FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

3:0

HomeBIG-SKY

Wyoming def. Idaho St. 3–0

(25-19, 25-21, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WYO	25	25	25	3
ID ST	19	21	22	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ID ST above 50 · WYO below

Biggest swing: 6.6% to Wyoming — set 2, WYO 22-21 ID ST. Attack error by Jaydin Watts. ID ST win probability 32% → 26%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WYO 49.5%50.5% ID ST

Wyoming wins

3-0

12.3%

3-1

18.5%

3-2

18.7%

Idaho St. wins

3-0

12.7%

3-1

19.0%

3-2

18.8%

WYO break %: 43.3% vs this opp
ID ST break %: 43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Jaydin WattsAttack error+6.6%
Attack error by Jaydin Watts
Set 2 · WYO 22-21 ID ST · WYO 68% → 74%
02
Rylee HeinzKill+6.5%
Kill by Rylee Heinz
Set 2 · WYO 23-21 ID ST · WYO 74% → 81%
03
Annelie WilsonAttack error+5.7%
Annelie Wilson stuffed by Rylee Heinz & Emma Winter
Set 2 · WYO 21-21 ID ST · WYO 62% → 68%
04
Paige LauterwasserKill+5.0%
Kill by Paige Lauterwasser (set by Sara Quigley)
Set 3 · WYO 24-22 ID ST · WYO 92% → 97%
05
Gracie VohsAttack error+4.7%
Gracie Vohs stuffed by Rylee Heinz & Emma Winter
Set 2 · WYO 24-21 ID ST · WYO 81% → 85%
06
Emma WinterKill+4.3%
Kill by Emma Winter (set by Rya Fingerlin)
Set 2 · WYO 20-21 ID ST · WYO 58% → 62%
07
Sara QuigleyKill+4.0%
Kill by Sara Quigley (set by Paige Lauterwasser)
Set 3 · WYO 23-22 ID ST · WYO 88% → 92%
08
Rylee HeinzAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Rylee Heinz
Set 3 · WYO 21-21 ID ST · ID ST 8% → 12%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wyomingaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
57Rylee HeinzMB	3	11	2	22	.409	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	13
14Paige LauterwasserOH	3	9	5	29	.138	3	1	0	10	0	1	0	1	11
11Anna WilliamsMB	3	9	1	13	.615	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
9Emma WinterOH	3	7	3	16	.250	0	0	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Emerson MaciasOH	3	6	4	20	.100	0	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	6
17Sara QuigleyS	3	2	1	3	.333	22	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
16Reagan SharpOH	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
5Maddy StuckyS	3	0	0	2	.000	17	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
3Peyton CarruthL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	3	10	1	0	0	0	1
1Rya FingerlinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	19	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	19	124	.242	46	6	7	60	6	2	6	5	75

Idaho St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Mia WalshOH	3	7	1	21	.286	0	4	0	4	1	1	0	1	12
26Jaydin WattsMB	3	9	1	19	.421	2	0	1	4	0	1	2	2	11
16Isabella BeattyMB	3	3	2	12	.083	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
13Ava BricknerOH	3	3	1	21	.095	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	4
17Annelie WilsonOH	3	0	5	14	-.357	1	1	1	4	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Nora WaddoupsS	2	1	0	1	1.000	5	1	1	7	0	1	0	1	3
3Abby McClainOH	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
18Kadence MarshS	3	1	0	4	.250	18	0	1	11	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Aspen BoiceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	0
5Gracie VohsOH	2	1	1	12	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
2Claudia AntcliffL/DS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Jenna WerbelowDS	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	14	120	.133	29	6	5	47	6	3	10	8	62

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 WYO · ID ST 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 WYOID ST 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 7 WYOID ST 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 WYOID ST 5

Bars above the line = Idaho St. leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wyoming

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	63%12/19
2	50%6/12	40%4/10
3	55%6/11	54%7/13
4	67%6/9	50%6/12
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	45%5/11
All	60%38/63	50%37/74

