NC State vs Miami (FL) Volleyball: Miami (FL) Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: NC State 52.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (FL) beat visiting NC State 3-0 (25-16, 25-23, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Miami (FL)'s Ruth Martinez led with 12 kills, and Ariana Rodriguez added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 4

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NC ST	16	23	12	0
MIAMI	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for Miami (FL).

No single rally moved win probability more than 7.9 points. NC State peaked at 58% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ had NC State at 52% before first serve.

NC StateMiami (FL)

Break %+21.9 pts
30.252.1
On serve: 38/73 against 16/53 (NC State sideout 47.9%).
Hitting+.244
.050.294
Kills and errors: 36–11 vs 32–27.
Longest run+3
47
Up 12–10 in the third set, Miami (FL) scored 7 straight to make it 19–10. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Miami (FL) above 50NC State belowMax swing 7.9%

NC StateMiami (FL)

Aces: NC State 1·Miami (FL) 3
Serve err: NC State 9·Miami (FL) 7
Blocks: NC State 7·Miami (FL) 114 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs: NC State 30·Miami (FL) 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (FL) above 50 · NC State below

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Miami (FL) — set 2, NC ST 23-25 MIAMI. Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Denitsa Angelova). MIAMI win probability 79% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC ST 35.2%64.8% MIAMI

NC State wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

15.4%

Miami (FL) wins

3-0

19.9%

3-1

24.8%

3-2

20.1%

NC ST break %: 40.8% vs this opp
MIAMI break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ruth MartinezKill+7.9%
Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Denitsa Angelova)
Set 2 · NC ST 23-25 MIAMI · MIAMI 79% → 87%
02
Asia HarveyKill+5.9%
Kill by Asia Harvey (set by Ariana Rodriguez)
Set 2 · NC ST 22-24 MIAMI · MIAMI 76% → 82%
03
NC StateService error+5.1%
NC State service error
Set 2 · NC ST 21-23 MIAMI · MIAMI 75% → 80%
04
Britni SilverKill+4.7%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Eva Long)
Set 2 · NC ST 21-22 MIAMI · NC ST 20% → 25%
05
Ruth MartinezKill+3.8%
Kill by Ruth Martinez (set by Eva Long)
Set 1 · NC ST 14-15 MIAMI · MIAMI 47% → 51%
06
Britni SilverAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Britni Silver
Set 1 · NC ST 14-16 MIAMI · MIAMI 51% → 55%
07
Britni SilverKill+3.6%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Eva Long)
Set 2 · NC ST 22-23 MIAMI · NC ST 20% → 24%
08
Asia Harvey&Lal AkinBlock+3.5%
Jordan Smith stuffed by Asia Harvey & Lal Akin
Set 2 · NC ST 12-13 MIAMI · MIAMI 67% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NC Stateaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
42Britni SilverOH	3	10	11	33	-.030	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	1	11
4Sophia GroomMB	3	6	2	16	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
22Eva LongS	3	6	1	10	.500	25	0	0	3	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
23Jordan SmithOPP	3	4	6	17	-.118	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	1	5
3Clara VondranOH	3	3	5	15	-.133	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	0	4
17Talia FrancomMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	2	4
1Zuzanna MaciejewiczL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
31Elaisa VillarL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Kate KilpatrickL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0	0
12Makenna KowrenOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Norah BuschMB	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		32	27	100	.050	26	1	9	30	3	4	6	7	51

Miami (FL)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ruth MartinezOH	3	12	4	30	.267	1	0	2	5	1	1	2	2	14
22Asia HarveyOH	3	11	4	23	.304	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Lal AkinMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	0	7	3.5	8.5
6Ariana RodriguezS	3	4	0	7	.571	25	0	2	10	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
11Sonja DanilovicOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	2	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Denitsa AngelovaMB	3	1	1	6	.000	2	0	1	1	0	1	2	2	3
8Gaby ArroyoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
5Olivia DurstL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Stalena Van DeusenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	11	85	.294	32	3	7	32	1	2	18	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

