Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

LMU (CA) def. Denver 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: LMU (CA) 76.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LMU (CA) won at Denver 3-2 (25-19, 22-25, 25-18, 23-25, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. LMU (CA)'s Nicole Schuetz and Maria Tabacuks led with 17 kills each, and Delfina Schuh added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set12345Sets
LMU25222523153
DENVER19251825132

Match story · from the official box score

It went five, and LMU (CA) took the fifth 15–13 over Denver.

Box score only. The NCAA play-by-play didn’t check out against the official result, so no turning points are claimed. RallyIQ gave LMU (CA) 76% before first serve.

No one stat built this: no phase gap reached 8 points, .080 hitting or a 5-point run.

LMU (CA)Denver

Hitting
LMU (CA) .165·Denver .165
Aces
LMU (CA) 11·Denver 4
Serve err
LMU (CA) 8·Denver 9
Blocks
LMU (CA) 11·Denver 92 BS · 18 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
LMU (CA) 67·Denver 71

Win probability

Denver above 50 · LMU (CA) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+15.9% LMUrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 15.9% to LMU (CA) — set 5, LMU 15-13 DENVER. Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh). DENVER win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LMU 75.8%24.2% DENVER

LMU (CA) wins

3-0
27.7%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%

Denver wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.3%
3-2
11.7%
LMU break %
43.5% vs this opp
DENVER break %
38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nicole SchuetzKill+15.9%

    Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)

    Set 5 · LMU 15-13 DENVER · LMU 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Nicole SchuetzKill+12.4%

    Kill by Nicole Schuetz (set by Delfina Schuh)

    Set 5 · LMU 14-12 DENVER · LMU 79% → 91%

  3. 03
    DenverAce+11.5%

    Denver ace on Gabriella Cascione

    Set 5 · LMU 8-8 DENVER · DENVER 28% → 39%

  4. 04
    LMU (CA)Ace+11.2%

    LMU (CA) ace on Emersen Werger

    Set 5 · LMU 10-8 DENVER · LMU 69% → 81%

  5. 05
    Nicole SchuetzAttack error+10.8%

    Attack error by Nicole Schuetz

    Set 4 · LMU 23-25 DENVER · DENVER 26% → 37%

  6. 06
    DenverService error+10.7%

    Denver service error

    Set 5 · LMU 13-11 DENVER · LMU 76% → 87%

  7. 07
    Zaria ThorntonAttack error+10.5%

    Attack error by Zaria Thornton

    Set 4 · LMU 23-24 DENVER · DENVER 15% → 26%

  8. 08
    Nicole SchuetzAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Nicole Schuetz

    Set 5 · LMU 3-4 DENVER · DENVER 38% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517944.182022110031.520.5
517661.18012392010.519.5
55417.059000201649
56215.26700020132.58.5
52511-.27323060010.55.5
5206.33342111900214
55114.286000100216
5000–4201320002
51011.000401000001
5000–011300001
5001.000000100000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals5527170.1655311867421811110
Denverhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513738.15810193132.515.5
512728.17900040010.512.5
57422.13622050031.510.5
56019.316000501439
5203.6673411900003
50310-.30000242010.50.5
513635.20000020010.513.5
56320.15000000010.56.5
5000–4122530001
5001.0001302500000
5000–000000000
5000–101320000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals5930176.165554971112149100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

LMU (CA) vs Denver

Season series · LMU (CA) leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LMU · DENVER 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 LMUDENVER 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 LMUDENVER 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 LMUDENVER 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 LMUDENVER 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 2 LMUDENVER 2

Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = LMU (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LMU (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
43%3/7
2
71%5/7
50%5/10
3
40%4/10
0%0/5
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
100%4/4
0%0/4
6
60%3/5
50%3/6
All
66%25/38
32%12/37

