Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026 · Neutral site

Idaho St. def. Tennessee Tech 3–1

Idaho St. beat Tennessee Tech 3-1 (25-21, 27-25, 19-25, 25-17) on Thu, Sep 10, 2026 at a neutral site. Ava Brickner led Idaho St. with 11 kills; Tennessee Tech's Alayna Pierce had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 10

Set1234Sets
ID ST252719253
TNTECH212525171

Win probability

Tennessee Tech above 50 · Idaho St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.4% TNTECHrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Tennessee Tech — set 2, ID ST 24-25 TNTECH. Attack error by Abby McClain. TNTECH win probability 13% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ID ST 78.6%21.4% TNTECH

Idaho St. wins

3-0
30.2%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
18.6%

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
3.6%
3-1
7.2%
3-2
10.7%
ID ST break %
46.2% vs this opp
TNTECH break %
40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby McClainAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Abby McClain

    Set 2 · ID ST 24-25 TNTECH · TNTECH 13% → 20%

  2. 02

    Ashlyn Gamble stuffed by Mia Walsh & Jaydin Watts

    Set 2 · ID ST 26-25 TNTECH · ID ST 85% → 91%

  3. 03
    Abby McClainAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Abby McClain

    Set 2 · ID ST 24-24 TNTECH · TNTECH 8% → 13%

  4. 04
    Jaydin WattsBlock+5.0%

    Jordyn Milhouse stuffed by Jaydin Watts

    Set 2 · ID ST 27-25 TNTECH · ID ST 91% → 96%

  5. 05
    Abby McClainKill+4.9%

    Kill by Abby McClain (set by Nora Waddoups)

    Set 2 · ID ST 25-25 TNTECH · ID ST 80% → 85%

  6. 06
    Tennessee TechAce+3.0%

    Tennessee Tech ace on Aspen Boice

    Set 1 · ID ST 12-14 TNTECH · TNTECH 25% → 28%

  7. 07
    Ava BricknerAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Ava Brickner

    Set 4 · ID ST 9-10 TNTECH · TNTECH 13% → 16%

  8. 08
    Alayna PierceAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Alayna Pierce

    Set 1 · ID ST 14-14 TNTECH · ID ST 74% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410330.233111170031.512.5
410121.42900020132.512.5
411630.16700040010.511.5
45114.286000201438
4105.200271060010.52.5
33314.00000020010.53.5
4000–111910001
4001.0004001210000
38620.10000000010.58.5
3000–1600200000
24112.250000600004
1000–000000000
Team totals5221147.2114932622214996
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4191155.14510381010.519.5
415532.3130006002116
48220.30000000010.58.5
45212.25020200010.55.5
4118.0004100140010.51.5
23416-.063110410004
4012-.5003121600001
4000–100710000
36419.105100700006
3000–100100000
1203.667000000002
1012-.500000000000
1000–200100000
Team totals5931169.166532764306388

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ID ST · TNTECH 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 ID STTNTECH 4

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 5 ID STTNTECH 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 ID STTNTECH 5

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 ID STTNTECH 4

Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = Idaho St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Idaho St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
53%8/15
2
39%7/18
42%5/12
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
46%6/13
54%7/13
5
86%6/7
45%5/11
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
55%37/67
48%34/71

