FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Baylor def. Arizona 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Baylor 91.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Baylor beat visiting Arizona 3-0 (25-14, 25-17, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Baylor's Ksenia Rakhmanchik led with 17 kills, and Isabela Haggard added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set123Sets
ARIZ1417200
BAYLOR2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.444 and 17 kills for Ksenia Rakhmanchik as Baylor rolled past Arizona.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.8 points, and Arizona's high was 7% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Baylor 92% before first serve.

ArizonaBaylor
  • Break %+23.4 pts
    24.547.9

    On serve: 35/73 against 13/53 (Arizona sideout 52.1%).

  • Hitting+.232
    .178.410

    Kills and errors: 49–8 vs 33–15.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    Baylor scored 7 straight in the third set to open the set 7–0. The set finished 25–20.

Baylor above 50Arizona belowMax swing 0.8%

ArizonaBaylor

Aces
Arizona 2·Baylor 7
Serve err
Arizona 3·Baylor 7
Blocks
Arizona 5·Baylor 41 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Arizona 38·Baylor 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Baylor above 50 · Arizona below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 126 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Baylor stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARIZ 5.6%94.4% BAYLOR

Arizona wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.3%

Baylor wins

3-0
53.8%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
10.5%
ARIZ break %
33.7% vs this opp
BAYLOR break %
45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35222.136020710007
3318.250000001436
35314.14300010010.55.5
3219.111000100002
2000–801300000
1000–000000000
38524.12500155010.58.5
36114.35700010010.56.5
3417.429000000004
3002.000170070010.50.5
3000–6011300000
2000–000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3315101.178312338718551
Baylorhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317136.44411370010.518.5
316226.53800040010.516.5
38213.46200100031.59.5
3103.3334112100010.52.5
3125-.20000010010.51.5
3000–310400001
35114.28600011010.55.5
3000–330900003
31011.000010900002
2000–001200000
1002.000000100000
Team totals498100.410487748208475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARIZ · BAYLOR 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 ARIZBAYLOR 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 ARIZBAYLOR 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 ARIZBAYLOR 7

Bars above the line = Baylor leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
42%5/12
2
50%7/14
30%3/10
3
54%7/13
0%0/7
4
75%6/8
22%2/9
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
71%5/7
14%1/7
All
52%38/73
25%13/53

