FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Miami (FL) def. Tulsa 3–0

Miami (FL) beat visiting Tulsa 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 25-15) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez and Denitsa Angelova led with 10 kills each, and Ariana Rodriguez added 8 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
TULSA1520150
MIAMI2525253

Win probability

Miami (FL) above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% TULSArally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Tulsa — set 1, TULSA 4-5 MIAMI. Tulsa ace on Sonja Danilovic. MIAMI win probability 69% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 36.5%63.5% MIAMI

Tulsa wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.2%
3-2
15.7%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%
TULSA break %
40.8% vs this opp
MIAMI break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    TulsaAce+2.3%

    Tulsa ace on Sonja Danilovic

    Set 1 · TULSA 4-5 MIAMI · TULSA 31% → 34%

  2. 02
    Miami (FL)Ace+2.3%

    Miami (FL) ace on Lauren Patterson

    Set 1 · TULSA 0-1 MIAMI · MIAMI 63% → 66%

  3. 03
    Miami (FL)Ace+2.3%

    Miami (FL) ace on Lauren Patterson

    Set 1 · TULSA 4-7 MIAMI · MIAMI 68% → 70%

  4. 04
    Miami (FL)Ace+2.2%

    Miami (FL) ace on Mikey Freeman

    Set 1 · TULSA 0-2 MIAMI · MIAMI 66% → 68%

  5. 05

    Mikey Freeman stuffed by Logan Wiley & Ruth Martinez

    Set 1 · TULSA 7-11 MIAMI · MIAMI 71% → 73%

  6. 06
    Miami (FL)Ace+2.1%

    Miami (FL) ace on Mikey Freeman

    Set 1 · TULSA 0-3 MIAMI · MIAMI 68% → 70%

  7. 07
    Ruth MartinezBlock+2.0%

    Olivia Vance stuffed by Ruth Martinez

    Set 2 · TULSA 1-3 MIAMI · MIAMI 80% → 82%

  8. 08

    Kill by Campbell Hague

    Set 2 · TULSA 3-4 MIAMI · TULSA 17% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38216.375000100219
37316.25001010010.58.5
36415.133000000006
35416.06300022010.55.5
3001.000250140010.50.5
3011-1.000000030000
34013.308011110005
3000–010510001
3000–00000010.50.5
3000–000610000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001440000
3000–000000000
3000–400000000
3000–000000000
3000–000300000
Team totals301478.2052933271306350
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310424.2501525012217
310014.7141120012213
39220.3501122002111
38216.375001610008
3307.429294180010.57.5
3507.71420010031.56.5
3000–721620002
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals45888.42041139283210775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TULSA · MIAMI 9

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 TULSAMIAMI 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 TULSAMIAMI 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 TULSAMIAMI 9

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
0%0/3
2
57%4/7
43%3/7
3
33%4/12
0%0/4
4
50%4/8
20%1/5
5
67%4/6
33%2/6
6
75%3/4
20%1/5
All
46%23/50
23%7/30