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
33%2/6
2
56%5/9
29%2/7
3
83%5/6
38%3/8
4
100%4/4
56%5/9
5
75%3/4
0%0/4
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
68%25/37
34%13/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#LMU-DENVERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DENVERLMUKillDelfina Schuhset Anya Santrac+1.3
21-1LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Madison Winkler+1.4
31-2DENVERDENVERBlockedZaria Thorntonblk Elise Hart, Alicia Thibodeau+2.1
42-2DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+1.4
52-3LMUDENVERAttack errNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.6
63-3DENVERLMUKillZaria Thorntonset Delfina Schuh+1.5
73-4LMUDENVERServe errLMU (CA)+1.6
83-5DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeau+2.3
94-5DENVERLMUKillZaria Thorntonset Delfina Schuh+1.6
104-6LMUDENVERBlockedNicole Schuetzblk Izabela Molina+1.8
114-7DENVERDENVERAttack errAnya Santrac+2.5
125-7DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.6
136-7LMULMUBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Aleksandra Stojanovic, Anya Santrac+2.3
146-8LMUDENVERServe errLMU (CA)+1.9
157-8DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.7
167-9LMUDENVERAttack errMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+1.9
178-9DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuks+1.7
188-10LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+2.0
199-10DENVERLMUServe errDenver+1.8
209-11LMUDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+2.1
2110-11DENVERLMU×4KillZaria Thorntonset Delfina Schuh+1.8
2211-11LMULMU×4BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Nicole Schuetz, Zaria Thornton+2.6
2312-11LMULMU×4AceLMU (CA)aced Kayla Patel+2.6
2413-11LMULMU×4AceLMU (CA)aced Kayla Patel+2.4
2513-12LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+1.7
2614-12DENVERLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.8
2715-12LMULMUAttack errAlicia Thibodeau+2.2
2815-13LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+1.4
2916-13DENVERLMUKillAleksandra Stojanovicset Delfina Schuh+1.6
3016-14LMUDENVER×3Serve errLMU (CA)+1.5
3116-15DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Maria Tabacuks+2.6
3216-16DENVERDENVER×3BlockedAleksandra Stojanovicblk Elise Hart, Kayla Patel+3.2
3317-16DENVERLMU×4Serve errDenver+2.4
3418-16LMU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
3519-16LMULMU×4BlockedKayla Patelblk Aleksandra Stojanovic+2.6
3620-16LMULMU×4AceLMU (CA)aced Alicia Thibodeau+1.9
3720-17LMUDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.0
3820-18DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Maria Tabacuks+2.1
3921-18DENVERLMUServe errDenver+2.0
4021-19LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+1.5
4122-19DENVERLMU×3Serve errDenver+2.1
4223-19LMULMU×3Attack errElise Hart+1.8
4324-19LMULMU×3Attack errHailey Goebel+0.7
Set 2
11-0LMULMUAttack errKayla Patel+1.4
21-1LMUDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+1.1
31-2DENVERDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+1.6
41-3DENVERDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+1.7
52-3DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.2
63-3LMULMUAceLMU (CA)aced Madison Winkler+1.6
73-4LMUDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+1.3
83-5DENVERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Elise Hart+1.8
94-5DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.2
104-6LMUDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van hal+1.4
114-7DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.9
125-7DENVERLMUServe errDenver+1.2
135-8LMUDENVERBlockedAleksandra Stojanovicblk Alicia Thibodeau, Izabela Molina+1.5
146-8DENVERLMUAttack errKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+1.3
156-9LMUDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.5
167-9DENVERLMUKillAyanna Henryset Kyla Firestone+1.3
177-10LMUDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.5
188-10DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Kyla Firestone+1.3
198-11LMUDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+1.6
209-11DENVERLMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Kyla Firestone+1.4
2110-11LMULMU×3Attack errHailey Goebel+2.0
2211-11LMULMU×3KillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+2.1
2311-12LMUDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+1.6
