Duke def. Coastal Carolina 3–1
Duke won at Coastal Carolina 3-1 (17-25, 25-20, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Ashby Zubchevich led Duke with 13 kills; Coastal Carolina's Viara Parapunova had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 17 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| CO CAR | 25 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 11.4% to Duke — set 4, DUKE 24-23 CO CAR. Bad set by Isabella Loeswick. CO CAR win probability 22% → 11%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Duke wins
Coastal Carolina wins
- DUKE break %
- 42.8% vs this opp
- CO CAR break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Isabella LoeswickBad set+11.4%
Bad set by Isabella Loeswick
Set 4 · DUKE 24-23 CO CAR · DUKE 78% → 89%
- 02DukeAce+10.7%
Duke ace
Set 4 · DUKE 25-23 CO CAR · DUKE 89% → 100%
- 03Ashby ZubchevichAttack error+8.1%
Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich
Set 4 · DUKE 21-22 CO CAR · CO CAR 19% → 27%
- 04DukeService error+6.8%
Duke service error
Set 4 · DUKE 22-23 CO CAR · CO CAR 22% → 28%
- 05Coastal CarolinaService error+6.4%
Coastal Carolina service error
Set 4 · DUKE 23-23 CO CAR · DUKE 72% → 78%
- 06Hatteras WelkerKill+5.6%
Kill by Hatteras Welker (set by Jonna Spohn)
Set 4 · DUKE 19-19 CO CAR · CO CAR 13% → 19%
- 07Anzley RinardAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Anzley Rinard
Set 4 · DUKE 22-22 CO CAR · DUKE 73% → 78%
- 08Hatteras WelkerAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Hatteras Welker
Set 4 · DUKE 19-17 CO CAR · DUKE 85% → 90%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 12 | 42 | .024 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | .105 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 31 | .258 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 22 | 140 | .171 | 45 | 11 | 14 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 92 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18 | 3 | 40 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 10 | 44 | .045 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 23 | .261 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 21 | 134 | .187 | 44 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
25-20
Set 3
25-19
Set 4
25-23
Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Duke
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39%7/18 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 50%7/14 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 57%8/14 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 57%39/68 | 42%28/67 |
Coastal Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44%7/16 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 46%6/13 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 46%6/13 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 50%7/14 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 0%0/7 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 38%3/8 |
| All | 58%39/67 | 43%29/68 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
179 rallies
| # | DUKE-CO CAR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CO CAR | DUKE | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +1.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DUKE | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +1.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Blocked | Ashby Zubchevich | blk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker | +2.6 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +2.6 |
| 8 | 2-6 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +2.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | CO CAR | DUKE×3 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.6 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Viara Parapunova | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DUKE | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Mailinh Godschall | +1.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kyndal Ganoe | +2.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | CO CAR | DUKE | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 18 | 8-10 | DUKE | CO CAR×7 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +2.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Kill | Amarah Johnson | set Kaylee Musick | +3.0 |
| 20 | 8-12 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Jonna Spohn | +2.8 |
| 21 | 8-13 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Blocked | Nataly Moravec | blk Anzley Rinard, Amarah Johnson | +2.5 |
| 22 | 8-14 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Blocked | Nataly Moravec | blk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson | +2.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Ashby Zubchevich | +1.6 |
| 24 | 8-16 | CO CAR | CO CAR×7 | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Jonna Spohn | +1.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | CO CAR | DUKE×3 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Ace | Duke | aced Jonna Spohn | +1.0 |
| 27 | 11-16 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Ace | Duke | aced Jonna Spohn | +1.4 |
| 28 | 11-17 | DUKE | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +1.4 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +0.9 |
| 30 | 12-18 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +1.4 |
| 31 | 13-18 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +0.9 |
| 32 | 14-18 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | Duke | aced Jonna Spohn | +1.7 |
| 33 | 14-19 | DUKE | CO CAR×4 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +1.8 |
| 34 | 14-20 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Blocked | Ashby Zubchevich | blk Hatteras Welker, Kaylee Musick | +1.7 |
| 35 | 14-21 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Blocked | Ashby Zubchevich | blk Kaylee Musick, Hatteras Welker | +1.0 |
| 36 | 14-22 | CO CAR | CO CAR×4 | Blocked | Nikki Quinn | blk Hatteras Welker | +0.5 |
| 37 | 15-22 | CO CAR | DUKE | Blocked | Hatteras Welker | blk Breonna Goss, Ashby Zubchevich | +0.1 |
| 38 | 16-22 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | Duke | aced Abby Bucey | +0.3 |
| 39 | 16-23 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Charlotte Glass | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +0.3 |
| 42 | 17-25 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +2.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | CO CAR | DUKE | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Breonna Goss | +1.9 |
| 5 | 4-1 | DUKE | DUKE | Ace | Duke | aced Anzley Rinard | +2.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +1.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Ace | Coastal Carolina | +2.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CO CAR | DUKE | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.7 |
| 14 | 8-6 | DUKE | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DUKE | CO CAR | Blocked | Avery Hamlin | blk Amarah Johnson, Kaylee Musick | +1.9 |
| 17 | 10-7 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +1.9 |
| 21 | 12-9 | CO CAR | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Avery Hamlin | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Ace | Duke | aced Anzley Rinard | +2.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +2.1 |
| 24 | 14-10 | DUKE | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +1.2 |
| 25 | 14-11 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | CO CAR | CO CAR×3 | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +2.9 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +2.3 |
| 28 | 15-13 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.1 |
| 29 | 16-13 | CO CAR | DUKE | Attack err | Hatteras Welker | +2.4 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Kaylee Musick | +2.1 |
| 31 | 17-14 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.9 |
| 33 | 18-15 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +1.6 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Ace | Coastal Carolina | +3.1 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.7 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DUKE | CO CAR | Blocked | Taylor Williams | blk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson | +2.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Mailinh Godschall | +2.8 |
| 38 | 20-18 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Kaylee Musick | +2.2 |
