ally Panzloff		+1.1
9	7-2	LMU	LMU×4	Attack err	Elle Holley		+0.9
10	8-2	LMU	LMU×4	Kill	Anya Santrac		+0.7
11	8-3	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Megan Phan	+0.4
12	8-4	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Aleksandra Stojanovic		+0.8
13	9-4	BROWN	LMU×5	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
14	10-4	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Anya Santrac		+0.7
15	11-4	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
16	12-4	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.4
17	13-4	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.2
18	13-5	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
19	14-5	BROWN	LMU×5	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.1
20	15-5	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
21	16-5	LMU	LMU×5	Attack err	Fisayo Afonja	blk Delfina Schuh, Aleksandra Stojanovic	+0.1
22	17-5	LMU	LMU×5	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0
23	18-5	LMU	LMU×5	Ace	LMU server	aced Elle Holley	+0.0
24	18-6	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.0
25	19-6	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0
26	19-7	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.0
27	20-7	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Ayanna Henry	set Kayla Lopez	+0.0
28	20-8	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Ally Panzloff	+0.0
29	21-8	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Camille Pomeroy	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0
30	21-9	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Camille Pomeroy		+0.0
31	21-10	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.0
32	22-10	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0
33	22-11	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Sophia Wolfson, Elle Holley	+0.0
34	23-11	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.0
35	24-11	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Elle Holley	blk Leah Burrell, Aleksandra Stojanovic	+0.0
36	24-12	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.0
37	24-13	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Leah Burrell		+0.0
38	25-13	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Kyla Firestone	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Elle Holley	+0.8
2	1-1	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks	blk Ally Panzloff, Sarah Shaw	+0.5
3	2-1	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
4	2-2	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+0.5
5	3-2	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Sophia Wolfson	+0.5
6	3-3	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sophia Wolfson	set Julia Kakkis	+0.5
7	4-3	BROWN	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
8	5-3	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Elle Holley	blk Delfina Schuh, Aleksandra Stojanovic	+0.8
9	6-3	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Anya Santrac	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.7
10	6-4	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+0.4
11	7-4	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.4
12	7-5	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Yuna Yang	+0.4
13	8-5	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.4
14	8-6	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Fisayo Afonja, Sarah Shaw	+0.4
15	9-6	BROWN	LMU×3	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
16	10-6	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
17	11-6	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.5
18	11-7	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Julia Kakkis	+0.3
19	11-8	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Zaria Thornton	blk Sarah Shaw	+0.5
20	12-8	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.4
21	12-9	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+0.4
22	13-9	BROWN	LMU	Serve err	BROWN server		+0.4
23	14-9	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Elle Holley		+0.5
24	14-10	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Julia Kakkis	+0.3
25	15-10	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
26	16-10	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
27	16-11	LMU	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.2
28	16-12	BROWN	BROWN	Kill	Lawson Monroe		+0.4
29	17-12	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
30	17-13	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Elle Holley	set Yuna Yang	+0.2
31	18-13	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
32	18-14	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Fisayo Afonja	set Yuna Yang	+0.2
33	19-14	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
34	20-14	LMU	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
35	20-15	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Sarah Shaw	set Julia Kakkis	+0.1
36	20-16	BROWN	BROWN	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.3
37	21-16	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
38	22-16	LMU	LMU	Ace	LMU server	aced Elle Holley	+0.2
39	22-17	LMU	BROWN	Serve err	LMU server		+0.1
40	23-17	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
41	23-18	LMU	BROWN	Kill	Ally Panzloff	set Julia Kakkis	+0.0
42	24-18	BROWN	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
43	25-18	LMU	LMU	Kill	Leah Burrell		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LMU (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.