FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeSOCON

The Citadel def. South Carolina St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-19, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SC ST	23	19	21	0
CITDEL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CITDEL above 50 · SC ST below

Biggest swing: 4.8% to The Citadel — set 1, SC ST 23-25 CITDEL. Attack error by Chloe Neal. CITDEL win probability 86% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SC ST 17.6%82.4% CITDEL

South Carolina St. wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-2

9.1%

The Citadel wins

3-0

34.1%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

17.5%

SC ST break %: 42.3% vs this opp
CITDEL break %: 49.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Chloe NealAttack error+4.8%
Attack error by Chloe Neal
Set 1 · SC ST 23-25 CITDEL · CITDEL 86% → 91%
02
Rachel ReiningerKill+3.7%
Kill by Rachel Reininger (set by Jess Martin)
Set 1 · SC ST 22-24 CITDEL · CITDEL 85% → 88%
03
Jordyn SimsAttack error+3.0%
Jordyn Sims stuffed by Hedia Lewis
Set 1 · SC ST 22-23 CITDEL · SC ST 13% → 15%
04
Kenna HarrisKill+2.7%
Kill by Kenna Harris (set by Macey McCoy)
Set 1 · SC ST 17-17 CITDEL · SC ST 17% → 20%
05
Rachel ReiningerKill+2.6%
Kill by Rachel Reininger (set by Allie Davison)
Set 1 · SC ST 17-19 CITDEL · CITDEL 83% → 85%
06
CITDEL serverService error+2.4%
The Citadel service error
Set 1 · SC ST 23-24 CITDEL · SC ST 12% → 14%
07
Luci LippelgoosKill+2.4%
Kill by Luci Lippelgoos (set by Allie Davison)
Set 1 · SC ST 17-18 CITDEL · CITDEL 80% → 83%
08
Emma PastusicAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Emma Pastusic
Set 1 · SC ST 16-17 CITDEL · SC ST 15% → 17%

Official NCAA box

Box score

South Carolina St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Kenna HarrisOH	3	11	3	21	.381	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	12
7Taelyn GrahamMB	3	7	2	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	10
1Ki'ra WrightL/DS	3	4	3	18	.056	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	4
17Carra Pierre-LouisOH	3	0	2	5	-.400	0	2	1	5	0	0	2	1	3
20Chloe NealL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
6Macey McCoyS	3	0	0	0	–	21	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Amani HawkinsOH	3	12	3	24	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
5Hedia LewisOH	3	1	3	16	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3
19Arianna JamesS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
14Jordan DallandL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	13	1	0	0	0	0
15Jade RobinsonMB	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	17	102	.176	33	4	5	39	5	2	12	8	63

The Citadelhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Jordyn SimsOH	3	11	2	21	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	12
18Emma PastusicOH	3	10	8	31	.065	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	1	11
12Luci LippelgoosMB	3	8	1	17	.412	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
1Allie DavisonS	3	2	0	5	.400	35	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	3
22Emerson HillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	6	1	0	0	0	1
23Elizabeth MillerMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Rachel ReiningerOH	3	14	4	23	.435	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	15.5
10Jess MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	3	0	10	0	0	0	0	3
5Gwen BerryOH	3	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	0
3Mia WatsonL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
21Samantha WeiseMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	2.5
9Megan StoneL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	17	109	.275	45	5	6	45	4	4	6	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SC ST · CITDEL 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 SC STCITDEL 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 SC STCITDEL 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 SC STCITDEL 4

Bars above the line = The Citadel leads, below = South Carolina St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Carolina St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	11%1/9
2	75%6/8	50%7/14
3	55%6/11	54%7/13
4	55%6/11	14%1/7
5	67%6/9	45%5/11
6	35%6/17	45%5/11
All	51%37/73	40%26/65

