Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

1:3

HomeACC

Duke def. Marshall 3–1

(25-18, 25-18, 26-28, 28-26)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MARSH	18	18	28	26	1
DUKE	25	25	26	28	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DUKE above 50 · MARSH below

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Marshall — set 4, MARSH 25-24 DUKE. Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich. DUKE win probability 87% → 77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MARSH 19.0%81.0% DUKE

Marshall wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

9.7%

Duke wins

3-0

32.6%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

18.0%

MARSH break %: 35.5% vs this opp
DUKE break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ashby ZubchevichAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Ashby Zubchevich
Set 4 · MARSH 25-24 DUKE · MARSH 13% → 23%
02
Emma BarnettAttack error+9.0%
Emma Barnett stuffed by Zoe Gillen-Malveaux & Charlotte Glass
Set 4 · MARSH 23-24 DUKE · DUKE 83% → 92%
03
Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+9.0%
Beatrice Ciccarelli stuffed by Breonna Goss
Set 4 · MARSH 25-26 DUKE · DUKE 83% → 92%
04
Ashby ZubchevichKill+7.6%
Kill by Ashby Zubchevich (set by Mailinh Godschall)
Set 4 · MARSH 26-28 DUKE · DUKE 92% → 100%
05
MARSH serverService error+6.5%
Marshall service error
Set 4 · MARSH 25-25 DUKE · DUKE 77% → 83%
06
Logan HendersonAttack error+5.8%
Logan Henderson stuffed by Nataly Moravec & Zoe Gillen-Malveaux
Set 4 · MARSH 21-21 DUKE · DUKE 79% → 84%
07
Emma BarnettKill+5.5%
Kill by Emma Barnett (set by Isabella Nieves)
Set 4 · MARSH 24-24 DUKE · MARSH 8% → 13%
08
Emma BarnettAttack error+5.5%
Attack error by Emma Barnett
Set 4 · MARSH 26-26 DUKE · MARSH 8% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Marshallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Emma BarnettOH	4	18	5	50	.260	2	0	0	19	1	0	0	0	18
20Maddie SmithOH	4	13	6	36	.194	1	1	1	13	2	0	0	0	14
15Logan HendersonOPP	4	10	5	29	.172	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	12
5Beatrice CiccarelliMB	4	6	2	12	.333	0	1	2	2	0	0	4	2	9
16Marae ReillyMB	4	7	1	17	.353	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
23Kahea CarvalhoS	4	0	0	1	.000	27	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
4Emma SayreL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	23	1	0	0	0	0
14Isabella Nieves	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
10Lilly HowellOH	2	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
17Lia BeverlyMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Kylie WongL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Carys KerrOH	1	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Maya HuntS	1	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		55	22	161	.205	54	4	6	67	7	1	10	6	90

Dukehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nataly MoravecOH	4	21	4	52	.327	0	1	1	18	2	0	5	2.5	24.5
11Ashby ZubchevichOH	4	19	7	45	.267	0	3	4	11	2	0	2	1	23
5Breonna GossMB	4	10	0	22	.455	0	0	1	4	0	1	4	3	13
12Avery HamlinOH	4	8	1	20	.350	1	1	1	3	0	0	4	2	11
0Zoe Gillen-MalveauxMB	4	6	3	18	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	9	4.5	10.5
23Nikki QuinnS	4	2	0	2	1.000	55	0	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
10Mailinh GodschallL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	2	2	16	0	0	0	0	2
19Alyce DonoghueL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
22Charlotte GlassS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
14Carlyle JohnsonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Grace ThrowerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Olivia WayneMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		66	15	160	.319	64	7	13	69	4	1	26	14	104

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 MARSH · DUKE 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 MARSHDUKE 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 MARSHDUKE 5

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 MARSHDUKE 4

Set 4

26-28

Longest run 3 MARSHDUKE 4

Bars above the line = Duke leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Marshall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	29%4/14
2	46%11/24	31%5/16
3	92%11/12	21%3/14
4	58%11/19	39%7/18
5	71%10/14	31%5/16
6	50%9/18	23%3/13
All	61%63/103	30%27/91

Duke

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%12/14	23%3/13
2	69%11/16	45%9/20
3	61%11/18	42%8/19
4	79%11/14	27%4/15
5	67%10/15	41%7/17
6	64%9/14	47%9/19
All	70%64/91	39%40/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

