FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayBIG-12

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Nebraska def. Baylor 3–0

(25-20, 25-22, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
BAYLOR	20	22	24	0
NEB	25	25	26	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NEB above 50 · BAYLOR below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Baylor — set 1, BAYLOR 7-5 NEB. Attack error by Teraya Sigler. NEB win probability 96% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BAYLOR 2.7%97.3% NEB

Baylor wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

Nebraska wins

3-0

63.4%

3-1

26.8%

3-2

7.0%

BAYLOR break %: 32.4% vs this opp
NEB break %: 46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Teraya SiglerAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Teraya Sigler
Set 1 · BAYLOR 7-5 NEB · BAYLOR 4% → 4%
02
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+0.7%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Morgan Madison)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 23-22 NEB · BAYLOR 1% → 2%
03
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.7%
Point Nebraska (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 23-24 NEB · NEB 99% → 100%
04
Isabela HaggardKill+0.6%
Kill by Isabela Haggard (set by Taylor Crain)
Set 1 · BAYLOR 16-17 NEB · BAYLOR 2% → 3%
05
Harper MurrayAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Harper Murray
Set 1 · BAYLOR 4-2 NEB · BAYLOR 3% → 4%
06
BAYLOR serverAce+0.6%
Baylor ace on Teraya Sigler
Set 1 · BAYLOR 10-10 NEB · BAYLOR 3% → 3%
07
NEB serverAce+0.6%
Nebraska ace on Morgan Madison
Set 1 · BAYLOR 13-15 NEB · NEB 97% → 98%
08
NEB serverAce+0.6%
Nebraska ace on Tehani Ulufatu
Set 1 · BAYLOR 7-7 NEB · NEB 96% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bayloraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ksenia RakhmanchikOH	3	18	5	47	.277	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	18
2Bailey WarrenOH	3	6	4	24	.083	0	1	2	3	0	3	1.5	8.5
10Nadiya JohnsonOH	3	7	1	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
12Isabela HaggardS	3	3	2	10	.100	22	2	2	6	0	0	0	5
7Victoria DavisMB	3	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
9Mya HemmerMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
33Jules HernandezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
26Tehani UlufatuL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	5	4	0	0	0
22Morgan MadisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	1	16	3	0	0	0
16Grace CarrollOPP	2	1	0	5	.200	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
5Lacy TinnellMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	1
1Harley GreekS	2	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Taylor CrainL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	13	115	.235	36	4	9	36	7	8	4	66

Nebraskahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manaia OgbechieMB	3	12	0	21	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	13
27Harper MurrayOH	3	12	5	31	.226	0	0	1	7	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
15Andi JacksonMB	3	7	1	15	.400	0	1	3	1	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
3Virginia AdrianoOPP	3	8	3	13	.385	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
11Teraya SiglerOH	3	7	4	24	.125	2	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	7
2Bergen ReillyS	3	1	0	3	.333	41	3	1	9	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Laney ChoboyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	2	1	13	1	0	0	0	2
10Olivia MauchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	13	0	0	0	0	1
1Keri LeimbachL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Campbell FlynnS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	13	108	.315	46	7	8	50	4	1	8	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 BAYLOR · NEB 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 BAYLORNEB 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 BAYLORNEB 5

Set 3*

24-26

Longest run 4 BAYLORNEB 4

Bars above the line = Nebraska leads, below = Baylor leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Baylor

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	38%3/8
2	83%5/6	40%4/10
3	42%5/12	38%3/8
4	40%4/10	0%0/5
5	67%4/6	20%1/5
6	50%4/8	43%3/7
All	57%28/49	33%14/43

Nebraska

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	50%5/10
2	63%5/8	17%1/6
3	83%5/6	55%6/11
4	100%5/5	50%5/10
5	57%4/7	33%2/6
6	57%4/7	33%2/6
All	67%29/43	43%21/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

