Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayACC

3:1

HomeSUN-BELT

Duke def. Coastal Carolina 3–1

(17-25, 25-20, 25-19, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3*	4	Sets
DUKE	17	25	25	25	3
CO CAR	25	20	19	23	1

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CO CAR above 50 · DUKE below

Biggest swing: 12.2% to Duke — set 4, DUKE 24-23 CO CAR. Bad set by Isabella Loeswick. CO CAR win probability 24% → 12%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

DUKE 59.8%40.2% CO CAR

Duke wins

3-0

17.1%

3-1

22.8%

3-2

19.9%

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0

8.8%

3-1

14.7%

3-2

16.7%

DUKE break %: 41.9% vs this opp
CO CAR break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Isabella LoeswickBad set+12.2%
Bad set by Isabella Loeswick
Set 4 · DUKE 24-23 CO CAR · DUKE 76% → 88%
02
DUKE serverAce+11.6%
Duke ace on Team
Set 4 · DUKE 25-23 CO CAR · DUKE 88% → 100%
03
Ashby ZubchevichAttack error+8.5%
Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich
Set 4 · DUKE 21-22 CO CAR · CO CAR 20% → 29%
04
DUKE serverService error+7.0%
Duke service error
Set 4 · DUKE 22-23 CO CAR · CO CAR 23% → 30%
05
CO CAR serverService error+6.6%
Coastal Carolina service error
Set 4 · DUKE 23-23 CO CAR · DUKE 70% → 76%
06
Hatteras WelkerKill+5.9%
Kill by Hatteras Welker (set by Jonna Spohn)
Set 4 · DUKE 19-19 CO CAR · CO CAR 15% → 20%
07
Anzley RinardAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Anzley Rinard
Set 4 · DUKE 22-22 CO CAR · DUKE 71% → 77%
08
Hatteras WelkerAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Hatteras Welker
Set 4 · DUKE 19-17 CO CAR · DUKE 83% → 89%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Dukeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	4	13	12	42	.024	1	1	4	11	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
5Breonna GossMB	4	6	0	12	.500	0	1	2	1	0	1	6	4	11
12Avery HamlinOH	4	6	4	19	.105	2	2	0	5	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	4	8	1	18	.389	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	9
23Nikki QuinnS	4	0	1	3	-.333	34	1	1	9	0	0	2	1	2
8Nataly MoravecOH	3	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
9Taylor WilliamsOH	4	10	2	31	.258	3	5	1	12	0	0	2	1	16
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	5	15	0	0	0	0	1
4Kyndal GanoeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
22Charlotte GlassS	2	1	0	2	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
2Grace ThrowerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	22	140	.171	45	11	14	60	5	1	16	9	92

Coastal Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Viara ParapunovaOH	4	18	3	40	.375	0	0	1	13	0	0	1	0.5	18.5
19Anzley RinardOH	4	12	10	44	.045	0	0	2	4	3	1	1	1.5	13.5
2Natalie HughesOPP	4	8	2	23	.261	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	10
1Hatteras WelkerMB	4	5	5	18	.000	0	0	2	2	0	1	7	4.5	9.5
8Kaylee MusickS	4	0	0	2	.000	24	2	1	7	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
27Amarah JohnsonMB	4	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	3
4Jonna SpohnL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	2	2	20	4	0	0	0	2
45Abby BuceyL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	9	2	0	0	0	1
17Isabella LoeswickS	2	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	1
13Julia RiveraOH	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Isabele FilardoOH	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		46	21	134	.187	44	5	10	63	11	2	22	13	87

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 DUKE · CO CAR 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 DUKECO CAR 7

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 DUKECO CAR 3

Set 3*

25-19

Longest run 4 DUKECO CAR 2

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 DUKECO CAR 5

Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = Duke leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	54%7/13
2	64%7/11	36%4/11
3	50%7/14	30%3/10
4	70%7/10	36%4/11
5	75%6/8	57%8/14
6	71%5/7	25%2/8
All	57%39/68	42%28/67

Coastal Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	54%7/13
2	78%7/9	46%6/13
3	54%7/13	46%6/13
4	78%7/9	50%7/14
5	46%6/13	0%0/7
6	71%5/7	38%3/8
All	58%39/67	43%29/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