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
50%5/10
2
70%7/10
42%5/12
3
60%6/10
59%10/17
4
46%6/13
45%5/11
5
55%6/11
45%5/11
6
42%5/12
0%0/6
All
52%37/71
45%30/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#ID ST-TNTECHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errAva Brickner+1.9
20-2TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errTana Howard+2.0
30-3TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errTana Howard+2.1
40-4TNTECHTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.2
51-4TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+1.4
62-4ID STID STBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Jaydin Watts, Tana Howard+2.0
72-5ID STTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.7
83-5TNTECHID STKillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.5
93-6ID STTNTECHAttack errAva Brickner+1.8
103-7TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.3
114-7TNTECHID ST×5Serve errTennessee Tech+1.5
125-7ID STID ST×5Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.1
136-7ID STID ST×5Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.2
147-7ID STID ST×5KillMia Walshset Aspen Boice+2.2
158-7ID ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
168-8ID STTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.7
178-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.4
188-10TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Jenna Werbelow+2.6
199-10TNTECHID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+1.8
209-11ID STTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.0
2110-11TNTECHID ST×3Attack errAudrey Berkebile+1.8
2211-11ID STID ST×3Bad setMorgan Petelin+2.5
2312-11ID STID ST×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.4
2412-12ID STTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.9
2512-13TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Kadence Marsh+2.8
2612-14TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Aspen Boice+3.0
2713-14TNTECHID ST×4KillTana Howardset Kadence Marsh+2.0
2814-14ID STID ST×4Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.8
2915-14ID STID ST×4AceIdaho St.aced Audrey Berkebile+2.8
3016-14ID STID ST×4BlockedMallory Jenkinsblk Isabella Beatty+2.5
3116-15ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.9
3217-15TNTECHID STKillIsabella Beattyset Kadence Marsh+2.0
3317-16ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.0
3418-16TNTECHID ST×4KillTana Howardset Kadence Marsh+2.1
3519-16ID STID ST×4Bad setMorgan Petelin+2.4
3620-16ID STID ST×4Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.8
3721-16ID STID ST×4KillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+1.2
3821-17ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.5
3922-17TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.8
4023-17ID STID STBad setMorgan Petelin+0.5
4123-18ID STTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4223-19TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Audrey Berkebile+0.4
4324-19TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+0.6
4424-20ID STTNTECHAttack errAbby McClain+0.1
4524-21TNTECHTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.5
4625-21TNTECHID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+0.8
Set 2
11-0ID STID STAttack errAudrey Berkebile+1.3
21-1ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.0
32-1TNTECHID STAttack errAshlyn Gamble+1.0
42-2ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.1
53-2TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+1.0
64-2ID STID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+1.3
74-3ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.0
85-3TNTECHID STKillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+1.0
95-4ID STTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Bella Lineberger+1.0
106-4TNTECHID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+1.0
116-5ID STTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Bella Lineberger+1.0
127-5TNTECHID ST×4KillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+1.0
138-5ID STID ST×4BlockedAva Schubertblk Ava Brickner, Isabella Beatty+1.2
149-5ID STID ST×4KillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.1
1510-5ID STID ST×4KillAva Brickner+0.9
1610-6ID STTNTECHServe errIdaho St.+0.6
1710-7TNTECHTNTECHAttack errAva Brickner+1.0
1811-7TNTECHID STKillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+0.8
1911-8ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.8
2011-9TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.3
2112-9TNTECHID STKillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.0
2212-10ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.0
2313-10TNTECHID STKillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+1.1
2413-11ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.0
2513-12TNTECHTNTECHAttack errMia Walsh+1.6
2614-12TNTECHID ST×5KillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+1.3
2715-12ID STID ST×5Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.5
2816-12ID STID ST×5Attack errJordyn Milhouse+1.2
2917-12ID STID ST×5Attack errAlayna Pierce+0.9
3018-12ID STID ST×5KillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+0.6
3118-13ID STTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+0.3
3218-14TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.7
3318-15TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errMia Walsh+1.0
3419-15TNTECHID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+1.0
3519-16ID STTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Alayna Pierce+0.8
3620-16TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+1.0
3721-16ID STID STKillTana Howardset Aspen Boice+0.9
3821-17ID STTNTECH×3KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.4
3921-18TNTECHTNTECH×3KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+0.9
4021-19TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.5
4122-19TNTECHID STKillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.6
4223-19ID STID STKillAva Bricknerset Aspen Boice+1.3
4323-20ID STTNTECHBlockedAva Bricknerblk Mallory Jenkins, Ashlyn Gamble+0.5
4424-20TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+0.9
4524-21ID STTNTECH×5KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.3
4624-22TNTECHTNTECH×5KillBella Potempa+0.9
