Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tennessee Tech def. Western Caro. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee Tech 61.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee Tech beat visiting Western Caro. 3-1 (26-28, 25-14, 25-22, 25-16) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Tennessee Tech's Alayna Pierce led with 16 kills, and Shelby Hannah added 21 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
W CAR281422161
TNTECH262525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Western Caro. pushed; Tennessee Tech held.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Tennessee Tech's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Tennessee Tech went in as RallyIQ's 62% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Western Caro. 17–20 Tennessee Tech

    4 straight Western Caro. points turned a 17–20 deficit into a 21–20 lead.

    Tennessee Tech 72% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Western Caro. 25–25 Tennessee Tech

    Western Caro. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Western Caro.

    Tennessee Tech 62% → 42%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Western Caro. 22–22 Tennessee Tech

    From 22–22, Tennessee Tech scored 3 straight to lead 25–22.

    Tennessee Tech 59% → 81%

Tennessee Tech above 50Western Caro. belowMax swing 10.4%

Western Caro.Tennessee Tech

Sideout %
Western Caro. 52.0·Tennessee Tech 65.4
Break %
Western Caro. 34.6·Tennessee Tech 48.0
Hitting
Western Caro. .163·Tennessee Tech .306
Longest run
Western Caro. 4·Tennessee Tech 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tennessee Tech above 50 · Western Caro. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.4% W CARrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.4% to Western Caro. — set 1, W CAR 28-26 TNTECH. Kill by Peri Subat (set by Katie Boney). TNTECH win probability 52% → 42%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 33.3%66.7% TNTECH

Western Caro. wins

3-0
6.6%
3-1
11.8%
3-2
14.8%

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
21.1%
3-1
25.6%
3-2
20.0%
W CAR break %
41.4% vs this opp
TNTECH break %
44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Peri SubatKill+10.4%

    Kill by Peri Subat (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 1 · W CAR 28-26 TNTECH · W CAR 48% → 58%

  2. 02
    Western Caro.Ace+9.8%

    Western Caro. ace on Shelby Hannah

    Set 1 · W CAR 26-25 TNTECH · W CAR 38% → 48%

  3. 03

    Ace by Shelby Hannah on Elise Gurley

    Set 3 · W CAR 22-24 TNTECH · TNTECH 67% → 76%

  4. 04
    Ashlyn GambleKill+8.5%

    Kill by Ashlyn Gamble (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · W CAR 21-22 TNTECH · TNTECH 57% → 65%

  5. 05
    Ava SchubertKill+7.6%

    Kill by Ava Schubert (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 3 · W CAR 22-23 TNTECH · TNTECH 59% → 67%

  6. 06

    Kill by Mallory Jenkins (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 1 · W CAR 26-26 TNTECH · TNTECH 52% → 59%

  7. 07
    Peri SubatKill+7.5%

    Kill by Peri Subat (set by Katie Boney)

    Set 1 · W CAR 27-26 TNTECH · W CAR 41% → 48%

  8. 08

    Alayna Pierce stuffed by Katie Boney & JoJo Abeyta

    Set 1 · W CAR 23-23 TNTECH · W CAR 31% → 38%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415334.35300030010.515.5
411232.2810222012215
45730-.06712481010.57.5
44112.250010711016
4124-.250000001223
4005.0003712400212
4000–2201010002
4000–1022110000
36330.100000100006
1000–000400000
1000–000200000
Team totals4218147.1634181062438780
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416437.3244239004220
413328.35720010052.515.5
411325.32000230052.513.5
45110.4003910150010.56.5
4026-.3332021220000
35215.200000100216
41011.0009102140002
4000–1021220000
37317.235100200218
27114.42910220010.57.5
1307.429000000003
1000–000200000
Team totals6819160.3065941180802010101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Caro. vs Tennessee Tech

Season series · Tennessee Tech leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W CAR · TNTECH 6

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 4 W CARTNTECH 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 4 W CARTNTECH 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 W CARTNTECH 4

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 3 W CARTNTECH 6

Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
14%1/7
2
47%7/15
43%6/14
3
54%7/13
46%6/13
4
50%7/14
30%3/10
5
55%6/11
36%4/11
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
54%41/76
36%23/64

