Baylor vs Texas Tech Volleyball: Baylor Wins 3-0 (Oct 8)

FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Baylor 95.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Baylor won at Texas Tech 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 28-26) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Baylor's Ksenia Rakhmanchik led with 16 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BAYLOR	25	25	28	3
TXTECH	15	20	26	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Ksenia Rakhmanchik. Baylor swept Texas Tech.

Win probability never moved more than 1.3 points on one rally; Texas Tech topped out at 4% in Set 1. Baylor went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

BaylorTexas Tech

Break %+16.5 pts
35.519.0
27 of 76 on serve vs 12 of 63, so Texas Tech's sideout was 64.5%.
Hitting+.183
.292.109
49 K / 16 E against 34 K / 22 E.
Longest run+3
63
Up 18–14 in the first set, Baylor scored 6 straight to make it 24–14. That set ended 25–15.

Texas Tech above 50Baylor belowMax swing 1.3%

BaylorTexas Tech

Aces: Baylor 1·Texas Tech 1
Serve err: Baylor 9·Texas Tech 6
Blocks: Baylor 8.5·Texas Tech 90 BS · 17 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Baylor 44·Texas Tech 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas Tech above 50 · Baylor below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Baylor — set 3, BAYLOR 24-24 TXTECH. Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard). TXTECH win probability 3% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BAYLOR 97.1%2.9% TXTECH

Baylor wins

3-0

62.9%

3-1

27.0%

3-2

7.2%

Texas Tech wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.8%

3-2

1.8%

BAYLOR break %: 45.8% vs this opp
TXTECH break %: 31.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+1.3%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 24-24 TXTECH · BAYLOR 97% → 98%
02
Gretchen Sigman&Tatum JohnsonBlock+1.1%
Ksenia Rakhmanchik stuffed by Gretchen Sigman & Tatum Johnson
Set 3 · BAYLOR 25-26 TXTECH · TXTECH 1% → 2%
03
Nadiya JohnsonKill+0.9%
Kill by Nadiya Johnson (set by Morgan Madison)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 25-24 TXTECH · BAYLOR 98% → 99%
04
Victoria DavisKill+0.9%
Kill by Victoria Davis (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 27-26 TXTECH · BAYLOR 98% → 99%
05
Katelyn CochranKill+0.8%
Kill by Katelyn Cochran (set by Elia Dinsmore)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 20-22 TXTECH · TXTECH 2% → 3%
06
Texas TechService error+0.8%
Texas Tech service error
Set 3 · BAYLOR 26-26 TXTECH · BAYLOR 98% → 98%
07
Kenna McKenzieKill+0.7%
Kill by Kenna McKenzie (set by Katelyn Cochran)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 22-24 TXTECH · TXTECH 2% → 3%
08
Gretchen SigmanAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Gretchen Sigman
Set 3 · BAYLOR 28-26 TXTECH · BAYLOR 99% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bayloraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ksenia RakhmanchikOH	3	16	8	37	.216	0	0	4	4	1	1	0.5	16.5
7Victoria DavisMB	3	13	1	23	.522	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	15.5
10Nadiya JohnsonOH	3	9	2	17	.412	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	11.5
12Isabela HaggardS	3	4	1	6	.500	42	0	0	6	0	2	1	5
9Mya HemmerMB	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	3.5
33Jules HernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
2Bailey WarrenOH	3	5	3	21	.095	1	0	1	3	0	1	0.5	5.5
26Tehani UlufatuL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	10	0	0	0	1
22Morgan MadisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	10	0	0	0	0
3Taylor CrainL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	16	113	.292	47	1	9	44	1	17	8.5	78

Texas Techhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Tatum JohnsonOH	3	4	2	8	.250	0	0	1	4	0	1	5	3.5	7.5
2Gretchen SigmanOH	3	4	4	20	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
13Shelby IgnashMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
5Elia DinsmoreOH	3	4	4	17	.000	2	0	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
10Katelyn CochranS	3	4	1	5	.600	27	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
8Sara BowcuttOH	1	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
6Kenna McKenzieOH	3	11	5	32	.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Ashlyn BellamyOH	3	2	2	7	.000	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	3
21Emily ContrerasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
9Madeleine SmothermanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
20Maggie BoydOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	22	110	.109	33	1	6	36	1	1	16	9	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BAYLOR · TXTECH 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 BAYLORTXTECH 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 BAYLORTXTECH 2

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 3 BAYLORTXTECH 3

Bars above the line = Texas Tech leads, below = Baylor leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Baylor

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	77%10/13	33%4/12
2	90%9/10	47%8/17
3	90%9/10	53%10/19
4	80%8/10	20%2/10
5	73%8/11	11%1/9
6	78%7/9	22%2/9
All	81%51/63	36%27/76

