Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on FS1

BYU def. Baylor 3–2

BYU beat visiting Baylor 3-2 (25-19, 25-23, 21-25, 22-25, 15-10) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Claire Little Chambers led BYU with 21 kills; Baylor's Ksenia Rakhmanchik had a match-high 26.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set12345Sets
BAYLOR19232525102
BYU25252122153

Win probability

BYU above 50 · Baylor below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.6% BYUrally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.6% to BYU — set 5, BAYLOR 8-9 BYU. Attack error by Lacy Tinnell. BYU win probability 56% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BAYLOR 23.5%76.5% BYU

Baylor wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.0%
3-2
11.5%

BYU wins

3-0
28.3%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%
BAYLOR break %
34.4% vs this opp
BYU break %
39.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lacy TinnellAttack error+13.6%

    Attack error by Lacy Tinnell

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 8-9 BYU · BYU 56% → 70%

  2. 02

    Ksenia Rakhmanchik stuffed by Kelli Jo Burgess & Anna Blamires

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 8-10 BYU · BYU 70% → 82%

  3. 03
    Bailey WarrenKill+12.1%

    Kill by Bailey Warren (set by Tehani Ulufatu)

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 6-5 BYU · BAYLOR 37% → 49%

  4. 04
    BYUAce+9.2%

    BYU ace on Nadiya Johnson

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 8-11 BYU · BYU 82% → 91%

  5. 05
    Claire Little ChambersAttack error+9.2%

    Attack error by Claire Little Chambers

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 2-2 BYU · BAYLOR 27% → 36%

  6. 06

    Kill by Nadiya Johnson (set by Isabela Haggard)

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 8-7 BYU · BAYLOR 43% → 51%

  7. 07
    BYUAce+8.1%

    BYU ace on Jules Hernandez

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 0-2 BYU · BYU 69% → 77%

  8. 08
    Bailey WarrenKill+7.8%

    Kill by Bailey Warren (set by Isabela Haggard)

    Set 5 · BAYLOR 7-6 BYU · BAYLOR 43% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bayloraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
526446.47811472010.527.5
520640.3500003112222
57219.26300000132.59.5
5619.5565704911439
5418.375014100427
5000–301520000
512423.3481003200012
5000–6001210000
5000–200700000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals7518145.3937021447931410102
BYUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521340.45042091031.524.5
517436.361211140010.518.5
511217.52906030111.518.5
510431.1940002000010
5327.14300010073.56.5
5000–2501300000
5001.0002602400000
5000–500910000
3238-.12500010031.53.5
3317.28600000010.53.5
2013-.333000000000
Team totals6720150.31362944621169108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Baylor vs BYU

Season series · BYU leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BAYLOR · BYU 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 BAYLORBYU 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 BAYLORBYU 7

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 BAYLORBYU 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 BAYLORBYU 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 BAYLORBYU 7

Bars above the line = BYU leads, below = Baylor leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Baylor

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%15/30
7%1/14
2
81%13/16
42%10/24
3
87%13/15
35%7/20
4
63%12/19
24%4/17
5
83%10/12
31%5/16
6
67%10/15
17%2/12
All
68%73/107
28%29/103

