FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Idaho St. def. Pacific 3–0

(25-12, 25-19, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PACIF	12	19	17	0
ID ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ID ST above 50 · PACIF below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Pacific — set 2, PACIF 17-16 ID ST. Ava Brickner stuffed by Vanessa Zussino & Ellie Prindl. ID ST win probability 97% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PACIF 4.8%95.2% ID ST

Pacific wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.3%

3-2

2.9%

Idaho St. wins

3-0

56.2%

3-1

29.5%

3-2

9.6%

PACIF break %: 37.1% vs this opp
ID ST break %: 49.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ava BricknerAttack error+1.0%
Ava Brickner stuffed by Vanessa Zussino & Ellie Prindl
Set 2 · PACIF 17-16 ID ST · PACIF 3% → 4%
02
Julia PorathKill+0.9%
Kill by Julia Porath (set by Alessia Couchond)
Set 2 · PACIF 14-11 ID ST · PACIF 4% → 5%
03
Vanessa ZussinoAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Vanessa Zussino
Set 2 · PACIF 17-18 ID ST · ID ST 97% → 97%
04
Annelie WilsonAttack error+0.8%
Annelie Wilson stuffed by Adeline Sirbu & Julia Porath
Set 2 · PACIF 13-11 ID ST · PACIF 3% → 4%
05
ID ST serverAce+0.8%
Idaho St. ace on Vanessa Zussino
Set 2 · PACIF 18-20 ID ST · ID ST 97% → 98%
06
Annelie WilsonKill+0.8%
Kill by Annelie Wilson (set by Jaydin Watts)
Set 2 · PACIF 14-13 ID ST · ID ST 95% → 96%
07
Nicole ZakeAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Nicole Zake
Set 2 · PACIF 14-14 ID ST · ID ST 96% → 97%
08
Nicole ZakeKill+0.7%
Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Jaydin Watts)
Set 2 · PACIF 18-18 ID ST · PACIF 3% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Pacificaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Julia PorathOPP	3	9	3	22	.273	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	11
13Nicole ZakeOH	3	8	4	30	.133	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	8
3Ellie PrindlMB	3	3	2	15	.067	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
8Vanessa ZussinoOH	3	1	4	9	-.333	0	2	1	1	4	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Adeline SirbuMB	3	1	0	5	.200	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
1Alessia CouchondS	3	0	0	0	–	19	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
30Isabella GutierrezL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	2	0	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
14Ella GridleyDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	0
5Gracie ArmatoS	2	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
15Hanna VorhiesMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
7Chloe GiehtbrockS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
23Olga GergaczOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	15	96	.135	26	3	6	34	9	1	6	4	48

Idaho St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
26Jaydin WattsMB	3	9	0	15	.600	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	11
17Annelie WilsonOH	3	6	2	14	.286	0	1	2	8	1	2	0	2	9
16Isabella BeattyMB	3	7	2	12	.417	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
21Mia WalshOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	2	0	5	1	0	0	0	7
9Nora WaddoupsS	3	1	0	4	.250	19	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
13Ava BricknerOH	2	4	3	12	.083	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4
3Abby McClainOH	3	8	1	18	.389	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
18Kadence MarshS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	2
1Aspen BoiceL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
10Brooke ChristoffersenOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
5Gracie VohsOH	1	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
2Claudia AntcliffL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Jenna WerbelowDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	99	.333	41	9	5	46	3	6	2	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 PACIF · ID ST 5

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 3 PACIFID ST 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 PACIFID ST 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 PACIFID ST 3

Bars above the line = Idaho St. leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Pacific

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	33%3/9
2	55%6/11	30%3/10
3	56%5/9	40%4/10
4	28%5/18	17%1/6
5	40%4/10	44%4/9
6	44%4/9	33%2/6
All	42%31/73	34%17/50

Idaho St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	62%8/13
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	86%6/7	54%7/13
4	71%5/7	58%7/12
5	57%4/7	69%9/13
6	44%4/9	64%7/11
All	66%33/50	58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