NC State vs Miami (FL)

Season series · Miami (FL) leads 1-0

Sun, Oct 4, 2026NC State at Miami (FL) · Miami (FL) won 3-0This match
Wed, Nov 25, 2026Miami (FL) at NC StatePreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NC ST · MIAMI 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 NC STMIAMI 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NC STMIAMI 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 3 NC STMIAMI 7

Bars above the line = Miami (FL) leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NC State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	30%3/10
2	35%6/17	33%4/12
3	40%6/15	50%6/12
4	100%5/5	33%3/9
5	56%5/9	0%0/5
6	36%5/14	0%0/5
All	48%35/73	30%16/53

Miami (FL)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	63%10/16
2	67%8/12	53%9/17
3	67%6/9	63%10/16
4	63%5/8	50%5/10
5	100%5/5	0%0/5
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	70%37/53	52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	NC ST-MIAMI	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+1.9
2	1-1	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+1.9
3	1-2	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Lal Akin	set Ariana Rodriguez	+1.9
4	2-2	MIAMI	NC ST×3	Kill	Eva Long	set Jordan Smith	+1.9
5	3-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Sonja Danilovic		+2.5
6	4-2	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Asia Harvey		+2.5
7	4-3	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+1.9
8	5-3	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.0
9	5-4	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Gaby Arroyo	+1.9
10	6-4	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+2.0
11	6-5	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.0
12	7-5	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.1
13	7-6	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Sonja Danilovic	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.0
14	8-6	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.1
15	8-7	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+2.0
16	9-7	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.2
17	9-8	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.1
18	10-8	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+2.3
19	10-9	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.2
20	10-10	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+3.1
21	11-10	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+2.4
22	12-10	NC ST	NC ST	Ace	Clara Vondran	aced Ruth Martinez	+3.1
23	12-11	NC ST	MIAMI	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Denitsa Angelova	+2.3
24	13-11	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+2.5
25	13-12	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+2.4
26	13-13	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Lal Akin	set Ariana Rodriguez	+3.4
27	14-13	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+2.7
28	14-14	NC ST	MIAMI×4	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Lal Akin	+2.7
29	14-15	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Eva Long	+3.8
30	14-16	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.8
31	14-17	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.5
32	15-17	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+2.3
33	15-18	NC ST	MIAMI×4	Serve err	NC State		+2.8
34	15-19	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+3.0
35	15-20	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Talia Francom		+2.3
36	15-21	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Ace	Miami (FL)	aced Clara Vondran	+1.4
37	16-21	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+0.6
38	16-22	NC ST	MIAMI×4	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+1.0
39	16-23	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Ace	Miami (FL)	aced Clara Vondran	+0.6
40	16-24	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
41	16-25	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Blocked	Sophia Groom	blk Denitsa Angelova	·
Set 2
1	0-1	MIAMI	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Eva Long	+2.5
2	1-1	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+1.9
3	1-2	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+2.0
4	1-3	MIAMI	MIAMI	Attack err	Jordan Smith		+2.6
5	2-3	MIAMI	NC ST×4	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.9
6	3-3	NC ST	NC ST×4	Blocked	Asia Harvey	blk Sophia Groom, Eva Long	+2.6
7	4-3	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Eva Long	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.7
8	5-3	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Eva Long		+2.6
9	5-4	NC ST	MIAMI×3	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.0
10	5-5	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.7
11	5-6	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Denitsa Angelova	+2.8
12	6-6	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.1
13	6-7	NC ST	MIAMI	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+2.2
14	7-7	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.2
15	7-8	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.3
16	8-8	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long		+2.3
17	8-9	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Sonja Danilovic	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.3
18	9-9	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.3
