FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

AwayACC

0:3

HomeSEC

Florida def. Miami (FL) 3–0

(25-15, 25-19, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MIAMI	15	19	22	0
FLA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

FLA above 50 · MIAMI below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Miami (FL) — set 1, MIAMI 2-1 FLA. Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Ariana Rodriguez). FLA win probability 97% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MIAMI 3.3%96.7% FLA

Miami (FL) wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Florida wins

3-0

61.0%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

7.9%

MIAMI break %: 34.9% vs this opp
FLA break %: 48.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Asia HarveyKill+0.5%
Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Ariana Rodriguez)
Set 1 · MIAMI 2-1 FLA · MIAMI 3% → 4%
02
Kamryn ChaneyKill+0.5%
Kill by Kamryn Chaney (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 3 · MIAMI 21-21 FLA · FLA 98% → 99%
03
Asia HarveyAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Asia Harvey
Set 3 · MIAMI 21-22 FLA · FLA 99% → 99%
04
Adrianna BridgesAttack error+0.4%
Adrianna Bridges stuffed by Selena Leban & Logan King & Alec Rothe
Set 1 · MIAMI 2-3 FLA · FLA 97% → 97%
05
Denitsa AngelovaAttack error+0.4%
Denitsa Angelova stuffed by Kamryn Chaney
Set 1 · MIAMI 0-1 FLA · FLA 97% → 97%
06
Ariana RodriguezKill+0.4%
Kill by Ariana Rodriguez (set by Ella Thompson)
Set 3 · MIAMI 21-19 FLA · MIAMI 1% → 2%
07
Logan KingKill+0.4%
Kill by Logan King (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 3 · MIAMI 20-19 FLA · FLA 98% → 99%
08
Asia HarveyAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Asia Harvey
Set 1 · MIAMI 2-4 FLA · FLA 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Miami (FL)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Asia HarveyOH	3	11	7	33	.121	1	1	1	7	5	1	0.5	12.5
1Ruth MartinezOH	3	8	9	33	-.030	1	1	0	3	0	2	1	10
17Ella ThompsonOH	3	6	2	20	.200	1	0	0	7	0	1	0.5	6.5
21Denitsa AngelovaMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	4.5
6Ariana RodriguezS	3	3	2	8	.125	25	0	1	5	0	2	1	4
3Adrianna BridgesMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
8Gaby ArroyoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	19	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	22	107	.103	31	2	3	42	9	12	6	56

Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Logan KingOPP	3	11	2	23	.391	0	1	2	6	0	0	4	2	14
7Kamryn ChaneyOH	3	10	2	26	.308	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	11
5Selena LebanOH	3	7	6	26	.038	1	2	2	4	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Brooklyn BriscoeMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
25Alec RotheMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
20Taylor ParksS	3	1	1	3	.000	34	2	0	10	0	0	2	1	4
21Bella LeeL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	4	2	8	0	0	0	0	4
3Emerson HoyleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Lily HayesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
12Kira HutsonOH	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
14Jordyn ByrdOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		41	12	104	.279	40	9	8	47	2	1	13	7.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MIAMI · FLA 8

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 5 MIAMIFLA 8

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 MIAMIFLA 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 MIAMIFLA 5

Bars above the line = Florida leads, below = Miami (FL) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Miami (FL)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%6/14	29%2/7
2	27%6/22	50%6/12
3	75%6/8	25%2/8
4	36%5/14	40%4/10
5	45%5/11	44%4/9
6	80%4/5	55%6/11
All	43%32/74	42%24/57

Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	40%4/10
2	86%6/7	74%17/23
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	71%5/7	64%9/14
5	38%5/13	44%4/9
6	67%4/6	50%4/8
All	58%33/57	57%42/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	MIAMI-FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Denitsa Angelova	blk Kamryn Chaney	+0.4
2	1-1	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.3
3	2-1	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.5
4	2-2	MIAMI	FLA×8	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
5	2-3	FLA	FLA×8	Attack err	Adrianna Bridges	blk Selena Leban, Logan King, Alec Rothe	+0.4
6	2-4	FLA	FLA×8	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+0.4
7	2-5	FLA	FLA×8	Ace	FLA server	aced Asia Harvey	+0.3
8	2-6	FLA	FLA×8	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.2
9	2-7	FLA	FLA×8	Ace	FLA server	aced Asia Harvey	+0.2
10	2-8	FLA	FLA×8	Kill	Logan King	set Lily Hayes	+0.1
11	2-9	FLA	FLA×8	Attack err	Asia Harvey	blk Alec Rothe, Logan King	+0.1
12	3-9	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
13	3-10	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
14	4-10	FLA	MIAMI	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Adrianna Bridges, Asia Harvey	+0.1
15	4-11	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
16	4-12	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Ella Thompson		+0.1
17	5-12	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ella Thompson	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
18	5-13	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
19	6-13	FLA	MIAMI×5	Kill	Ella Thompson	set Gaby Arroyo	+0.0
20	7-13	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Ruth Martinez	+0.1
21	8-13	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Kill	Denitsa Angelova	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
22	9-13	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
23	10-13	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney		+0.3
24	10-14	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
25	11-14	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
26	11-15	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Lily Hayes	+0.2
27	11-16	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
28	12-16	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
29	12-17	MIAMI	FLA×4	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
30	12-18	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.1
31	12-19	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.1
32	12-20	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Asia Harvey	+0.0
33	13-20	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
34	13-21	MIAMI	FLA	Serve err	MIAMI server		+0.0
35	14-21	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Adrianna Bridges	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
36	15-21	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Logan King		+0.0
37	15-22	MIAMI	FLA×4	Attack err	Ruth Martinez	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Logan King	+0.0
38	15-23	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Ruth Martinez	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks	+0.0
39	15-24	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Selena Leban		+0.0
40	15-25	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Asia Harvey	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
2	0-2	FLA	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
3	1-2	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ella Thompson	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
4	1-3	MIAMI	FLA	Serve err	MIAMI server		+0.2
5	1-4	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Lily Hayes	+0.2
6	2-4	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey		+0.1
7	3-4	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.2
8	3-5	MIAMI	FLA	Serve err	MIAMI server		+0.2
9	3-6	FLA	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Bella Lee	+0.2
10	4-6	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
11	5-6	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Denitsa Angelova	+0.3
12	5-7	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
13	5-8	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
14	6-8	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
15	6-9	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
16	6-10	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.2
17	7-10	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
18	8-10	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
19	8-11	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
20	9-11	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Asia Harvey	+0.2
21	9-12	MIAMI	FLA×3	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
22	9-13	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.2
23	9-14	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.1
24	10-14	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ella Thompson	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
25	10-15	MIAMI	FLA×3	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
26	10-16	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Ruth Martinez	blk Logan King, Alec Rothe	+0.1
27	10-17	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
28	11-17	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
29	11-18	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
30	12-18	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Denitsa Angelova	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
31	12-19	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
32	13-19	FLA	MIAMI×4	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
33	14-19	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.1
34	15-19	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Denitsa Angelova	+0.1
35	16-19	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Ace	MIAMI server	aced Selena Leban	+0.2
36	16-20	MIAMI	FLA×3	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
37	16-21	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+0.1
38	16-22	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Asia Harvey	+0.1
39	17-22	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
40	17-23	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
41	18-23	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
42	19-23	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Ella Thompson		+0.0
43	19-24	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
44	19-25	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Selena Leban	+0.1
2	1-1	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ella Thompson	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
3	2-1	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Adrianna Bridges	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
4	2-2	MIAMI	FLA×4	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
5	2-3	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Ella Thompson		+0.1
6	2-4	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
7	2-5	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+0.1
8	3-5	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Gaby Arroyo	+0.1
9	3-6	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
10	3-7	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.1
11	4-7	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Denitsa Angelova	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.0
12	4-8	MIAMI	FLA	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.0
13	5-8	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
14	6-8	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Taylor Parks		+0.1
15	6-9	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
16	7-9	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
17	8-9	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
18	8-10	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
19	9-10	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
20	10-10	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney	blk Adrianna Bridges, Ella Thompson	+0.2
21	10-11	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
22	10-12	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
23	11-12	FLA	MIAMI×5	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
24	12-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
25	13-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Serve err	MIAMI server		+0.2
26	14-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Attack err	Alec Rothe	blk Adrianna Bridges, Ruth Martinez	+0.3
27	15-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Ace	MIAMI server	aced Team	+0.3
28	15-13	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
29	16-13	FLA	MIAMI	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.3
30	17-13	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Logan King	blk Ruth Martinez, Denitsa Angelova	+0.4
31	17-14	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
32	18-14	FLA	MIAMI×3	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.3
33	19-14	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Gaby Arroyo	+0.3
34	20-14	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.3
35	20-15	MIAMI	FLA×5	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.1
36	20-16	FLA	FLA×5	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+0.2
37	20-17	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
38	20-18	FLA	FLA×5	Attack err	Ariana Rodriguez		+0.3
39	20-19	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
40	21-19	FLA	MIAMI	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Ella Thompson	+0.4
41	21-20	MIAMI	FLA×4	Attack err	Ariana Rodriguez		+0.3
42	21-21	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.5
43	21-22	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+0.4
44	21-23	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Asia Harvey	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks	+0.4
45	22-23	FLA	MIAMI	Serve err	FLA server		+0.2
46	22-24	MIAMI	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Kira Hutson	+0.3
47	22-25	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Miami (FL) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.