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
46%6/13
2
44%7/16
50%7/14
3
70%7/10
56%9/16
4
70%7/10
46%6/13
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
83%5/6
25%2/8
All
64%41/64
46%35/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#W CAR-TNTECHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TNTECHTNTECHKillMallory Jenkins+2.3
21-1TNTECHW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.8
32-1W CARW CAR×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.5
43-1W CARW CAR×3AceWestern Caro.aced Kamya Mahorn+2.5
53-2W CARTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.8
64-2TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.0
74-3W CARTNTECHServe errWestern Caro.+1.8
84-4TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.5
95-4TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+2.0
105-5W CARTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Alayna Pierce+1.9
115-6TNTECHTNTECHAceTennessee Techaced Halley Tang+2.6
126-6TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+2.0
136-7W CARTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.0
146-8TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedZoe Zudansblk Mallory Jenkins, Bella Potempa+2.6
156-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.4
167-9TNTECHW CARAttack errMallory Jenkins+1.7
177-10W CARTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+1.9
188-10TNTECHW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.7
198-11W CARTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.9
209-11TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.8
219-12W CARTNTECHAttack errAshlyn Cobb+2.0
2210-12TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Elise Gurley+1.8
2311-12W CARW CARAttack errJordyn Milhouse+2.8
2411-13W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.3
2512-13TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+2.2
2613-13W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Ella Watford+3.3
2713-14W CARTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.6
2813-15TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Bella Potempa+3.3
2914-15TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+2.4
3014-16W CARTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Ella Watford+2.6
3115-16TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+2.4
3215-17W CARTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.7
3316-17TNTECHW CARAttack errMallory Jenkins+2.5
3416-18W CARTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.9
3517-18TNTECHW CARAttack errKamya Mahorn+2.7
3617-19W CARTNTECHAttack errAshlyn Cobb+3.1
3717-20TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Kamya Mahorn+3.5
3818-20TNTECHW CAR×4KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.1
3919-20W CARW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.8
4020-20W CARW CAR×4KillZoe Zudans+4.9
4121-20W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Shelby Hannah+5.7
4221-21W CARTNTECH×3Serve errWestern Caro.+4.2
4321-22TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+6.3
4421-23TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+5.9
4522-23TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+3.2
4623-23W CARW CARBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Katie Boney, JoJo Abeyta+7.1
4723-24W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+7.1
4824-24TNTECHW CARKillJoJo Abeytaset Ashlyn Cobb+7.1
4924-25W CARTNTECHServe errWestern Caro.+7.1
5025-25TNTECHW CARAttack errBella Potempa+7.1
5126-25W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Shelby Hannah+9.8
5226-26W CARTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+7.5
5327-26TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+7.5
5428-26W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+10.4
Set 2
10-1W CARTNTECH×3Serve errWestern Caro.+2.0
20-2TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errAshlyn Cobb+2.6
30-3TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Ashlyn Gamble, Jordyn Milhouse+2.4
41-3TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+1.7
51-4W CARTNTECH×5Attack errAshlyn Cobb+1.8
61-5TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAshlyn Gambleset Kamya Mahorn+2.2
71-6TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedTatum Sharpblk Alayna Pierce, Mallory Jenkins+2.0
81-7TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Mallory Jenkins+1.7
91-8TNTECHTNTECH×5KillShelby Hannahset Katie Boney+1.4
102-8TNTECHW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.8
112-9W CARTNTECHAttack errZoe Zudans+1.0
123-9TNTECHW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.8
133-10W CARTNTECH×3Serve errWestern Caro.+1.0
143-11TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Alayna Pierce+1.0
153-12TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.7
164-12TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+0.4
174-13W CARTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Shelby Hannah+0.5
185-13TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+0.4
195-14W CARTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.5
205-15TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Samantha Kranzler+0.4
215-16TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedPeri Subatblk Jordyn Milhouse, Bella Potempa+0.3
226-16TNTECHW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.1
236-17W CARTNTECHBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Ashlyn Gamble, Jordyn Milhouse+0.2
246-18TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.1
257-18TNTECHW CAR×4KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney·
268-18W CARW CAR×4BlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Tatum Sharp, Ashlyn Cobb+0.1
279-18W CARW CAR×4KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.2
2810-18W CARW CAR×4AceWestern Caro.aced Shelby Hannah+0.3
2910-19W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3011-19TNTECHW CARAttack errAshlyn Gamble+0.2
3111-20W CARTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3211-21TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.2
3312-21TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney·
3412-22W CARTNTECHAttack errJoJo Abeyta+0.1
3513-22TNTECHW CARKillZoe Zudansset Halley Tang·
