CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026
Idaho St. logo

AwayBIG-SKY

3:1
SFA logo

HomeSOUTHLAND

Idaho St. def. SFA 31

(20-25, 25-23, 25-17, 25-18)
Set1234Sets
ID ST202525253
SFA252317181

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SFA above 50 · ID ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100SFAID STBiggest swing +9.8% ID ST · S2 25-23rally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.8% to Idaho St. — set 2, ID ST 25-23 SFA. Attack error by Avery Koonsen. SFA win probability 63%53%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ID ST 46.1%53.9% SFA

Idaho St. wins

3-0
10.9%
3-1
17.1%
3-2
18.0%

SFA wins

3-0
14.2%
3-1
20.4%
3-2
19.3%
ID ST break %
42.0% vs this opp
SFA break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Avery KoonsenAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Avery Koonsen

    Set 2 · ID ST 25-23 SFA · ID ST 37%47%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jordan Henderson (set by Nora Waddoups)

    Set 2 · ID ST 23-23 SFA · SFA 63%70%

  3. 03
    Jaydin WattsKill+7.1%

    Kill by Jaydin Watts (set by Nora Waddoups)

    Set 2 · ID ST 24-23 SFA · ID ST 30%37%

  4. 04
    Molly CravensAttack error+6.3%

    Molly Cravens stuffed by Mia Walsh & Jaydin Watts

    Set 2 · ID ST 23-21 SFA · ID ST 34%41%

  5. 05
    Isabella BeattyAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Isabella Beatty

    Set 2 · ID ST 20-20 SFA · SFA 66%71%

  6. 06
    Mia WalshKill+4.8%

    Kill by Mia Walsh (set by Nora Waddoups)

    Set 2 · ID ST 22-21 SFA · ID ST 29%34%

  7. 07
    SFA serverService error+4.3%

    SFA service error

    Set 4 · ID ST 21-18 SFA · ID ST 88%92%

  8. 08
    Mia WalshKill+4.3%

    Kill by Mia Walsh (set by Nora Waddoups)

    Set 4 · ID ST 22-18 SFA · ID ST 92%96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414339.28201111012217
46320.1501001016410
4607.8574220220010.58.5
3419.33301030010.55.5
13111.182000100003
1000000300000
415036.41700030111.516.5
4001.0008002420000
4000201700000
39527.148201100010.59.5
2118.000000000001
2000101200000
1105.200000100212
Team totals5914163.27656448843141095
SFAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413845.1110127100014
412637.16210050010.512.5
410119.47400000052.512.5
4203.6673022700004
310120.45001020200011
36317.176000100006
43316.00000000010.53.5
42113.0774002710002
4002.0001902500000
4001.000000500000
3000100100000
22212.00000000031.53.5
1000000100000
Team totals6025185.1895546794010583

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 ID ST · SFA 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 ID STSFA 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 ID STSFA 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 ID STSFA 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 ID STSFA 7

Bars above the line = SFA leads, below = Idaho St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Idaho St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
55%11/20
2
71%10/14
55%12/22
3
64%9/14
31%4/13
4
50%8/16
18%2/11
5
64%7/11
59%10/17
6
78%7/9
36%4/11
All
62%52/84
46%43/94

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
36%5/14
2
43%9/21
42%8/19
3
82%9/11
10%1/10
4
67%8/12
43%6/14
5
41%7/17
43%6/14
6
64%7/11
46%6/13
All
54%51/94
38%32/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

