FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeBIG-WEST

Long Beach St. def. LMU (CA) 3–0

(25-18, 25-17, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LMU	18	17	19	0
LBSU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LBSU above 50 · LMU below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to LMU (CA) — set 1, LMU 4-4 LBSU. Attack error by Chloe Johnson. LBSU win probability 87% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LMU 14.5%85.5% LBSU

LMU (CA) wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.8%

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

37.7%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.4%

LMU break %: 37.2% vs this opp
LBSU break %: 45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Chloe JohnsonAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Chloe Johnson
Set 1 · LMU 4-4 LBSU · LMU 13% → 15%
02
Kendal MurphyKill+1.4%
Kill by Kendal Murphy
Set 1 · LMU 4-6 LBSU · LBSU 86% → 88%
03
Nicole SchuetzAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Nicole Schuetz
Set 1 · LMU 2-4 LBSU · LBSU 86% → 88%
04
Nicole SchuetzKill+1.2%
Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 7-9 LBSU · LMU 11% → 12%
05
LBSU serverAce+1.2%
Long Beach St. ace on Maria Tabacuks
Set 1 · LMU 4-7 LBSU · LBSU 88% → 89%
06
Kendal MurphyKill+1.1%
Kill by Kendal Murphy (set by Izzy Mahaffey)
Set 1 · LMU 7-11 LBSU · LBSU 89% → 90%
07
Maria TabacuksKill+1.1%
Kill by Maria Tabacuks (set by Delfina Schuh)
Set 1 · LMU 2-2 LBSU · LMU 14% → 15%
08
Reagan HopeKill+1.0%
Kill by Reagan Hope (set by Madi Maxwell)
Set 1 · LMU 4-5 LBSU · LBSU 85% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LMU (CA)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
77Maria TabacuksOH	3	14	3	36	.306	1	0	2	8	2	3	1.5	15.5
8Nicole SchuetzOH	3	9	6	23	.130	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
28Aleksandra StojanovicMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	1	1	0	4	2	4
6Delfina SchuhS	3	1	1	5	.000	23	0	1	9	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Zaria ThorntonMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Anya SantracOH	3	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0
1Ayanna HenryOH	3	3	1	11	.182	0	0	0	2	1	3	1.5	4.5
13Gabriella CascioneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	7	3	0	0	1
25Leah BurrellOPP	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Kayla LopezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
24Kyla FirestoneS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
10Camille PomeroyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	15	93	.161	30	1	10	38	8	12	6	54

Long Beach St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Sidney HamakerOH	3	15	3	25	.480	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
24Reagan HopeMB	3	9	1	14	.571	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	11
77Kendal MurphyOH	3	5	2	25	.120	2	0	1	5	1	0	2	1	6
3Pola BujnarowskaMB	3	3	3	14	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
1Izzy MahaffeyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	4	3	7	0	0	0	0	4
11Madi MaxwellS	3	3	1	7	.286	27	0	3	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Chloe JohnsonOH	3	7	3	18	.222	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
4Laurel BarsocchiniL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
0Anna JelinekOH	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	13	103	.282	36	8	9	38	1	1	8	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LMU · LBSU 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 LMULBSU 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 LMULBSU 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 LMULBSU 4

Bars above the line = Long Beach St. leads, below = LMU (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LMU (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	13%1/8
2	60%6/10	43%6/14
3	67%6/9	25%2/8
4	40%6/15	25%2/8
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	45%5/11	40%4/10
All	51%37/73	30%17/56