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%4/7
69%9/13
2
100%4/4
43%3/7
3
80%4/5
67%8/12
4
67%4/6
50%4/8
5
80%4/5
33%2/6
6
100%3/3
25%1/4
All
77%23/30
54%27/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#TULSA-MIAMISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Lauren Patterson+2.3
20-2MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Mikey Freeman+2.2
30-3MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Mikey Freeman+2.1
41-3MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
51-4TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+1.5
62-4MIAMITULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
72-5TULSAMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.6
83-5MIAMITULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
94-5TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Sonja Danilovic+2.3
104-6TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
114-7MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Lauren Patterson+2.3
125-7MIAMITULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.6
135-8TULSAMIAMIAttack errCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.7
146-8MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+1.6
156-9TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelova+1.7
167-9MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+1.6
177-10TULSAMIAMI×5KillSonja Danilovicset Ruth Martinez+1.8
187-11MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedMikey Freemanblk Logan Wiley, Ruth Martinez+2.2
197-12MIAMIMIAMI×5KillSonja Danilovic+1.8
207-13MIAMIMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.4
217-14MIAMIMIAMI×5AceMiami (FL)aced Mikey Freeman+1.1
228-14MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.6
239-14TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Gaby Arroyo+1.1
249-15TULSAMIAMIServe errTulsa+1.0
2510-15MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+0.8
2610-16TULSAMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
2711-16MIAMITULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.7
2811-17TULSAMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Asia Harvey+1.0
2911-18MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Milee Jackson+0.9
3011-19MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Lauren Patterson+0.5
3112-19MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+0.2
3212-20TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinez+0.3
3312-21MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)+0.2
3413-21MIAMITULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3514-21TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Gaby Arroyo+0.2
3614-22TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
3714-23MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Denitsa Angelova+0.1
3815-23MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn·
3915-24TULSAMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez·
4015-25MIAMIMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·
Set 2
10-1TULSAMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
21-1MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
31-2TULSAMIAMI×3KillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+1.5
41-3MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Ruth Martinez+2.0
51-4MIAMIMIAMI×3AceMiami (FL)aced Olivia Vance+1.9
62-4MIAMITULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
73-4TULSATULSAKillCampbell Hague+2.0
83-5TULSAMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+1.5
93-6MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.0
103-7MIAMIMIAMI×3KillDenitsa Angelova+1.8
114-7MIAMITULSAKillOlivia Vance+1.2
124-8TULSAMIAMIBlockedOlivia Vanceblk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
135-8MIAMITULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
145-9TULSAMIAMI×4KillAriana Rodriguez+1.3
155-10MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errCampbell Hague+1.5
165-11MIAMIMIAMI×4AceMiami (FL)aced Isabella Ocampo+1.3
175-12MIAMIMIAMI×4KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
186-12MIAMITULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
196-13TULSAMIAMIKillSonja Danilovic+0.7
207-13MIAMITULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+0.5
217-14TULSAMIAMIServe errTulsa+0.7
227-15MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+0.6
238-15MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
248-16TULSAMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
258-17MIAMI
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
269-17MIAMITULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
279-18TULSAMIAMIServe errTulsa+0.2
2810-18MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+0.1
2911-18TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
3011-19TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.3
3112-19MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+0.2
3212-20TULSAMIAMIKillSonja Danilovic+0.3
3313-20MIAMITULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3414-20TULSATULSABlockedSonja Danilovicblk Brittany Bacorn, Jill Hanson+0.3
3514-21TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
3615-21MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
3716-21TULSATULSAAttack errRuth Martinez+0.5
3816-22TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Gaby Arroyo+0.6
3917-22MIAMITULSA×3KillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+0.3
4018-22TULSATULSA×3Attack errRuth Martinez+0.7
4119-22TULSATULSA×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Jill Hanson, Olivia Vance+1.3
4219-23TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
4320-23MIAMITULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.7
4420-24TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
4520-25MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Lauren Patterson+0.5
Set 3
11-0MIAMITULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+0.9
22-0TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffe+1.3
33-0TULSATULSA×3Attack errSonja Danilovic+1.3
43-1TULSAMIAMI×4KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.8
53-2MIAMIMIAMI×4BlockedOlivia Vanceblk Ruth Martinez, Logan Wiley+1.2
63-3MIAMIMIAMI×4KillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
73-4MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errAva Steffe+1.3
84-4MIAMITULSAAttack errAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.9
94-5TULSAMIAMI×9BlockedAva Steffeblk Logan Wiley, Asia Harvey+0.9
104-6MIAMIMIAMI×9KillDenitsa Angelova+1.2
114-7MIAMIMIAMI×9BlockedAva Steffeblk Asia Harvey, Denitsa Angelova+1.2
124-8MIAMIMIAMI×9KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.0
134-9MIAMIMIAMI×9KillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+0.9
144-10MIAMIMIAMI×9Attack errAva Steffe+0.7
154-11MIAMIMIAMI×9Attack errOlivia Vance+0.6
164-12MIAMIMIAMI×9BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Denitsa Angelova+0.4
174-13MIAMIMIAMI×9KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.3
185-13MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)+0.1
195-14TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
205-15MIAMIMIAMIAceMiami (FL)aced Maegan Mills+0.2
216-15MIAMITULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+0.1
226-16TULSAMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.1
236-17MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovic+0.1
247-17MIAMITULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin·
257-18TULSAMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Logan Wiley+0.1
268-18MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)·
278-19TULSAMIAMIAttack errJill Hansonset Isabella Ocampo·
288-20MIAMIMIAMIAttack errJill Hanson·
299-20MIAMITULSAServe errMiami (FL)·
309-21TULSAMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez·
3110-21MIAMITULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn·
3210-22TULSAMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez·
3311-22MIAMITULSAKillAva Steffeset Brittany Bacorn·
3411-23TULSAMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez·
3512-23MIAMITULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin·
3613-23TULSATULSA×3Attack errRuth Martinez·
3714-23TULSATULSA×3BlockedAsia Harveyblk Campbell Hague, Emma Blaine·
3814-24TULSAMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Gaby Arroyo·
3915-24MIAMITULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin·
4015-25TULSAMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez·

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).