The Citadel

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	54%7/13
2	47%7/15	56%9/16
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	75%6/8	54%7/13
5	50%6/12	25%2/8
6	60%6/10	54%7/13
All	60%39/65	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	SC ST-CITDEL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SC ST	CITDEL×5	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Emerson Hill	+1.2
2	0-2	CITDEL	CITDEL×5	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+1.3
3	0-3	CITDEL	CITDEL×5	Ace	CITDEL server	aced Jordan Dalland	+1.2
4	0-4	CITDEL	CITDEL×5	Ace	CITDEL server	aced Ki'ra Wright	+1.0
5	0-5	CITDEL	CITDEL×5	Attack err	Kenna Harris		+0.9
6	1-5	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Macey McCoy	+0.7
7	1-6	SC ST	CITDEL	Serve err	SC ST server		+0.7
8	1-7	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Jess Martin	+0.7
9	2-7	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Attack err	Emma Pastusic	blk Taelyn Graham, Macey McCoy	+0.6
10	3-7	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.8
11	4-7	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+1.1
12	4-8	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.9
13	5-8	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+0.9
14	5-9	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Jess Martin	+1.0
15	6-9	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+0.9
16	7-9	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Gwen Berry		+1.4
17	8-9	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Rachel Reininger		+1.6
18	8-10	SC ST	CITDEL	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.4
19	8-11	CITDEL	CITDEL	Ace	CITDEL server	aced Ki'ra Wright	+1.5
20	9-11	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Arianna James	+1.2
21	10-11	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+1.7
22	10-12	SC ST	CITDEL	Attack err	Taelyn Graham		+1.5
23	11-12	CITDEL	SC ST	Attack err	Emma Pastusic	blk Hedia Lewis, Taelyn Graham	+1.5
24	11-13	SC ST	CITDEL×4	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+1.6
25	11-14	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos		+1.6
26	11-15	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Bad set	Jordan Dalland		+1.4
27	11-16	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright	blk Luci Lippelgoos, Jordyn Sims	+1.1
28	12-16	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Macey McCoy	+0.7
29	13-16	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Luci Lippelgoos		+1.2
30	14-16	SC ST	SC ST×3	Bad set	Allie Davison		+1.6
31	14-17	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+1.5
32	15-17	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+1.4
33	16-17	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Emma Pastusic		+2.2
34	17-17	SC ST	SC ST×3	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+2.7
35	17-18	SC ST	CITDEL×3	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+2.4
36	17-19	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+2.6
37	17-20	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Attack err	Amani Hawkins		+2.1
38	18-20	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+1.5
39	18-21	SC ST	CITDEL	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.9
40	18-22	CITDEL	CITDEL	Attack err	Hedia Lewis	blk Rachel Reininger	+1.6
41	19-22	CITDEL	SC ST	Attack err	Gwen Berry		+0.9
42	20-22	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Rachel Reininger	blk Hedia Lewis, Carra Pierre-Louis	+1.7
43	20-23	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+2.1
44	21-23	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Hedia Lewis	set Arianna James	+1.4
45	22-23	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Jordyn Sims	blk Hedia Lewis	+3.0
46	22-24	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Jess Martin	+3.7
47	23-24	CITDEL	SC ST	Serve err	CITDEL server		+2.4
48	23-25	SC ST	CITDEL	Attack err	Chloe Neal		+4.8
Set 2
1	1-0	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+1.0
2	2-0	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham		+1.3
3	2-1	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Elizabeth Miller	set Allie Davison	+1.0
4	3-1	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+1.1
5	4-1	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Emma Pastusic		+1.4
6	5-1	SC ST	SC ST×3	Attack err	Emma Pastusic		+1.4
7	5-2	SC ST	CITDEL×3	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+1.0
8	5-3	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Attack err	Kenna Harris		+1.3
9	5-4	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+1.3
10	6-4	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+1.2
11	6-5	SC ST	CITDEL×4	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+1.1
12	6-6	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Carra Pierre-Louis		+1.3
13	6-7	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Allie Davison	set Jess Martin	+1.2
14	6-8	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+1.1
15	7-8	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+1.0
16	7-9	SC ST	CITDEL	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.0
17	7-10	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+1.0