194 rallies

Rally log

#	MARSH-DUKE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
2	1-1	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
3	2-1	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
4	2-2	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+1.2
5	3-2	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.3
6	3-3	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Maddie Smith		+1.2
7	4-3	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
8	5-3	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	MARSH server	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+2.2
9	5-4	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+1.3
10	5-5	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Maddie Smith		+2.1
11	6-5	DUKE	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+1.4
12	6-6	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
13	7-6	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.5
14	8-6	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+2.4
15	8-7	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
16	9-7	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Carys Kerr	set Maya Hunt	+1.6
17	9-8	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
18	10-8	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.7
19	10-9	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
20	11-9	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
21	11-10	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
22	12-10	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
23	12-11	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
24	13-11	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Maya Hunt	+1.9
25	13-12	MARSH	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.6
26	13-13	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
27	13-14	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+2.7
28	13-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Carys Kerr		+2.4
29	13-16	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	DUKE server	aced Maddie Smith	+2.0
30	14-16	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.1
31	14-17	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+1.3
32	14-18	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.5
33	15-18	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Maya Hunt	+0.7
34	15-19	MARSH	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
35	15-20	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
36	15-21	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Maddie Smith	+0.5
37	16-21	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+0.2
38	16-22	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
39	17-22	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.1
40	17-23	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Maddie Smith	blk Avery Hamlin, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.2
41	18-23	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.1
42	18-24	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
43	18-25	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.8
2	0-2	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.2
3	1-2	DUKE	MARSH	Attack err	Breonna Goss		+0.8
4	2-2	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson		+1.3
5	2-3	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
6	3-3	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.9
7	4-3	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Nataly Moravec	blk Logan Henderson	+1.6
8	4-4	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.9
9	5-4	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.0
10	5-5	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
11	5-6	DUKE	DUKE	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+1.5
12	6-6	DUKE	MARSH×3	Attack err	Nataly Moravec	blk Lilly Howell, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.0
13	7-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+1.7
14	8-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+1.8
15	8-7	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
16	9-7	DUKE	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Lilly Howell	+1.2
17	9-8	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
18	9-9	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+1.8
19	10-9	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+1.2
20	10-10	MARSH	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.1
21	10-11	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
22	10-12	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Logan Henderson	blk Breonna Goss, Ashby Zubchevich	+1.6
23	11-12	DUKE	MARSH	Attack err	Avery Hamlin		+1.0
24	11-13	MARSH	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.0
25	11-14	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Logan Henderson	blk Breonna Goss, Nataly Moravec	+1.4
26	11-15	DUKE	DUKE×5	Ace	DUKE server	aced Emma Barnett	+1.1
27	11-16	DUKE	DUKE×5	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.8
28	11-17	DUKE	DUKE×5	Attack err	Marae Reilly	blk Avery Hamlin	+0.5
29	12-17	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
30	13-17	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
31	13-18	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
32	14-18	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.3
33	14-19	MARSH	DUKE×4	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
34	14-20	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Lilly Howell	blk Nataly Moravec, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.4
35	14-21	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Nikki Quinn	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.2
36	14-22	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Maddie Smith	blk Nikki Quinn, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.1
37	15-22	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Isabella Nieves	+0.0
38	16-22	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.1
39	16-23	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.1
40	17-23	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.0
41	17-24	MARSH	DUKE	Bad set	Isabella Nieves		+0.0
42	18-24	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.0
43	18-25	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Nikki Quinn	+0.5
2	1-1	MARSH	DUKE×3	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
3	1-2	DUKE	DUKE×3	Ace	DUKE server	aced Team	+0.7
4	1-3	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+0.6
5	2-3	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+0.4
6	2-4	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
7	3-4	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.4
8	4-4	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+0.7
9	4-5	MARSH	DUKE×3	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
10	4-6	DUKE	DUKE×3	Attack err	Logan Henderson	blk Nataly Moravec, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.6
11	4-7	DUKE	DUKE×3	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
12	5-7	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.3
13	5-8	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+0.4