BYU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%14/17
14%2/14
2
64%14/22
55%17/31
3
59%13/22
0%0/13
4
86%12/14
29%5/17
5
69%11/16
33%6/18
6
83%10/12
29%4/14
All
72%74/103
32%34/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#BAYLOR-BYUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BYUBAYLORKillLacy Tinnellset Isabela Haggard+1.3
21-1BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.2
32-1BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.4
42-2BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.3
53-2BYUBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Morgan Madison+1.4
64-2BAYLORBAYLORBlockedBrooke Hardyblk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard+2.5
74-3BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.3
84-4BYUBYUAttack errBailey Warren+2.4
95-4BYUBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Ksenia Rakhmanchik+1.5
106-4BAYLORBAYLORBlockedElli Mortensenblk Isabela Haggard, Lacy Tinnell+2.6
116-5BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+1.4
126-6BYUBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+2.5
137-6BYUBAYLORBlockedClaire Little Chambersblk Isabela Haggard+1.6
147-7BAYLORBYUAttack errNadiya Johnson+1.5
158-7BYUBAYLORBlockedKate Priorblk Lacy Tinnell, Nadiya Johnson+1.6
168-8BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+1.5
178-9BYUBYUBlockedNadiya Johnsonblk Claire Little Chambers, Kelli Jo Burgess+2.5
189-9BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.5
1910-9BAYLORBAYLORAceBayloraced Claire Little Chambers+2.9
2010-10BAYLORBYUKillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+1.6
2110-11BYUBYUAceBYUaced Ksenia Rakhmanchik+2.7
2211-11BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.6
2311-12BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.6
2412-12BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.7
2513-12BAYLORBAYLORAceBayloraced Lulu Po'uha+3.2
2613-13BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Alex Bower+1.8
2714-13BYUBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Morgan Madison+2.0
2814-14BAYLORBYUAttack errBailey Warren+1.9
2915-14BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+2.1
3015-15BAYLORBYU×5Serve errBaylor+2.0
3115-16BYUBYU×5KillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+3.4
3215-17BYUBYU×5AceBYUaced Morgan Madison+3.1
3315-18BYUBYU×5KillClaire Little Chambersset Isabela Haggard+2.5
3415-19BYUBYU×5AceBYUaced Isabela Haggard+1.8
3516-19BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+0.7
3616-20BAYLORBYUKillKate Priorset Claire Little Chambers+1.0
3717-20BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.7
3817-21BAYLORBYU×3Serve errBaylor+1.0
3917-22BYUBYU×3KillKelli Jo Burgess+0.9
4017-23BYUBYU×3KillSophia Callahan+0.4
4118-23BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.1
4218-24BAYLORBYUKillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+0.1
4319-24BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Jules Hernandez·
4419-25BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.1
Set 2
10-1BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+0.9
21-1BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.0
32-1BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.8
42-2BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+1.0
53-2BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.1
63-3BAYLORBYU×3KillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+1.0
73-4BYUBYU×3KillSophia Callahanset Elli Mortensen+1.7
83-5BYUBYU×3AceBYUaced Ksenia Rakhmanchik+1.6
94-5BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Kelli Jo Burgess+0.9
104-6BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Claire Little Chambers+0.9
115-6BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.9
125-7BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.0
136-7BYUBAYLORBad setKaylie Kofe+1.0
146-8BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.0
157-8BYUBAYLORServe errBYU+1.0
167-9BAYLORBYU×7KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+1.0
177-10BYUBYU×7BlockedNadiya Johnsonblk Kelli Jo Burgess, Kate Prior+1.6
187-11BYUBYU×7Attack errIsabela Haggard+1.3
197-12BYUBYU×7BlockedBailey Warrenblk Kate Prior, Kelli Jo Burgess+1.0
207-13BYUBYU×7KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.7
217-14BYUBYU×7AceBYUaced Bailey Warren+0.5
227-15BYUBYU×7KillElli Mortensenset Kaylie Kofe+0.3
238-15BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.1
249-15BAYLORBAYLORAttack errKate Prior+0.3
259-16BAYLORBYUBlockedKsenia Rakhmanchikblk Kelli Jo Burgess, Kate Prior+0.2
2610-16BYUBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Alex Bower+0.2
2711-16BAYLORBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Morgan Madison+0.4
2811-17BAYLORBYUKillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+0.4
2912-17BYUBAYLORAttack errKelli Jo Burgess+0.2
3012-18BAYLORBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Alex Bower+0.3
3113-18BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.2
3214-18BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.6
3314-19BAYLORBYUAttack errBailey Warren+0.5
3415-19BYUBAYLORServe errBYU+0.3
3515-20BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.5
3616-20BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Morgan Madison+0.3
3716-21BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+0.5
3817-21BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+0.3
3917-22BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.4
4018-22BYUBAYLOR×4KillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.2
4119-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4Attack errSophia Callahan+0.7
4220-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.4
4321-22BAYLORBAYLOR×4Attack errSophia Callahan+2.5
4421-23BAYLORBYUAttack errKsenia Rakhmanchik+2.2
4522-23BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.5
4622-24BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Lulu Po'uha+2.5
4723-24BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.3
4823-25BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+3.2
Set 3
11-0BYUBAYLOR×3KillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.5
22-0BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+1.0
33-0BAYLORBAYLOR×3BlockedSophia Callahanblk Nadiya Johnson+1.0
43-1BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+0.5
54-1BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.6
64-2BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.5
75-2BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.6
86-2BAYLORBAYLORAttack errSophia Callahan+1.0
96-3BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.5
107-3BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+0.6
117-4BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.5
128-4BYUBAYLORKillLacy Tinnellset Isabela Haggard+0.6
