FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Baylor def. UTEP 3–0

(25-20, 25-21, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UTEP	20	21	22	0
BAYLOR	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BAYLOR above 50 · UTEP below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to UTEP — set 2, UTEP 17-15 BAYLOR. Kill by Mackenzi Davis (set by Kalia Kohler). BAYLOR win probability 94% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UTEP 7.8%92.2% BAYLOR

UTEP wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.3%

3-2

4.5%

Baylor wins

3-0

48.7%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

12.4%

UTEP break %: 34.0% vs this opp
BAYLOR break %: 44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mackenzi DavisKill+1.5%
Kill by Mackenzi Davis (set by Kalia Kohler)
Set 2 · UTEP 17-15 BAYLOR · UTEP 6% → 8%
02
BAYLOR serverAce+1.4%
Baylor ace on Landry Braziel
Set 2 · UTEP 17-17 BAYLOR · BAYLOR 93% → 95%
03
Luvina OguntimehinAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Luvina Oguntimehin
Set 2 · UTEP 17-18 BAYLOR · BAYLOR 95% → 96%
04
UTEP serverAce+1.3%
UTEP ace on Jules Hernandez
Set 1 · UTEP 10-10 BAYLOR · UTEP 7% → 9%
05
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+1.2%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 2 · UTEP 18-20 BAYLOR · BAYLOR 96% → 97%
06
Mya HemmerKill+1.2%
Kill by Mya Hemmer (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 1 · UTEP 11-13 BAYLOR · BAYLOR 92% → 93%
07
Ema UskokovicKill+1.1%
Kill by Ema Uskokovic (set by Lily-Rose Pichon)
Set 2 · UTEP 10-8 BAYLOR · UTEP 5% → 6%
08
Bailey WarrenAttack error+1.1%
Bailey Warren stuffed by Daisy Voskuhl & Luvina Oguntimehin
Set 2 · UTEP 8-5 BAYLOR · UTEP 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UTEPaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Mackenzi DavisOH	3	7	3	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	9
14Ema UskokovicOH	3	7	1	30	.200	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Luvina OguntimehinOH	3	6	3	11	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
13Lauren PerryOH	3	5	2	14	.214	0	1	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Hannah CroweMB	3	4	1	5	.600	0	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
1Kalia KohlerS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
15Landry BrazielOH	3	4	0	16	.250	0	0	0	5	1	1	1	1.5	5.5
11Bella WidmerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
18Caryme MolinaS	3	0	0	0	–	14	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
12Lily-Rose PichonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
17Daisy VoskuhlOH	2	1	1	4	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Shea BruntmyerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	11	94	.245	33	5	9	34	2	2	12	8	63

Baylorhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ksenia RakhmanchikOH	3	15	5	31	.323	0	0	3	4	1	1	0.5	15.5
10Nadiya JohnsonOH	3	7	3	23	.174	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Victoria DavisMB	3	6	0	8	.750	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
9Mya HemmerMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
12Isabela HaggardS	3	2	1	6	.167	45	2	3	7	0	0	0	4
33Jules HernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
2Bailey WarrenOH	3	11	4	26	.269	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	11
22Morgan MadisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	2	0	0	0
3Taylor CrainL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
26Tehani UlufatuL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
17MJ McCurdyOH	1	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
Team totals		50	14	107	.336	46	2	8	41	5	4	2	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UTEP · BAYLOR 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UTEPBAYLOR 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 UTEPBAYLOR 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 UTEPBAYLOR 7

Bars above the line = Baylor leads, below = UTEP leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UTEP

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	27%3/11
2	53%8/15	31%4/13
3	57%8/14	11%1/9
4	58%7/12	33%4/12
5	86%6/7	0%0/7
6	43%6/14	54%7/13
All	60%44/73	29%19/65