179 rallies

Rally log

#	DUKE-CO CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+1.7
2	1-1	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Kaylee Musick	+1.7
3	1-2	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Kaylee Musick	+2.6
4	2-2	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
5	2-3	DUKE	CO CAR×4	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+1.9
6	2-4	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker	+2.7
7	2-5	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+2.7
8	2-6	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+2.5
9	3-6	CO CAR	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
10	4-6	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Viara Parapunova		+2.5
11	5-6	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
12	5-7	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+2.0
13	6-7	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.9
14	6-8	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kyndal Ganoe	+2.1
15	7-8	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+1.9
16	7-9	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Kaylee Musick	+2.1
17	8-9	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
18	8-10	DUKE	CO CAR×7	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+2.2
19	8-11	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Kill	Amarah Johnson	set Kaylee Musick	+3.1
20	8-12	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Jonna Spohn	+2.8
21	8-13	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Attack err	Nataly Moravec	blk Anzley Rinard, Amarah Johnson	+2.5
22	8-14	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Attack err	Nataly Moravec	blk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson	+2.0
23	8-15	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Ace	CO CAR server	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+1.5
24	8-16	CO CAR	CO CAR×7	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Jonna Spohn	+1.1
25	9-16	CO CAR	DUKE×3	Serve err	CO CAR server		+0.4
26	10-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Jonna Spohn	+0.9
27	11-16	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Jonna Spohn	+1.3
28	11-17	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.3
29	12-17	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
30	12-18	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+1.3
31	13-18	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
32	14-18	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	DUKE server	aced Jonna Spohn	+1.7
33	14-19	DUKE	CO CAR×4	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+1.7
34	14-20	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Hatteras Welker, Kaylee Musick	+1.6
35	14-21	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Kaylee Musick, Hatteras Welker	+0.9
36	14-22	CO CAR	CO CAR×4	Attack err	Nikki Quinn	blk Hatteras Welker	+0.4
37	15-22	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Hatteras Welker	blk Breonna Goss, Ashby Zubchevich	+0.1
38	16-22	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	DUKE server	aced Abby Bucey	+0.3
39	16-23	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.4
40	17-23	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Charlotte Glass	+0.1
41	17-24	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Kaylee Musick	+0.2
42	17-25	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
2	2-0	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+2.7
3	2-1	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.8
4	3-1	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard	blk Breonna Goss	+1.9
5	4-1	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	DUKE server	aced Anzley Rinard	+2.6
6	4-2	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Kaylee Musick	+1.7
7	4-3	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	CO CAR server	aced Team	+2.7
8	5-3	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
9	5-4	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+1.9
10	6-4	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
11	6-5	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Kaylee Musick	+2.0
12	7-5	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+2.1
13	8-5	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.8
14	8-6	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.8
15	9-6	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
16	9-7	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Avery Hamlin	blk Amarah Johnson, Kaylee Musick	+1.8
17	10-7	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
18	10-8	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.9
19	11-8	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+2.1
20	11-9	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+1.9
21	12-9	CO CAR	DUKE×3	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+2.1
22	13-9	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Anzley Rinard	+2.7
23	14-9	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.2
24	14-10	DUKE	CO CAR×3	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+1.2
25	14-11	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+2.3
26	14-12	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+2.9
27	15-12	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
28	15-13	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Kaylee Musick	+2.1
29	16-13	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Hatteras Welker		+2.4
30	16-14	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Kaylee Musick	+2.1
31	17-14	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+2.5
32	18-14	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.9
33	18-15	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.5
34	18-16	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	CO CAR server	aced Team	+3.1
35	19-16	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
36	19-17	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Taylor Williams	blk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson	+2.2
37	20-17	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.8
38	20-18	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Kaylee Musick	+2.2
39	21-18	CO CAR	DUKE	Bad set	Kaylee Musick		+2.9
40	21-19	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+2.1
41	22-19	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+3.1
42	22-20	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+2.0
43	23-20	CO CAR	DUKE×3	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+3.2
44	24-20	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.4
45	25-20	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+0.7
Set 3
1	0-1	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Kaylee Musick	+3.4
2	1-1	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+2.3
3	1-2	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+2.4
4	2-2	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.4
