Final · 5 setsWed, Sep 23, 2026Watch on ACCN

Florida St. def. Miami (FL) 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida St. 65.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 22, 9:25 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida St. beat visiting Miami (FL) 3-2 (25-14, 22-25, 22-25, 26-24, 15-11) on Wed, Sep 23, 2026. Florida St.'s Kyleene Filimaua led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 23

Set12345Sets
MIAMI14252524112
FSU25222226153

Win probability

Florida St. above 50 · Miami (FL) below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.5% FSUrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.5% to Florida St. — set 4, MIAMI 24-25 FSU. Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo). FSU win probability 23% → 36%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIAMI 50.8%49.2% FSU

Miami (FL) wins

3-0
12.8%
3-1
19.1%
3-2
18.9%

Florida St. wins

3-0
12.2%
3-1
18.4%
3-2
18.6%
MIAMI break %
41.1% vs this opp
FSU break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sofia MossKill+13.5%

    Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 4 · MIAMI 24-25 FSU · FSU 23% → 36%

  2. 02
    Sofia MossKill+13.2%

    Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 5 · MIAMI 8-10 FSU · FSU 61% → 74%

  3. 03
    Ella ThompsonAttack error+12.5%

    Attack error by Ella Thompson

    Set 5 · MIAMI 7-8 FSU · FSU 48% → 60%

  4. 04

    Asia Harvey stuffed by Delaney Ewing & Emma Lilo

    Set 4 · MIAMI 24-26 FSU · FSU 36% → 48%

  5. 05
    Florida St.Ace+11.5%

    Florida St. ace on Gaby Arroyo

    Set 5 · MIAMI 7-7 FSU · FSU 36% → 48%

  6. 06
    Ella ThompsonAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Ella Thompson

    Set 5 · MIAMI 8-11 FSU · FSU 74% → 86%

  7. 07
    Sofia MossKill+10.2%

    Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 4 · MIAMI 23-23 FSU · FSU 13% → 23%

  8. 08
    Sofia MossKill+9.3%

    Kill by Sofia Moss (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 5 · MIAMI 8-9 FSU · FSU 52% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510322.3180022014313
55312.167001102449
57931-.065100110111.58.5
56011.5453311100031.58.5
47518.111001000218
46822-.091001200217
5103.3332002320001
49942.0000003002110
4000–1021000000
3000–000000000
Team totals5137161.08737186274181399
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5181146.152034150010.521.5
516631.32301212010118
56430.06700270254.510.5
58019.4210030012210
55416.06310010073.58.5
51011.0002821120010.53.5
5001.000100900000
5000–300610000
4000–2103300000
22210.000000000213
2225.000000101013
2000–011000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5829159.1825471666151814110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Miami (FL) vs Florida St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MIAMI · FSU 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 MIAMIFSU 6

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 MIAMIFSU 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 MIAMIFSU 3

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 3 MIAMIFSU 5

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 2 MIAMIFSU 4

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = Miami (FL) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Miami (FL)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
27%3/11
2
69%9/13
64%16/25
3
75%9/12
10%1/10
4
67%8/12
36%5/14
5
47%7/15
50%8/16
6
44%7/16
22%2/9
All
59%50/85
41%35/85