142 rallies

Rally log

#	BAYLOR-NEB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
2	1-1	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Morgan Madison	+0.3
3	2-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Harper Murray	+0.5
4	2-2	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.3
5	3-2	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
6	4-2	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.6
7	4-3	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
8	5-3	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
9	5-4	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
10	5-5	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.5
11	6-5	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.4
12	7-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.7
13	7-6	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.4
14	7-7	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Tehani Ulufatu	+0.6
15	8-7	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Morgan Madison	+0.5
16	8-8	BAYLOR	NEB×3	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
17	8-9	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.5
18	8-10	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Harper Murray	set Olivia Mauch	+0.4
19	9-10	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.3
20	10-10	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Teraya Sigler	+0.6
21	10-11	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
22	11-11	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.4
23	11-12	BAYLOR	NEB	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.4
24	12-12	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.5
25	12-13	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
26	13-13	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
27	13-14	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
28	13-15	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Morgan Madison	+0.6
29	14-15	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
30	14-16	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
31	14-17	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Tehani Ulufatu	+0.5
32	15-17	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.3
33	16-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Taylor Crain	+0.6
34	16-18	BAYLOR	NEB×3	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
35	16-19	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano	+0.5
36	16-20	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+0.3
37	17-20	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Virginia Adriano		+0.2
38	17-21	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
39	18-21	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
40	18-22	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
41	19-22	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
42	19-23	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
43	19-24	NEB	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Olivia Mauch	+0.1
44	20-24	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
45	20-25	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Bergen Reilly	set Teraya Sigler	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NEB	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Victoria Davis	+0.2
2	1-1	NEB	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
3	2-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
4	3-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+0.4
5	4-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.4
6	4-2	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
7	4-3	NEB	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
8	5-3	NEB	BAYLOR×3	Bad set	Manaia Ogbechie		+0.3
9	6-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Tehani Ulufatu	+0.5
10	7-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
11	7-4	BAYLOR	NEB×5	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.3
12	7-5	NEB	NEB×5	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
13	7-6	NEB	NEB×5	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
14	7-7	NEB	NEB×5	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+0.4
15	7-8	NEB	NEB×5	Ace	NEB server	aced Tehani Ulufatu	+0.3
16	8-8	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Tehani Ulufatu	+0.2
17	8-9	BAYLOR	NEB×4	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
18	8-10	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.3
19	8-11	NEB	NEB×4	Ace	NEB server	aced Tehani Ulufatu	+0.2
20	8-12	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.2
21	9-12	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Grace Carroll	set Harley Greek	+0.1
22	9-13	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.1
23	10-13	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.1
24	11-13	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Bergen Reilly	+0.2
25	11-14	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
26	12-14	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
27	13-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+0.3
28	13-15	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.2
29	14-15	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
30	14-16	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
31	15-16	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
32	15-17	BAYLOR	NEB×3	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.3
33	15-18	NEB	NEB×3	Kill	Harper Murray	set Teraya Sigler	+0.3
34	15-19	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Mya Hemmer	blk Harper Murray, Andi Jackson	+0.2
35	16-19	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Harley Greek	+0.1
36	16-20	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
37	16-21	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Morgan Madison	+0.1
38	17-21	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Grace Carroll	+0.0
39	17-22	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
40	18-22	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Harley Greek	+0.0
41	19-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Teraya Sigler	blk Victoria Davis, Bailey Warren	+0.1
42	19-23	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.1
43	20-23	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.1
44	21-23	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Jules Hernandez	+0.2
45	21-24	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
46	22-24	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+0.1
47	22-25	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
2	1-1	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
3	1-2	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
4	2-2	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Harper Murray		+0.1
5	2-3	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.1
6	3-3	NEB	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.1
7	4-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Teraya Sigler		+0.2
8	5-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Laney Choboy	+0.2
9	5-4	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
10	6-4	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.1
11	6-5	BAYLOR	NEB×3	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
12	6-6	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Bergen Reilly, Virginia Adriano	+0.2
13	6-7	NEB	NEB×3	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+0.1
14	7-7	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Harley Greek	+0.1
15	7-8	BAYLOR	NEB×4	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
16	7-9	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Harper Murray	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
17	7-10	NEB	NEB×4	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Manaia Ogbechie, Virginia Adriano	+0.1
18	7-11	NEB	NEB×4	Kill	Virginia Adriano	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
19	8-11	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Virginia Adriano	blk Lacy Tinnell, Bailey Warren	+0.0
20	8-12	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
21	8-13	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Nadiya Johnson		+0.1
22	9-13	NEB	BAYLOR	Serve err	NEB server		+0.0
23	9-14	BAYLOR	NEB	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.0
24	10-14	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Harper Murray	blk Lacy Tinnell, Nadiya Johnson	+0.0
25	10-15	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.0
26	11-15	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.0
27	12-15	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
28	12-16	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Teraya Sigler	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
29	13-16	NEB	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.0
30	14-16	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
31	15-16	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Bergen Reilly	+0.2
32	15-17	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
33	16-17	NEB	BAYLOR	Attack err	Virginia Adriano	blk Victoria Davis, Bailey Warren	+0.1
34	16-18	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.1
35	17-18	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
36	17-19	BAYLOR	NEB	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.1
37	17-20	NEB	NEB	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Andi Jackson	+0.2
38	18-20	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
39	18-21	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.1
40	19-21	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
41	19-22	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Harper Murray	set Olivia Mauch	+0.1
42	20-22	NEB	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
43	21-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
44	22-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Attack err	Andi Jackson		+0.4
45	23-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+0.7
46	23-23	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Andi Jackson	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
47	23-24	NEB	NEB	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
48	24-24	NEB	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
49	24-25	BAYLOR	NEB	Kill	Manaia Ogbechie	set Bergen Reilly	+0.4
50	24-26	NEB	NEB	Ace	NEB server	aced Morgan Madison	+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Baylor first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.