123 rallies

Rally log

#	PACIF-ID ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PACIF	ID ST×3	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.4
2	0-2	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Nora Waddoups	set Mia Walsh	+0.5
3	0-3	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Aspen Boice	+0.4
4	1-3	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.3
5	1-4	PACIF	ID ST	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.3
6	1-5	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Nora Waddoups	+0.3
7	2-5	ID ST	PACIF	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+0.3
8	3-5	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Ava Brickner		+0.4
9	3-6	PACIF	ID ST	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.3
10	4-6	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Alessia Couchond	+0.3
11	4-7	PACIF	ID ST×5	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+0.3
12	4-8	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Abby McClain	set Aspen Boice	+0.4
13	4-9	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Aspen Boice	+0.3
14	4-10	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	ID ST server	aced Ella Gridley	+0.2
15	4-11	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
16	5-11	ID ST	PACIF×3	Bad set	Kadence Marsh		+0.1
17	6-11	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.2
18	7-11	PACIF	PACIF×3	Ace	PACIF server	aced Mia Walsh	+0.3
19	7-12	PACIF	ID ST×4	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
20	7-13	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
21	7-14	ID ST	ID ST×4	Ace	ID ST server	aced Vanessa Zussino	+0.1
22	7-15	ID ST	ID ST×4	Ace	ID ST server	aced Vanessa Zussino	+0.1
23	8-15	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.1
24	9-15	PACIF	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.1
25	9-16	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
26	9-17	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
27	9-18	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Gracie Armato	+0.0
28	10-18	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
29	10-19	PACIF	ID ST	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.0
30	11-19	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
31	11-20	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
32	11-21	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Ella Gridley	+0.0
33	11-22	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
34	12-22	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
35	12-23	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
36	12-24	ID ST	ID ST×3	Bad set	Alessia Couchond		+0.0
37	12-25	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Nora Waddoups	+0.3
2	0-2	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Ava Brickner		+0.3
3	1-2	ID ST	PACIF×3	Serve err	ID ST server		+0.2
4	2-2	PACIF	PACIF×3	Attack err	Ava Brickner		+0.4
5	3-2	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Vanessa Zussino	set Alessia Couchond	+0.5
6	3-3	PACIF	ID ST	Attack err	Julia Porath	blk Jaydin Watts	+0.3
7	4-3	ID ST	PACIF×3	Serve err	ID ST server		+0.4
8	5-3	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.6
9	6-3	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Isabella Gutierrez	set Alessia Couchond	+0.6
10	6-4	PACIF	ID ST	Attack err	Julia Porath		+0.4
11	6-5	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Nora Waddoups	+0.5
12	7-5	ID ST	PACIF	Attack err	Isabella Beatty		+0.5
13	7-6	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+0.4
14	7-7	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino	blk Isabella Beatty, Abby McClain	+0.5
15	8-7	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.5
16	9-7	PACIF	PACIF	Ace	PACIF server	aced Team	+0.7
17	9-8	PACIF	ID ST	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.4
18	10-8	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.6
19	10-9	PACIF	ID ST×3	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.5
20	10-10	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Hanna Vorhies		+0.6
21	10-11	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+0.5
22	11-11	ID ST	PACIF×4	Serve err	ID ST server		+0.4
23	12-11	PACIF	PACIF×4	Attack err	Annelie Wilson	blk Julia Porath	+0.7
24	13-11	PACIF	PACIF×4	Attack err	Annelie Wilson	blk Adeline Sirbu, Julia Porath	+0.8
25	14-11	PACIF	PACIF×4	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.9
26	14-12	PACIF	ID ST×4	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+0.6
27	14-13	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Jaydin Watts	+0.8
28	14-14	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Nicole Zake		+0.7
29	14-15	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Aspen Boice	+0.7
30	15-15	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.6
31	15-16	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.5
32	16-16	ID ST	PACIF	Serve err	ID ST server		+0.6
33	17-16	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Ava Brickner	blk Vanessa Zussino, Ellie Prindl	+1.0
34	17-17	PACIF	ID ST	Attack err	Julia Porath	blk Jaydin Watts	+0.7
35	17-18	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.8
36	18-18	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Jaydin Watts	+0.7
37	18-19	PACIF	ID ST×5	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.7
38	18-20	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	ID ST server	aced Vanessa Zussino	+0.8
39	18-21	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Abby McClain	set Isabella Beatty	+0.6
40	18-22	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+0.4
41	18-23	ID ST	ID ST×5	Attack err	Nicole Zake		+0.2
42	19-23	ID ST	PACIF	Serve err	ID ST server		+0.1
43	19-24	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
44	19-25	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Nicole Zake	blk Abby McClain	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
2	1-1	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
3	1-2	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
4	2-2	ID ST	PACIF	Attack err	Gracie Vohs	blk Julia Porath, Adeline Sirbu	+0.1
5	2-3	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
6	3-3	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
7	4-3	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+0.2
8	4-4	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
9	4-5	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
10	4-6	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Aspen Boice	+0.2
11	5-6	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Gracie Armato	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
12	5-7	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
13	5-8	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
14	6-8	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
15	7-8	PACIF	PACIF	Ace	PACIF server	aced Annelie Wilson	+0.2
16	7-9	PACIF	ID ST	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.1
17	7-10	ID ST	ID ST	Ace	ID ST server	aced Ella Gridley	+0.1
18	8-10	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
19	8-11	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
20	8-12	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
21	9-12	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
22	10-12	PACIF	PACIF	Kill	Gracie Armato	set Adeline Sirbu	+0.2
23	10-13	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Annelie Wilson	+0.1
24	11-13	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
25	11-14	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
26	12-14	ID ST	PACIF	Attack err	Isabella Beatty		+0.1
27	12-15	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
28	12-16	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Ellie Prindl	blk Annelie Wilson	+0.1
29	12-17	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Gracie Armato	blk Isabella Beatty	+0.1
30	13-17	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Gracie Armato	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.1
31	14-17	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Abby McClain		+0.1
32	14-18	PACIF	ID ST	Attack err	Ellie Prindl	blk Annelie Wilson	+0.1
33	14-19	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Nicole Zake		+0.1
34	15-19	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
35	15-20	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Kadence Marsh	+0.1
36	16-20	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
37	16-21	PACIF	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
38	16-22	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
39	17-22	ID ST	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
40	17-23	PACIF	ID ST×3	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Nora Waddoups	+0.0
41	17-24	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Nicole Zake	+0.0
42	17-25	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Vanessa Zussino	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.