18	8-10	CITDEL	SC ST	Serve err	CITDEL server		+0.9
19	8-11	SC ST	CITDEL×4	Kill	Elizabeth Miller	set Allie Davison	+0.9
20	8-12	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+0.9
21	8-13	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.7
22	8-14	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Hedia Lewis	blk Elizabeth Miller, Rachel Reininger	+0.6
23	9-14	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+0.4
24	9-15	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.5
25	10-15	CITDEL	SC ST	Serve err	CITDEL server		+0.4
26	10-16	SC ST	CITDEL	Attack err	Kenna Harris		+0.5
27	11-16	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.4
28	11-17	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+0.5
29	12-17	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+0.4
30	12-18	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.5
31	12-19	CITDEL	CITDEL	Attack err	Carra Pierre-Louis		+0.4
32	13-19	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+0.2
33	14-19	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Arianna James	+0.4
34	14-20	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+0.4
35	15-20	CITDEL	SC ST×3	Serve err	CITDEL server		+0.3
36	16-20	SC ST	SC ST×3	Ace	SC ST server	aced Gwen Berry	+0.5
37	17-20	SC ST	SC ST×3	Ace	SC ST server	aced Gwen Berry	+0.9
38	17-21	SC ST	CITDEL×3	Serve err	SC ST server		+1.0
39	17-22	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+0.7
40	17-23	CITDEL	CITDEL×3	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright		+0.4
41	18-23	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+0.1
42	19-23	SC ST	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris		+0.3
43	19-24	SC ST	CITDEL	Attack err	Taelyn Graham		+0.4
44	19-25	CITDEL	CITDEL	Attack err	Ki'ra Wright	blk Samantha Weise	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.4
2	1-1	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+0.5
3	1-2	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.5
4	2-2	CITDEL	SC ST	Attack err	Emma Pastusic		+0.5
5	2-3	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.5
6	3-3	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.5
7	4-3	SC ST	SC ST	Ace	SC ST server	aced Team	+0.7
8	4-4	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Jess Martin	+0.5
9	5-4	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Arianna James	+0.6
10	6-4	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Rachel Reininger	blk Taelyn Graham	+0.7
11	6-5	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Jess Martin	+0.6
12	6-6	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.7
13	7-6	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+0.6
14	8-6	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Rachel Reininger		+0.8
15	8-7	SC ST	CITDEL×4	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Jess Martin	+0.6
16	8-8	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Amani Hawkins		+0.7
17	8-9	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Hedia Lewis		+0.7
18	8-10	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Ace	CITDEL server	aced Team	+0.6
19	9-10	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Arianna James	+0.5
20	9-11	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.5
21	9-12	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Jess Martin	+0.6
22	10-12	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Amani Hawkins	set Macey McCoy	+0.5
23	11-12	SC ST	SC ST	Ace	SC ST server	aced Emerson Hill	+0.7
24	11-13	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.6
25	12-13	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.6
26	13-13	SC ST	SC ST	Attack err	Emma Pastusic	blk Kenna Harris, Taelyn Graham	+0.8
27	13-14	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+0.7
28	13-15	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Allie Davison	set Rachel Reininger	+0.8
29	14-15	CITDEL	SC ST	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.7
30	14-16	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+0.7
31	15-16	CITDEL	SC ST	Serve err	CITDEL server		+0.7
32	15-17	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Rachel Reininger	set Allie Davison	+0.7
33	16-17	CITDEL	SC ST	Attack err	Jordyn Sims	blk Taelyn Graham, Amani Hawkins	+0.7
34	16-18	SC ST	CITDEL×4	Kill	Taelyn Graham	set Ki'ra Wright	+0.8
35	16-19	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.8
36	16-20	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Kill	Emma Pastusic	set Allie Davison	+0.6
37	16-21	CITDEL	CITDEL×4	Attack err	Amani Hawkins	blk Samantha Weise, Jordyn Sims	+0.4
38	17-21	CITDEL	SC ST	Serve err	CITDEL server		+0.2
39	17-22	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.3
40	17-23	CITDEL	CITDEL	Ace	CITDEL server	aced Team	+0.2
41	18-23	CITDEL	SC ST×4	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.1
42	19-23	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Ki'ra Wright	set Macey McCoy	+0.2
43	20-23	SC ST	SC ST×4	Kill	Kenna Harris	set Macey McCoy	+0.3
44	21-23	SC ST	SC ST×4	Attack err	Emma Pastusic	blk Kenna Harris	+0.6
45	21-24	SC ST	CITDEL	Kill	Jordyn Sims	set Allie Davison	+0.8
46	21-25	CITDEL	CITDEL	Kill	Luci Lippelgoos	set Allie Davison	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.