19	10-9	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Ruth Martinez	blk Britni Silver	+3.1
20	10-10	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Lal Akin	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.4
21	11-10	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+2.5
22	12-10	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Ruth Martinez	blk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith	+3.2
23	12-11	NC ST	MIAMI×5	Kill	Sonja Danilovic	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.3
24	12-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Kill	Ruth Martinez		+3.4
25	12-13	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Asia Harvey, Lal Akin	+3.5
26	12-14	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ruth Martinez, Lal Akin	+3.5
27	12-15	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.3
28	13-15	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+2.2
29	13-16	NC ST	MIAMI×3	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.6
30	13-17	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+3.0
31	13-18	MIAMI	MIAMI×3	Attack err	Britni Silver		+2.4
32	14-18	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+1.3
33	14-19	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+1.8
34	15-19	MIAMI	NC ST	Serve err	Miami (FL)		+1.2
35	15-20	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+1.8
36	16-20	MIAMI	NC ST	Blocked	Denitsa Angelova	blk Talia Francom	+1.1
37	16-21	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+1.7
38	17-21	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+1.0
39	18-21	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom		+2.1
40	18-22	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez		+2.4
41	19-22	MIAMI	NC ST×3	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+1.4
42	20-22	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+3.0
43	21-22	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+4.7
44	21-23	NC ST	MIAMI	Serve err	NC State		+5.1
45	22-23	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+3.6
46	22-24	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Ariana Rodriguez	+5.9
47	23-24	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+3.4
48	23-25	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Denitsa Angelova	+7.9
Set 3
1	1-0	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Lal Akin	blk Talia Francom	+1.7
2	1-1	NC ST	MIAMI	Attack err	Britni Silver		+1.3
3	2-1	MIAMI	NC ST	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+1.3
4	3-1	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Ruth Martinez		+1.7
5	3-2	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Ruth Martinez	+1.3
6	4-2	MIAMI	NC ST	Blocked	Asia Harvey	blk Sophia Groom, Jordan Smith	+1.4
7	5-2	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.7
8	5-3	NC ST	MIAMI×5	Serve err	NC State		+1.2
9	5-4	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Attack err	Britni Silver		+1.8
10	5-5	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ruth Martinez	+1.9
11	5-6	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Attack err	Eva Long		+1.9
12	5-7	MIAMI	MIAMI×5	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ruth Martinez, Denitsa Angelova	+1.9
13	6-7	MIAMI	NC ST×3	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+1.4
14	7-7	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Eva Long	set Sonja Danilovic	+2.0
15	8-7	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Eva Long	set Gaby Arroyo	+2.0
16	8-8	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Asia Harvey	set Gaby Arroyo	+1.6
17	9-8	MIAMI	NC ST	Blocked	Asia Harvey	blk Eva Long	+1.6
18	9-9	NC ST	MIAMI×4	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+1.6
19	9-10	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Gaby Arroyo	+2.2
20	9-11	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Kill	Denitsa Angelova	set Ariana Rodriguez	+2.2
21	9-12	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+2.1
22	10-12	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.4
23	10-13	NC ST	MIAMI×7	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+1.6
24	10-14	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Lal Akin	+1.9
25	10-15	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Lal Akin	+1.6
26	10-16	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+1.3
27	10-17	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Ariana Rodriguez, Lal Akin	+0.9
28	10-18	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Kill	Ariana Rodriguez	set Stalena Van Deusen	+0.6
29	10-19	MIAMI	MIAMI×7	Attack err	Norah Busch		+0.4
30	11-19	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Norah Busch	set Eva Long	+0.1
31	11-20	NC ST	MIAMI	Kill	Lal Akin	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.2
32	11-21	MIAMI	MIAMI	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Lal Akin, Sonja Danilovic	+0.1
33	12-21	MIAMI	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	·
34	12-22	NC ST	MIAMI×4	Kill	Ruth Martinez	set Ariana Rodriguez	+0.1
35	12-23	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Attack err	Sophia Groom		·
36	12-24	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Kill	Lal Akin	set Ariana Rodriguez	·
37	12-25	MIAMI	MIAMI×4	Ace	Miami (FL)	aced Kate Kilpatrick	·

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Miami (FL) def. NC State 3–0

A 7–0 run in the third set broke it open for Miami (FL).