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
55%11/20
2
43%9/21
18%2/11
3
64%9/14
40%6/15
4
89%8/9
33%4/12
5
53%8/15
33%4/12
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
59%50/85
41%35/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#MIAMI-FSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FSUMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
21-1MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+1.8
32-1FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
43-1MIAMIMIAMIAttack errAsia Harvey+2.6
53-2MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+1.7
64-2FSUMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
74-3MIAMIFSU×4KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.8
84-4FSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
94-5FSUFSU×4Attack errRuth Martinez+2.8
104-6FSUFSU×4AceFlorida St.+2.8
115-6FSUMIAMIAttack errLexie Mason+1.9
125-7MIAMIFSUAttack errRuth Martinez+2.0
135-8FSUFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+2.8
146-8FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+1.7
157-8MIAMIMIAMIAttack errKyleene Filimaua+2.8
167-9MIAMIFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+2.1
177-10FSUFSU×3Attack errLogan Wiley+2.9
187-11FSUFSU×3Attack errAsia Harvey+2.6
198-11FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+1.6
209-11MIAMIMIAMIBlockedDelaney Ewingblk Ruth Martinez, Denitsa Angelova+2.7
219-12MIAMIFSU×5KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+2.1
229-13FSUFSU×5AceFlorida St.aced Gaby Arroyo+2.7
239-14FSUFSU×5Attack errRuth Martinez+2.3
249-15FSUFSU×5Attack errAsia Harvey+1.8
259-16FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.3
2610-16FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+0.6
2710-17MIAMIFSUKillBailey Higginsset Victoria David+0.9
2811-17FSUMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
2912-17MIAMIMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Emma Lilo+1.1
3012-18MIAMIFSU×6KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.1
3112-19FSUFSU×6KillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+1.1
3212-20FSUFSU×6Attack errAsia Harvey+0.6
3312-21FSUFSU×6KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.3
3412-22FSUFSU×6KillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.1
3512-23FSUFSU×6KillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer·
3613-23FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.·
3714-23MIAMIMIAMIBlockedLexie Masonblk Logan Wiley, Sonja Danilovic·
3814-24MIAMIFSUAttack errSonja Danilovic·
3914-25FSUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer·
Set 2
10-1MIAMIFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.8
21-1FSUMIAMI×6KillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
32-1MIAMIMIAMI×6KillAriana Rodriguezset Victoria David+2.6
43-1MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errDelaney Ewing+2.6
54-1MIAMIMIAMI×6KillDenitsa Angelovaset Gaby Arroyo+2.5
65-1MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errKyleene Filimaua+2.3
76-1MIAMIMIAMI×6Attack errKyleene Filimaua+2.1
86-2MIAMIFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.3
97-2FSUMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
107-3MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.3
118-3FSUMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.5
128-4MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+1.3
139-4FSUMIAMI×5Serve errFlorida St.+1.5
1410-4MIAMIMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.8
1511-4MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedSofia Mossblk Ruth Martinez, Logan Wiley+1.4
1612-4MIAMIMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+1.1
1713-4MIAMIMIAMI×5AceAriana Rodriguezaced Victoria David+0.8
1813-5MIAMIFSUBlockedRuth Martinezblk Sofia Moss+0.3
1914-5FSUMIAMIKillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+0.5
2014-6MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.3
2114-7FSUFSUAttack errElla Thompson+0.7
2215-7FSUMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+0.7
2315-8MIAMIFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.4
2415-9FSUFSU×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Kyleene Filimaua, Delaney Ewing+0.9
2515-10FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewing+1.3
2616-10FSUMIAMI×4KillRuth Martinezset Emma Lilo+1.2
2717-10MIAMIMIAMI×4KillBailey Higginsset Victoria David+1.2
2818-10MIAMIMIAMI×4Attack errKyleene Filimaua+0.8
2919-10MIAMIMIAMI×4KillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+0.4
3019-11MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+0.1
3120-11FSUMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+0.2
3220-12MIAMIFSUBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Nenu Kpea, Bailey Higgins+0.1
3320-13FSUFSUAttack errDenitsa Angelova+0.3
3421-13FSUMIAMIBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Denitsa Angelova, Ariana Rodriguez+0.3
3521-14MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.1
3622-14FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+0.3
3723-14MIAMIMIAMIKillLogan Wiley+0.1
3823-15MIAMIFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer·
3923-16FSUFSU×3BlockedRuth Martinezblk Lexie Mason, Delaney Ewing+0.1
4023-17FSUFSU×3BlockedLogan Wileyblk Delaney Ewing, Lexie Mason+0.1
4124-17FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+0.2
4224-18MIAMIFSU×5KillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer·
4324-19FSUFSU×5Attack errElla Thompson+0.1
4424-20FSUFSU×5AceFlorida St.+0.3
4524-21FSUFSU×5KillSofia Moss+0.7
4624-22FSUFSU×5BlockedElla Thompsonblk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins+1.7
4725-22FSUMIAMIAttack errSofia Moss+2.9
Set 3
10-1FSUFSUAttack errRuth Martinez+3.4
21-1FSUMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+2.4
32-1MIAMIMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelova+3.5
42-2MIAMIFSUBlockedElla Thompsonblk Bailey Higgins, Nenu Kpea+2.4
53-2FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+2.5
63-3MIAMIFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.5
73-4FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+3.7
83-5FSUFSU×3Attack errSonja Danilovic+3.7
94-5FSUMIAMI×5KillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+2.4
105-5MIAMIMIAMI×5Bad setDelaney Ewing+3.7
116-5MIAMIMIAMI×5KillAriana Rodriguezset Stalena Van Deusen+3.8
127-5MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Ariana Rodriguez, Logan Wiley+3.8
138-5MIAMIMIAMI×5KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+3.6
148-6MIAMIFSUAttack errSonja Danilovic+2.3
158-7FSUFSUKillJohanna Sovaset Callie Kieffer+3.7