138-5BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+0.5
149-5BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.6
159-6BAYLORBYUKillKate Priorset Kaylie Kofe+0.5
1610-6BYUBAYLORServe errBYU+0.7
1710-7BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Lulu Po'uha+0.5
1811-7BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Jules Hernandez+0.7
1912-7BAYLORBAYLORBlockedKelli Jo Burgessblk Victoria Davis+1.0
2012-8BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.4
2113-8BYUBAYLORBlockedElli Mortensenblk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard+0.6
2213-9BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.4
2314-9BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+0.6
2414-10BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Claire Little Chambers+0.4
2514-11BYUBYUAceBYUaced Bailey Warren+0.9
2615-11BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.7
2716-11BAYLORBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Morgan Madison+1.0
2816-12BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.4
2917-12BYUBAYLORAttack errKate Prior+0.6
3018-12BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchik+0.7
3118-13BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.2
3219-13BYUBAYLORKillLacy Tinnellset Isabela Haggard+0.4
3319-14BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+0.2
3420-14BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+0.4
3520-15BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+0.2
3621-15BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.3
3721-16BAYLORBYU×3KillBrooke Hardyset Alex Bower+0.1
3821-17BYUBYU×3KillBrooke Hardy+0.4
3921-18BYUBYU×3Attack errKsenia Rakhmanchik+0.7
4022-18BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+0.8
4122-19BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+0.4
4223-19BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+0.7
4323-20BAYLORBYUKillAnna Blamiresset Kaylie Kofe+0.3
4424-20BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.6
4524-21BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.1
4625-21BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+0.4
Set 4
10-1BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+1.4
21-1BYUBAYLORKillLacy Tinnellset Isabela Haggard+1.5
31-2BAYLORBYUBlockedNadiya Johnsonblk Claire Little Chambers, Kelli Jo Burgess+1.4
42-2BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+1.5
52-3BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Alex Bower+1.5
63-3BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+1.6
74-3BAYLORBAYLORAttack errElli Mortensen+2.9
84-4BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.6
95-4BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+1.8
106-4BAYLORBAYLORAttack errKylie Buttars+3.2
116-5BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Alex Bower+1.7
127-5BYUBAYLORServe errBYU+2.0
137-6BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+1.8
147-7BYUBYUAttack errNadiya Johnson+3.1
158-7BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Bailey Warren+2.0
168-8BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.8
179-8BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+2.0
189-9BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.9
1910-9BYUBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+2.1
2011-9BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+3.7
2112-9BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+3.7
2212-10BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.8
2313-10BYUBAYLORKillIsabela Haggardset Tehani Ulufatu+2.3
2413-11BAYLORBYU×4KillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+1.9
2513-12BYUBYU×4BlockedVictoria Davisblk Brooke Hardy+3.7
2613-13BYUBYU×4BlockedVictoria Davisblk Elli Mortensen, Brooke Hardy+3.8
2713-14BYUBYU×4KillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+3.8
2814-14BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+2.3
2914-15BAYLORBYUKillSophia Callahanset Alex Bower+2.3
3015-15BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+2.4
3116-15BAYLORBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Morgan Madison+4.5
3216-16BAYLORBYUKillAnna Blamiresset Lulu Po'uha+2.5
3317-16BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+2.9
3417-17BAYLORBYUKillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+2.7
3517-18BYUBYUAceBYUaced Jules Hernandez+4.7
3618-18BYUBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+2.8
3719-18BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Jules Hernandez+5.5
3820-18BAYLORBAYLOR×4BlockedClaire Little Chambersblk Victoria Davis, Nadiya Johnson+5.8
3921-18BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+5.2
4021-19BAYLORBYUKillAnna Blamiresset Kaylie Kofe+2.0
4122-19BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+3.3
4222-20BAYLORBYUKillSophia Callahanset Claire Little Chambers+1.8
4323-20BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+3.4
4423-21BAYLORBYUServe errBaylor+1.6
4523-22BYUBYUKillSophia Callahanset Lulu Po'uha+5.2
4624-22BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+5.6
4725-22BAYLORBAYLORBlockedElli Mortensenblk Lacy Tinnell, Isabela Haggard+3.1
Set 5
10-1BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+5.0
20-2BYUBYUAceBYUaced Jules Hernandez+8.1
31-2BYUBAYLORBlockedAnna Blamiresblk Lacy Tinnell, Ksenia Rakhmanchik+4.6
42-2BAYLORBAYLORAttack errClaire Little Chambers+9.2
52-3BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+5.5
63-3BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+5.8
73-4BAYLORBYUKillKelli Jo Burgessset Alex Bower+5.7
84-4BYUBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+6.0
94-5BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+6.0
105-5BYUBAYLORAttack errBrooke Hardy+6.3
116-5BAYLORBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Tehani Ulufatu+12.1
126-6BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Alex Bower+6.7
137-6BYUBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard+7.8
147-7BAYLORBYUKillElli Mortensenset Lulu Po'uha+7.1
158-7BYUBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard+8.3
168-8BAYLORBYU×7KillBrooke Hardyset Kaylie Kofe+7.6
178-9BYUBYU×7Attack errLacy Tinnell+13.6
188-10BYUBYU×7BlockedKsenia Rakhmanchikblk Kelli Jo Burgess, Anna Blamires+12.1
198-11BYUBYU×7AceBYUaced Nadiya Johnson+9.2
208-12BYUBYU×7KillClaire Little Chambersset Elli Mortensen+5.6
218-13BYUBYU×7KillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+2.5
228-14BYUBYU×7BlockedNadiya Johnsonblk Kelli Jo Burgess, Claire Little Chambers+0.8
239-14BYUBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard+0.1
2410-14BAYLORBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard+0.3
2510-15BAYLORBYUKillClaire Little Chambersset Kaylie Kofe+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Baylor first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).