3614-22W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+0.1
3714-23W CARTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Alayna Pierce+0.1
3814-24TNTECHTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelinset Jordyn Milhouse·
3914-25TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin·
Set 3
10-1TNTECHTNTECHAttack errSamantha Kranzler+3.1
21-1TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+2.4
31-2W CARTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+2.4
42-2TNTECHW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+2.5
53-2W CARW CAR×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+3.4
64-2W CARW CAR×3AceWestern Caro.aced Kamya Mahorn+3.5
74-3W CARTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.5
84-4TNTECHTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelinset Ava Schubert+3.4
94-5TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.4
105-5TNTECHW CARAttack errKamya Mahorn+2.6
116-5W CARW CARAceWestern Caro.aced Ella Watford+3.7
126-6W CARTNTECH×4Serve errWestern Caro.+2.7
136-7TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedZoe Zudansblk Mallory Jenkins, Morgan Petelin+3.6
146-8TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Techaced Ashlyn Cobb+3.5
156-9TNTECHTNTECH×4KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+3.3
167-9TNTECHW CAR×4KillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+2.3
178-9W CARW CAR×4KillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+3.5
189-9W CARW CAR×4BlockedBella Potempablk JoJo Abeyta, Peri Subat+3.9
1910-9W CARW CAR×4KillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+4.1
2010-10W CARTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.0
2111-10TNTECHW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+3.2
2212-10W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+4.4
2312-11W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+3.1
2413-11TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+3.4
2513-12W CARTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Alayna Pierce+3.2
2613-13TNTECHTNTECHBlockedPeri Subatblk Alayna Pierce, Jordyn Milhouse+4.5
2714-13TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+3.7
2815-13W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+4.9
2915-14W CARTNTECHBlockedTatum Sharpblk Alayna Pierce, Jordyn Milhouse+3.4
3015-15TNTECHTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Shelby Hannah+4.9
3116-15TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+4.0
3216-16W CARTNTECHServe errWestern Caro.+3.9
3317-16TNTECHW CARServe errTennessee Tech+4.3
3417-17W CARTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+4.1
3518-17TNTECHW CARAttack errBella Potempa+4.6
3618-18W CARTNTECHAttack errAlayna Pierce+4.4
3718-19TNTECHTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Jordyn Milhouse+6.2
3819-19TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+4.7
3920-19W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+7.0
4020-20W CARTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+5.1
4121-20TNTECHW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney+5.9
4221-21W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Jordyn Milhouse+5.7
4321-22TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+8.5
4422-22TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+6.3
4522-23W CARTNTECH×3KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+7.6
4622-24TNTECHTNTECH×3AceShelby Hannahaced Elise Gurley+9.3
4722-25TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+5.1
Set 4
10-1W CARTNTECH×6KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.1
20-2TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Shelby Hannah+2.8
30-3TNTECHTNTECH×6KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.6
40-4TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Shelby Hannah+2.4
50-5TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+2.1
60-6TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.8
71-6TNTECHW CARBlockedMallory Jenkinsblk Tatum Sharp+1.2
81-7W CARTNTECHBlockedAshlyn Cobbblk Mallory Jenkins, Ava Schubert+1.4
92-7TNTECHW CARServe errAva Schubert+1.2
102-8W CARTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.4
113-8TNTECHW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.2
123-9W CARTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.4
133-10TNTECHTNTECHAttack errJoJo Abeyta+1.5
144-10TNTECHW CAR×3Serve errMallory Jenkins+0.9
155-10W CARW CAR×3BlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Samantha Kranzler+1.5
166-10W CARW CAR×3AceKatie Boneyaced Shelby Hannah+1.9
176-11W CARTNTECHServe errKatie Boney+1.7
186-12TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.8
197-12TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.1
208-12W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.9
218-13W CARTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.7
229-13TNTECHW CARAttack errAva Schubert+1.4
2310-13W CARW CARAttack errJordyn Milhouse+2.4
2410-14W CARTNTECH×4Serve errWestern Caro.+2.2
2510-15TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedPeri Subatblk Alayna Pierce, Mallory Jenkins+2.4
2610-16TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.8
2710-17TNTECHTNTECH×4KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+1.2
2811-17TNTECHW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.6
2911-18W CARTNTECH×3KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.9
3011-19TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.7
31–3212-20W CAR · TNTECH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3313-20W CARW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Halley Tang+0.3
3413-21W CARTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.4
3514-21TNTECHW CARAttack errMorgan Petelin+0.2
3614-22W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3714-23TNTECHTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+0.1
3815-23TNTECHW CARKillSamantha Kranzlerset Katie Boney·
3915-24W CARTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4016-24TNTECHW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney·
4116-25W CARTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin·

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).