Idaho St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	45%5/11
2	50%6/12	20%2/10
3	46%6/13	60%9/15
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	33%5/15	33%3/9
All	50%37/74	40%25/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	WYO-ID ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Emma Winter		+1.9
2	1-1	ID ST	WYO	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+1.9
3	1-2	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser		+1.9
4	2-2	ID ST	WYO×4	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.9
5	3-2	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Emma Winter	set Sara Quigley	+2.6
6	4-2	WYO	WYO×4	Attack err	Mia Walsh	blk Anna Williams, Emma Winter	+2.6
7	5-2	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+2.5
8	5-3	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Nora Waddoups	set Annelie Wilson	+1.8
9	5-4	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Jaydin Watts	+2.5
10	6-4	ID ST	WYO×4	Kill	Anna Williams	set Peyton Carruth	+2.0
11	7-4	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+2.6
12	8-4	WYO	WYO×4	Ace	WYO server	aced Mia Walsh	+2.4
13	9-4	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+2.1
14	9-5	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+1.4
15	9-6	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+2.2
16	10-6	ID ST	WYO	Serve err	ID ST server		+1.9
17	10-7	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Anna Williams		+1.7
18	11-7	ID ST	WYO×4	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Maddy Stucky	+1.9
19	12-7	WYO	WYO×4	Attack err	Abby McClain		+2.2
20	13-7	WYO	WYO×4	Attack err	Abby McClain		+1.8
21	14-7	WYO	WYO×4	Bad set	Kadence Marsh		+1.4
22	14-8	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Emerson Macias		+0.8
23	15-8	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+1.1
24	15-9	WYO	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+0.7
25	15-10	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Emerson Macias	+1.3
26	15-11	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.8
27	16-11	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.7
28	16-12	WYO	ID ST×3	Serve err	WYO server		+1.3
29	16-13	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Sara Quigley		+2.3
30	16-14	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	ID ST server	aced Rya Fingerlin	+2.9
31	17-14	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Emma Winter	set Sara Quigley	+2.6
32	17-15	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+2.2
33	18-15	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+2.8
34	18-16	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Reagan Sharp		+2.3
35	19-16	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+2.9
36	19-17	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+2.3
37	20-17	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+3.0
38	21-17	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+3.1
39	21-18	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Isabella Beatty	+1.5
40	22-18	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Maddy Stucky	+2.3
41	23-18	WYO	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.8
42	23-19	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser	blk Jaydin Watts, Annelie Wilson	+0.5
43	24-19	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.1
44	25-19	WYO	WYO	Ace	WYO server	aced Annelie Wilson	+0.4
Set 2
1	0-1	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Rylee Heinz	blk Jaydin Watts	+2.5
2	1-1	ID ST	WYO	Serve err	ID ST server		+1.9
3	1-2	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+1.9
4	2-2	ID ST	WYO×3	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.9
5	3-2	WYO	WYO×3	Kill	Emma Winter	set Sara Quigley	+2.6
6	4-2	WYO	WYO×3	Kill	Emma Winter	set Nora Waddoups	+2.6
7	4-3	WYO	ID ST×4	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.9
8	4-4	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Emma Winter	blk Ava Brickner, Isabella Beatty	+2.6
9	4-5	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Emma Winter		+2.7
10	4-6	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser	blk Mia Walsh	+2.7
11	5-6	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+2.0
12	5-7	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+2.1
13	6-7	ID ST	WYO	Attack err	Isabella Beatty		+2.0
14	7-7	WYO	WYO	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Paige Lauterwasser	+2.8
15	7-8	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+2.2
16	7-9	ID ST	ID ST	Ace	ID ST server	aced Emerson Macias	+2.9
17	8-9	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+2.1
18	8-10	WYO	ID ST×4	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+2.3
19	8-11	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Emerson Macias		+2.8
20	8-12	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Emerson Macias		+2.6
21	8-13	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+2.2
22	9-13	ID ST	WYO	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+1.4
23	9-14	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.7
24	9-15	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Emerson Macias	blk Ava Brickner, Jaydin Watts	+1.8