2411-13DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Gabriella Cascione+2.4
2512-13DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.5
2612-14LMUDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+1.8
2712-15DENVERDENVER×3BlockedNicole Schuetzblk Izabela Molina, Alicia Thibodeau+2.5
2812-16DENVERDENVER×3Ball handlingAnya Santrac+2.3
2913-16DENVERLMUKillAnya Santracset Delfina Schuh+1.3
3013-17LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+1.7
3114-17DENVERLMUServe errDenver+1.3
3214-18LMUDENVERAttack errAnya Santracset Kyla Firestone+1.8
3315-18DENVERLMU×3KillKyla Firestoneset Gabriella Cascione+1.3
3416-18LMULMU×3Attack errJamia Johnson+2.2
3517-18LMULMU×3AceLMU (CA)aced Alicia Thibodeau+2.7
3617-19LMUDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Ilayda Eren+2.4
3717-20DENVERDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+3.1
3818-20DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Kyla Firestone+1.6
3919-20LMULMUBlockedElise Hartblk Zaria Thornton, Ayanna Henry+2.9
4019-21LMUDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+2.8
4120-21DENVERLMUAttack errElise Hartset Maria Tabacuks+2.2
4221-21LMULMUAttack errAlicia Thibodeau+3.8
4321-22LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+3.4
4422-22DENVERLMUKillZaria Thorntonset Delfina Schuh+3.1
4522-23LMUDENVER×3Serve errLMU (CA)+4.0
4622-24DENVERDENVER×3BlockedAnya Santracblk Jamia Johnson, Izabela Molina+5.6
4722-25DENVERDENVER×3Attack errZaria Thornton+3.1
Set 3
11-0DENVERLMUAttack errDelfina Schuhset Maria Tabacuks+1.9
22-0LMULMUAttack errHailey Goebel+2.6
32-1LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+1.9
43-1DENVERLMUBlockedElise Hartblk Zaria Thornton+1.9
54-1LMULMUBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Nicole Schuetz, Zaria Thornton+2.4
64-2LMUDENVERAttack errZaria Thorntonset Kayla Patel+1.7
75-2DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.7
85-3LMUDENVERAttack errMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+1.7
95-4DENVERDENVERAttack errAnya Santrac+2.7
106-4DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+2.0
116-5LMUDENVERBlockedNicole Schuetzblk Alicia Thibodeau+2.1
126-6DENVERDENVERKillRomi Chlebecek+3.2
137-6DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuks+2.3
147-7LMUDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecekset Ilayda Eren+2.4
157-8DENVERDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecekset Ilayda Eren+3.6
167-9DENVERDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecekset Ilayda Eren+3.9
178-9DENVERLMUKillAleksandra Stojanovicset Delfina Schuh+2.6
188-10LMUDENVERBad setJamia Johnson+3.0
199-10DENVERLMU×3KillAleksandra Stojanovicset Delfina Schuh+2.6
2010-10LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+3.8
2111-10LMULMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Gabriella Cascione+3.7
2211-11LMUDENVERAttack errNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+2.8
23–2412-12LMU · DENVER
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
2512-13LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Elise Hart+3.2
2613-13DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+3.0
2714-13LMULMUAttack errAlicia Thibodeau+4.2
2814-14LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebel+3.1
2915-14DENVERLMUServe errDenver+3.1
3016-14LMULMUAceLMU (CA)aced Alicia Thibodeau+4.0
3116-15LMUDENVERServe errLMU (CA)+2.8
3216-16DENVERDENVERAttack errMaria Tabacuks+4.7
3317-16DENVERLMU×5KillAyanna Henryset Delfina Schuh+3.5
3418-16LMULMU×5BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Aleksandra Stojanovic, Delfina Schuh+4.5
3519-16LMULMU×5Attack errAlicia Thibodeau+3.8
3620-16LMULMU×5AceLMU (CA)aced Madison Winkler+2.8
3721-16LMULMU×5AceLMU (CA)aced Madison Winkler+1.8
3821-17LMUDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Madison Winkler+0.8
3922-17DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+1.2
4023-17LMULMUAttack errJamia Johnson+0.8
4123-18LMUDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+0.2
4224-18DENVERLMUKillAleksandra Stojanovicset Delfina Schuh+0.4
4325-18LMULMUAceLMU (CA)+0.2
Set 4
10-1LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+1.8
21-1DENVERLMUAttack errRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+1.7
31-2LMUDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+1.9
42-2DENVERLMU×3KillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.7
53-2LMULMU×3KillAyanna Henryset Gabriella Cascione+2.3