Texas Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	31%4/13
2	41%9/22	10%1/10
3	100%8/8	10%1/10
4	73%8/11	11%1/9
5	89%8/9	27%3/11
6	70%7/10	20%2/10
All	64%49/76	19%12/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	BAYLOR-TXTECH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
2	2-0	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Gretchen Sigman	blk Ksenia Rakhmanchik, Victoria Davis	+0.5
3	2-1	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Sara Bowcutt	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
4	3-1	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
5	4-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
6	5-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Sara Bowcutt		+0.3
7	5-2	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+0.2
8	6-2	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
9	6-3	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.2
10	7-3	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.2
11	7-4	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
12	8-4	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
13	8-5	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
14	8-6	TXTECH	TXTECH	Blocked	Nadiya Johnson	blk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson	+0.4
15	9-6	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
16	9-7	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
17	10-7	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
18	10-8	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
19	11-8	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.3
20	12-8	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
21	13-8	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
22	13-9	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.1
23	14-9	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
24	14-10	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
25	15-10	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
26	15-11	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.1
27	16-11	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Tehani Ulufatu	+0.2
28	16-12	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Katelyn Cochran	set Emily Contreras	+0.1
29	17-12	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
30	17-13	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
31	18-13	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.2
32	18-14	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
33	19-14	TXTECH	BAYLOR×6	Blocked	Sara Bowcutt	blk Victoria Davis, Nadiya Johnson	+0.2
34	20-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
35	21-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Ace	Tehani Ulufatu	aced Sara Bowcutt	+0.1
36	22-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		·
37	23-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	·
38	24-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	·
39	24-15	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Bellamy	set Katelyn Cochran	·
40	25-15	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	·
Set 2
1	0-1	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
2	1-1	TXTECH	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
3	2-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
4	3-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.3
5	4-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		+0.2
6	4-2	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
7	5-2	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
8	5-3	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
9	6-3	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
10	7-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Katelyn Cochran		+0.2
11	7-4	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
12	8-4	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
13	8-5	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
14	9-5	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		+0.1
15	10-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Kenna McKenzie	blk Nadiya Johnson, Mya Hemmer	+0.2
16	10-6	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Blocked	Bailey Warren	blk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson	+0.1
17	11-6	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
18	11-7	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Bad set	Isabela Haggard		+0.1
19	12-7	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		+0.1
20	12-8	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
21	13-8	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
22	13-9	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
23	14-9	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.1
24	15-9	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
25	15-10	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
26	15-11	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
27	16-11	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
28	16-12	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
29	16-13	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
30	17-13	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Bailey Warren	+0.2
31	17-14	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Blocked	Nadiya Johnson	blk Kenna McKenzie, Tatum Johnson	+0.1
32	17-15	TXTECH	TXTECH	Ace	Ashlyn Bellamy	aced Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+0.4
33	18-15	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
34	19-15	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Blocked	Elia Dinsmore	blk Mya Hemmer, Nadiya Johnson	+0.3
35	20-15	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Elia Dinsmore		+0.2
36	20-16	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
37	21-16	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Morgan Madison	+0.1
38	21-17	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
39	22-17	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
40	22-18	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		·
41	23-18	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Blocked	Kenna McKenzie	blk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard	+0.1
42	23-19	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Katelyn Cochran	·
43	24-19	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Kenna McKenzie		+0.1
44	24-20	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Katelyn Cochran	set Emily Contreras	·
45	25-20	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	·
Set 3
1	1-0	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
2	2-0	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
3	3-0	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Blocked	Tatum Johnson	blk Victoria Davis, Nadiya Johnson	+0.1
4	3-1	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Bellamy	set Gretchen Sigman	+0.1
5	3-2	TXTECH	TXTECH	Blocked	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Gretchen Sigman, Shelby Ignash	+0.1
6	4-2	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
7	5-2	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Shelby Ignash		+0.1
8	5-3	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
9	5-4	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
10	6-4	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Ashlyn Bellamy		+0.1
11	6-5	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.1
12	7-5	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Morgan Madison	+0.1
13	8-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Shelby Ignash		+0.1
14	8-6	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Blocked	Bailey Warren	blk Katelyn Cochran, Shelby Ignash	+0.1
15	8-7	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
16	9-7	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
17	10-7	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Tatum Johnson	blk Bailey Warren, Mya Hemmer, Nadiya Johnson	+0.1
18	10-8	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
19	11-8	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
20	11-9	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Gretchen Sigman	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
21	12-9	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
22	12-10	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Tatum Johnson	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.1
23	13-10	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.1
24	13-11	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.1
25	14-11	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Ashlyn Bellamy		+0.1
26	14-12	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Blocked	Victoria Davis	blk Shelby Ignash, Elia Dinsmore	+0.1
27	15-12	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Blocked	Kenna McKenzie	blk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard	+0.1
28	15-13	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Katelyn Cochran	set Elia Dinsmore	+0.1
29	15-14	TXTECH	TXTECH	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+0.2
30	16-14	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
31	16-15	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.2
32	17-15	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.2
33	17-16	BAYLOR	TXTECH×3	Blocked	Mya Hemmer	blk Tatum Johnson	+0.2
34	17-17	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Blocked	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Tatum Johnson, Gretchen Sigman	+0.4
35	17-18	TXTECH	TXTECH×3	Kill	Elia Dinsmore	set Gretchen Sigman	+0.5
36	18-18	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
37	18-19	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.4
38	19-19	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
39	19-20	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+0.4
40	20-20	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.3
41	20-21	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Shelby Ignash	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.4
42	20-22	TXTECH	TXTECH	Kill	Katelyn Cochran	set Elia Dinsmore	+0.8
43	21-22	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Isabela Haggard	+0.4
44	21-23	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.6
45	22-23	TXTECH	BAYLOR	Attack err	Kenna McKenzie		+0.4
46	22-24	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Kill	Kenna McKenzie	set Katelyn Cochran	+0.7
47	23-24	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+0.3
48	24-24	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+1.3
49	25-24	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Morgan Madison	+0.9
50	25-25	BAYLOR	TXTECH	Serve err	Baylor		+0.5
51	25-26	TXTECH	TXTECH	Blocked	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Gretchen Sigman, Tatum Johnson	+1.1
52	26-26	TXTECH	BAYLOR×3	Serve err	Texas Tech		+0.8
53	27-26	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+0.9
54	28-26	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Gretchen Sigman		+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Baylor first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Baylor def. Texas Tech 3–0

16 kills in 3 sets for Ksenia Rakhmanchik. Baylor swept Texas Tech.