4724-23TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedAbby McClainblk Ashlyn Gamble, Jordyn Milhouse+2.2
4824-24TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errAbby McClain+5.5
4924-25TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errAbby McClain+6.4
5025-25TNTECHID ST×3KillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+4.9
5126-25ID STID ST×3BlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts+5.7
5227-25ID STID ST×3BlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Jaydin Watts+5.0
Set 3
11-0TNTECHID STAttack errAshlyn Gamble+0.5
21-1ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.6
32-1TNTECHID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+0.5
42-2ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+0.6
53-2TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.5
64-2ID STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+0.7
74-3ID STTNTECH×3Attack errTana Howard+0.5
84-4TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errMia Walsh+0.8
94-5TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierce+0.9
105-5TNTECHID STAttack errElla Watford+0.6
115-6ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.7
125-7TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouse+0.9
136-7TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+0.7
146-8ID STTNTECHBad setIsabella Beatty+0.8
157-8TNTECHID STAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.7
167-9ID STTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Brooklyn Rapp+0.8
178-9TNTECHID ST×3KillAbby McClainset Nora Waddoups+0.7
189-9ID STID ST×3BlockedMallory Jenkinsblk Abby McClain, Isabella Beatty+0.9
1910-9ID STID ST×3AceIdaho St.aced Alayna Pierce+0.9
2010-10ID STTNTECH×5Serve errIdaho St.+0.7
2110-11TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Ella Watford+1.0
2210-12TNTECHTNTECH×5KillMallory Jenkinsset Nora Waddoups+1.1
2310-13TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errAbby McClain+1.1
2410-14TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.1
2511-14TNTECHID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+0.7
2611-15ID STTNTECH×4Bad setNora Waddoups+0.9
2711-16TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedAbby McClainblk Alayna Pierce, Morgan Petelin+1.0
2811-17TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.8
2911-18TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Mallory Jenkins+0.6
3012-18TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+0.3
3112-19ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.4
3212-20TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Bella Potempa+0.4
3313-20TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+0.1
3414-20ID STID STKillKadence Marshset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3514-21ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.4
3615-21TNTECHID STAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.2
3716-21ID STID STAttack errMorgan Petelin+0.4
3816-22ID STTNTECHAttack errIsabella Beatty+0.5
3917-22TNTECHID ST×3KillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+0.2
4018-22ID STID ST×3KillIsabella Beattyset Kadence Marsh+0.5
4119-22ID STID ST×3BlockedBella Potempablk Kadence Marsh, Isabella Beatty+0.7
4219-23ID STTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+1.0
4319-24TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.7
4419-25TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Ella Watford+0.2
Set 4
11-0ID STID ST×3KillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+2.1
22-0ID STID ST×3Attack errAshlyn Gamble+1.9
33-0ID STID ST×3Attack errAshlyn Gamble+1.7
43-1ID STTNTECHAttack errJaydin Watts+1.3
54-1TNTECHID STKillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+1.3
65-1ID STID STAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.5
75-2ID STTNTECH×4KillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.1
85-3TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errAnnelie Wilson+1.8
95-4TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Mallory Jenkins+2.1
105-5TNTECHTNTECH×4KillJordyn Milhouse+2.4
116-5TNTECHID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Jenna Werbelow+1.8
126-6ID STTNTECHAttack errAva Brickner+1.9
136-7TNTECHTNTECHBad setAspen Boice+2.7
147-7TNTECHID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+1.9
158-7ID STID ST×3Attack errBella Potempa+2.5
169-7ID STID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+2.3
179-8ID STTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.8
189-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.7
199-10TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errAva Brickner+3.0
2010-10TNTECHID STServe errTennessee Tech+2.1
2111-10ID STID STBlockedBella Potempablk Mia Walsh, Isabella Beatty+2.8
2211-11ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.2
2312-11TNTECHID STKillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+2.2
2412-12ID STTNTECHBad setKadence Marsh+2.3
2513-12TNTECHID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.3
2614-12ID STID STBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts+2.8
2714-13ID STTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Ella Watford+2.1
2815-13TNTECHID ST×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.2
2916-13ID STID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+2.5
3017-13ID STID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Mia Walsh+2.0
3117-14ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.3
3218-14TNTECHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+1.5
3318-15ID STTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.3
3419-15TNTECHID STAttack errBella Potempa+1.6
3519-16ID STTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.2
3620-16TNTECHID ST×4KillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.6
3721-16ID STID ST×4KillAva Bricknerset Kadence Marsh+1.4
3822-16ID STID ST×4KillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+0.7
3923-16ID STID ST×4AceIdaho St.aced Brooklyn Rapp+0.3
4023-17ID STTNTECHKillKamya Mahornset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4124-17TNTECHID STKillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+0.1
4225-17ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Aspen Boice·

Score shown after each rally, Idaho St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).