64-2LMULMU×3BlockedHailey Goebelblk Ayanna Henry, Zaria Thornton+2.2
74-3LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+1.6
85-3DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.6
96-3LMU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
106-4LMUDENVERAttack errAyanna Henryset Delfina Schuh+1.4
117-4DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+1.5
127-5LMUDENVER×3Serve errLMU (CA)+1.5
137-6DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+2.3
147-7DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.7
158-7DENVERLMUBad setJamia Johnson+1.9
168-8LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+2.0
178-9DENVERDENVERKillIzabela Molina+3.1
189-9DENVERLMU×3KillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+2.1
1910-9LMULMU×3AceLMU (CA)aced Emersen Werger+2.9
2011-9LMULMU×3BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Zaria Thornton, Maria Tabacuks+2.7
2111-10LMUDENVER×3KillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van hal+1.9
2211-11DENVER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
2311-12DENVERDENVER×3Attack errMaria Tabacuks+3.4
2412-12DENVERLMUKillZaria Thorntonset Delfina Schuh+2.4
2512-13LMUDENVER×3KillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van hal+2.6
2612-14DENVERDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecekset Gabriella Cascione+3.8
2712-15DENVERDENVER×3Attack errAnya Santrac+3.8
2813-15DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuks+2.3
2913-16LMUDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van hal+2.9
3014-16DENVERLMU×5KillNicole Schuetzset Maria Tabacuks+2.4
3115-16LMULMU×5Attack errRomi Chlebecek+3.7
3216-16LMULMU×5BlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Aleksandra Stojanovic, Nicole Schuetz+4.0
3317-16LMULMU×5Attack errRomi Chlebecek+4.0
3418-16LMULMU×5KillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+3.7
3518-17LMUDENVERKillRomi Chlebecekset Lily Van hal+2.5
3619-17DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+2.8
3719-18LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+2.6
3819-19DENVERDENVERAttack errNicole Schuetz+4.6
3920-19DENVERLMUKillAyanna Henryset Delfina Schuh+3.6
4020-20LMUDENVERKillLily Van halset Madison Winkler+3.7
4121-20DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuksset Delfina Schuh+4.0
4221-21LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+4.1
4322-21DENVERLMUAttack errHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+4.5
4422-22LMUDENVERKillHailey Goebel+4.6
4523-22DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+5.4
4623-23LMUDENVER×3KillRomi Chlebecek+5.3
4723-24DENVERDENVER×3Attack errZaria Thornton+10.5
4823-25DENVERDENVER×3Attack errNicole Schuetz+10.8
Set 5
10-1DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Emersen Werger+8.7
21-1DENVERLMUKillAleksandra Stojanovic+6.0
32-1LMULMUAttack errHailey Goebel+8.3
42-2LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+6.2
53-2DENVERLMUBlockedRomi Chlebecekblk Zaria Thornton, Delfina Schuh+6.1
63-3LMUDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van hal+6.5
73-4DENVERDENVERAttack errNicole Schuetz+9.9
84-4DENVERLMUKillMaria Tabacuks+6.8
95-4LMULMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+9.5
105-5LMUDENVERKillEmersen Werger+7.1
116-5DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+7.1
126-6LMUDENVERBlockedMaria Tabacuksblk Romi Chlebecek, Elise Hart+7.5
137-6DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+7.6
148-6LMULMUKillAleksandra Stojanovicset Delfina Schuh+9.8
158-7LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+6.6
168-8DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Gabriella Cascione+11.5
179-8DENVERLMUKillAyanna Henryset Delfina Schuh+8.7
1810-8LMULMUAceLMU (CA)aced Emersen Werger+11.2
1910-9LMUDENVERKillLily Van halset Alicia Thibodeau+7.3
2011-9DENVERLMUKillDelfina Schuhset Anya Santrac+8.7
2111-10LMUDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van hal+7.6
2212-10DENVERLMUAttack errHailey Goebelset Lily Van hal+9.6
2312-11LMUDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van hal+7.9
2413-11DENVERLMUServe errDenver+10.7
2513-12LMUDENVERServe errLMU (CA)+7.9
2614-12DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+12.4
2714-13LMUDENVERAttack errNicole Schuetzset Kayla Lopez+7.1
2815-13DENVERLMUKillNicole Schuetzset Delfina Schuh+15.9

Score shown after each rally, LMU (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).