| 39 | 21-18 | CO CAR | DUKE | Bad set | Kaylee Musick | +3.0 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +2.2 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +3.1 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +2.1 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | CO CAR | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +3.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.4 |
| 45 | 25-20 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +0.7 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Kaylee Musick | +3.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +2.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +2.3 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DUKE | DUKE | Blocked | Natalie Hughes | blk Breonna Goss, Taylor Williams | +3.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +2.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | CO CAR | DUKE×4 | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +3.3 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Ace | Duke | aced Jonna Spohn | +3.0 |
| 10 | 7-3 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Ace | Duke | aced Anzley Rinard | +2.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Kaylee Musick | +1.7 |
| 12 | 8-4 | CO CAR | DUKE×4 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Taylor Williams | +1.9 |
| 13 | 9-4 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Avery Hamlin | +2.4 |
| 14 | 10-4 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Ace | Duke | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 11-4 | DUKE | DUKE×4 | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Avery Hamlin, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | +1.5 |
| 16 | 11-5 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.0 |
| 18 | 13-5 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.0 |
| 19 | 13-6 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.5 |
| 20 | 14-6 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 21 | 14-7 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.5 |
| 22 | 15-7 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Nikki Quinn | +0.7 |
| 23 | 16-7 | DUKE | DUKE | Kill | Taylor Williams | set Ashby Zubchevich | +0.6 |
| 24 | 16-8 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 17-8 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 17-9 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Julia Rivera | +0.2 |
| 27 | 17-10 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Ace | Coastal Carolina | +0.5 | |
| 28 | 18-10 | DUKE | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 29 | 18-11 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.3 |
| 30 | 18-12 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.7 |
| 31 | 19-12 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +0.4 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 34 | 20-14 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.4 |
| 35 | 21-14 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +0.6 |
| 36 | 21-15 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +0.3 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Nataly Moravec | set Charlotte Glass | +0.5 |
| 38 | 22-16 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +0.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.5 |
| 40 | 23-17 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Charlotte Glass | set Mailinh Godschall | +0.7 |
| 41 | 23-18 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.2 |
| 42 | 24-18 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +0.5 |
| 43 | 24-19 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.1 |
| 44 | 25-19 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Avery Hamlin | set Nikki Quinn | +0.2 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +2.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Blocked | Viara Parapunova | blk Nikki Quinn, Breonna Goss | +2.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Attack err | Natalie Hughes | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Natalie Hughes | set Isabella Loeswick | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Ace | Coastal Carolina | aced Ashby Zubchevich | +2.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | CO CAR | DUKE | Blocked | Natalie Hughes | blk Breonna Goss | +2.0 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DUKE | DUKE | Blocked | Hatteras Welker | blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin | +2.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Avery Hamlin | blk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick | +2.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | CO CAR | DUKE | Blocked | Hatteras Welker | blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DUKE | CO CAR | Blocked | Ashby Zubchevich | blk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +3.2 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +2.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Viara Parapunova | +3.1 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Isabella Loeswick | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CO CAR | DUKE×5 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Avery Hamlin | +2.3 |
| 17 | 10-7 | DUKE | DUKE×5 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Taylor Williams | +3.0 |
| 18 | 11-7 | DUKE | DUKE×5 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +2.6 |
| 19 | 12-7 | DUKE | DUKE×5 | Ace | Duke | aced Abby Bucey | +2.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | DUKE | DUKE×5 | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.7 |
| 21 | 13-8 | DUKE | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Blocked | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | blk Anzley Rinard | +1.8 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +1.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | DUKE | DUKE | Blocked | Anzley Rinard | blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | +1.7 |
| 25 | 15-10 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Anzley Rinard | set Isabella Loeswick | +0.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Zoe Gillen-Malveaux | set Nikki Quinn | +1.1 |
| 27 | 16-11 | DUKE | CO CAR×5 | Serve err | Duke | +0.8 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | CO CAR | CO CAR×5 | Kill | Natalie Hughes | +1.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | CO CAR | CO CAR×5 | Blocked | Taylor Williams | blk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | CO CAR | CO CAR×5 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +3.1 |
| 31 | 16-15 | CO CAR | CO CAR×5 | Kill | Viara Parapunova | set Jonna Spohn | +3.9 |
| 32 | 17-15 | CO CAR | DUKE | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +3.1 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | DUKE | CO CAR | Blocked | Avery Hamlin | blk Hatteras Welker, Viara Parapunova | +2.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Avery Hamlin | +4.9 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +3.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DUKE | DUKE | Attack err | Hatteras Welker | +4.9 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +3.1 |
| 38 | 19-19 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Kill | Hatteras Welker | set Jonna Spohn | +5.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Breonna Goss | set Nikki Quinn | +4.3 |
| 40 | 20-20 | DUKE | CO CAR | Kill | Isabele Filardo | set Kaylee Musick | +4.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | CO CAR | DUKE | Kill | Ashby Zubchevich | set Nikki Quinn | +4.7 |
| 42 | 21-21 | DUKE | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +4.7 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | CO CAR | CO CAR | Attack err | Ashby Zubchevich | +8.1 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | CO CAR | DUKE | Attack err | Anzley Rinard | +5.4 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | DUKE | CO CAR | Serve err | Duke | +6.8 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | CO CAR | DUKE×3 | Serve err | Coastal Carolina | +6.4 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Bad set | Isabella Loeswick | +11.4 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | DUKE | DUKE×3 | Ace | Duke | +10.7 | |
Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).