178 rallies

Rally log

#ID ST-SFASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SFASFA×5Attack errMia Walsh+2.5
20-2SFASFA×5KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+2.4
30-3SFASFA×5Attack errJaydin Watts+2.3
40-4SFASFA×5Attack errJaydin Watts+2.2
50-5SFASFA×5KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+2.0
61-5SFAID STKillAva Bricknerset Nora Waddoups+1.3
71-6ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.4
81-7SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.7
92-7SFAID STKillAva Bricknerset Nora Waddoups+1.0
103-7ID STID STAttack errJordan Hendersonblk Jaydin Watts+1.7
113-8ID STSFAKillMadi Zornset Katherine Holtman+1.5
124-8SFAID STAttack errKatherine Holtman+1.3
134-9ID STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.5
144-10SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+1.7
154-11SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Caroline Kahle+1.4
165-11SFAID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+0.8
176-11ID STID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+1.4
186-12ID STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+1.3
197-12SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+1.0
207-13ID STSFAServe errID ST server+1.3
218-13SFAID STKillAva Bricknerset Nora Waddoups+1.0
228-14ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.2
239-14SFAID STAttack errJordan Henderson+0.9
249-15ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.2
2510-15SFAID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.9
2610-16ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.2
2711-16SFAID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.9
2811-17ID STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.2
2912-17SFAID STKillNora Waddoupsset Jenna Werbelow+0.8
3012-18ID STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+1.2
3113-18SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+0.8
3213-19ID STSFA×3Attack errAva Brickner+1.1
3313-20SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Nora Waddoups+0.9
3413-21SFASFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.5
3514-21SFAID STAttack errAvery Koonsenblk Nora Waddoups, Isabella Beatty+0.2
3615-21ID STID STAceID ST serveraced Avery Koonsen+0.4
3715-22ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.5
3816-22SFAID STServe errSFA server+0.2
3916-23ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+0.4
4017-23SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+0.1
4118-23ID STID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+0.3
4218-24ID STSFAServe errID ST server+0.5
4319-24SFAID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.1
4420-24ID STID STKillMia Walshset Aspen Boice+0.3
4520-25ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+0.5
Set 2
11-0ID STID ST×3AceID ST serveraced Kennedy Jones+2.4
22-0ID STID ST×3Attack errAvery Koonsenblk Jaydin Watts, Tana Howard+2.4
33-0ID STID ST×3Attack errAvery Koonsenblk Tana Howard+2.4
43-1ID STSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.6
53-2SFASFA×4AceSFA serveraced Aspen Boice+2.4
63-3SFASFA×4AceSFA serveraced Aspen Boice+2.5
73-4SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+2.5
84-4SFAID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+1.9
95-4ID STID STAceID ST serveraced Caroline Kahle+2.6
105-5ID STSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.9
116-5SFAID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Aspen Boice+2.0
126-6ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.0
137-6SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+2.0
147-7ID STSFAAttack errAnnelie Wilsonblk Kyanna Creecy, Katherine Holtman+2.0
158-7SFAID STServe errSFA server+2.1
168-8ID STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+2.1
178-9SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+2.9
188-10SFASFA×3AceSFA serveraced Team+2.9
199-10SFAID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+2.0
2010-10ID STID STAttack errAvery Koonsen+3.0
2110-11ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.3
2211-11SFAID STKillAbby McClainset Annelie Wilson+2.3
2312-11ID STID STAttack errMolly Cravensblk Abby McClain, Jaydin Watts+3.3
2412-12ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.4
2513-12SFAID ST×4Attack errJordan Hendersonblk Abby McClain, Jaydin Watts+2.5
2614-12ID STID ST×4KillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+3.4
2715-12ID STID ST×4KillTana Howardset Aspen Boice+3.2
2816-12ID STID ST×4Attack errKatherine Holtman+2.8
2916-13ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.6
3017-13SFAID STServe errSFA server+2.1
3117-14ID STSFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.6
3217-15SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+2.9
3317-16SFASFA×3KillKyanna Creecy+3.5
3418-16SFAID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+3.0
3518-17ID STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+2.7
3619-17SFAID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+3.2
3720-17ID STID STAttack errKyanna Creecy+3.9
3820-18ID STSFA×3Serve errID ST server+2.2
3920-19SFASFA×3Attack errMia Walshblk Kyanna Creecy, Molly Cravens+4.0
4020-20SFASFA×3Attack errIsabella Beatty+5.0
4121-20SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+4.2
4221-21ID STSFAAttack errJaydin Watts+4.1
4322-21SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+4.8
4423-21ID STID STAttack errMolly Cravensblk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts+6.3