169-7FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+2.8
179-8MIAMIFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+2.7
189-9FSUFSU×3Attack errSonja Danilovic+4.2
199-10FSUFSU×3AceFlorida St.+4.3
2010-10FSUMIAMIKillGaby Arroyo+3.0
2110-11MIAMIFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+3.1
2211-11FSUMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Sonja Danilovic+3.1
2312-11MIAMIMIAMIAttack errSofia Moss+4.6
2412-12MIAMIFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+3.2
2512-13FSUFSUKillSofia Mossset Ariana Rodriguez+4.8
2613-13FSUMIAMI×5KillRuth Martinezset Ariana Rodriguez+3.3
2714-13MIAMIMIAMI×5Attack errSofia Moss+5.0
2815-13MIAMIMIAMI×5KillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+5.0
2916-13MIAMIMIAMI×5BlockedBailey Higginsblk Denitsa Angelova, Ella Thompson+4.6
3017-13MIAMIMIAMI×5KillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+3.9
3117-14MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+2.1
3218-14FSUMIAMIKillAriana Rodriguez+2.7
3318-15MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.0
3419-15FSUMIAMIAttack errBailey Higgins+2.8
3519-16MIAMIFSUBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Bailey Higgins+2.0
3619-17FSUFSUAttack errSonja Danilovic+4.0
3720-17FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+3.7
3821-17MIAMIMIAMIBad setCallie Kieffer+4.0
3921-18MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+1.7
4021-19FSUFSUBlockedRuth Martinezblk Johanna Sova+4.0
4122-19FSUMIAMIAttack errDelaney Ewing+4.0
4222-20MIAMIFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+2.6
4322-21FSUFSUBlockedLogan Wileyblk Nenu Kpea+6.1
4423-21FSUMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+6.1
4524-21MIAMIMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Nenu Kpea+6.1
4624-22MIAMIFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.6
4725-22FSUMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+3.8
Set 4
10-1MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+2.4
21-1FSUMIAMIBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Denitsa Angelova, Asia Harvey+2.4
32-1MIAMIMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+3.5
42-2MIAMIFSU×5Attack errSonja Danilovic+2.4
52-3FSUFSU×5Attack errElla Thompson+3.6
62-4FSUFSU×5BlockedElla Thompsonblk Bailey Higgins+3.5
72-5FSUFSU×5Attack errDenitsa Angelova+3.4
82-6FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+3.2
93-6FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+2.0
103-7MIAMIFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.2
114-7FSUMIAMIAttack errSofia Moss+2.0
124-8MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+2.3
135-8FSUMIAMI×3Serve errFlorida St.+2.0
146-8MIAMIMIAMI×3Attack errJohanna Sova+3.3
157-8MIAMIMIAMI×3KillAsia Harvey+3.7
167-9MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+2.8
177-10FSUFSUKillJohanna Sovaset Callie Kieffer+3.8
188-10FSUMIAMI×3Serve errFlorida St.+2.4
199-10MIAMIMIAMI×3KillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+3.9
2010-10MIAMIMIAMI×3BlockedJohanna Sovablk Ella Thompson, Logan Wiley+4.3
2110-11MIAMIFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+3.1
2210-12FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+4.4
2311-12FSUMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Ariana Rodriguez+2.9
2411-13MIAMIFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+3.2
2512-13FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+3.0
2613-13MIAMIMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelova+4.7
2713-14MIAMIFSUAttack errElla Thompson+3.5
2814-14FSUMIAMIAttack errBailey Higgins+3.4
2914-15MIAMIFSUAttack errDenitsa Angelova+3.6
3015-15FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+3.6
3115-16MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+3.8
3216-16FSUMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+3.8
3316-17MIAMIFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+4.0
3417-17FSUMIAMIBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Logan Wiley+4.0
3517-18MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Delaney Ewing+4.3
3618-18FSUMIAMIKillLogan Wileyset Ariana Rodriguez+4.2
3719-18MIAMIMIAMIAttack errSofia Moss+6.6
3819-19MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+4.5
3920-19FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+5.0
4021-19MIAMIMIAMIAttack errDelaney Ewing+7.0
4121-20MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+4.0
4222-20FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+5.4
4322-21MIAMIFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+4.2
4423-21FSUMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+6.1
4523-22MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+4.2
4623-23FSUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+10.2
4724-23FSUMIAMIKillSonja Danilovicset Ariana Rodriguez+9.3
4824-24MIAMIFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+9.3
4924-25FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+13.5
5024-26FSUFSU×3BlockedAsia Harveyblk Delaney Ewing, Emma Lilo+12.1
Set 5
11-0FSUMIAMIKillAsia Harveyset Gaby Arroyo+6.2
21-1MIAMIFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+6.2
32-1FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+6.4
43-1MIAMIMIAMIKillSonja Danilovic+9.1
53-2MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+5.9
64-2FSUMIAMIKillDenitsa Angelovaset Ariana Rodriguez+6.6
75-2MIAMIMIAMIAttack errKyleene Filimaua+8.8
85-3MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+5.3
95-4FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Ariana Rodriguez+9.1
106-4FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+7.2
116-5MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+6.6
127-5FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+7.6
137-6MIAMIFSU×3KillEmma Lilo+6.8
147-7FSUFSU×3AceFlorida St.aced Gaby Arroyo+11.5
157-8FSUFSU×3Attack errElla Thompson+12.5
168-8FSUMIAMIServe errFlorida St.+8.5
178-9MIAMIFSU×4KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+9.3
188-10FSUFSU×4KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+13.2
198-11FSUFSU×4Attack errElla Thompson+11.3
208-12FSUFSU×4Attack errAsia Harvey+8.0
219-12FSUMIAMIKillElla Thompsonset Ariana Rodriguez+3.1
229-13MIAMIFSUServe errMiami (FL)+5.3
2310-13FSUMIAMIAttack errKyleene Filimaua+2.4
2410-14MIAMIFSUBlockedSonja Danilovicblk Bailey Higgins, Delaney Ewing+4.6
2511-14FSUMIAMIBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Asia Harvey, Ariana Rodriguez+1.3
2611-15MIAMIFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+3.2

Score shown after each rally, Miami (FL) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).