Boise St. at Idaho St.

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

BOISE 52.3%47.7% ID ST

Boise St. wins

3-0

13.5%

3-1

19.7%

3-2

19.1%

Idaho St. wins

3-0

11.6%

3-1

17.8%

3-2

18.3%

BOISE break %: 43.8% vs this opp
ID ST break %: 43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.