5	3-2	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Natalie Hughes	blk Breonna Goss, Taylor Williams	+3.5
6	3-3	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Kaylee Musick	+2.4
7	4-3	CO CAR	DUKE×4	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.4
8	5-3	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+3.4
9	6-3	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	DUKE server	aced Jonna Spohn	+3.2
10	7-3	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	DUKE server	aced Anzley Rinard	+2.9
11	7-4	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Kaylee Musick	+1.8
12	8-4	CO CAR	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Taylor Williams	+2.0
13	9-4	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Avery Hamlin	+2.5
14	10-4	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+2.1
15	11-4	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Anzley Rinard	blk Avery Hamlin, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+1.6
16	11-5	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.9
17	12-5	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
18	13-5	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
19	13-6	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.6
20	14-6	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+0.8
21	14-7	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.5
22	15-7	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
23	16-7	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Taylor Williams	set Ashby Zubchevich	+0.7
24	16-8	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.3
25	17-8	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+0.4
26	17-9	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Julia Rivera	+0.2
27	17-10	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	CO CAR server	aced Team	+0.5
28	18-10	CO CAR	DUKE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
29	18-11	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.3
30	18-12	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.8
31	19-12	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+0.8
32	19-13	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.5
33	20-13	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+0.7
34	20-14	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.4
35	21-14	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
36	21-15	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.3
37	22-15	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Charlotte Glass	+0.5
38	22-16	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+0.2
39	22-17	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.5
40	23-17	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Charlotte Glass	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.7
41	23-18	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.2
42	24-18	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
43	24-19	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.1
44	25-19	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
Set 4
1	1-0	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+3.1
2	2-0	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Viara Parapunova	blk Nikki Quinn, Breonna Goss	+3.0
3	3-0	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Natalie Hughes		+2.8
4	3-1	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.8
5	3-2	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	CO CAR server	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+2.9
6	4-2	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Natalie Hughes	blk Breonna Goss	+2.1
7	5-2	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Hatteras Welker	blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin	+2.9
8	5-3	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.9
9	5-4	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Avery Hamlin	blk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick	+3.1
10	6-4	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Hatteras Welker	blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin	+2.2
11	6-5	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick	+2.2
12	6-6	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+3.4
13	7-6	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+2.4
14	8-6	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Viara Parapunova		+3.4
15	8-7	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.3
16	9-7	CO CAR	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Avery Hamlin	+2.4
17	10-7	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Taylor Williams	+3.3
18	11-7	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.9
19	12-7	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	DUKE server	aced Abby Bucey	+2.4
20	13-7	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.9
21	13-8	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.0
22	13-9	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Anzley Rinard	+1.9
23	14-9	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
24	15-9	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard	blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+1.9
25	15-10	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.9
26	16-10	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
27	16-11	DUKE	CO CAR×5	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.9
28	16-12	CO CAR	CO CAR×5	Kill	Natalie Hughes		+1.8
29	16-13	CO CAR	CO CAR×5	Attack err	Taylor Williams	blk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes	+2.5
30	16-14	CO CAR	CO CAR×5	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+3.3
31	16-15	CO CAR	CO CAR×5	Kill	Viara Parapunova	set Jonna Spohn	+4.2
32	17-15	CO CAR	DUKE	Serve err	CO CAR server		+3.3
33	17-16	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Avery Hamlin	blk Hatteras Welker, Viara Parapunova	+3.0
34	17-17	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+5.2
35	18-17	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+3.8
36	19-17	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Hatteras Welker		+5.4
37	19-18	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Isabele Filardo	set Kaylee Musick	+3.3
38	19-19	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Jonna Spohn	+5.9
39	20-19	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+4.5
40	20-20	DUKE	CO CAR	Kill	Isabele Filardo	set Kaylee Musick	+4.5
41	21-20	CO CAR	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+5.0
42	21-21	DUKE	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+4.9
43	21-22	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+8.5
44	22-22	CO CAR	DUKE	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+5.6
45	22-23	DUKE	CO CAR	Serve err	DUKE server		+7.0
46	23-23	CO CAR	DUKE×3	Serve err	CO CAR server		+6.6
47	24-23	DUKE	DUKE×3	Bad set	Isabella Loeswick		+12.2
48	25-23	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+11.6

Score shown after each rally, Duke first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.