Baylor

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
25%2/8
2
70%7/10
63%12/19
3
100%7/7
59%10/17
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
75%40/53
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#ARIZ-BAYLORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1ARIZBAYLOR×4KillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
20-2BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillNadiya Johnsonset Jules Hernandez
30-3BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillNadiya Johnsonset Jules Hernandez
40-4BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
51-4BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Gigi Whann
61-5ARIZBAYLOR×3Serve errArizona
71-6BAYLORBAYLOR×3BlockedBritt Carlsonblk Victoria Davis, Ksenia Rakhmanchik
81-7BAYLORBAYLOR×3Attack errCarlie Cisneros
92-7BAYLORARIZKillBritt Carlsonset Maria Olga Siapani
102-8ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
113-8BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
124-8ARIZARIZAttack errVictoria Davis
134-9ARIZBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
145-9BAYLORARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann
155-10ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
166-10BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
176-11ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
187-11BAYLORARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample
197-12ARIZBAYLORServe errArizona
208-12BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani
218-13ARIZBAYLOR×4KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
228-14BAYLORBAYLOR×4AceBayloraced Destiny Ndam-Simpson
238-15BAYLORBAYLOR×4KillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
248-16BAYLORBAYLOR×4BlockedCarlie Cisnerosblk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard
259-16BAYLORARIZKillBritt Carlsonset Maria Olga Siapani
269-17ARIZBAYLOR×3Attack errBritt Carlson
279-18BAYLORBAYLOR×3Attack errBritt Carlson
289-19BAYLORBAYLOR×3Attack errMarina Vosloo
2910-19BAYLORARIZKillBritt Carlsonset Maria Olga Siapani
3010-20ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3110-21BAYLORBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
3211-21BAYLORARIZ×3Serve errBaylor
3312-21ARIZARIZ×3KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann
3413-21ARIZARIZ×3AceCarlie Cisnerosaced Bailey Warren
3513-22ARIZBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3613-23BAYLORBAYLOR×3AceBaylor
3713-24BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillNadiya Johnsonset Morgan Madison
3814-24BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
3914-25ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
Set 2
10-1BAYLORBAYLORAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson
21-1BAYLORARIZKillBritt Carlsonset Maria Olga Siapani
31-2ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Morgan Madison
42-2BAYLORARIZBlockedMya Hemmerblk Britt Carlson, Journey Tucker
52-3ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
62-4BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Jules Hernandez
73-4BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
83-5ARIZBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
93-6BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
104-6BAYLORARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann
114-7ARIZBAYLOR×3Serve errArizona
124-8BAYLORBAYLOR×3AceBayloraced Destiny Ndam-Simpson
134-9BAYLORBAYLOR×3KillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
145-9BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
155-10ARIZBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
166-10BAYLORARIZKillMarina Voslooset Maria Olga Siapani
176-11ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
187-11BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
197-12ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
208-12BAYLORARIZKillHayden Reederset Maria Olga Siapani
218-13ARIZBAYLOR×3KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
228-14BAYLORBAYLOR×3Attack errJourney Tucker
238-15BAYLORBAYLOR×3AceBayloraced Carlie Cisneros
249-15BAYLORARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample
259-16ARIZBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
2610-16BAYLORARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample
2710-17ARIZBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
2811-17BAYLORARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample
2911-18ARIZBAYLORKillTehani Ulufatuset Isabela Haggard
3011-19BAYLORBAYLORAttack errRenee Jones
3112-19BAYLORARIZ×3Bad setIsabela Haggard
3213-19ARIZARIZ×3AceCarlie Cisneros
3314-19ARIZARIZ×3KillMarina Voslooset Maria Olga Siapani
3414-20ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3515-20BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
3615-21ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
3715-22BAYLORBAYLORAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson
3816-22BAYLORARIZKillBritt Carlsonset Gigi Whann
3916-23ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
4016-24BAYLORBAYLORAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson
4117-24BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
4217-25ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
Set 3
10-1ARIZBAYLOR×7KillMya Hemmerset Isabela Haggard
20-2BAYLORBAYLOR×7AceBayloraced Destiny Ndam-Simpson
30-3BAYLORBAYLOR×7BlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Nadiya Johnson, Victoria Davis
40-4BAYLORBAYLOR×7KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Morgan Madison
50-5BAYLORBAYLOR×7AceBayloraced Destiny Ndam-Simpson
60-6BAYLORBAYLOR×7Attack errHayden Reeder
70-7BAYLORBAYLOR×7KillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
81-7BAYLORARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample
91-8ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
101-9BAYLORBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
112-9BAYLORARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample
122-10ARIZBAYLORBad setHarmony Sample
133-10BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
144-10ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisneros
154-11ARIZBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
165-11BAYLORARIZServe errBaylor
175-12ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
185-13BAYLORBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
196-13BAYLORARIZKillHayden Reederset Harmony Sample
207-13ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisneros
217-14ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
228-14BAYLORARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample
239-14ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann
249-15ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
259-16BAYLORBAYLORAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi
2610-16BAYLORARIZ×4BlockedKsenia Rakhmanchikblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker
2711-16ARIZARIZ×4Attack errVictoria Davis
2812-16ARIZARIZ×4KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
2913-16ARIZARIZ×4Attack errNadiya Johnson
3013-17ARIZBAYLORKillVictoria Davisset Isabela Haggard
3114-17BAYLORARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Harmony Sample
3214-18ARIZBAYLORKillIsabela Haggard
3315-18BAYLORARIZKillMarina Voslooset Harmony Sample
3415-19ARIZBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
3516-19BAYLORARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample
3616-20ARIZBAYLORKillBailey Warrenset Isabela Haggard
3716-21BAYLORBAYLORBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Bailey Warren, Mya Hemmer
3817-21BAYLORARIZBlockedBailey Warrenblk Journey Tucker, Harmony Sample
3917-22ARIZBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Isabela Haggard
4017-23BAYLORBAYLORAceJules Hernandezaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson
4118-23BAYLORARIZ×3KillJourney Tuckerset Harmony Sample
4219-23ARIZARIZ×3BlockedNadiya Johnsonblk Journey Tucker, Destiny Ndam-Simpson
4320-23ARIZARIZ×3BlockedMya Hemmerblk Journey Tucker
4420-24ARIZBAYLORKillKsenia Rakhmanchikset Isabela Haggard
4520-25BAYLORBAYLORKillNadiya Johnsonset Ksenia Rakhmanchik

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).