Baylor

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	53%8/15
2	82%9/11	18%2/11
3	89%8/9	43%6/14
4	67%8/12	47%7/15
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	43%6/14	33%3/9
All	71%46/65	40%29/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	UTEP-BAYLOR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
2	1-1	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
3	1-2	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+0.6
4	1-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
5	2-3	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.5
6	3-3	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+1.0
7	3-4	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.6
8	3-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis		+0.9
9	3-6	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.7
10	4-6	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.5
11	4-7	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
12	5-7	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Caryme Molina	+0.5
13	5-8	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.5
14	5-9	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Lily-Rose Pichon	+0.6
15	6-9	BAYLOR	UTEP×3	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.4
16	7-9	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Morgan Madison	+0.7
17	8-9	UTEP	UTEP×3	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+1.0
18	8-10	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.6
19	9-10	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Landry Braziel	set Daisy Voskuhl	+0.7
20	10-10	UTEP	UTEP	Ace	UTEP server	aced Jules Hernandez	+1.3
21	10-11	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
22	11-11	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.9
23	11-12	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
24	11-13	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+1.2
25	11-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Bad set	Kalia Kohler		+1.0
26	12-14	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
27	12-15	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.6
28	12-16	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.7
29	13-16	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Mya Hemmer		+0.4
30	13-17	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
31	14-17	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+0.4
32	14-18	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.5
33	15-18	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.4
34	15-19	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
35	16-19	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+0.4
36	16-20	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
37	17-20	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Landry Braziel	set Kalia Kohler	+0.4
38	18-20	UTEP	UTEP	Bad set	Isabela Haggard		+0.9
39	18-21	UTEP	BAYLOR	Bad set	Mackenzi Davis		+0.8
40	19-21	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
41	19-22	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Bella Widmer	+0.8
42	19-23	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.7
43	20-23	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.2
44	20-24	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
45	20-25	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren		+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	BAYLOR	UTEP×3	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.5
2	2-0	UTEP	UTEP×3	Attack err	Nadiya Johnson		+0.8
3	3-0	UTEP	UTEP×3	Ace	UTEP server	aced Morgan Madison	+0.9
4	3-1	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
5	4-1	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
6	4-2	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
7	4-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
8	5-3	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
9	5-4	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
10	6-4	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Caryme Molina	+0.6
11	6-5	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+0.5
12	7-5	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+0.6
13	8-5	UTEP	UTEP	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Daisy Voskuhl, Luvina Oguntimehin	+1.1
14	8-6	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.6
15	8-7	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.9
16	8-8	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.9
17	9-8	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Caryme Molina	+0.6
18	10-8	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Lily-Rose Pichon	+1.1
19	10-9	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.6
20	11-9	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+0.8
21	11-10	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.6
22	11-11	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis	blk Ksenia Rakhmanchik, Victoria Davis	+1.0
23	12-11	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Mackenzi Davis	+0.7
24	12-12	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.6
25	13-12	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Kalia Kohler	+0.8
26	13-13	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.7
27	14-13	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Caryme Molina	+0.8
28	14-14	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.7
29	15-14	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.9
30	15-15	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.7
31	16-15	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Daisy Voskuhl	set Caryme Molina	+0.9
32	17-15	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+1.5
33	17-16	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
34	17-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Ace	BAYLOR server	aced Landry Braziel	+1.4
35	17-18	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin		+1.3
36	18-18	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Luvina Oguntimehin	+0.9
37	18-19	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.9
38	18-20	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+1.2
39	19-20	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.7
40	19-21	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
41	20-21	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Hannah Crowe	set Kalia Kohler	+0.7
42	20-22	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Daisy Voskuhl		+0.9
43	20-23	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Ema Uskokovic		+0.9
44	20-24	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+0.4
45	21-24	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+0.1
46	21-25	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
2	1-1	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.2
3	1-2	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
4	1-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
5	2-3	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Mackenzi Davis	set Kalia Kohler	+0.2
6	2-4	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
7	3-4	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+0.2
8	3-5	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.2
9	4-5	BAYLOR	UTEP	Serve err	BAYLOR server		+0.2
10	4-6	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
11	5-6	BAYLOR	UTEP×5	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+0.2
12	6-6	UTEP	UTEP×5	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Landry Braziel	+0.3
13	7-6	UTEP	UTEP×5	Ace	UTEP server	aced Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+0.4
14	8-6	UTEP	UTEP×5	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Caryme Molina	+0.5
15	9-6	UTEP	UTEP×5	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Bella Widmer	+0.5
16	9-7	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.3
17	10-7	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Nadiya Johnson	blk Lauren Perry, Luvina Oguntimehin	+0.4
18	10-8	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
19	11-8	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Lauren Perry	set Kalia Kohler	+0.4
20	12-8	UTEP	UTEP	Kill	Luvina Oguntimehin	set Kalia Kohler	+0.6
21	12-9	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
22	13-9	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Luvina Oguntimehin, Mackenzi Davis	+0.4
23	13-10	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
24	13-11	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Tehani Ulufatu	+0.5
25	14-11	BAYLOR	UTEP×5	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Mackenzi Davis, Hannah Crowe	+0.4
26	15-11	UTEP	UTEP×5	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Hannah Crowe, Landry Braziel	+0.6
27	16-11	UTEP	UTEP×5	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.6
28	17-11	UTEP	UTEP×5	Ace	UTEP server	aced Tehani Ulufatu	+0.5
29	18-11	UTEP	UTEP×5	Attack err	Bailey Warren	blk Ema Uskokovic, Hannah Crowe	+0.4
30	18-12	UTEP	BAYLOR×3	Kill	MJ McCurdy	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
31	18-13	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Hannah Crowe		+0.3
32	18-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	MJ McCurdy	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
33	19-14	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Landry Braziel	set Caryme Molina	+0.4
34	19-15	UTEP	BAYLOR	Serve err	UTEP server		+0.2
35	20-15	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Ema Uskokovic	set Caryme Molina	+0.4
36	20-16	UTEP	BAYLOR×7	Kill	MJ McCurdy	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
37	20-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Attack err	Lauren Perry		+0.5
38	20-18	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin		+0.6
39	20-19	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.8
40	20-20	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.9
41	20-21	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Bad set	Caryme Molina		+0.8
42	20-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×7	Attack err	Luvina Oguntimehin	blk Victoria Davis, Nadiya Johnson	+0.7
43	21-22	BAYLOR	UTEP	Kill	Landry Braziel	set Caryme Molina	+0.4
44	21-23	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
45	22-23	BAYLOR	UTEP	Attack err	Nadiya Johnson		+0.4
46	22-24	UTEP	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.5
47	22-25	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Mackenzi Davis		+0.4

Score shown after each rally, UTEP first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.