4523-22ID STSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+3.3
4623-23SFASFAKillJordan Hendersonset Nora Waddoups+7.3
4724-23SFAID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+7.1
4825-23ID STID STAttack errAvery Koonsen+9.8
Set 3
11-0SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+2.5
21-1ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+2.4
31-2SFASFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+3.4
42-2SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+2.5
53-2ID STID STAttack errKatherine Holtman+3.5
63-3ID STSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+2.5
73-4SFASFAKillKennedy Jonesset Brinkley Reeves+3.5
84-4SFAID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.6
94-5ID STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+2.6
105-5SFAID STServe errSFA server+2.7
115-6ID STSFAServe errID ST server+2.7
126-6SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+2.7
137-6ID STID STAceID ST serveraced Kennedy Jones+3.9
147-7ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.8
158-7SFAID ST×3KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+2.9
169-7ID STID ST×3Attack errMolly Cravens+4.0
1710-7ID STID ST×3Attack errAvery Koonsen+3.8
1810-8ID STSFABad setAnnelie Wilson+2.5
1911-8SFAID ST×4KillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.9
2012-8ID STID ST×4KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+3.6
2113-8ID STID ST×4KillTana Howardset Aspen Boice+3.1
2214-8ID STID ST×4KillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+2.5
2314-9ID STSFAAttack errMia Walsh+1.4
2415-9SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+1.8
2515-10ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.3
2616-10SFAID STKillNora Waddoupsset Aspen Boice+1.8
2716-11ID STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.3
2817-11SFAID ST×3KillNora Waddoupsset Jenna Werbelow+1.8
2918-11ID STID ST×3Attack errKennedy Jones+1.7
3019-11ID STID ST×3KillNora Waddoupsset Kadence Marsh+1.0
3119-12ID STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+0.4
3220-12SFAID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.7
3321-12ID STID ST×3KillTana Howardset Jaydin Watts+0.4
3422-12ID STID ST×3Attack errLara Gilardiblk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts+0.2
3522-13ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.0
3623-13SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+0.1
3723-14ID STSFAKillLara Gilardiset Aniston Collins+0.0
3824-14SFAID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+0.0
3924-15ID STSFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+0.0
4024-16SFASFA×3Attack errAshlyn Smith+0.0
4124-17SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+0.0
4225-17SFAID STKillTana Howardset Aspen Boice+0.1
Set 4
11-0ID STID STAttack errKatherine Holtmanblk Mia Walsh+3.5
22-0ID STID STAttack errCaroline Kahle+3.5
32-1ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.5
43-1SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+2.6
53-2ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.5
64-2SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+2.7
74-3ID STSFA×3KillMadi Zornset Caroline Kahle+2.6
84-4SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+3.7
94-5SFASFA×3Attack errAnnelie Wilsonblk Lara Gilardi, Kyanna Creecy+3.7
105-5SFAID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.8
115-6ID STSFAKillLara Gilardiset Aniston Collins+2.8
126-6SFAID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.8
137-6ID STID ST×3KillNora Waddoupsset Annelie Wilson+4.0
148-6ID STID ST×3KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+4.0
158-7ID STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+2.8
169-7SFAID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+3.0
179-8ID STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+2.9
1810-8SFAID STServe errSFA server+3.1
1911-8ID STID STKillMia Walshset Aspen Boice+4.1
2011-9ID STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.7
2112-9SFAID ST×5Attack errAvery Koonsen+3.1
2213-9ID STID ST×5KillTana Howardset Aspen Boice+3.8
2314-9ID STID ST×5KillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+3.2
2415-9ID STID ST×5Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Jaydin Watts, Annelie Wilson+2.6
2516-9ID STID ST×5Attack errKatherine Holtman+1.9
2616-10ID STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.9
2717-10SFAID STBad setMadi Zorn+1.4
2818-10ID STID STAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.2
2918-11ID STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+0.5
3019-11SFAID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+0.8
3120-11ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+0.6
3220-12ID STSFA×7KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+0.2
3320-13SFASFA×7KillKyanna Creecy+0.5
3420-14SFASFA×7Attack errAnnelie Wilsonblk Kyanna Creecy, Lara Gilardi+0.8
3520-15SFASFA×7AceSFA serveraced Team+1.2
3620-16SFASFA×7Attack errAnnelie Wilson+2.0
3720-17SFASFA×7KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+3.0
3820-18SFASFA×7Attack errAnnelie Wilsonblk Kyanna Creecy, Lara Gilardi+4.3
3921-18SFAID ST×5Serve errSFA server+4.3
4022-18ID STID ST×5KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+4.3
4123-18ID STID ST×5Attack errLara Gilardi+2.5
4224-18ID STID ST×5KillNora Waddoupsset Aniston Collins+1.0
4325-18ID STID ST×5KillAshlyn Smithset Nora Waddoups+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Idaho St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.