FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

Nebraska def. Baylor 3–0

Nebraska beat visiting Baylor 3-0 (25-20, 25-22, 26-24) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Manaia Ogbechie and Harper Murray led Nebraska with 12 kills each; Baylor's Ksenia Rakhmanchik had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set123Sets
BAYLOR2022240
NEB2525263

Win probability

Nebraska above 50 · Baylor below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 142 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Nebraska stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BAYLOR 1.8%98.2% NEB

Baylor wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.2%

Nebraska wins

3-0
68.0%
3-1
24.6%
3-2
5.5%
BAYLOR break %
30.5% vs this opp
NEB break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bayloraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318547.2770011000018
36424.08301230031.58.5
37116.37500000010.57.5
33210.1002222600005
3405.800000000215
2114.000001100001
3001.000100200000
3001.000200540000
3000–6011630000
2105.200100100001
2002.000002000211
2000–310000001
1000–100100000
Team totals4013115.235364936708466
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312021.5710000002113
312531.22600171010.512.5
37115.40001310111.59.5
38313.38500030031.59.5
37424.125201410007
3103.333413191010.54.5
3001.0000211310002
3000–3111300001
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4713108.315467850418576

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BAYLOR · NEB 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 BAYLORNEB 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 BAYLORNEB 5

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 BAYLORNEB 4

Bars above the line = Nebraska leads, below = Baylor leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Baylor

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
38%3/8
2
83%5/6
40%4/10
3
42%5/12
38%3/8
4
40%4/10
0%0/5
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
50%4/8
43%3/7
All
57%28/49
33%14/43

Nebraska

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
50%5/10
2
63%5/8
17%1/6
3
83%5/6
55%6/11
4
100%5/5
50%5/10
5
57%4/7
33%2/6
6
57%4/7
33%2/6
All
67%29/43
43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#BAYLOR-NEBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1BAYLORNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
21-1NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Morgan Madison
32-1BAYLORBAYLORAceBayloraced Harper Murray
42-2BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
53-2NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
64-2BAYLORBAYLORAttack errHarper Murray
74-3BAYLORNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
85-3NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
95-4BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
105-5NEBNEBAttack errKsenia Rakhmanchik
116-5NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
127-5BAYLORBAYLORAttack errTeraya Sigler
137-6BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
147-7NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Tehani Ulufatu
158-7NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Morgan Madison
168-8BAYLORNEB×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
178-9NEBNEB×3KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
188-10NEBNEB×3KillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch
199-10NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
2010-10BAYLORBAYLORAceBayloraced Teraya Sigler
2110-11BAYLORNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
2211-11NEBBAYLORAttack errHarper Murray
2311-12BAYLORNEBAttack errKsenia Rakhmanchik
2412-12NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
2512-13BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
2613-13NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
2713-14BAYLORNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
2813-15NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Morgan Madison
2914-15NEBBAYLORKillMya Hemmerset Isabela Haggard
3014-16BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
3114-17NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Tehani Ulufatu
3215-17NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
3316-17BAYLORBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Taylor Crain
3416-18BAYLORNEB×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
3516-19NEBNEB×3BlockedBailey Warrenblk Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano
3616-20NEBNEB×3Attack errIsabela Haggard
3717-20NEBBAYLORAttack errVirginia Adriano
3817-21BAYLORNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
3918-21NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
4018-22BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
4119-22NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
4219-23BAYLORNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
4319-24NEBNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Olivia Mauch
4420-24NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
4520-25BAYLORNEBKillBergen Reillyset Teraya Sigler
Set 2
10-1NEBNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Victoria Davis
21-1NEBBAYLOR×4KillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
32-1BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
43-1BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Morgan Madison
54-1BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchik
64-2BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
74-3NEBNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
85-3NEBBAYLOR×3Bad setManaia Ogbechie
96-3BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Tehani Ulufatu
107-3BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
117-4BAYLORNEB×5KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
127-5NEBNEB×5KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
137-6NEBNEB×5KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
147-7NEBNEB×5Attack errIsabela Haggard
157-8NEBNEB×5AceNebraskaaced Tehani Ulufatu
168-8NEBBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Tehani Ulufatu
178-9BAYLORNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
188-10NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
198-11NEBNEB×4AceNebraskaaced Tehani Ulufatu
208-12NEBNEB×4Attack errKsenia Rakhmanchik
219-12NEBBAYLORKillGrace Carrollset Harley Greek
229-13BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
2310-13NEBBAYLORAttack errHarper Murray
2411-13BAYLORBAYLORAceBayloraced Bergen Reilly
2511-14BAYLORNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
2612-14NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
2713-14BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Morgan Madison
2813-15BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
2914-15NEBBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
3014-16BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
3115-16NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3215-17BAYLORNEB×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
3315-18NEBNEB×3KillHarper Murrayset Teraya Sigler
3415-19NEBNEB×3BlockedMya Hemmerblk Harper Murray, Andi Jackson
3516-19NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Harley Greek
3616-20BAYLORNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
3716-21NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Morgan Madison
3817-21NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Grace Carroll
3917-22BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
4018-22NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Harley Greek
4119-22BAYLORBAYLORBlockedTeraya Siglerblk Victoria Davis, Bailey Warren
4219-23BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
4320-23NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
4421-23BAYLORBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Jules Hernandez
4521-24BAYLORNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
4622-24NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Morgan Madison
4722-25BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
Set 3
10-1BAYLORNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
21-1NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
31-2BAYLORNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
42-2NEBBAYLORAttack errHarper Murray
52-3BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
63-3NEBBAYLOR×3Attack errTeraya Sigler
74-3BAYLORBAYLOR×3Attack errTeraya Sigler
85-3BAYLORBAYLOR×3AceBayloraced Laney Choboy
95-4BAYLORNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
106-4NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
116-5BAYLORNEB×3KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
126-6NEBNEB×3BlockedBailey Warrenblk Bergen Reilly, Virginia Adriano
136-7NEBNEB×3Attack errBailey Warren
147-7NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Harley Greek
157-8BAYLORNEB×4KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
167-9NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly
177-10NEBNEB×4BlockedBailey Warrenblk Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano
187-11NEBNEB×4KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly
198-11NEBBAYLORBlockedVirginia Adrianoblk Lacy Tinnell, Bailey Warren
208-12BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
218-13NEBNEBAttack errNadiya Johnson
229-13NEBBAYLORServe errNebraska
239-14BAYLORNEBAttack errKsenia Rakhmanchik
2410-14NEBBAYLORBlockedHarper Murrayblk Lacy Tinnell, Nadiya Johnson
2510-15BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
2611-15NEBBAYLORKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
2712-15BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
2812-16BAYLORNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly
2913-16NEBBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3014-16BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Isabela Haggard
3115-16BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillIsabela Haggardset Bergen Reilly
3215-17BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
3316-17NEBBAYLORBlockedVirginia Adrianoblk Victoria Davis, Bailey Warren
3416-18BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
3517-18NEBBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
3617-19BAYLORNEBServe errBaylor
3717-20NEBNEBBlockedKsenia Rakhmanchikblk Andi Jackson
3818-20NEBBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
3918-21BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
4019-21NEBBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
4119-22BAYLORNEBKillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch
4220-22NEBBAYLOR×4KillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
4321-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
4422-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4Attack errAndi Jackson
4523-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Morgan Madison
4623-23BAYLORNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly
4723-24NEB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

4824-24NEBBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
4924-25BAYLORNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly
5024-26NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Morgan Madison

Score shown after each rally, Baylor first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).