Charleston So. vs Duke Volleyball: Duke Wins 3-0 (Sep 8)

FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

0:3

Duke beat visiting Charleston So. 3-0 (25-21, 25-23, 25-19) on Tue, Sep 8, 2026. Duke's Ashby Zubchevich led with 21 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHARSO	21	23	19	0
DUKE	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Duke above 50 · Charleston So. below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Charleston So. — set 1, CHARSO 17-17 DUKE. Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich. DUKE win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHARSO 5.6%94.4% DUKE

Charleston So. wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.6%

3-2

3.4%

Duke wins

3-0

53.6%

3-1

30.2%

3-2

10.5%

CHARSO break %: 34.8% vs this opp
DUKE break %: 46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ashby ZubchevichAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich
Set 1 · CHARSO 17-17 DUKE · CHARSO 6% → 7%
02
Zoe Gillen-MalveauxKill+1.4%
Kill by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · CHARSO 18-20 DUKE · DUKE 94% → 95%
03
Nataly MoravecAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Nataly Moravec
Set 1 · CHARSO 6-2 DUKE · CHARSO 9% → 10%
04
Nataly MoravecAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Nataly Moravec
Set 1 · CHARSO 9-7 DUKE · CHARSO 7% → 8%
05
Zoe Gillen-MalveauxKill+1.1%
Kill by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 2 · CHARSO 23-25 DUKE · DUKE 98% → 99%
06
Brynn Minter&Emma BednarekBlock+1.1%
Avery Hamlin stuffed by Brynn Minter & Emma Bednarek
Set 1 · CHARSO 5-2 DUKE · CHARSO 7% → 9%
07
Emma BednarekKill+1.1%
Kill by Emma Bednarek (set by Cara McLean)
Set 1 · CHARSO 18-18 DUKE · CHARSO 6% → 7%
08
Ashby ZubchevichKill+1.1%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Nikki Quinn)
Set 1 · CHARSO 10-10 DUKE · DUKE 92% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Charleston So.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Brynn MinterOH	3	10	4	28	.214	1	1	1	3	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
10Emma BednarekMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	7
14Faith BurchOH	3	6	2	22	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
17Adeline WielerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	10	0	0	0	0	2
5Tristin SuttonS	3	1	0	3	.333	13	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
11Dillia LowryMB	2	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Jenna KitchensOPP	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Presley MorrisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	13	0	0	0	0	1
13Cara McLeanS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
15Kylee RobertsMB	1	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1
20Surima AkatOH	1	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Emersyn ReiterOH	1	0	2	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Grace SmithMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	15	113	.159	32	4	4	39	4	1	8	5	63

Dukehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	3	21	5	36	.444	0	1	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	22.5
8Nataly MoravecOH	3	15	4	38	.289	1	1	1	13	2	0	3	1.5	17.5
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	3	8	2	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
5Breonna GossMB	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
12Avery HamlinOH	3	4	5	12	-.083	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	4
23Nikki QuinnS	3	0	0	3	.000	39	0	3	6	0	0	2	1	1
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
22Charlotte GlassS	2	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Grace ThrowerOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Carlyle JohnsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	16	110	.318	49	4	8	53	4	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CHARSO · DUKE 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 CHARSODUKE 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 6 CHARSODUKE 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 CHARSODUKE 4

Bars above the line = Duke leads, below = Charleston So. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Charleston So.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	0%0/4
2	50%4/8	29%2/7
3	80%4/5	64%7/11
4	50%4/8	20%1/5
5	57%4/7	43%3/7
6	33%4/12	33%2/6
All	50%25/50	38%15/40