14	6-8	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+0.3
15	7-8	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Lilly Howell		+0.7
16	7-9	MARSH	DUKE×4	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
17	7-10	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
18	7-11	DUKE	DUKE×4	Ace	DUKE server	aced Emma Sayre	+0.5
19	7-12	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
20	8-12	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.2
21	8-13	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
22	9-13	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
23	10-13	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Emma Barnett	+0.4
24	10-14	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.3
25	10-15	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.4
26	11-15	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
27	11-16	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
28	12-16	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.2
29	13-16	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Nataly Moravec		+0.4
30	13-17	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
31	13-18	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nikki Quinn	set Mailinh Godschall	+0.4
32	14-18	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.2
33	14-19	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.2
34	15-19	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
35	15-20	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Lilly Howell	blk Ashby Zubchevich, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+0.2
36	16-20	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.1
37	17-20	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+0.4
38	17-21	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+0.4
39	18-21	DUKE	MARSH	Serve err	DUKE server		+0.2
40	18-22	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+0.3
41	19-22	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.2
42	20-22	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
43	20-23	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+0.6
44	21-23	DUKE	MARSH×4	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.3
45	22-23	MARSH	MARSH×4	Ace	MARSH server	aced Ashby Zubchevich	+1.1
46	23-23	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	blk Marae Reilly, Logan Henderson	+2.0
47	24-23	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.0
48	24-24	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Logan Henderson	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Nataly Moravec	+2.0
49	25-24	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.0
50	25-25	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
51	26-25	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+2.0
52	26-26	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+2.0
53	27-26	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+2.0
54	28-26	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Lia Beverly	+3.6
Set 4
1	1-0	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.4
2	1-1	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Mailinh Godschall	+1.4
3	2-1	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
4	3-1	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.6
5	3-2	MARSH	DUKE×4	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.5
6	3-3	DUKE	DUKE×4	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Nikki Quinn	+2.4
7	3-4	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Maddie Smith		+2.3
8	3-5	DUKE	DUKE×4	Attack err	Maddie Smith	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Avery Hamlin	+2.1
9	4-5	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
10	4-6	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+1.3
11	5-6	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Barnett	+1.4
12	5-7	MARSH	DUKE	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+1.4
13	6-7	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+1.4
14	6-8	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.4
15	6-9	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+2.0
16	7-9	DUKE	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+1.2
17	8-9	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson	+2.3
18	9-9	MARSH	MARSH×3	Ace	MARSH server	aced Nataly Moravec	+2.7
19	9-10	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Breonna Goss	set Nikki Quinn	+1.7
20	10-10	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
21	10-11	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+1.8
22	11-11	DUKE	MARSH×3	Serve err	DUKE server		+1.9
23	12-11	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.3
24	13-11	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Logan Henderson	+3.6
25	13-12	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
26	14-12	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.5
27	14-13	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.1
28	14-14	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+3.5
29	15-14	DUKE	MARSH×3	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+2.5
30	16-14	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Zoe Gillen-Malveaux		+4.2
31	17-14	MARSH	MARSH×3	Ace	MARSH server	aced Nataly Moravec	+4.1
32	17-15	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+2.0
33	18-15	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+2.8
34	18-16	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
35	19-16	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+2.9
36	19-17	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+2.1
37	20-17	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.1
38	20-18	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Avery Hamlin	set Mailinh Godschall	+2.1
39	20-19	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Breonna Goss, Avery Hamlin	+4.4
40	21-19	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.8
41	21-20	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+2.9
42	21-21	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Logan Henderson	blk Nataly Moravec, Zoe Gillen-Malveaux	+5.8
43	22-21	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+4.5
44	22-22	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Avery Hamlin	+4.0
45	23-22	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+5.3
46	23-23	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Nataly Moravec	set Nikki Quinn	+4.8
47	23-24	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Emma Barnett	blk Zoe Gillen-Malveaux, Charlotte Glass	+9.0
48	24-24	DUKE	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+5.5
49	25-24	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Ashby Zubchevich		+10.0
50	25-25	MARSH	DUKE	Serve err	MARSH server		+6.5
51	25-26	DUKE	DUKE	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Breonna Goss	+9.0
52	26-26	DUKE	MARSH	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+5.5
53	26-27	MARSH	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Nikki Quinn	+5.5
54	26-28	DUKE	DUKE	Kill	Ashby Zubchevich	set Mailinh Godschall	+7.6

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.