Long Beach St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	45%5/11
2	73%8/11	38%5/13
3	67%6/9	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	40%4/10
5	75%6/8	60%9/15
6	63%5/8	62%8/13
All	70%39/56	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	LMU-LBSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.9
2	1-1	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.0
3	1-2	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+1.0
4	2-2	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.1
5	2-3	LMU	LBSU	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Reagan Hope	+1.0
6	2-4	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+1.3
7	3-4	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.9
8	4-4	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+1.5
9	4-5	LMU	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+1.0
10	4-6	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Kendal Murphy		+1.4
11	4-7	LBSU	LBSU×3	Ace	LBSU server	aced Maria Tabacuks	+1.2
12	5-7	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.8
13	5-8	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.8
14	5-9	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Team	+1.0
15	6-9	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Delfina Schuh	set Maria Tabacuks	+0.7
16	7-9	LMU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+1.2
17	7-10	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.9
18	7-11	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Izzy Mahaffey	+1.1
19	8-11	LBSU	LMU	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker		+0.7
20	8-12	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.8
21	8-13	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.9
22	9-13	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
23	9-14	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
24	10-14	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.5
25	11-14	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+1.0
26	11-15	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.8
27	11-16	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope		+0.9
28	12-16	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.5
29	12-17	LMU	LBSU×4	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Kendal Murphy	+0.6
30	12-18	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Delfina Schuh		+0.6
31	12-19	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.3
32	12-20	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Kendal Murphy, Reagan Hope	+0.2
33	13-20	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
34	14-20	LMU	LMU	Kill	Ayanna Henry	set Kyla Firestone	+0.2
35	14-21	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.2
36	15-21	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Aleksandra Stojanovic	set Kyla Firestone	+0.1
37	15-22	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.1
38	16-22	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.1
39	17-22	LMU	LMU	Bad set	Madi Maxwell		+0.2
40	17-23	LMU	LBSU	Attack err	Anya Santrac		+0.2
41	18-23	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Leah Burrell	+0.1
42	18-24	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.1
43	18-25	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Maria Tabacuks	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Kendal Murphy		+1.0
2	0-2	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks	blk Pola Bujnarowska, Sidney Hamaker	+0.9
3	0-3	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Anna Jelinek	+0.8
4	0-4	LBSU	LBSU×4	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz	blk Kendal Murphy, Pola Bujnarowska	+0.7
5	1-4	LBSU	LMU	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker	blk Zaria Thornton, Maria Tabacuks	+0.4
6	2-4	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Kendal Murphy		+0.8
7	2-5	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.6
8	3-5	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
9	3-6	LMU	LBSU	Attack err	Zaria Thornton		+0.6
10	4-6	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
11	5-6	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Chloe Johnson		+1.0
12	5-7	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.7
13	5-8	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.9
14	6-8	LBSU	LMU	Attack err	Chloe Johnson	blk Ayanna Henry	+0.6
15	6-9	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Chloe Johnson	+0.6
16	6-10	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Ayanna Henry		+0.8
17	7-10	LBSU	LMU	Attack err	Madi Maxwell		+0.5
18	8-10	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Reagan Hope	blk Aleksandra Stojanovic, Maria Tabacuks	+0.9
19	8-11	LMU	LBSU×5	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
20	8-12	LBSU	LBSU×5	Ace	LBSU server	aced Kayla Lopez	+0.8
21	8-13	LBSU	LBSU×5	Ace	LBSU server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+0.6
22	8-14	LBSU	LBSU×5	Kill	Madi Maxwell	set Izzy Mahaffey	+0.4
23	8-15	LBSU	LBSU×5	Attack err	Nicole Schuetz		+0.3
24	9-15	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
25	9-16	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.2
26	10-16	LBSU	LMU×3	Kill	Zaria Thornton	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
27	11-16	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
28	12-16	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.5
29	12-17	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
30	13-17	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
31	13-18	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
32	13-19	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Kendal Murphy	+0.4
33	14-19	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.2
34	14-20	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.2
35	14-21	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks	blk Reagan Hope, Madi Maxwell	+0.2
36	15-21	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
37	16-21	LMU	LMU	Attack err	Sidney Hamaker	blk Ayanna Henry, Aleksandra Stojanovic	+0.2
38	16-22	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.2
39	16-23	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Ayanna Henry	+0.1
40	17-23	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Ayanna Henry	set Kyla Firestone	+0.0
41	17-24	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+0.0
42	17-25	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Aleksandra Stojanovic		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.3
2	0-2	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Anna Jelinek	+0.4
3	1-2	LBSU	LMU×3	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.3
4	2-2	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.5
5	3-2	LMU	LMU×3	Ace	LMU server	aced Kendal Murphy	+0.6
6	3-3	LMU	LBSU×3	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
7	3-4	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.5
8	3-5	LBSU	LBSU×3	Kill	Reagan Hope		+0.5
9	4-5	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.3
10	5-5	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
11	5-6	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
12	6-6	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.4
13	6-7	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.4
14	6-8	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+0.5
15	7-8	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.4
16	7-9	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Reagan Hope	set Madi Maxwell	+0.4
17	7-10	LBSU	LBSU	Attack err	Aleksandra Stojanovic		+0.5
18	8-10	LBSU	LMU×3	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.3
19	9-10	LMU	LMU×3	Kill	Ayanna Henry	set Gabriella Cascione	+0.6
20	10-10	LMU	LMU×3	Attack err	Kendal Murphy	blk Ayanna Henry, Aleksandra Stojanovic, Delfina Schuh	+0.7
21	10-11	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.5
22	11-11	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.5
23	11-12	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+0.5
24	12-12	LBSU	LMU	Attack err	Pola Bujnarowska		+0.5
25	13-12	LMU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.9
26	13-13	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Chloe Johnson	set Madi Maxwell	+0.6
27	14-13	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.7
28	14-14	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Anna Jelinek	+0.6
29	15-14	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.7
30	15-15	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
31	15-16	LBSU	LBSU	Ace	LBSU server	aced Gabriella Cascione	+0.9
32	16-16	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.6
33	16-17	LMU	LBSU	Serve err	LMU server		+0.6
34	16-18	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Kendal Murphy	set Madi Maxwell	+0.8
35	17-18	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Nicole Schuetz	set Delfina Schuh	+0.6
36	17-19	LMU	LBSU	Attack err	Maria Tabacuks		+0.6
37	18-19	LBSU	LMU	Serve err	LBSU server		+0.6
38	18-20	LMU	LBSU×4	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
39	18-21	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.7
40	18-22	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.5
41	18-23	LBSU	LBSU×4	Kill	Chloe Johnson		+0.2
42	19-23	LBSU	LMU	Kill	Maria Tabacuks	set Delfina Schuh	+0.1
43	19-24	LMU	LBSU	Kill	Pola Bujnarowska	set Madi Maxwell	+0.1
44	19-25	LBSU	LBSU	Kill	Sidney Hamaker	set Madi Maxwell	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LMU (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.