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	50%5/10
2	36%4/11	50%4/8
3	80%4/5	20%1/5
4	57%4/7	50%4/8
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	100%4/4	67%8/12
All	63%25/40	50%25/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#	CHARSO-DUKE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
2	1-1	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.5
3	1-2	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
4	2-2	DUKE	CHARSO×5	Kill	Faith Burch	set Tristin Sutton	+0.5
5	3-2	CHARSO	CHARSO×5	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Cara McLean	+0.9
6	4-2	CHARSO	CHARSO×5	Blocked	Nataly Moravec	blk Emma Bednarek, Jenna Kitchens	+1.0
7	5-2	CHARSO	CHARSO×5	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Brynn Minter, Emma Bednarek	+1.1
8	6-2	CHARSO	CHARSO×5	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+1.2
9	6-3	CHARSO	DUKE	Bad set	Cara McLean		+0.7
10	7-3	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Emma Bednarek	set Cara McLean	+0.9
11	7-4	CHARSO	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.7
12	7-5	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
13	7-6	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Avery Hamlin	+1.0
14	7-7	DUKE	DUKE×4	Blocked	Emersyn Reiter	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nikki Quinn	+1.0
15	8-7	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.7
16	9-7	CHARSO	CHARSO	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+1.2
17	9-8	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
18	10-8	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Dillia Lowry	set Cara McLean	+0.9
19	10-9	CHARSO	DUKE×4	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
20	10-10	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
21	10-11	DUKE	DUKE×4	Blocked	Emersyn Reiter	blk Nikki Quinn, Breonna Goss	+1.0
22	10-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	Duke	aced Brynn Minter	+0.8
23	11-12	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Presley Morris	+0.6
24	11-13	CHARSO	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
25	11-14	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
26	11-15	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Brynn Minter		+0.5
27	11-16	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Dillia Lowry		+0.4
28	12-16	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
29	13-16	CHARSO	CHARSO	Blocked	Avery Hamlin	blk Emma Bednarek, Faith Burch	+0.5
30	13-17	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
31	14-17	DUKE	CHARSO×4	Bad set	Nikki Quinn		+0.3
32	15-17	CHARSO	CHARSO×4	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+0.7
33	16-17	CHARSO	CHARSO×4	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+1.0
34	17-17	CHARSO	CHARSO×4	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.4
35	17-18	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
36	18-18	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Emma Bednarek	set Cara McLean	+1.1
37	18-19	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
38	18-20	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
39	19-20	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Emma Bednarek	set Cara McLean	+0.9
40	19-21	CHARSO	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
41	19-22	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
42	19-23	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Dillia Lowry		+0.6
43	20-23	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Dillia Lowry	set Cara McLean	+0.2
44	20-24	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
45	21-24	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Faith Burch	set Tristin Sutton	+0.1
46	21-25	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	CHARSO	DUKE	Serve err	Charleston So.		+0.3
2	0-2	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke		+0.4
3	1-2	DUKE	CHARSO	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+0.3
4	2-2	CHARSO	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.5
5	2-3	CHARSO	DUKE	Blocked	Emma Bednarek	blk Breonna Goss	+0.3
6	2-4	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
7	3-4	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Faith Burch	set Brynn Minter	+0.3
8	3-5	CHARSO	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
9	3-6	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Brynn Minter		+0.3
10	3-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Blocked	Emma Bednarek	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nataly Moravec	+0.3
11	4-7	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.2
12	4-8	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
13	4-9	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	Duke	aced Surima Akat	+0.2
14	5-9	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Presley Morris	+0.1
15	5-10	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
16	5-11	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Brynn Minter		+0.2
17	6-11	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.1
18	6-12	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
19	7-12	DUKE	CHARSO×6	Serve err	Duke		+0.1
20	8-12	CHARSO	CHARSO×6	Ace	Charleston So.	aced Nataly Moravec	+0.2
21	9-12	CHARSO	CHARSO×6	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.3
22	10-12	CHARSO	CHARSO×6	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.4
23	11-12	CHARSO	CHARSO×6	Ace	Charleston So.	aced Nataly Moravec	+0.5
24	12-12	CHARSO	CHARSO×6	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.7
25	12-13	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
26	13-13	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.5
27	13-14	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
28	14-14	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Faith Burch	set Tristin Sutton	+0.6
29	14-15	CHARSO	DUKE	Blocked	Jenna Kitchens	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nataly Moravec	+0.5
30	14-16	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.7
31	15-16	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Cara McLean	+0.5
32	16-16	CHARSO	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.9
33	16-17	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
34	16-18	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Jenna Kitchens		+0.8
35	17-18	DUKE	CHARSO	Blocked	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Surima Akat, Emma Bednarek	+0.5
36	17-19	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
37	18-19	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.5
38	18-20	CHARSO	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
39	18-21	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Charlotte Glass	set Tristin Sutton	+0.7
40	18-22	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Charlotte Glass	+0.4
41	19-22	DUKE	CHARSO	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.2
42	19-23		DUKE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.2
43	20-23	DUKE	CHARSO×3	Kill	Faith Burch	set Tristin Sutton	+0.1
44	21-23	CHARSO	CHARSO×3	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.4
45	22-23	CHARSO	CHARSO×3	Ace	Charleston So.		+0.9
46	22-24	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
47	23-24	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.5
48	23-25	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
Set 3
1	1-0	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.2
2	2-0	CHARSO	CHARSO	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+0.3
3	2-1	CHARSO	DUKE×3	Serve err	Charleston So.		+0.2
4	2-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Faith Burch		+0.2
5	2-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.2
6	3-3	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Faith Burch	set Tristin Sutton	+0.2
7	3-4	CHARSO	DUKE	Attack err	Brynn Minter		+0.1
8	3-5	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
9	4-5	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Emma Bednarek	set Tristin Sutton	+0.1
10	4-6	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
11	5-6	DUKE	CHARSO×3	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Cara McLean	+0.1
12	6-6	CHARSO	CHARSO×3	Ace	Charleston So.		+0.2
13	7-6	CHARSO	CHARSO×3	Serve err	Charleston So.		+0.3
14	7-7	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
15	7-8	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
16	8-8	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.2
17	9-8	CHARSO	CHARSO	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+0.3
18	9-9	CHARSO	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nataly Moravec	+0.2
19	9-10	DUKE	DUKE×4	Blocked	Kylee Roberts	blk Ashby Zubchevich, Breonna Goss	+0.3
20	9-11	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
21	9-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
22	10-12	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	+0.1
23	10-13	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
24	10-14	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Charlotte Glass	+0.1
25	11-14	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Brynn Minter	set Tristin Sutton	+0.1
26	11-15	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
27	11-16	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Grace Smith	+0.1
28	12-16	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.1
29	12-17	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.1
30	13-17	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Tristin Sutton	set Presley Morris	+0.1
31	14-17	CHARSO	CHARSO	Kill	Emma Bednarek		+0.1
32	14-18	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
33	15-18	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.1
34	15-19	CHARSO	DUKE	Serve err	Charleston So.		+0.1
35	16-19	DUKE	CHARSO	Serve err	Duke		+0.1
36	17-19	CHARSO	CHARSO	Blocked	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Kylee Roberts	+0.2
37	17-20	CHARSO	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
38	17-21	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Alyce Donoghue	+0.2
39	17-22	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	Duke	aced Jenna Kitchens	+0.1
40	18-22	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Cara McLean	·
41	18-23	CHARSO	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
42	19-23	DUKE	CHARSO	Kill	Jenna Kitchens	set Tristin Sutton	·
43	19-24	CHARSO	DUKE	Serve err	Charleston So.		·
44	19-25	DUKE	DUKE	Blocked	Faith Burch	blk Nataly Moravec, Breonna Goss	·

Score shown after each rally, Charleston So. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Duke def. Charleston So. 3–0