25	10-15	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Sara Quigley	+1.0
26	10-16	WYO	ID ST	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser	blk Nora Waddoups	+1.4
27	11-16	ID ST	WYO	Serve err	ID ST server		+1.0
28	11-17	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.3
29	12-17	ID ST	WYO×3	Kill	Anna Williams	set Sara Quigley	+0.9
30	13-17	WYO	WYO×3	Attack err	Ava Brickner	blk Paige Lauterwasser	+1.7
31	14-17	WYO	WYO×3	Ace	WYO server	aced Aspen Boice	+2.3
32	14-18	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+2.2
33	14-19	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Reagan Sharp	blk Abby McClain, Isabella Beatty	+2.2
34	15-19	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+1.2
35	16-19	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+2.2
36	16-20	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+2.3
37	17-20	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+1.6
38	18-20	WYO	WYO	Attack err	Isabella Beatty	blk Rylee Heinz	+3.1
39	18-21	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Kadence Marsh	+3.2
40	19-21	ID ST	WYO×7	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Maddy Stucky	+2.3
41	20-21	WYO	WYO×7	Kill	Emma Winter	set Rya Fingerlin	+4.3
42	21-21	WYO	WYO×7	Attack err	Annelie Wilson	blk Rylee Heinz, Emma Winter	+5.7
43	22-21	WYO	WYO×7	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+6.6
44	23-21	WYO	WYO×7	Kill	Rylee Heinz		+6.5
45	24-21	WYO	WYO×7	Attack err	Gracie Vohs	blk Rylee Heinz, Emma Winter	+4.7
46	25-21	WYO	WYO×7	Ace	WYO server	aced Aspen Boice	+1.9
Set 3
1	1-0	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.6
2	2-0	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Sara Quigley	set Paige Lauterwasser	+1.6
3	3-0	WYO	WYO×4	Ace	WYO server	aced Annelie Wilson	+1.6
4	4-0	WYO	WYO×4	Kill	Emma Winter	set Sara Quigley	+1.5
5	4-1	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Jaydin Watts	+1.0
6	5-1	ID ST	WYO	Serve err	ID ST server		+1.2
7	6-1	WYO	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+1.4
8	6-2	WYO	ID ST×5	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Isabella Beatty	+0.9
9	6-3	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	ID ST server	aced Team	+1.4
10	6-4	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	ID ST server	aced Peyton Carruth	+1.6
11	6-5	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Kadence Marsh	+1.7
12	6-6	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	ID ST server	aced Team	+1.8
13	7-6	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.4
14	8-6	WYO	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+1.9
15	8-7	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+1.4
16	9-7	ID ST	WYO	Serve err	ID ST server		+1.5
17	10-7	WYO	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+1.8
18	10-8	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Isabella Beatty	+1.3
19	11-8	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Maddy Stucky	+1.4
20	11-9	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Kadence Marsh	set Ava Brickner	+1.3
21	12-9	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Maddy Stucky	+1.5
22	12-10	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
23	13-10	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+1.5
24	14-10	WYO	WYO	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Sara Quigley	+1.8
25	14-11	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
26	15-11	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Rya Fingerlin	+1.4
27	15-12	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+1.2
28	16-12	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Rylee Heinz	set Sara Quigley	+1.4
29	17-12	WYO	WYO	Kill	Emma Winter	set Rya Fingerlin	+1.5
30	17-13	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Kadence Marsh	+0.9
31	17-14	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Paige Lauterwasser	blk Isabella Beatty, Kadence Marsh	+1.5
32	18-14	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Anna Williams	set Sara Quigley	+1.5
33	18-15	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
34	18-16	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Rya Fingerlin	+2.0
35	19-16	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Isabella Beatty	+1.9
36	20-16	WYO	WYO	Ace	WYO server	aced Team	+2.0
37	20-17	WYO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
38	21-17	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Reagan Sharp	set Maddy Stucky	+1.6
39	21-18	WYO	ID ST×4	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.0
40	21-19	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Reagan Sharp		+2.0
41	21-20	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+2.9
42	21-21	ID ST	ID ST×4	Attack err	Rylee Heinz		+3.8
43	22-21	ID ST	WYO	Kill	Emerson Macias	set Maddy Stucky	+3.3
44	22-22	WYO	ID ST	Serve err	WYO server		+3.2
45	23-22	ID ST	WYO×3	Kill	Sara Quigley	set Paige Lauterwasser	+4.0
46	24-22	WYO	WYO×3	Kill	Paige Lauterwasser	set Sara Quigley	+5.0
47	25-22	WYO	WYO×3	Attack err	Claudia Antcliff		+2.9

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.